May 1st, 2008
06:52 AM ET
14 years ago

Poll of polls: Obama losing ground

[cnn-photo-caption image= caption=" Obama now leads Clinton by 1 point nationally."]

(CNN) - The Democratic presidential race is tightening nationally, according to a new CNN average of several recent polls.

Obama's lead is now down to 1 point over Clinton nationwide, 45 percent to 44 percent, in CNN's "poll of polls." That margin is down 3 points from another CNN poll of polls conducted two days ago. In that analysis, Obama led Clinton 47 percent to 43 percent. The margin is also considerably lower than an April 18 poll of polls that showed Obama with an 11 point lead.

The poll of polls consists of three newly released national polls from Fox News/Opinion Dynamics, Gallup, and Newsweek. There is no margin of error on the poll of polls.

Both the Fox News poll and the Gallup poll were conducted partially after Obama's former pastor, the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, made a fresh round of controversial comments earlier this week.

The Fox News poll also appears to show Obama no longer has an edge over Clinton among independent voters. In head-to-head match ups, presumptive Republican nominee John McCain wins independents by a 4 point margin over Clinton (42-38 percent) and by a 10 points over Obama (47 percent to 37 percent).

Filed under: Poll of polls
soundoff (1,279 Responses)
  1. kenny

    Great great NEWS for all Americans. God Bless America!!!

    April 30, 2008 09:10 pm at 9:10 pm |
  2. ron

    cant anyone notice how clinton favors mc cain on so many things, it like she is republican – Mc Clinton/Clincain 08 LOL.

    But OBAMA, you gotta throw aa knock out punch, so hillary can be out. All these hypocrytes tring too say they support Obama yet will go to the M if Hillary wins nomination, are you blind? That defies the Obama message.
    Im gonna say someething appalling now:
    If Obama loses, Im voting Hillary.
    GASP, there, i said it.

    OBAMA'08: the true ones!

    April 30, 2008 09:11 pm at 9:11 pm |
  3. Patricia

    H. Clinton has more experience, but she is a traditionalist – people change,but not much. She has a lot of things that the Republicans can go after her on. And they will.

    Obama is young and inexperienced, but I would stake my chances on a fresh approach at this time in our history over the branded style of the 90's Obama has a very calm temperment. Making the speech against Rev. Wright was very difficult for him or he would have done so much earlier. It is a person of character who holds onto the good in another person – someone who can see past their faults. At this time he did what he had to do. I don't think it should have ever been an issue to begin with. Do you friends judge you by the church you go to? Maybe you don't even both to go to church.

    April 30, 2008 09:11 pm at 9:11 pm |
  4. Matt

    If the people of America are that swayed by a few incomplete quotes and the words and deeds of a person external to this primary, then they will get exactly what they deserve-another terrible administration. Clinton has exaggerated, distorted, and flat out lied for months on end, yet instead of talking about integrity, honesty, and character, we're talking about someone's comments taken out fo context, someone's choice of pastor. If we want a good person in the White House, we need to start paying attention again.

    April 30, 2008 09:11 pm at 9:11 pm |
  5. lou

    Why waste out time polling a race thats over already. Lets talk Obama vs Mccain.

    April 30, 2008 09:12 pm at 9:12 pm |
  6. JS

    Listening to Hillary on the campaign trail, I really think she has a drinking problem. For example, her saying she wants to debate on a flat truck ???

    April 30, 2008 09:13 pm at 9:13 pm |
  7. Jenni B

    Your comment is awaiting moderation.
    Oh C'mon! Can't any of you see that this was a total set up by the Clinton Camp? Obama is being ambushed left and right. Don't you think it's just a little odd that Clinton hasn't pounced all over this Wright issue? Even though that's all she and Mr. Cigar Clinton ever do to Obama?

    The last debate was a set up as well. Hillary stood there grinning, literally the smile painted on her face. Just in the last few days, The Clinton campaign has been "hinting" that something was up and they're sure they will win… oh, and then this reverend Wright controversy is everywhere! Seriously it's just been one thing after another. Just like suddenly a tape with Obama speaking privately was "leaked" to Huffington Post just before PA primary, twisted out of context, and PA fell for it! Just in time for Hillary to grab that win.

    Alot of folks are in bed with the Clintons. They are dishonest and as dirty as they come, and powerful. It's so obvious… I really hope someone in the media uncovers how this entire thing just "suddenly" blew up in the media, aimed at Obama's demise, and to Hillary's benefit. It's a smear campaign.

    All of you Clinton supporters are the ones voting for a wolf in sheep's clothing. SUPERDELEGATES WHERE ARE YOU? Come forward for Obama, let's get back on track before the Clintons steal the White House!

    I urge Indiana and North Carolina voters to really look at Obama and the facts. Don't fall for Hillary's lies and manipulation. She only cares about herself and the family dynasty. She isn't the midwestern gal she keeps reinventing to grab votes.

    OBAMA '08

    April 30, 2008 09:13 pm at 9:13 pm |
  8. Does It Matter

    Obama '08!

