May 1st, 2008
06:52 AM ET
14 years ago

Poll of polls: Obama losing ground

[cnn-photo-caption image= caption=" Obama now leads Clinton by 1 point nationally."]

(CNN) - The Democratic presidential race is tightening nationally, according to a new CNN average of several recent polls.

Obama's lead is now down to 1 point over Clinton nationwide, 45 percent to 44 percent, in CNN's "poll of polls." That margin is down 3 points from another CNN poll of polls conducted two days ago. In that analysis, Obama led Clinton 47 percent to 43 percent. The margin is also considerably lower than an April 18 poll of polls that showed Obama with an 11 point lead.

The poll of polls consists of three newly released national polls from Fox News/Opinion Dynamics, Gallup, and Newsweek. There is no margin of error on the poll of polls.

Both the Fox News poll and the Gallup poll were conducted partially after Obama's former pastor, the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, made a fresh round of controversial comments earlier this week.

The Fox News poll also appears to show Obama no longer has an edge over Clinton among independent voters. In head-to-head match ups, presumptive Republican nominee John McCain wins independents by a 4 point margin over Clinton (42-38 percent) and by a 10 points over Obama (47 percent to 37 percent).

Filed under: Poll of polls
soundoff (1,279 Responses)
  1. Leeza

    wow- this country is full of idiots. I think i may leave.

    April 30, 2008 09:50 pm at 9:50 pm |
  2. Eric

    When Obama wins North Carolina next Tuesday, the state with the largest delegate offering left in the race, he will lock in the nomination and make it mathematically impossible for Clinton to catch up. Once this happens, the super delegates will come forward and cast their vote for Obama and this damaging charade will be over. The party will finally be able to unite behind Obama for November, albeit a month late because Clinton selfishly chose to stay in the race knowing she cannot possibly win the delegates.

    April 30, 2008 09:51 pm at 9:51 pm |
  3. David

    NO way. That would only leave 9 percent of the democrats for Ron Paul. I KNOW he has more support than that.

    April 30, 2008 09:52 pm at 9:52 pm |
  4. Fed Up in Texas

    See you later Obama

    April 30, 2008 09:53 pm at 9:53 pm |
  5. Snowcat

    Reality is setting in folks. The audacity of hope does not hold a candle to "THE Reality Of Life"...that is where HIllary will excell. Obama's poll numbers continue to fall the more we learn about him...does that give all you Obamacs any clue that this man will lose in Nov? This is why he was not readdy to run. He has not been thoroughly vetted to the American people. What else is out there? One more of these kinds of "surprises" and the man will truely be toast...along with any chance to regain the Pres. office. Of course his numbers will continue to fall as Wright makes his next speech...When Mrs. Obama is allowed to speak again what if another American pride/like statement falls out of her mouth. the Republican attack machine will chew these two up....Wise up and go with the fighter...Hillary.

    April 30, 2008 09:54 pm at 9:54 pm |
  6. yay for Hillary

    I'm so glad people are finally seeing Obama for what he is. I hope he drops out and allow the democrats a fighting chance against McCain.

    BTW, i completely agree with the post by the "clinton supporters". I am a 25 year old student and I know exactly how the youngsters of America is living in a bubble and don't understand about life and how the world works.

    either way, i hope we can beat the Republicans

    April 30, 2008 09:55 pm at 9:55 pm |
  7. close hi lies piehole

    Cnn , msn ,are going Fox they must have Shawn hid somewhere .
    You would think with all the problems in the world ,soldiers being injured,killed, every day, food and gas going through the roof,no health care ,education down the drain then to have the media dwell over and over again their mouth clacking day after day,week after week ,month after month . GIVE IT UP and get on the real problems .

    Its either to big or small.

    Its either to long or short,

    Its either to hard or too soft

    Its either to light or to dark

    Its either to sweet or to sour

    There is no such thing as question with the Goldwater girl ,the Media or McCain.

