May 1st, 2008
06:52 AM ET
14 years ago

Poll of polls: Obama losing ground

[cnn-photo-caption image= caption=" Obama now leads Clinton by 1 point nationally."]

(CNN) - The Democratic presidential race is tightening nationally, according to a new CNN average of several recent polls.

Obama's lead is now down to 1 point over Clinton nationwide, 45 percent to 44 percent, in CNN's "poll of polls." That margin is down 3 points from another CNN poll of polls conducted two days ago. In that analysis, Obama led Clinton 47 percent to 43 percent. The margin is also considerably lower than an April 18 poll of polls that showed Obama with an 11 point lead.

The poll of polls consists of three newly released national polls from Fox News/Opinion Dynamics, Gallup, and Newsweek. There is no margin of error on the poll of polls.

Both the Fox News poll and the Gallup poll were conducted partially after Obama's former pastor, the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, made a fresh round of controversial comments earlier this week.

The Fox News poll also appears to show Obama no longer has an edge over Clinton among independent voters. In head-to-head match ups, presumptive Republican nominee John McCain wins independents by a 4 point margin over Clinton (42-38 percent) and by a 10 points over Obama (47 percent to 37 percent).

Filed under: Poll of polls
soundoff (1,279 Responses)
  1. mitch from ark.

    obama's being attacked from all sides,yet he has maintained his message,his integrity,and he will maintain his base.those of you who hope you will change our minds,just remember,we've invested over 260 million dollars,into our candidate,and we're not going anywhere.your outright lies and dirty politics will not dissuade us from supporting the only candidate to offer something to the american people.hillary's behind and can't catch up.get over it,and stop destroying the party hillary.

    April 30, 2008 08:21 pm at 8:21 pm |
  2. Indiana voter for obama

    Another "dewey beats truman" headline sounds like to me lol

    April 30, 2008 08:22 pm at 8:22 pm |
  3. survivor

    To all Dems. To win GE McCain 's tatic is playing down Obama because they would know for sure that they can easily beat Hillary. They have nearly same Iraq view, same power from Washington. The difference are they are better Clinton of playing dirty and do not have issue of running under fire in Bosnia.
    McCain + Hillary > Obama. Then McCain> Hillary. It s a basic of game for survivors.

    April 30, 2008 08:23 pm at 8:23 pm |
  4. Just Miss

    You know what I am over Rev Wright. The guy is an idiot and extremely out of touch. As for Obama, I still think he could make a great president. Definitely, a better one than Senator Clinton. We will see. I know i won't vote for Clinton. Maybe McCain, but not Clinton.

    April 30, 2008 08:25 pm at 8:25 pm |
  5. Larry from LA

    FoxNews has zero credibility and is controled by them. The want Hillary to win the nomination.

    April 30, 2008 08:26 pm at 8:26 pm |
  6. ken

    295 DELEGATES TO GO SEN Obama-DEM Nominee.

    Steady Drip, DRIP, DRIP with Superdelegates.

    Obama 12 this week Hillbill 6.

    April 30, 2008 08:26 pm at 8:26 pm |
  7. Go Indiana

    Obama will prevail.

    April 30, 2008 08:26 pm at 8:26 pm |
  8. Joe Schmo

    GO HILLARY!!!!!!! 2008!

    April 30, 2008 08:27 pm at 8:27 pm |
  9. Geesh..

    I saw a article today saying that Hillary in all chances cannot win. She is not ahead in popular vote according to the DNC rules so they cannot count that she is ahead in popular vote.

    She cannot by the rules of DNC cannot count any votes in Michigan or Florida because by the Rules DNC have not counted them and the Superdelegates will not count them because "its against the rules"

    The superdelegates will pick the one w ith the most delegates because they will not vote against all the people who have voted for Obama who does have the popular vote.

    Under Hillary Rules, Clinton throws out the “votes by the people who have voted” in the states of Iowa, Nevada, Maine and Washington, because those were caucus states, where popular vote tallies were not officially kept and where, by the way, Obama won three out of the four contests.

    Under Hillary Rules, Clinton gets to choose the contests that help her, throw out the contests that do not and declare herself the winner.

    Steve Kornacki of The New York Observer did an excellent, detailed story last week on Clinton and the popular vote, going through a number of different scenarios and projections for the contests that remain.

    His conclusion: “The point is that under the most basic and probably the fairest criteria — simply counting every state and U.S. possession where there was a legitimate primary or a caucus where popular votes were tallied — Obama will finish the primary season hundreds of thousands of votes ahead of Clinton.”

