May 1st, 2008
06:52 AM ET
14 years ago

Poll of polls: Obama losing ground

[cnn-photo-caption image= caption=" Obama now leads Clinton by 1 point nationally."]

(CNN) - The Democratic presidential race is tightening nationally, according to a new CNN average of several recent polls.

Obama's lead is now down to 1 point over Clinton nationwide, 45 percent to 44 percent, in CNN's "poll of polls." That margin is down 3 points from another CNN poll of polls conducted two days ago. In that analysis, Obama led Clinton 47 percent to 43 percent. The margin is also considerably lower than an April 18 poll of polls that showed Obama with an 11 point lead.

The poll of polls consists of three newly released national polls from Fox News/Opinion Dynamics, Gallup, and Newsweek. There is no margin of error on the poll of polls.

Both the Fox News poll and the Gallup poll were conducted partially after Obama's former pastor, the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, made a fresh round of controversial comments earlier this week.

The Fox News poll also appears to show Obama no longer has an edge over Clinton among independent voters. In head-to-head match ups, presumptive Republican nominee John McCain wins independents by a 4 point margin over Clinton (42-38 percent) and by a 10 points over Obama (47 percent to 37 percent).

Filed under: Poll of polls
soundoff (1,279 Responses)
  1. JD

    I would expect this, Obama should have dropped his Pastor as soon as he heard the hateful rants, I am sure that the rants aren't new. Honestly, I am so happy that we have hillary clinton in the race still and that she hasn't dropped like so many wanted her to. She is what America needs, she is the most electable, all her baggage is out on the table, Obama, we aren't quite sure of yet.

    April 30, 2008 08:13 pm at 8:13 pm |
  2. BL


    April 30, 2008 08:13 pm at 8:13 pm |
  3. Donald

    superdelegates listen up
    Hillary can beat McCain
    Obama can't beat McCcain
    Reagan for eight years, G H W Bush four years, G W Bush eight years
    twenty years of Reganology (the rich getting richer and the poor getting poorer)
    I don't know about anybody else but I think having Reagan Sr., Reagan Jr., and Reagan the III for twenty years is more than enough I don't want Reagan the IV
    A yes to Hillary is a no to McCain
    A yes to Obama is yes to McCain

    April 30, 2008 08:14 pm at 8:14 pm |
  4. Kathy

    There is hope for the Clinton Campaign and supporters for a win. She will do it as she is a fighter and the real deal. We don't know who Obama really is and what he believes in, but we know Hillary has the solutions.
    The polls will get better for her this week and the elections next Tuesday will be great.

    April 30, 2008 08:15 pm at 8:15 pm |
  5. stella

    Obama is what this country needs. It is sad to see Hillary sneak ahead not because she is better but because of the words of a hater. Obama is right about the gas tax holiday. Do the math...over 3 months you will save enough to get a free tank of gas!!! Hillary and McBush want you to have extra for summer vacation...HA!! Enjoy your trip down the interstate...hope you have enough "EXTRA" money to get back home!

    April 30, 2008 08:15 pm at 8:15 pm |
  6. Anonymous

    I am from the UNITED KINGDOM
    I have been watching this election and i just feel like even America can `t be a good democratic COUNTRY .then they go around to bully all the poor countries about democratic election.
    so what about CNN? YOU BETTER FIX YOURSELF RIGHT NOW because you are just dismissing yourself as a "big" news channel

    April 30, 2008 08:15 pm at 8:15 pm |
  7. Rosie

    It is sad to say, but at the end of the day Obama played the Washington book, that one that he has so much critized during his campaign. Obama ran to distant himself from a man who had something more important to say to America, and that man made him look small when he talked so yes, it can be said that Wright cut Obama's wing with 30 years of service and theology scholarship.

