May 1st, 2008
06:52 AM ET
14 years ago

Poll of polls: Obama losing ground

[cnn-photo-caption image= caption=" Obama now leads Clinton by 1 point nationally."]

(CNN) - The Democratic presidential race is tightening nationally, according to a new CNN average of several recent polls.

Obama's lead is now down to 1 point over Clinton nationwide, 45 percent to 44 percent, in CNN's "poll of polls." That margin is down 3 points from another CNN poll of polls conducted two days ago. In that analysis, Obama led Clinton 47 percent to 43 percent. The margin is also considerably lower than an April 18 poll of polls that showed Obama with an 11 point lead.

The poll of polls consists of three newly released national polls from Fox News/Opinion Dynamics, Gallup, and Newsweek. There is no margin of error on the poll of polls.

Both the Fox News poll and the Gallup poll were conducted partially after Obama's former pastor, the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, made a fresh round of controversial comments earlier this week.

The Fox News poll also appears to show Obama no longer has an edge over Clinton among independent voters. In head-to-head match ups, presumptive Republican nominee John McCain wins independents by a 4 point margin over Clinton (42-38 percent) and by a 10 points over Obama (47 percent to 37 percent).

Filed under: Poll of polls
soundoff (1,279 Responses)
  1. Tony

    I can't even stomach these idiotic polls of polls anymore. Whatever. Guys - and this is coming from a staunch Obama supporter - McCain will be our next president. The infighting among Democrats has utterly screwed us. The party does not have a shot at the White House this year. We're done. It's over. We might as well concede.

    April 30, 2008 08:52 pm at 8:52 pm |
  2. Andy, N.C.

    Cindy Murphy April 30th, 2008 6:16 pm ET

    I really don't feel comfortable with Sen.Obama. No candidate or potential candidate abandons their citizens in time of crisis which a lot Michigan voters felt like he did when he and other Dem. candidates withdrew from the Mi. primary especially in time of state crisis. I pray Jesus can intervene in this election process. Who can we trust any more. Thank You Sen. Clinton for staying on our ballots. The DNC and The Dems. should of worked with our citizens on dealing with the crisis. Michigan has the highest unemployment in the nation. I don't trust The Democrats after the way our citizens were treated by the DNC and those who withdrew from the primary. Lord we need direction. Help.
    Cindy, my uninformed friend, Obama did not "abandon" anyone. He pulled out from the ballot ater the DNC declared that those states were disqualified because they held their primaries ahead of when they were supposed to. If Hillary was a good politician, she would have pulled out too with all the others. Obama was simply following the rules. You should not blame Obama... blame the people running the elections in those states, they screwed up!

    April 30, 2008 08:53 pm at 8:53 pm |
  3. Stephen Weiss

    Congratulations Barack, your wonderful Pastor Wright has just cost you the Democratic Nomination for President! I think you should have denounced him a long time ago. Bye-bye, Barack!

    April 30, 2008 08:53 pm at 8:53 pm |
  4. Steve E


    April 30, 2008 08:54 pm at 8:54 pm |
  5. Danny Blake

    Bunch of lemmings on this site.
    Obama is America's best hope.

    April 30, 2008 08:54 pm at 8:54 pm |
  6. Richard

    Over the last several months the candidacy of Barack Obama has been under attack from both the Clinton and McGain campaigns for his relationship with his previous friend and pastor the Rev. Jeremiah Wright. This whole nasty thing came to a head Tuesday when Senator Obama stepped up and said "enough" and pulled the plug on their twenty year relationship.

    Watching Rev. Wright as he spoke at the Washington Press Club on Monday, I experienced fear as his words and demeanor penetrated my inner being. I had begun to experience that sinking feeling that you get when there is something special that you really,really want in your life, but you're afaid to HOPE. You are afraid to hope.because somewhere in the recesses of your subconscious you felt like everything needed to be perfect—which comes from being raised to believe and understand that you were going to need to be "twice as good" if you were going to succeed in this society. After all, Barack Obama is a man of color who will need to appeal to a cross-section of American society.

