May 1st, 2008
06:52 AM ET
14 years ago

Poll of polls: Obama losing ground

[cnn-photo-caption image= caption=" Obama now leads Clinton by 1 point nationally."]

(CNN) - The Democratic presidential race is tightening nationally, according to a new CNN average of several recent polls.

Obama's lead is now down to 1 point over Clinton nationwide, 45 percent to 44 percent, in CNN's "poll of polls." That margin is down 3 points from another CNN poll of polls conducted two days ago. In that analysis, Obama led Clinton 47 percent to 43 percent. The margin is also considerably lower than an April 18 poll of polls that showed Obama with an 11 point lead.

The poll of polls consists of three newly released national polls from Fox News/Opinion Dynamics, Gallup, and Newsweek. There is no margin of error on the poll of polls.

Both the Fox News poll and the Gallup poll were conducted partially after Obama's former pastor, the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, made a fresh round of controversial comments earlier this week.

The Fox News poll also appears to show Obama no longer has an edge over Clinton among independent voters. In head-to-head match ups, presumptive Republican nominee John McCain wins independents by a 4 point margin over Clinton (42-38 percent) and by a 10 points over Obama (47 percent to 37 percent).

Filed under: Poll of polls
soundoff (1,279 Responses)
  1. Marie in California

    Obama's on a downhill slide. He's finished. He just doesn't know it yet. Even all of the pandering that CNN, MSNBC and PBS might do for him won't help now.

    Besides which, Obama was never a good candidate anyhow. He had four fatal flaws from the experience, no substance, no character, no judgment.

    It's over. Kiss it goodbye, Obama.

    Hillary or McCain – 2008

    April 30, 2008 09:40 pm at 9:40 pm |
  2. Hoosier voter

    I've watched this race for quite some time and live on this web site and decided it was finally time to chime in.

    I am we well educated working professional (and I really don't think color matters here). Degree and graduate degree from a very well respected institution. I live in the area CNN calls the Chicago Media Marketplace and, simply put, I am voting Clinton as are the vast majority of my co-workers, neighbors, friends and family. I am O'Bama's prime voter demographic and I'll vote for McCain before I vote for O'Bama. Here's why...

    After 21 debates, O'Bama's message is the same... lets change... but how? His policies largely mirror Clintons, he doesn't do a very good job articulating his policies.. more often than not, reverting back to comparisons with Clinton and then he calls the blind, dumb public to "change". Anyone who has ever lead an organization knows that successful change is evolutionary, not revolutionary. If he thinks he can make change, true bipartisan cooperation in 4 years, he is simply not thinking realisticly. Ironically, he has not truly explained how he will make this change and has no real track record of taking isle divided, substantial issues to resolution in his short time in Congress.

    His claim that he has judgement is weak at best. He didn't have the information that Clinton had and, therefore, his arguement that he has judgement is simply ignorant.

    Both arguments center on the same truth. You don't put a middle manager with a handful of years of service in the CEO job in a Fortune 500 company. Why? The manager doesn't have the robustness of experience, hasn't develped the judgement to do the job and doesn't have the scars on their back from the hard lessons learned earning the job. This is the way the real world works, so why would we remove all logic from the dicussion and put the middle manager in the biggest job in the biggest superpower in the world? Based on this logic, Clinton is the best Democrat on the ticket today.

    I sincerely believe O'Bama has potential. In my opinion, the best option would be for O'Bama to be Clinton's VP which would help the Democrats hold the White House for the next 12-16 years.

    Think about it and make your vote rationale.

    April 30, 2008 09:41 pm at 9:41 pm |
  3. Priscilla for Obama

    It time for Obama to get tough and crack down on everything and everyone who stands in his way. Let's go Obama! There's no time for tears! Don't let the negative stuff stop you!

    Obama for President – Yes We Can!!!

    April 30, 2008 09:41 pm at 9:41 pm |
  4. mimi de la cruz for OBAMA




    April 30, 2008 09:42 pm at 9:42 pm |
  5. Ray


    Please stop baiting the contest. Report on news – don't try to manufacture it. Thanks in advance for your cooperation on this vital national concern.


    I mean no disrespect, but if you look at the numbers, this contest is over. All we need now is to let it run its course. Let's try not to destroy our unity in the meantime.

