May 1st, 2008
06:52 AM ET
14 years ago

Poll of polls: Obama losing ground

[cnn-photo-caption image= caption=" Obama now leads Clinton by 1 point nationally."]

(CNN) - The Democratic presidential race is tightening nationally, according to a new CNN average of several recent polls.

Obama's lead is now down to 1 point over Clinton nationwide, 45 percent to 44 percent, in CNN's "poll of polls." That margin is down 3 points from another CNN poll of polls conducted two days ago. In that analysis, Obama led Clinton 47 percent to 43 percent. The margin is also considerably lower than an April 18 poll of polls that showed Obama with an 11 point lead.

The poll of polls consists of three newly released national polls from Fox News/Opinion Dynamics, Gallup, and Newsweek. There is no margin of error on the poll of polls.

Both the Fox News poll and the Gallup poll were conducted partially after Obama's former pastor, the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, made a fresh round of controversial comments earlier this week.

The Fox News poll also appears to show Obama no longer has an edge over Clinton among independent voters. In head-to-head match ups, presumptive Republican nominee John McCain wins independents by a 4 point margin over Clinton (42-38 percent) and by a 10 points over Obama (47 percent to 37 percent).

Filed under: Poll of polls
soundoff (1,279 Responses)
  1. andrew

    all right CNN, Why do you lie 1% lead over Clinton...Let us all face the facts~ Obo (obama) needs to drop out of the race. He never had a chance to win!

    April 30, 2008 09:23 pm at 9:23 pm |
  2. John

    Why has CNN and the media in general focused so much attention of
    Barack Obama's former pastor (who has committed no crime) and his controversial comments, yet TOTALLY ignore the conviction for child molestation of Hilary Clinton's pastor. Why didn't Hilary leave that church? Why is no one even discussing this? Could Rev. Jerimiah Wright be correct about this country?

    April 30, 2008 09:23 pm at 9:23 pm |
  3. Vig

    As well he should. Obama has been a media creation, over valued and over sold, wet behind the ears, big on ambition and short on foresight and policies. He's Mr. Congeniality, not Mr. Leader. We have the media to blame for ramming this guy down our throats while insulting Clinton at every turn.

    April 30, 2008 09:23 pm at 9:23 pm |




    April 30, 2008 09:24 pm at 9:24 pm |
  5. Dan Wallace

    He's a clown happily kicking at the legs of Obama's campaign, but Rev. Jermiah Wright's jeremiads on white racism are truths you CNN talking heads won't countenance. But take away the pastor's stupidly angry comments on aids, 9/11 comeuppance, Louis Farrakhan as hero and you have to deal with embedded white racism. When as an eight-year-old white boy newly arrived in Fayetteville, N,C., from Syracuse, N.Y., in 1934, walking on a central downtown street to the public library in the former auction offices of the prominent Slave Market, I was stunned when a middle-aged black man approaching me stepped off the sidewalk into the street, hat held to his chest to show deference, a ludicrous act of survival to forestall the deadly whims of ready lynch mobs active for another 20 years.

    April 30, 2008 09:24 pm at 9:24 pm |
  6. debbie

    The Rev. Wright story is sad. My husband and I had a similar experience with a pastor that we sat under for 5 years. He was great at first and then after a few years we started noticing stark negatives about him. When we confronted the issues with him he proceeded to humiliate us in front of the entire congregation on a day when we weren't there. Even though we left that church It still remains to be a very painful experience for us.
    So I think everyone, especially the media, should let this story go and replace it with positives about Sen. Obama. There are so many to choose from. I really hope he can get out from under this dark cloud and go on to win the nomination and the White House.

    April 30, 2008 09:24 pm at 9:24 pm |
  7. Shelly

    GO Hillary!!!!!!

    April 30, 2008 09:26 pm at 9:26 pm |
  8. Tenicka

    For some reason I just don't believe Fox news polls.....hmm, I wonder why?

    April 30, 2008 09:26 pm at 9:26 pm |
  9. Leon

    I am a Clinton supporter but I still think Obama will win. The primary is basically over and the media is unnecessarily dragging it.

    April 30, 2008 09:26 pm at 9:26 pm |

    Well, he has to fight McCain, the 527s, Hillary Clinton, Bill Clinton, the right-wing media (Fix News) and Rev. Wright ... plus he has to deal with the fact that his skin has the 'wrong' colour!

    Hillary Clinton is treated with respect by Obama (despite her negative campaigning), she is ignored by McCain and the republicans (for their good reason), she is celebrated for simply being a female candidate and the media overlooks her 50 most current scandals because of her last name (what else to expect).

    The Question is : Why is Hillary Clinton not up by 30-40 points ?

    April 30, 2008 09:26 pm at 9:26 pm |
  11. corn shuck

    our real concern should be if corn is growing scarce and what congress is going to do about it

    April 30, 2008 09:27 pm at 9:27 pm |
  12. donna4hillary

    obama PROMISED to fulfill his senatoral term (6 years) . LIE after only 2 years he dissed his constituants and said im for me and im running for prez. he said he wouldnt run for prez cause hes "inexperienced". okay i buy that BUT now hes saying that he is experienced. thats a lie. one doesnt gain enough experience to be the president in a matter of maybe 2 years. he talks on and on about being honest. how honest is that?

