May 1st, 2008
06:52 AM ET
14 years ago

Poll of polls: Obama losing ground

[cnn-photo-caption image= caption=" Obama now leads Clinton by 1 point nationally."]

(CNN) - The Democratic presidential race is tightening nationally, according to a new CNN average of several recent polls.

Obama's lead is now down to 1 point over Clinton nationwide, 45 percent to 44 percent, in CNN's "poll of polls." That margin is down 3 points from another CNN poll of polls conducted two days ago. In that analysis, Obama led Clinton 47 percent to 43 percent. The margin is also considerably lower than an April 18 poll of polls that showed Obama with an 11 point lead.

The poll of polls consists of three newly released national polls from Fox News/Opinion Dynamics, Gallup, and Newsweek. There is no margin of error on the poll of polls.

Both the Fox News poll and the Gallup poll were conducted partially after Obama's former pastor, the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, made a fresh round of controversial comments earlier this week.

The Fox News poll also appears to show Obama no longer has an edge over Clinton among independent voters. In head-to-head match ups, presumptive Republican nominee John McCain wins independents by a 4 point margin over Clinton (42-38 percent) and by a 10 points over Obama (47 percent to 37 percent).

Filed under: Poll of polls
soundoff (1,279 Responses)
  1. Eleanor Frutos

    I love CNN, especially Wolf, Anderson, Larry and Jack Cafferty. Way to go guys!! However I'm very surprised at how much coverage CNN gives daily to Obama. I don't understand why he gets so much "free" time on every program every day and every night. It's really too bad that Joe Biden and a couple of other potential democratic candidates couldn't have had more free time to let us hear their stories. The debates seemed to be slanted way too much to Obama and Clinton. Too much about Obama - please give Hillary equal time. Thanks

    April 30, 2008 08:02 pm at 8:02 pm |
  2. Tracy

    As he should.

    April 30, 2008 08:03 pm at 8:03 pm |
  3. two faced

    Will the real Barack Obama please stand up?

    April 30, 2008 08:03 pm at 8:03 pm |
  4. J.T.

    I believe that if Barack Obama would appeal directly to the youth of America on the decriminalization of Marijuana wether it be medical or recreational, he would win the presidency in a landslide. Marijuana is a widely consumed plant in this nation (not to mention, worldwide). When Washington starts to actually listen to the voices of America, then maybe American citzens will actually get involved in the political process on a more in depth scale. Lets stop the spending of millions of dollars to supress something that grows naturally from this earth. If we stoped wasting money prosecuting people for something that God saw fit to put upon this earth, then we could solve two problems; we could free that money being spent and put it to better causes and make America a more relaxed place. And lets face it, if marijuana was leagalized (decriminalized) the amount of recreational users that would come out of the closet would be staggering!! Americans stopped listening to Washington, when Washington stopped listening to the voices of America. I will be voting in Novemeber for the candidate that ,without strings attached publicly professes to lift the prohibition on Marijuana. The number of youth (under 30) that will follow suit will be recorded setting. It's time to stand up for ourselves.

    April 30, 2008 08:04 pm at 8:04 pm |
  5. Nuetral

    Did Hillary split the party, or did heavy weight Democrats like Ted Kennedy split the party by supporting Obama back when they knew Hillary was highly vying for the role?

    April 30, 2008 08:04 pm at 8:04 pm |
  6. AJ

    Why do people keep talking about "washington" experience like it's the only criteria to be President. Though experience is important, "Judgement "supercedes experience. Bush, Cheney, Rumsfeld, Powell (the only republican I would vote for) all had much "washington" experience, but thier "Judgement" on the Iraq War was wrong. Dr. King was 26 years old when he lead the Montgomery Bus Boycott, which lead to "CHANGE" or the Civil Rights Movement. Dr. King exercised "JUDGEMENT" moreso than experience. Obama exercised "JUDGEMENT" when facing potential political sucide early in his career by speaking against the War, the one Hillary authorize. Not to say Obama has no experience, because his spent time in the Illinois state and US Senate, as a community organizer, as a teacher of Law, etc. But more importantly, he has demostrated great "Judgement" to be President of the US! He has also shown a high-degree of poise while taking negative shots from Hillary, Mccain, Bill, Fox News, Republicans, even his former pastor. That is a crucial trait for a President. We all know Mccain lacks that trait.