    My comment is probably awaiting moderation.

    April 30, 2008 09:42 pm at 9:42 pm |
  6. Rebecca

    People are finally waking up and seeing how weak and inexperienced of a leader Obama really is. You can only run a campaign on change and hope for so long and his compaign is loosing steam and will never make it to the end of a general election. Even some of Obama's supporters have urged him to put more substance in his campaign speeches. Independents are leaning Republican towards John McCain as they have in the past and some independents are realizing that Clinton isn't so bad after all. I think people are finally beginning to see the truth as to what type of person Obama really is.

    April 30, 2008 09:42 pm at 9:42 pm |
  7. thall999

    Hillary has NO chance to win the nomination buut the cables news like to keep this race ongoing for their own prifitable self interest.

    Hillary is toast and the quicker the Democrats are able to get past ALL the distractions and focus on Scooter McCain, the better.

    I am so sick of polls everyday regardless of who is ahead. Gee, why Not just put a real-time poll up so we can actually see the number changing!

    April 30, 2008 09:42 pm at 9:42 pm |
  8. sally

    white folks, independents, elderly, women, low income, blue collar workers, asians, latinos, american indians, some black men, some black women. these are some of the groups of people that support hillary.
    most black folks and college aged kids. these are the groups of people that will vote for obama.
    who will get the most votes?

    April 30, 2008 09:43 pm at 9:43 pm |
  9. Dennis

    Obama is not only sinking. He's sunk. It's time for him to drop out.

    April 30, 2008 09:44 pm at 9:44 pm |
  10. Eddie P, rochester ny

    Ive got a feeling that this thing isn't over yet. Don't anybody be surprised if Rev. Wright comes up with proof that Obama was present and accounted for, during Rev. wrights controversial sermons. If in fact there is genuine proof! Obama's political career is over. Superdelegates -- beware- Obama cannot beat McCain. The republicans will tear him apart at the seams before the national elections.

    April 30, 2008 09:45 pm at 9:45 pm |
  11. rick

    First of all, any thought of obama winning the nomination, is premature. Secondly, he will DEFINETLY lose in November. I'm guessing he is basically toast now. Hiliary suddendly looks better. Unfortunatly, the party is over for obamas camp. I predict he will bow out after Indiana/North carolina primary. He will lose both. Clintons argument will make more sense. But it will be her tenacious, leadership qualities that will convince both voters and superdelegates. I bet John Kerry/Bill Richardson/ted kennedy are now sweating like the little frighten pigs that they are.

    April 30, 2008 09:45 pm at 9:45 pm |
  12. Liz

    There is no way he will win the general Election. Rezko, the bitter comment, Ayers, & WRIGHT. I have never witnessed a more egocentric rant in my life. There is no way Obama NEVER saw or heard any of this during his 20 years with this man. Wright can't hide who he is even if he wanted to which he doesn't. Wright is Wright and everyone in his congregation knows it including Obama. I like alot of Americans can no longer stomach the deceptions, changes in his explanations and LIES.

    April 30, 2008 09:46 pm at 9:46 pm |
  13. Obama the other typical white meat

    Cant escape the fact you sat in the church giving money and listening to that man for twenty years. You denounced nothing till the media got a hold of it. You even appointed Wright a position on your campaign.

    We havent even discussed the other guys either.

    Obama you keep strange friends in your circle. It is a serious indication of your character.

    April 30, 2008 09:46 pm at 9:46 pm |
  14. RW

    America seems to be getting over the Obama high. Now it's time to deal with the hang over!

    April 30, 2008 09:46 pm at 9:46 pm |
  15. Trollmaster

    These people that think Obama isn't electable over McCain are total fools. Like America wants a 3rd Bush term. More pointless wars, more reckless spending, and a higher national debt. That's what McCain is offering. Is that what you idiots really want?

    April 30, 2008 09:47 pm at 9:47 pm |
  16. Carol

    I blame the media first, Americans second. You're allowing the best viable candidate to be swiftboated. If you do, you deserve another republican and what comes with it: no healthcare reform, the rich getting richer, money wasted on the war. Unfortunately, worst of all, innocent lives being lost because of oil and no one deserves to die unnecessarily.