    Senator Obama's political acendancy, or should I say, transcendancy captivated and energized me. I didn't feel as if there was a conspiracy against him, but I did become fearful that the polorizing forces—both black and white—of fear tand hate—that has been the norm in politics over the last 8 years had begun to jepordize the spirit of renewal and change offered through his candidacy.

    Somewhere in my fear filled consciousness I realized that if Senator Obama really, really wants to lead this country then he is going to have to fight for it. He's going to need to prove to this country that he wants it. And while this election is a "contact" sport as former President Clinton describes it, he's going to need to demonstrate he can play. He doesn't have to use the "Carl Rove" style of politics being utilized by the Clinton and McGain camps, but he does need to implement a discernable style that reinvigorates the power of the idea and the people that he's captivated and caused to participate.

    We must not hold our heads down. We cannot be so fragile that we let this genuine idea of meaningful change slip away from us. Thank you Rev. Wright, Hillary Clinton, and supporters of John McGain for waking us up. Thank you for reminding us that "we have nothing to fear, but fear itself."

    April 30, 2008 08:54 pm at 8:54 pm |
  7. doll2

    I have listened to Rev. Wright on Bill Moyers, The Press Club, and Detroit. The only thing I mayhave doubt about is the aids virus, but who would have thought our government would have done the syphillis study. And what he said was absolute spot on. He was not only talking about black people, he was talking about everybody that is treated differently. You want the truth, as the movie states you cain't handle the truth, or you want to kill the messenger. We have killed many innocent people, but when it happens to us, we holler like a stuck pig. 9-11 was horrible, but some people deal with this everyday. Do they deserve it. And Mr. Obama, may regret what he has done, just to gain a few votes. Tell me a lot about his character. I didn't care for him before, this helped me make up my mind.

    April 30, 2008 08:54 pm at 8:54 pm |
  8. BB

    You know what I have always looked forward to voting but this year I wonder if I actually will vote. Seeing both candidates in the democratic party and how things are going I at this time hope everyone realizes whats going on and votes for McCain.

    April 30, 2008 08:55 pm at 8:55 pm |
  9. RuralWoman

    One of the reasons Obama (or whoever the next frontrunner is) is losing ground is because CNN cycles over and over again every negative comment made by Rev. Wright (or the next frontrunner's Rev. Wright) 24-7. I used to look at CNN as a good news source. The focus now is on the flash. No thoughtful approach. How sad.

    April 30, 2008 08:55 pm at 8:55 pm |
  10. KD

    It is about time -now we are finally finding out what he is all about.
    Change to what?????????

    April 30, 2008 08:56 pm at 8:56 pm |
  11. Old Soldier

    This old soldier believes that Sen Clinton is our best hope for winning the election. Sen. Obama have not been tested and he fell the my fellow military comrades by not even showing up for the NATO meeting that he chaired!

    Every member of the armed forces knows that NATO is instrimental to not only our security but also our allies. Mr Obama, quit please talking about action and just do it..

    Just an old soldier thoughts

    April 30, 2008 08:57 pm at 8:57 pm |
  12. J Simmarano

    I am absolutely outraged at the amount of air time that the media is giving to Rev. Wright. it is obvious that this man of "religion" is trying to sabottage the Obama campaign. I am a white/female and am voting for Barack Obama. I feel he is a breath of fresh air I always look forward to his speches which are inspirational. Rev. Wright shame on you and shame on the media for continuing to allow you air time. There are enough issues affecting the American people such food on the table, how to get to work to that food and working to pay for our outrageos insurance premiums.

    April 30, 2008 08:57 pm at 8:57 pm |
  13. Andy Henry

    Tell us what the polls show after Senator Obama denounced Rev Wright.