    April 30, 2008 08:15 pm at 8:15 pm |
  8. AJ

    One more thing, why do people feel it's Obama's fault Michigan and Florida moved up thier primary date, therefore resulting in votes not counting? Shouldn't those voters be attacking the persons who made that decision? Imagine if Hillary took the nomination after Super Tuesday, do you think she would be worried about Michigan's and Florida's votes? She only cares b/c what difference does it make, she has nothing to lose and everything to gain. Obama said he would re-visit the Michigan and Florida votes, so long as it's fair and balanced and within the appropriate laws and regulations within the DNC. Right now, he has to focus on the States that "are" following the DNC rules.

    April 30, 2008 08:15 pm at 8:15 pm |
  9. Paul in Nebraska

    Obama knows that Hilary is going to throw everything but the kitchen sink at him. But he's ignoring her on purpose. He doesn't need to get in a dirty fight with her.

    He's just biding his time until she wises up and quits so he can spend his energy on his REAL opponent.

    Polls are always skewed and unreliable. I'll take my experience at the caucus a few months back as proof of how the campaign is doing. Obama won that thing 75% to 25%.

    Obama won twice as many states as Hillary. If the superdelegates choose her over him, I'll never be a Democrat again!!!!!!!

    April 30, 2008 08:15 pm at 8:15 pm |
  10. MCD

    "Clinton-Linked Group Behind Deceptive North Carolina Phone Calls To Black Neighborhoods" according to various news sources who I won't link because you will then not post this. Just google it olks – no big shocker here.

    where is this story at cnn?

    April 30, 2008 08:15 pm at 8:15 pm |
  11. Sean McM

    He is NOT Presidential, no matter how you cut it!

    Only Clinton has the record AND THE FORTITUDE to survive the Republican onslaught......

    VOTE CLINTON....she is for Americans!

    April 30, 2008 08:16 pm at 8:16 pm |
  12. John Smith

    How realistic can we get!!

    Why has Hillary not been dragged to the press to explain

    1. The actual Bosnia event. We still need the truth from her

    2. The NAFTA deal by Bill, and the gains they are now making from those past deals ($109 million)?

    3. Why she is still married to an ex-president who was impeached in this nation (lots of sexual scandals).

    and the list goes on

    April 30, 2008 08:16 pm at 8:16 pm |
  13. Staci Martin

    What this country needs is another Franklin D. Roosevelt and another Civilian Conservation Corp that would take care of our aging infrastructure, our National Park,s give people job experience, and stimulate the economy!

    Want to know what I'm doing with my rebate check? I'm paying my 2007 taxes! My husband and I make 65K a year, we don't own a house and responsibly have one guess what...we have few deductions and while we can't buy a house, we have to pay a over 6K in taxes.

    I might just vote Ron Paul.

    April 30, 2008 08:16 pm at 8:16 pm |
  14. Cindy Valentine

    I intended to say this yesterday but I did not get to it. I believe that if Rev. Wright were a true Christian that he would close his mouth and stop trying to ruin Obama's chances of being elected. He seems to want the spotlight and that is not what a real Christian would do in a situation like this. Arguing back and forth is not what he should be doing. He is supposed to be a Minister. He is acting like he is running for office.
    Cindy Valentine
    Newport, Tennessee

    April 30, 2008 08:16 pm at 8:16 pm |
  15. jeremy

    From Barack to Jeremiah/ and Hillary is to Farrahkan. If this is what our democratic party is going to be decided by then shame on us. Have we forgot about unity! Our Country is forgetting what America Needs! Like Barack said he is not going to be a perfect president, heck everyone of them had flaws. But he is going to be our best option we have. This stuff over remarks is bolony. Economy, War, gas prices, our sons, daughters, and our grandchildren's future is what a good reason is to choose a president. We cant afford another 4 years of us going in a downward spiral with the republicans. REMEMBER UNITED WE STAND NOT "DIVIDED WE FALL"....OBAMA 08...

    April 30, 2008 08:17 pm at 8:17 pm |
  16. doplh77

    I think Obama is our Nation's brightest hope and the moron Rev. Wright should have no bearing in peoples mind about his presedential bid. I hope and pray that people aren't so stupid to see we need a change in philosphy in this country. I beg for people to ask themselves this question, can you in good conscience vote for McCain or Clinton? We have the power to bring about hope for the future of this great country. We can't afford to blow this one.