    Do you recall how many freckles Bill has (I never had sex with that woman) and all the time miss M. was in his office Oh yes dont forget Paula and Jennifer what is happening w/Clintons Ca, Bosnia ,Whitewater , Hil-liars lies , the list goes on and on but you never go there .
    Hil liar had money all her life and so did McCain so who is really the elite here.
    You must make a recording and rerun it each day all day the name Hyenas 'sss comes to mind they ride others tail untill they kill them them ,

    April 30, 2008 09:55 pm at 9:55 pm |
  8. Clinton 2008!

    North Carolina for Clinton!

    And Sally, we will come down out of the mountains in our pick up trucks!


    April 30, 2008 09:56 pm at 9:56 pm |
  9. North Carolina

    "your comment is under moderation?" There's nothing wrong with my comment. If only it were just Rev. Wright: but it's Ayres & Dohrn, Auchi, Khalidi, Rezko, Odinga, and McClurkin, the list just goes on and on: Sen. Obama is unelectable. It is a great pity that he was not vetted more and that he was so shamelessly promoted by the very insiders he speaks against: Dean, Pelosi, Reid, Ted Kennedy, Daley, Kerry. Of equal disservice is the constant attacks on a much more viable candidate because she is a woman. From Obama's giving her the finger to his walking on stage to Jay z's 99 problems and b*, and Olbermann's suggestion that someone take her in a room and only he comes out: this is a disgrace.

    April 30, 2008 09:56 pm at 9:56 pm |
  10. Tim

    CNN.... you want it to be close, botherwise you couldn't justify sending that idiot Wolf Blitzer up on TV to analyse everything to death.

    I think the media neeeds to be fair and talk about who donated to the Clinton library.... or about bosnia, or about the crappy tax returns.

    April 30, 2008 09:57 pm at 9:57 pm |
  11. Joe J

    Thank you, Jeremiah Wright. What a destructively narcissistic infant.

    April 30, 2008 09:57 pm at 9:57 pm |
  12. San Jose




    April 30, 2008 09:57 pm at 9:57 pm |
  13. Jimmy Kingsley

    CNN, please learn to exercise professional journalism and stop the spin on false statistics. If you value your pocket book, you want to be fair and stop unduely influencing this election. You are aware it is not right, and constitute a disgrace to this democracy. If many of the public were like me they should all desert CNN

    April 30, 2008 09:57 pm at 9:57 pm |
  14. Ross, Former USAF Captain, Iraq Veteran

    This whole ordeal is media spin. Almost every aspect of it. It is pretty sad the spin that Hilldogg is putting on many ads. I also find it funny that she really thinks she has a chance to come back. If you study the delegate count, EVEN if Hilldogg won 60% of the vote IN EVERY STATE in all the rest of the primaries... she would STILL have to win 56 to 57 percent of the remaining superdels. I just don't think she can pull that off. I'm so surprised that BO isn't pulling out all the horrible baggage with the Clintons. Sure we have seen it all before, but the are scandal after scandal. Old Politics. Another dynasty. Come on people, get it together, we need to take a gamble on this with Barrack. You CAN NOT DOUBT he is by far the MOST presidential, most well-spoken, the most articulate, the one with the least baggage, the youngest, the most charismatic. Come on, WHAT ARE WE WAITING FOR! Lets pick the right candidate and expand this campaign for November.
    – Ross in Glendale.

    April 30, 2008 09:57 pm at 9:57 pm |
  15. Christopher, Madison, WI

    Cindy Murphy...who and what administration put Michigan in the mess it is in now? The Bush Administration. You voted for them now live with it. If you were so concerned about losing your delegates you should have spoken up sooner. Now that Hillary needs the delegates to count she wants to change the rules in the middle of the game. You got an early primary in exchange for paper ballots. Hillary knew the rules but is playing Rove tactics to win at all costs. She has too much baggage and the republicans want to run against her because they know she can't win. Let's all try something new and vote for Obama. What have we got to lose? The last time I checked not all Catholics walked out of their churches when the priests molested little children. What about McBush's pastor who called the Catholic church

    April 30, 2008 09:57 pm at 9:57 pm |
  16. Lavon Miller

    If Hillary wins nomination, will vote for her.
    If Obama wins will vote for McClain.