    Even if worse case, she wins a little over Obama on the rest of the primaries she will not win the most delegates or popular vote. Period end of story. They stated its just a fantasy.

    Hillary is playing by "HER RULES" not the DNC rules. Saying that she has the popular vote is by HER RULES not DNC rules and it wont count. It is also called Lying which she is sooo very good at.

    OH I forgot this is anti hillary guess CNN wont allow it will they?

    April 30, 2008 08:27 pm at 8:27 pm |
  10. FD Owen

    Finally, the American people see what has been apparent for months. Mr. Obama does not have the experience to be the President in the upcoming toogh years that we face as a nation. If he is this upset about the scrutiny that he has received in the past few days, can you imagaine how he would react as the President? Hillary will win because she is the most qualified candidate, MCCain is to old & he also is in remission from cancer & Obama is not even close to being prepared. GO HILLARY, 2008 WILL BE GREAT!

    April 30, 2008 08:27 pm at 8:27 pm |
  11. Tee

    I am very saddened by the way the media has exploited Rev. Wright, and even more ashamed that they have chosen to seed doubt in the voters mind, by suggesting that Rev. Wright has anything to do with Obama, what he stands, and what he intends to do for this country. Regardless of what anyone white or black says, Rev. Wright said nothing that was not true. And just to make it his points even more valid, the man provided literature, experience, and references to back up his statements. The media continues to talk about how long he will keep flapping his mouth, well, how long has the media exploited this man based on sound bites of most likely a 1 hr sermon (black churches tend to have church for at least 2hrs). My question is, when is the media going to shut its trap and get back to the discussing the issues. Wright is attacking back because he was exploited due to one of his members running for president. Now, the republicans have gone so far as to run these Wright ads against other democrats in there state that support Obama – these other democrats who have not even layed eyes on Wright. The only mistake Wright did was thinking that the majority of the US of A is ready for the truth about itself – even when the man provided not one, but multiple references to back up his arguments. All of you who disagree, where's your documentation. This is nothing but ploy to deter the first African American man to run from winning the nomination. This issue of race has never come up in a presidental race, although it stills is a huge issue in this country. Obama has had to face this and address this, but the same is not expected of McCain and Clinton? Have they forgotten the issues of race in this country? It is not going to disappear just because they feel it doesn't exist. Obama will not win, because the "white" people in this country will never let him- they are too busy trying to make him the twin of Rev. Wright!

    April 30, 2008 08:28 pm at 8:28 pm |
  12. Maxwell

    I openned the website, and the question in bold letters is: "'Can Obama Close the Wright Door?"

    I say "Yes!!" Not only can he, and he has indeed closed the door. This door is only open at CNN and in the minds of its reporters and newscasters who derive a lot of pleasure in flogging a deadhorse and making a man and his campaign pay for the words, a less than thirty second soundbite, of someone else. What about the misspeaking about Bosnia? What about the nonexisting patient that was turned away from the emergency room? Actual words that are untrue that came from the someone's mouth. Those have been laid to rest long time ago.

    CNN and Co. are acting like paid hacks, not impartial observers and reporters of the news. CNN must let this door close and let these campaigns proceed on even and impartial turf.

    April 30, 2008 08:28 pm at 8:28 pm |
  13. Tupac

    So sick of Clinton supporters wanting to count MI and FL after the fact. 1st, they broke the DNC rules so suffer the consequences.

    2nd, Obama has has proven he can cut her pre-primary BIG leads in all states; for example PA went from 20+ to 10 in 6 weeks. So, why should MI and FL count when the only reason she took the states is because of the Clinton brand name.

    3rd, people that think that she's any more electable then Obama are delusional. The Clinton's are as divisive as Bush, as far as Republicans are concerned.

    April 30, 2008 08:28 pm at 8:28 pm |
  14. Jack, Chapel Hill, NC

    As an Obama supporter, I am sick of hearing Clinton supporters stating how "experienced" Hillary Clinton is. C'mon, talk about the real issues!

    April 30, 2008 08:28 pm at 8:28 pm |
  15. Spirit of America

    Obama is not only sinking. He is sunk. Thank God and Rev. Wright.

    April 30, 2008 08:28 pm at 8:28 pm |
  16. jer

    Democrats if you can't vote for the black Obama; as my friend said I am voting for the white Obama.

    April 30, 2008 08:29 pm at 8:29 pm |
  17. Chris in Texas

    You said the magic words, 'FOX NEWS NETWORK'

    This report has just lost all credibility with me and everyone else for that matter! Let's not forget that it was the illegitimate news network's 'errors' in 2000 that helped Bush steal his first term as President.