    Remember, Hillary voted for the war, supported NAFTA etc.

    April 30, 2008 09:47 pm at 9:47 pm |
  17. David, FL

    When Wright made comments against America he was right but when he started hurting Obama's campaign Wright became wrong all of a sudden!
    Who does Obama think he is kidding?
    Too late! Obama is a phony and a liar!

    April 30, 2008 09:47 pm at 9:47 pm |
  18. kris

    nice man brilliant speaker but now he's finding out about politic's on the highest level really did he ever have a chance with his people around him not knowingly hurting him well wright is knowing hurting him now but obama's wife that statement by her- finally she was proud to be american what's up with that now that's swept under the table along comes wright or is that wrong this man is everything obama is not and hillary is my person for this election and i'm canadian but this guy wright is just full of hatred for the white race -this makes him presadious as he is lumping all our people together meaning white were all different each and everyone of us- you make your decision's then you live with them- that's life but free speech is wrong when it teaches hattred look in the dictionary under hatred there's a picture of that wright guy he's bad news

    April 30, 2008 09:47 pm at 9:47 pm |
  19. Hank in PA

    Wake up Obama Supporters. Obama's issues are about Obama, not Hillary. If he fails, it is on his shoulders. Don't blame America, white people, Hillary, or anyone else. Blame Obama for critical judgement issues leading to his downfall, if he really has one.

    April 30, 2008 09:48 pm at 9:48 pm |
  20. Evelyn

    There is no way in the world that a person could sit under the leadership of Reverend Wright and claim that this is the first time they have heard him speak in this manner. I wish that Mr. Obama would be a man, admit that he wants to be president so bad that he would deny his pastor.

    What did Jesus say to Peter – Before the cock crows three times you will deny me. Clearly, Mr. Obama missed reading Matthew 26:33-34.

    Finally, the world is seeing that Mr. Obama is filled with talk and no action.

    April 30, 2008 09:48 pm at 9:48 pm |
  21. kris

    fox poll?.. you joking right?

    April 30, 2008 09:48 pm at 9:48 pm |
  22. Obama2008

    The past month has been one of sen. Obama's most trying months since this began. In the past 2 weeks, he lost big (debatable) in PA and Rev. Wright decided to go crazy on him .....and what happens, he gains 7 superdelagates to sen. Clinton's 5. He's also still leading in most of the polls. Did anybody ask how this new guy would handle difficult times? He deals with it. That's why i'm voting for him.

    April 30, 2008 09:48 pm at 9:48 pm |
  23. Rick

    I'm voting for Rev. Wright

    April 30, 2008 09:48 pm at 9:48 pm |
  24. Karen in CA

    How many of you had a priest or preacher who turned out to be someone other than you thought? I can think of 4 in my lifetime (and I'm 46) who had plenty of skeletons in their closets - and I don't let them define who I am nor do they have the same values as I do - yet I am still a Catholic. Let Obama be the man HE is and do our nation some good!! This is all so petty and isn't going to affect how many soldiers are dying everyday in an unjust war; isn't going to bring down the cost of my healthcare; isn't going to help pay my kids college tuition or reduce the $90 it takes to fill up my gas tank.


    April 30, 2008 09:48 pm at 9:48 pm |
  25. politicsIsdirty

    BEWARE OF THE CHARADE++++++++++++++++

    There are some prevailing questions in leading up to the "divorce" between the Rev and Sen Obama. After the painful PA lost, pundits have been saying that the Wright controversy is one of the reasons for the loss. That Sen Obama has to distance himself from the Rev to improve his poll rating among Democrats and Independents. But how??? So what happens is interesting. A week before the IN and NC primary, for UNEXPLAINED reason, the Rev resurfaces. For two days, he makes a string of appearances/speeches to defend himself and spew the same sermon he did in the pew.++++ This NOW gives Sen Obama a chance to “COMPLETELY” distance himself from the Rev, something he failed to do in his first speech. Then Rev Wright now disappears in the shadow. Sen Obama now can put his controversial pastor behind him. +++++++++The uneasiness in me keep asking was it a real divorce or just a political charade???

    April 30, 2008 09:49 pm at 9:49 pm |
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