    April 30, 2008 09:58 pm at 9:58 pm |
  17. Matt

    I wonder how these polls would look if some other stories were actually placed in the news instead of just stories about Rev Wright? Here's a few that nobody seems to want to talk about:

    – Clinton telling people in Indiana that it is Bush's fault that a factory named Magnequench moved to China costing about 2500 jobs but not mentioning that it was her husband that approved the sale and gave the Chinese the right to move the factory around 2005 (ABC is just picking up this story now).
    – A D.C. nonprofit group is now being blamed for creating deceptive N.C. robo-calls misleading voters on next week's election locations and information. This group has HEAVY ties to the Clintons and is accused of similar actions in 11 other states.
    – A major Clinton supporter helped set up Rev Wright's speech the other night and is seen in pictures sitting with the Rev before the speech.
    – The Peter Paul v Hillary Clinton trial that should have been in the news last week. Peter Paul was fraundulenty induced to make a $1.2 million in-kind contribution to Senator Hillary Clinton's 2000 senate campaign in exchange for former President Bill Clinton to be a rainmaker for this company once he left the White House.

    April 30, 2008 09:58 pm at 9:58 pm |
  18. Joe Schmo


    GO HILLARY!!!!!

    April 30, 2008 09:58 pm at 9:58 pm |
  19. kty

    This should give some momentum to the Hillary Campaign and her supporters should start by visiting the campaign site at and donate.

    April 30, 2008 09:58 pm at 9:58 pm |
  20. JFK

    At least some are starting to get a clue about Obama. I have immense respect for him to a point. But he is not ready for the job yet. He needs to be more seasoned and he may be ready in about 8 years then.

    April 30, 2008 09:59 pm at 9:59 pm |
  21. Mike

    The Clintons have ensured that Obama is no longer electable. The Clintons themselves were not electable from the start and their sleazy campaign is yet more proof that they willl lose to McCain in a landslide. Voters need to wake up to the fact that the Democratic Party has betrayed them by trying to shove the Clinton sleaze down America's throats again. All Democrats should be voted out of office. Their support of the corrupt and dishonest Clintons is prove of their incompetence and of the lack oi integrity of the entire Party. Hit the "Vote all Republican" button in November.

    April 30, 2008 09:59 pm at 9:59 pm |
  22. mike

    Let's see the polls after NC and IND primaries. After all the junk thrown at Obama the past 2 weeks, it is remarkable that he is still in a virtual tie in these polls. This shows that he still has solid support and all the smear campaigns in the world won't change that.
    Soemeone commented about older voters being wiser and supporting Clinton. Another way of looking at this is that the older generation is afraid of change and are clinging to old ways. This will surely not help our country. My own obersvation is that older people are less tolerant of a black candidate. I think it's called racism. Younger people actually have more tolerance of the differences among people and race. Maybe you older voters should take a lesson from the younger ones.

    April 30, 2008 09:59 pm at 9:59 pm |
  23. devon klein

    clinton is a liar.

    April 30, 2008 10:00 pm at 10:00 pm |
  24. THE TRUTH !!!!

    Mike Your Right !!!

    A Lot Of People Are Saying The Same Thing !!!

    They're Saying Obama and His Campaign , Along With Obama Media Pundits Planned The Wright Speaking tour So Obama Could Publicly Disown Him To get The Wright Thing Behind him . Wright Is A part of The Staged Event . It's All Smoke And Mirrors , Designed To Fool Us .

    I Don't Trust Obama At All !!!!!!

    Hillary 08 . Or McCain 08″

    April 30, 2008 10:00 pm at 10:00 pm |
  25. rock-c, Muncie, IN

    Here we go again......Obama is the nominee.....We will come together and put Bush/McCain out for retirement. Muncie, IN will vote in record numbers. Indiana will remember NAFTA = Clinton.

    April 30, 2008 10:01 pm at 10:01 pm |
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