    Plus, what kind of 'scientific poll' DOESN'T have a margin of error?

    Obama 2008!!!

    April 30, 2008 08:29 pm at 8:29 pm |
  18. Dean

    If the Clintons are successful in tossing enough slime at Obama and manage to steal the nomination from him, I hope he will run as an independent and save the country from a choice between a habitual liar and a military apologist.

    Sen. Obama tried to take the high road, but that doesn't work when the Clintons take the low road. And they know the low road so well because they've traveled it throughout their careers.

    If he's denied the nomination by backroom deals, I hope he runs as an independent.

    April 30, 2008 08:29 pm at 8:29 pm |
  19. CB

    Hill you had me until you became so divisive and ugly that's just a little too much like GWB. I am voting for the person who has not stooped to the low lows. Hill's has a wild imagination and she is not always truthful, that's scary. As far as Rev. Wright is concerned I am not so narrow minded to hook him to Barack's hip, God knows I would not want to be judge by my pastor's words for the simple fact I can barely understand him most of the time, but he feeds the hungry and clothe the poor so therefore I support the church financially and volunteer my time in the kitchen and laundryroom.

    CB in the midwest

    April 30, 2008 08:29 pm at 8:29 pm |
  20. annie clark

    wow...obama is a great man.Lou dobbs is a man that hates obama with everything that's inside of him.what I don't understand is when dobbs was upset with obama about his misspoke.....did I said misspoke about the imagration: he had the nerves to invite 0bama on his show to discuss the issue. why would you invite someone on your show that you just completely HATE? I wonder how many of his closiest friends think that he do need to slow down: because deep down inside they like obama just a little.....while he is dying for Hillary to win.SORRY I misspoke: for the superdelicates to choose her for the democratic primary .

    April 30, 2008 08:29 pm at 8:29 pm |
  21. donna4hillary

    0you know i have to tell you that i am very confused. according to ALL the bloggers her and there and EVERYWHERE, obama may as well just drop out because of wright and other reasons. but according to ALL the polls and news networks and newpapers and well according to the media, it doesnt matter that obama MAY be of the same mind of wright or ayers or rezco, he IS going to to be the canbdidate and there is no buts about it. so who is right? the bloggers or the media?

    April 30, 2008 08:29 pm at 8:29 pm |
  22. James

    Michigan voters should blame your local politicians for breaking the rules. They were warned you can't blame Obama or the DNC when your state officals run for office again elect them out to show the next group that you will not be ignored again.

    April 30, 2008 08:30 pm at 8:30 pm |
  23. Anonymous

    I believe Sen. Obama's drop in the polls can be attributed to the negative comments that have come from his former pastor and the negative attacks that have come forth from his Democratic opponent and her campaign. Not withstanding, I understand that one may think all is "fair" while running for public office, but for the american public to be so naive to embrace the negative remarks as Sen. Obama's way of thinking is ludicrous. The Sen. from Illinois started his campaign with a vison of running a "NON-NEGATIVE" race, and for some odd reason, he or his campaign manager have inadvertently lost sight and reverted back to the "POLITICS AS USUAL" syndrome. I am a blue collar worker who was leaning toward voting Repuplican if the Democrats didn't present a "VIABLE" candidate. Listening to Sen. Obama's vision of "CHANGE" swayed my decision to support and vote from the Democratic platform. It is my hope, that Sen. Obama continues to "STAY FOCUSED" on his original platform of "CHANGE", address the main issues that concern the american people (high gas prices, health care, the economy,immigration , the war in Iraq,etc). The questions the media have presented to the Obama camp have to addressed but in a sensitive, sincere, respectful and "TRUTHFUL" way. Hopefully the American public can see the negative attacks for what they really are, "DIVERSIONS", and vote for the candidate who they think can best "RESTORE" the dignity and respect the United States has lost among the International community.

    April 30, 2008 08:30 pm at 8:30 pm |
  24. kate, NM

    Does not matter. Democrats fate is sealed already as he is the nominee.

    April 30, 2008 08:31 pm at 8:31 pm |
  25. marlene

    You, the media, need to stop giving Wright airtime as well as being the subject of your commentary. The only way it'll "go away"" is for you to stop showering attention on him. Shame on you - he's not running for anything yet you devote considerable time to him in your election and politics segments. Obama has divorced himself from Wright - now it's your turn.

    April 30, 2008 08:31 pm at 8:31 pm |
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