    April 30, 2008 08:57 pm at 8:57 pm |
  14. Brandon Hayes

    Why does not the media call Hillary out on her statment that Wright would have not been her pastor, When in fact Wright was at thee house invited by Clintton, who gave him a letter of thanks for Wrights prayers and concern during the Clinton crisis named it for yourself!!! The media has a shorter attention span than my 2 year old, Orthey are biased!

    April 30, 2008 08:57 pm at 8:57 pm |
  15. DAN

    Polls of polls is just spin for your candidate, there is only one poll and that is the superdeleges what do they think, It's all up to them and mabe some are ready to take a chance on Obama and then wait 4 years or they can win with Hillary in Nov. the math is simple here.

    April 30, 2008 08:58 pm at 8:58 pm |
  16. Dee

    So how long will it take Obama to decide what statements he will issue when he is president? It took him over 20 years to denounce Wright and only because his lead is now dwindling. Just a couple of months ago, he wouldn't denounce him because it would be like denouncing his grandmother. Wright's statements this week and from sermons years ago don't sound any different. Obama is not another Lincoln because he would have agreed to a Lincoln-Douglas debate Clinton suggested if he were like Lincoln. Obama wants to play it safe and not be put on the spot. He shines only in formal speeches. He fails miserably when he is in a debate or when he is put on the spot by a reporter - that is why he is avoiding these situations as much as possible. Wake up folks! This man is in the midst of a cheap movie plot – how to fool the American people and buy your way to the top with not a shred of guts but still wanting all of the glory.

    April 30, 2008 08:58 pm at 8:58 pm |
  17. Joy from Arkansas

    Polls do nothing more than sway the weak of mind. I hope the people in our great country will rise above the negative energy coming from the Clinton campaign and chose a candidate of character, one not driven by blind ambition. I'm ashamed of the ugliness this primary has brought out in people. I'm ashamed of the candidates that encourage it. I see Barack Obama as a peace maker. . .something we need as a nation of people with so many different views and backgrounds. I'm a white grandma who admires Barack Obama and the values that I have seen him living out everyday of his campaign. I don't see a black man. I see a good man.

    April 30, 2008 08:59 pm at 8:59 pm |
  18. Rebecca

    People are finally waking up and seeing how weak and inexperienced of a leader Obama really is. You can only run a campaign on change and hope for so long and his compaign is loosing steam and will never make it to the end of a general election. Even some of Obama's supporters have urged him to put more substance in his campaign speeches. Independents are leaning Republican towards John McCain as they have in the past and some independents are realizing that Clinton isn't so bad after all. Everybody else just needs to wake up and smell the roses.

    April 30, 2008 08:59 pm at 8:59 pm |
  19. Steven

    Once again, the media has taken the mind of America and divised a plan to tear down change. One way to persuade the african americans is by bringing in Christianity. We as african americans love church and once we feel like someone has gone againist what we so proudly hold close to us and that is the church, we become aphrensive. If the media would have played the whole sermon that Pastor Wright preached from the very beginning would have cleared all of this up but once again, the media only chooses to show only what they want to. How can we be a nation ready to embrace change but always bring up the same old dirty political mess and the media knows how to get into the minds of the american people. Was any thing said about John McCain being endorsed by Pastor John Hagee and what he believes in? No, because, we take one word spoken by one man and turn it into a circus. We fail to realize that Isaiah 9 tells us who's shoulders the weight of the government will be upon anyway. I am so ashamed how the media has portrayed Pastor Wright, Barack Obama, and Hilary Clinton. We want to rip each other up when we should be working together for a better America, not for mess. Will we ever be a nation that pulls together or just a bunch of all about me and forget about everyone else involved just to get attention.

    April 30, 2008 08:59 pm at 8:59 pm |
  20. NObama

    please please go home already! You CAN'T win the general election. You'll be a Dukakis, Gore, and Kerry! You may be a good guy, but you're a loser! You'll never capture the Reagan democrat vote and four more years of Republicans...