    Obama 08

    April 30, 2008 08:06 pm at 8:06 pm |
  7. war monger

    Beware the war-monger in your midst.


    Did I say divisive?

    We were once a unified party. Then came the great uniter Obama.

    April 30, 2008 08:07 pm at 8:07 pm |
  8. Rich

    Cindy Murphy, Clinton stayed on the Michigan ballot so she could play your situation to her advantage. She agreed you wouldn't count. She is extremely hypocritical on this issue...especially when she claims Obama was somehow "afraid of a revote" or even working against it. The problem is, the demographic who support her are the one less likely to check the facts (I remember in one debate 60% of the people who didn't watch supported Clinton, it was 50-50% for those who only watched new commentary on the debate, and those who actually watched the debate were 60% in favor of Obama.....hmmmmm).

    April 30, 2008 08:08 pm at 8:08 pm |
  9. jeff

    Obama is still in the lead so, why worrry...Obama is the man he will prevail.

    April 30, 2008 08:08 pm at 8:08 pm |
  10. Patrick

    Can we trust the Fox news portion of the poll of polls when we know that Fox news is an admittedly partisan news source that favors Clinton only becuase they think Obama has a better chance of beating McCain? I would be interested in seeing the exact questions that Fox news asked and the exact sampling design of their poll. I would also be interested in seeing the poll of polls results broken out separately for Fox poll versus the other two polls. I suspect that the Fox poll shows Clinton and Obama closer than the other two polls (probably due to a strategically biased sampling method by Fox). My comments are unbiased in the sense that I do not know who I will vote for in my May 6 primary (Obama or Clinton). My only bias is that I know Fox to be a biased political machine not a news organization.

    April 30, 2008 08:08 pm at 8:08 pm |
  11. Go HRC

    President Hillary Clinton 2009

    April 30, 2008 08:08 pm at 8:08 pm |
  12. Andrew

    Wow. it's incredible the level of vitrol and hatred that Hilldog supporters have for Obama, and visa versa. I'm pretty sure that the perfect storm has manifested where against all odds and against any conceivable possibility . . . . John McCain will be the next President of the United States. Congrats, Demmies (dummies), this was your election to lose, and you have lost it before it started.

    April 30, 2008 08:09 pm at 8:09 pm |
  13. jt

    Obama, the END is near!!!

    Pastor Wright, REZKO, Ayers and Hamas all of these are not fully explore and if they are, he will surely crumble...

    Hillary is the stronger candidate!!!

    April 30, 2008 08:09 pm at 8:09 pm |
  14. Dave

    Cindy Murphy – The DNC didn't mistreat Michigan and Florida, your state representatives disregarded the rights of their constituents by moving up the primary dates – they knew the rules and the consequences. If anything, the DNC tried to uphold the concept of accountability for one's actions, a conservative quality missing from most political circles. As a voter, it is now your responsibility to hold your state representatives accountable for their actions by voting them out of office.

    As for Hillary, I lost all respect for her when she failed to walk out on Bill after his White House affair with Monica. This was not first-time affair, Bill's immoral activities were well-known in Arkansas for years and should have been no surprise to Hillary. She stood by Bill for political purposes, and I view that as a sign of weakness. A strong leader would have taken a stand and walked out.

    April 30, 2008 08:09 pm at 8:09 pm |
  15. John

    Just because Obama got some potholes filled in Chicago doesn't make him presidential material. He lacks foreign policy experience and we've all seen how Dubya did without it. Al Gore in 08

    April 30, 2008 08:09 pm at 8:09 pm |
  16. robert, new york

    I enjoy the watching Obama supporters grasping for straws now that the sharks are circling this lying charlatan. Especially comments espousing the ridiculous notion that "up-scale" and "educated" voters are behind Obama. Just look at the comments left on this very page and one is left in hysterics when reading the rants and blurbs of these geniuses. Thanks for the entertainment Obamabots. Goodbye Barack, Michelle and Rev. Wright (Three Blind Mice). Hillary '08(or McCain)

    April 30, 2008 08:10 pm at 8:10 pm |
  17. Al, CA

    I cannot vote for anybody guilty in Iraq war. They should not be in the race at all. Establishing a royal dinasty through sons or wifes is disaster anyway.