    April 30, 2008 09:28 pm at 9:28 pm |
  13. natasha

    If this continues and Clinton's negative campain gets the nomination, I stringly recommend Barack decline the VP ticket (which she HAS TO offer) and try again in 2012.

    McCain is really not that bad, definitely not as bad as Bush.

    April 30, 2008 09:28 pm at 9:28 pm |
  14. sand

    OBAMA GO HOME....YOU CANT BEAT MCCAIN!!!! You need to go back home and b e with your family, America needs someone who can bring America back and it is not you!!

    April 30, 2008 09:28 pm at 9:28 pm |
  15. imirish

    Barack has something that Hillary will never have! RESPECT!

    How could anyone respect Hillary?

    April 30, 2008 09:28 pm at 9:28 pm |
  16. Kathy, Andover

    Americans are fickle

    April 30, 2008 09:28 pm at 9:28 pm |
  17. WHAT


    April 30, 2008 09:29 pm at 9:29 pm |
  18. dusty

    Hillary definitely has more experience at lying.

    April 30, 2008 09:30 pm at 9:30 pm |
  19. indy dem

    "There is no margin of error in the POLL OF POLLS" Are you serious? Is CNN still a news network? You suck, cnn

    April 30, 2008 09:30 pm at 9:30 pm |
  20. GOD help if McCain Wins

    I feel the same way Lisa...neither candidate is perfect, but, I am really disappointed in Hilary. She slung mud from the beginning, she imagines dodging sniper and is wolverine when it serves to ramp up her rankings but a crybaby when she thinks it will serve her a big slice o' sympathy. You think North Korea, Syria and Iran are going to offer her a hankerchief when she weeps during talks? Please.

    April 30, 2008 09:31 pm at 9:31 pm |
  21. Alan Boyer

    Hillary tries to take high road by saying she would have left Wright's church. But, the big white elephant question in the room that the racists segrationist at Fox News won't ask is how could you stay with Bill after Jennifer, Paula, Monica, Impeachment, etc.

    April 30, 2008 09:31 pm at 9:31 pm |
  22. New American

    Has a new member of this country, I think that Obama is the breath of fresh air that this country needs. Hilary is not honest, if you look at how she dealt with her own home then you can see how she will deal with the country... Just brush it under the rug, we'll deal with it later. How on earth are we to come out of debt if we don't raise taxes or ask Americans to help us move in the right direction. Obama is right. He goal of bringing us all together to work together is what rules! We Are The People. WE! Not just He. Hilary needs to get over herself, she is not genuine, you can see it through her alligater smile. McCain is way too old, and old school to have a clue about this generation. I think Obama is about my future, today and my children. He will be our next president because this generation will make him win!!!

    April 30, 2008 09:31 pm at 9:31 pm |
  23. Lynn D

    Why hasn't CNN make a big deal out of the fact that Senator Obama has lost ground? Last week anytime the polls showed that Senator Clinton went from double digits to single digits in PA, CNN make a big deal of the fact that Senator Clinton lost ground. Fox News reported that Senator Obama is now only 5 points ahead of Senator Clinton in North Carolina. CNN: We just want to know why you are more bias for Obama? Senator Obama can no longer win in November. My family and I will start a write in campaign for Senator Clinton in the fall if she is treated unfairly. Also, Bill Schneider said the delegates in Michigan and Florida cannot determine the nominee because Senator Obama's supporters will cry foul. Well, we are going to cry foul if the delegates in Michigan and Florida are not seated for Senator Clinton. Senator Clinton used strategy by leaving her name on both ballots. Senator Obama used strategy in caucus states. Are we going to reverse the caucus results?

    April 30, 2008 09:31 pm at 9:31 pm |
  24. indy dem

    "There is no margin of error in THE POLL OF POLLS" So Fox news asked EVERYONE? Isn't that what an election is for? CNN is losing credibility fast

    April 30, 2008 09:32 pm at 9:32 pm |
  25. Clinton 2008!

    I think Obama is alright, but not ready to be National Command Authority.

    1. Obama's pastor – If I went to a church and the pastor not only baptized my kid's but married me to my wife, I would not only believe in him, but LISTEN to what he says. Now, Obama is distancing himself from his pastor because it will kill his chances for nomination. All of you saying that you don't listen to your pastor's sermon or thoughts if you don't agree with them, come on. If its this controversial, you would leave the church.

    2. Experience – He's a JUNIOR senator. Would you hire someone that doesn't have experience to be chief of police? Someone that hasn't done heart surgery, operate on you?? This is no different, we have seen lousy leaders, GWB for example, and we want someone who doesn't have experience?? He's going to learn Foreign policy on the job? At least Hillary has been there and KNOWS people.

    I could go on, but its really my opinion and my vote, but as a 35 year old man who has been in the military, self employed will be voting for CLINTON.

    By the way, didn't President Clinton have our deficit nearly taken care of? Didn't GWB come into office with a SURPLUS?

    April 30, 2008 09:32 pm at 9:32 pm |
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