    April 30, 2008 08:17 pm at 8:17 pm |
  17. evelyn

    Fox news is the most baised news network in the world

    April 30, 2008 08:18 pm at 8:18 pm |
  18. Darren

    Obama has now have to deal with what Rev Wright has been saying. People said earlier, he needed to distance himself (from Rev Wright) and he only held him at arms lenght. What the American Voters want to know, is this what Reverend Wright has spoken in the last 20 years. If so, why did he not try to distance him when he got into politics. This damage to his campaign cannot be because he did not know Reverend Wright's views. Only now, when it is damaging his polictical endevors is it time to remove himself from Rev. Wright.

    April 30, 2008 08:18 pm at 8:18 pm |
  19. yy


    April 30, 2008 08:18 pm at 8:18 pm |
  20. Angela

    I am glad to see that America is paying attention and that we have a good chance now of making a better choice for President. We cannot afford taking a chance on someone who has bad judgement at such a critical time in our history.
    We can elect freshness and change when this country is in better shape.
    Right now we need more than that. We need a fighter who has experience and that would have to be Hillary.
    Go Hillary!!!

    April 30, 2008 08:19 pm at 8:19 pm |
  21. Jerry in Florida

    What did you expect? Senator Obama’s Teflon is wearing thinner and thinner every day. American voters are waking up to the realities surrounding Senator Obama. Soon he and his campaign will not be able to put a spin on all the questions that have come up and will continue to come up. Though I am sometimes ashamed at the tone that the Presidential campaign has taken, there are always issues that need to be addressed.

    It's good to see that some in the media (Lou Dobbs, Sean Hannity, and a few others) are finally starting to ask the right questions and are not being satisfied with the spin put on by Senator Obama and his supporters.

    The big question is: How come the National Democratic Party has been missing in action. Until three weeks or so ago, they seemed (somewhat indiscreetly) to favor Senator Obama over Senator Clinton. What will Mr. Dean and his cohorts say and do now?

    Stay tuned!

    April 30, 2008 08:19 pm at 8:19 pm |
  22. rita

    Please all of you who have children ages 18 to 30 think before you vote for president. We need a president of peace, not war. Our Military is stretched to its limits. Not to many are joining the military. If we stay in Irac, or move on to Iran, or as Hillary Clinton said, go after anyone who hurts Israel, where do we get the men and women to fight. There will have to be a draft. I am a mother of 4 children in this age group, that is why I am voting OBAMA. We need a man of peace. One who will talk, and try to work things out, not one who will blindly lead us into the kinds of mess we are in today. We have put up with a war president for 8 years, it is time for a peace president. OBAMA 08

    April 30, 2008 08:19 pm at 8:19 pm |
  23. Ben

    Hillary Clinton's name has been spoilt, for which we hate her so much, because she fought with lots of people in power and the media to get us what we got through many legislations.
    We listened to all those powerful and articulate people and have come to hate her so far. Just ask one question to yourself, has she really done anything bad to you that you hate her so much. On the contrary she keeps on fighting constantly because she wants to take up a job which wil hardly let her sleep, so that she can do more for us. She is a workhorse, and we need that in a President.
    So, open up your hearts and eyes, and don't let the media take us all for a ride again!
    (doubt it'll be put up in the comments )

    April 30, 2008 08:20 pm at 8:20 pm |
  24. Tammy

    My mind hasn't changed despite CNN's "poll of polls". I will still vote for Obama and will NOT vote for Clinton. People should make their minds up based on FACTS – NOT INUENDOS THROWN OUT THERE BY THE PRESS.

    April 30, 2008 08:20 pm at 8:20 pm |
  25. Indiana voter for obama

    More biased comments by the biased media...why arent we surprised??

    Obama '08

    Obama: more votes, more delegates, more states.

    So why do the biased media outlets portray hillary as having a chance when it's statistically impossible-bar a total collapse by obama whi is highly unlikely?

    Time to step aside Ms. Clinton. America has made it's choice for change- Barack Obama.

    April 30, 2008 08:20 pm at 8:20 pm |
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