    Obama 2008

    April 30, 2008 08:10 pm at 8:10 pm |
  18. tara

    If Obama can weather Wright's unfortunate comments and Clinton's below the belt attacks, and all that happens is that he slips a few points in the polls, then he has shown incredible strength and resilience for the general election.

    Clinton needs a wake up call, she has already lost the nomination, and all she is doing at this point is damaging the democrats best chance to win back the White House.

    April 30, 2008 08:11 pm at 8:11 pm |
  19. PCS / North Carolina

    Paul wrote April 30th, 2008 5:28 pm ET

    "She has the popular vote, since Michigan and Florida are also part os the Union. They cannot be ignored by the DNC
    Hillary 08- YES SHE WILL!!! """


    YES WE CAN !!

    April 30, 2008 08:12 pm at 8:12 pm |
  20. reality check

    wow Clinton critics listen up. She is awesome and I am writing her on ballot in Nov. if she is not on the list. She took on O'Reilly and she rocked.

    April 30, 2008 08:12 pm at 8:12 pm |
  21. dEMOBRAT

    Oh, my goodness! And no matter what the Obama supporters say, it was his own doing. He created this demise for himself. Sorry Obama, but the Clinton supporters and Sen. Clinton saw this one coming.

    I find it funny that the Obama supporters are all asking Obama to become negative on Hillary now, something they once bragged that their candidate did not do. What a bunch of posers.

    Now is the time to be rally behind our democratic candidate...Sen. Hillary Clinton.

    She was born in Illinois, she spent summers in Pennsylvania, her late 30's in Arkansas and her early 40's in Washington D.C. After that she became a well respected Sen. from New York, working with both parties to bring about productive legislation for the people.

    She is a woman; an intelligent human being with flaws just like the rest of us, but she is ready to lead the country. She knows how to play the cruel and unusual games of politics which will help her win the General election, something she's been saying all along. Sometimes you've gotta lose some to win some. Her 'win' is taking the U.S. towards a better direction, a direction with a thriving economy, just like in the 90's. If anyone has a problem with that must be crazy.

    The ideals are wonderful, but one has to put those ideals to practical use. Give her the chance to do so.
    Clinton 2008

    April 30, 2008 08:12 pm at 8:12 pm |
  22. Pam from Canada

    You people need to get a life.

    1. Clinton's are LIARS. You would rather believe a liar.

    2. Obama did not throw his reverend under the bus until the national press conference. Which I believe was a very honorable thing to do.

    3. I am so sick of hearing people say why did he not leave the church before. I see my pastor for maybe once a week and I still do not know him well. And why should I be persecuted for what someone else says or believes in.

    4. You all need to grow up and realize that this is just an election and I asure you that this is all political.

    5. If you do not vote for Barack is it because you are prejudice. In Canada white black and yellow are equal in God's eyes.

    6. Barack Obama has to be better than another Republican.

    April 30, 2008 08:12 pm at 8:12 pm |
  23. Obama

    CNN is biased on their reporting.. what about Hillary quoting "americans are stupid" Today in south bend?? What about that? Only the bad on Obama I get it... Grow up CNN

    April 30, 2008 08:13 pm at 8:13 pm |
  24. Bill

    Obama has been getting it from several directions at once. Curiously BOTH Hill and McCain have been attacking him from the Right and now he has to deal with his egotistical whack job former pastor. None of that changes the fact that he is the best qualified to be our president. The right president is critical to the direction of this country and the world as we continue with our global competition with China AND try to minimize the effects of global warming AND defeat global terrorism. All our futuresand our childrens' and grandchildrens' futures are at stake now. We NEED Obama!!!

    Hillary is unelectable. She and her husband have permanently alienated the African American vote and Carville's attack on Richardson may have hurt them with Latinos. Snipergate has destroyed her credibility as CIC. No one in the military not beholden to the Clintons would want her answering that 3 AM phone call..

    McCain has become the candidate of change. Yes, he has changed his position on tax cuts for the wealthy, immigration, torture, and now, apparently, on fair and honest campaigning. He has bought into the Karl Rove playbook. That is not change I can believe in. Obama '08!

    April 30, 2008 08:13 pm at 8:13 pm |
  25. jt

    The media is on Obama's side BUT this is beyond help.

    Obama is over... I am afraid the Pastor might say, when I said all these things he now found ofensive, he was there when I was preaching it.

    Obama is over.

    Hillary 08!!!

    April 30, 2008 08:13 pm at 8:13 pm |
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