    PLEASE GO BACK TO CHICAGO... they are missing their wind!

    April 30, 2008 08:59 pm at 8:59 pm |
  21. Steve

    Cindy – Take it up with your state for breaking the rules set aside by the DNC. Obama and the other democrats did the right thing by pulling themselves off the ballot. They should've done the same for Florida as well.

    Hillarity can only win with fuzzy math. There's no way she can win otherwise.

    Under Hillary Rules, Clinton counts the popular vote in Michigan, where she was the only major candidate on the ballot. The Democratic Party does not recognize those votes.

    Under Hillary Rules, Clinton also counts the popular vote in Florida, where candidates were forbidden to campaign. The Democratic Party does not recognize the results of the Florida primary, either.

    Under Hillary Rules, Clinton throws out the "votes by the people who have voted" in the states of Iowa, Nevada, Maine and Washington, because those were caucus states, where popular vote tallies were not officially kept and where, by the way, Obama won three out of the four contests.

    Under Hillary Rules, Clinton gets to choose the contests that help her, throw out the contests that do not and declare herself the winner.

    April 30, 2008 09:00 pm at 9:00 pm |
  22. AlexieNichole in WA

    It's about time some truth came out about Obama. It's just too bad the truth didnt come out long ago. Like before the majority of people held their primaries. Obama's team keeps saying he's ahead in the delegates, great, but they're forgetting FL and MI, both need and deserve to have their opinions counted. Plus the voting was done before this all came about. Maybe they should do a poll on who has changed their mind on Obama, especially any of the predominately white groups that had his support

    It's about time Obama loses ground. Hillary should go for it against him. How in the world did Obama not know his pastor was like this after sitting there for 20 years or did he just tune out when his pastor made the comments. He should've come clean a long time ago, what other things don't we know about him

    With Hillary everything is out and she's dealt with it and the public and everyone else. She has so much more experience than obama. And she supports that gas tax holiday. Every little bit helps with the gas. Especially if you're going to tax the oil companies. Obama wants not to do that and do something that will help the low income, um excuse me but what about the rest of us????

    Middle income people/families need it more than low income people at times... I'm tired of hearing how he wants to do something to help the low income people

    GO HILLARY 2008

    April 30, 2008 09:00 pm at 9:00 pm |
  23. Virginia Elliott

    I hate to be the bearer of bad news. But if you are sick to death of Obama’s baggage, wait til you get a load of Hillary’s. It’s Coming Soon to a Theater near you. It’s called "Hillary: The Movie" in DVD ; plain old "Hillary Uncensored" on Youtube.

    What’s scary is that every scandal, from Cattle Futures to FALN Pardons to TravelGate to Peter Paul, was covered by “The Vast Right Wing Conspiracy” AND Mainstream Media ad infnitum already.

    Problem is, as Stephanie Mencimer of Mother warns(Jan. 15) if you think Hillary was hallucinating or her conspirators have “slithered under a rock,” you’ll be surprised to find “the Clinton-haters are alive and well.” Stop worrying about Reverend Wright. He’s going the way of Hula Hattie.

    By contrast,”The Movie,” is just cranking up, timed perfectly to the Peter Paul trial. It’s probably as misleading as the Minister’s tale, but it’s got a lot more footage—not to say legs!

    April 30, 2008 09:00 pm at 9:00 pm |
  24. Stephen Weiss

    How in the World could you expect white Americans, already jittery over our never-ending War with Islamic extremists, a shaky economy, and needing to make a decision whether to vote for the first viable Black candidate for President in history, to support you after you tutored/prepped/worshipped/ under Good Old Racist Reverend Wright, who tells anyone who will listen he hates whites, hates white Jews, hates White government, hates, hates, HATES!!

    You should have denounced this Mel Gibson protegee much it's too late.

    April 30, 2008 09:01 pm at 9:01 pm |
  25. brina


    April 30, 2008 09:01 pm at 9:01 pm |
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