    April 30, 2008 09:14 pm at 9:14 pm |
  9. American Citizen

    great news!!! finally

    April 30, 2008 09:14 pm at 9:14 pm |
  10. 2sandjay

    what will you say when the blacks will not vote for her(hillery). blacks has always voted for whites , but those days are over now run with that

    April 30, 2008 09:14 pm at 9:14 pm |
  11. Michael

    I still can not believe how many people defend Mr. Obama regarding his connection to this so called church! Half of these people praised him for not throwing the pastor under the bus and now that same half is praising him for doing so?? I give up trying to figure it out.. I love the people that cry racism also.. How can you see a number such as 98% of the black vote went for Obama in PA and yet refer to every other race that didnt vote for Obama as racist? In the world we call "REALITY" its clear that most black are voting because he is simply the same color. Yet we are racist!!

    April 30, 2008 09:15 pm at 9:15 pm |
  12. yvonne

    Nominating Obama is, unfortuately, not unlike the decision to go into Iraq–a predictable mistake which would end in tragedy. It's not just that people are racist. People don't like intellectuals who make condescending remarks.

    The superdelegates have a responsability to go for Clinton. She looks great right now and she is showing that she has what it takes to win Pennsylvania and Ohio- street cred.

    At this point a vote for Obama is essentially a vote for McCain.

    April 30, 2008 09:15 pm at 9:15 pm |
  13. Barbara Smith

    What I can't understand is why you are asking republicans what they think about the Rev. Wright or any other circumstances going on in the democratic primaries? All they do is diss the candidate they think is the most formidable to John McCain. During these intense final days of the primaries we don't need to hear what the republicans think about our candidates. They can wait until we have chosen ours!
    Barbara Smith, Discovery Bay, CA

    April 30, 2008 09:17 pm at 9:17 pm |
  14. Jim T

    no matter what, obama will still be the next president

    April 30, 2008 09:17 pm at 9:17 pm |
  15. igm

    1 point? After what works out to tens of millions of dollars of TV time dedicated to this issue all he is down in a momentary snapshot by 1 measly point??? AND this is before his response from yesterday? Stick a fork in it 'cause he's obviously survived. Now the press can examine the other candidates. They can start with Paul v Clinton and the Rev. Hagee's opinion of Catholics – a man whose support John McCain sought out! They can also compare that economically stupid gas holiday idea and Hillary's foreclosure lip service. How about the fact this $108Million woman of the people can't work a gas pump or a coffee machine. French vanilla cappuccino: how downright hoi polloi.

    April 30, 2008 09:18 pm at 9:18 pm |
  16. Luke

    The dirty politics played by the Clintons are only enforced by you, the media, who love to follow every controversy – even if it is ridiculous! This Wright thing being choreographed by a Clinton campaigner is the last straw.

    If Clinton wins the nomination, I will stay home on election day – for the first time in 20 years!

    Enid, OK

    April 30, 2008 09:19 pm at 9:19 pm |
  17. Andres Rodriguez

    Obama represents the best opportunity yet in our political history for all minorities to be, not only respected, but reivindicated. Of all the "minorities" that now represent the majority (italians, pollacks, jewish, irish, english, ect.) I ask: please remember your first historic experiences upon arrival to our nation. You were then also struggling minority.
    I am an american of hispanic origin, struggling for the respect we all deserve as americans. So are our black brothers and sisters.
    We must overcome cynicism and bigotry so we can, united, face the problems that we commonly share as citizens of this great nation.
    If you strongly believe this; Obama is our hope. Let's rise to the challenge.

    April 30, 2008 09:19 pm at 9:19 pm |
  18. Soldier for Obama

    Barack Obama lacks judgement? Give me a break. Hillary clinton voted for the war! What is a worst display of judgement? Obama's fanatical preacher? or the blood of 4053 American warfighters on her hands. If you believe Obama believes as Rev Wright, then you're probably were not going to vote Obama anyways, but I must agree, you got your reason not to vote for him. I must say its not enough for me to not vote for him. Rev Wright is fair game in politics, but make Obama unelectable, absolutely not! Either democrat can beat John Mccain, this election is tailor made for the dems. Clinton has just as many or more skeletons as Obama, and you not what else? she's behind, hello, anyone there?
    Super delegates are not going to overturn the pledged D's, the popular vote, and states won. Think about it real hard. What can be gained by doing that? You may get the Candidate you want., and the rest of the country won't. Total Chaos in the party arises and McCain wins easily. Wake up folks and stop letting the media manipulate your minds.

    April 30, 2008 09:19 pm at 9:19 pm |
  19. Tony, Miami

    Does anybody believes in Fox Polls, Nooooooooo

    April 30, 2008 09:19 pm at 9:19 pm |
  20. JC

    Then Senator McCain will be President McCain.

    April 30, 2008 09:21 pm at 9:21 pm |
  21. rob

    Was my opinion asked in this so called "poll of polls"? was any person I know counted in on this poll of polls?

    No they weren't. In a democracy, presidents are elected through the voting process... in which Barack Obama is quite clearly cleaning up.

    OBAMA 08!

    April 30, 2008 09:21 pm at 9:21 pm |
  22. Andrew

    We are so over the media interest in Barack Obama and Wright. Cover and ask questions that matter.

    April 30, 2008 09:21 pm at 9:21 pm |
  23. Nikita


    April 30, 2008 09:22 pm at 9:22 pm |
  24. DEBBIE


    April 30, 2008 09:22 pm at 9:22 pm |
  25. Ann - NY

    As a democrat, I will not vote for Obama. The judgement is just lacking. Too many years to figure out what was obvious. We just can't have someone that's loyal to the point he ultimately is blinded. It's not the Rev. it is Barack's lack of ability to separate emotion from fact. Not good.

    April 30, 2008 09:23 pm at 9:23 pm |
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