May 1st, 2008
06:52 AM ET
14 years ago

Poll of polls: Obama losing ground

[cnn-photo-caption image= caption=" Obama now leads Clinton by 1 point nationally."]

(CNN) - The Democratic presidential race is tightening nationally, according to a new CNN average of several recent polls.

Obama's lead is now down to 1 point over Clinton nationwide, 45 percent to 44 percent, in CNN's "poll of polls." That margin is down 3 points from another CNN poll of polls conducted two days ago. In that analysis, Obama led Clinton 47 percent to 43 percent. The margin is also considerably lower than an April 18 poll of polls that showed Obama with an 11 point lead.

The poll of polls consists of three newly released national polls from Fox News/Opinion Dynamics, Gallup, and Newsweek. There is no margin of error on the poll of polls.

Both the Fox News poll and the Gallup poll were conducted partially after Obama's former pastor, the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, made a fresh round of controversial comments earlier this week.

The Fox News poll also appears to show Obama no longer has an edge over Clinton among independent voters. In head-to-head match ups, presumptive Republican nominee John McCain wins independents by a 4 point margin over Clinton (42-38 percent) and by a 10 points over Obama (47 percent to 37 percent).

Filed under: Poll of polls
soundoff (1,279 Responses)
  1. Rosie

    All I got to say is Huma Abedin.
    Everyone will forget about Wright.

    April 30, 2008 10:28 pm at 10:28 pm |
  2. Michigan for Obama

    Pastor Wright does not speak for Obama. His views are just that-his views! If you're looking for a reason not to vote for Senator Obama, at least base it on something that you can attribute to the man himself. Want the war to go on? Want big oil to keep reaping record profits? Then vote against him. But voting against him for someone else's views and words is just wrong. We're smarter than that.
    Obama 08

    April 30, 2008 10:28 pm at 10:28 pm |
  3. Kansas Prairie Dog

    Apparently a lot of people do not care that Obama sat for 20 years under this pastor who blasphemed God and America in a single phrase, while praising Black Muslim Louis Farakahn. People who would vote for Obama based on his race and personality need to open their eyes to what he stands for (and he can't just sit in that church 20 years and say he disagrees with its major teachings). I hope people can see that black racism is just as pernicious as white racism.

    Remember David Duke, the Louisiana KKK Grand Wizard and founder of the NAAWP. He was clearly a racist.

    Although Obama hasn't said or done anything overtly racist, his tacit approval of Jeremiah Wright speaks volumes about his inner motives.

    Would I vote for a black presidential candidate? Absolutely! Colin Powell or J.C. Watts would get my vote before John McCain if either was in the campaign. I wouldn't vote for Obama under any circumstances.

    Finally, can anyone show me ONE SINGLE THING that Obama or Clinton has done for America besides use their political gains to elevate their political prospects? You cannot, because neither has done anything positive for America.

    April 30, 2008 10:28 pm at 10:28 pm |
  4. Rebecca

    People are finally waking up and seeing how weak and inexperienced of a leader Obama really is. You can only run a campaign on change and hope for so long and his compaign is loosing steam and will never make it to the end of a general election. Even some of Obama's supporters have urged him to put more substance in his campaign speeches. Independents are leaning Republican towards John McCain as they have in the past and some independents are realizing that Clinton isn't so bad after all.

    April 30, 2008 10:29 pm at 10:29 pm |
  5. John E Lexington KY

    Question for Obama supporters and super-delegates : if Obama's lack of experience and weakness fighting back against the inevitable attacks (however fair or unfair, from your point of view) means he will lose, isn't it better that it happen now instead of the fall which would end his career? He will run again, and stronger. He is not experienced enough – the least national experience of ANY serious national candidate in American history – he should not have run this year. Instead of bitterness and such stuff as claiming it's locked up (really? then why not have his super-delegates declare now and stop wasting money on the rest of the primaries?), how about a reality check. There's a reason Hillary is at least tied with him in polls in spite of a huge disadvantage in the media and it's commentators and problems that would have killed a lesser candidate. The claims of racism won't wash against McCain any more than they should have against the Clintons. The African culture reveres age and experience. It's something Obama should learn now. Had he been more gracious when ahead, shown that maturity, he'd have locked up the nomination by now for real.

    April 30, 2008 10:29 pm at 10:29 pm |
  6. doodle

    Polls schmolls. Obama is the best person for the job, and everyone knows it.

    April 30, 2008 10:30 pm at 10:30 pm |
  7. honesty

    Will the real Barack Obama stand up please?

    April 30, 2008 10:30 pm at 10:30 pm |
  8. q

    You have to wait for the interview to come up after the commercial.

    April 30, 2008 10:30 pm at 10:30 pm |
  9. MD Democrat

    Of course!!! Finally, people are beginning to open their eyes. The joker is wild and Obama's house of cards is begining to come tumbling down!!!

    April 30, 2008 10:31 pm at 10:31 pm |
  10. Wright/Obama Hate 08

    It amazes me how Obama supporters can justify him as a candidate. This election has everything to do about our future. I don't trust Obama with the task at hand. A person is the sum of his past. Rev. Wright was 20 years of that sum. He admitted to be "inspired" by Rev Wright...He is like an Uncle to him....He was the inspiration for his book!!!! Get a clue!

    April 30, 2008 10:31 pm at 10:31 pm |
  11. tom, Boston

    The corporate media spinsters,

    owned by the neo-con masters,

    are working overtime,

    trying to undermine people's power,

    and keep the morally and financially bankrupt status quo.

    what a surprise!

    April 30, 2008 10:32 pm at 10:32 pm |
  12. Alex

    Obama can and will win, as long as the news stations actually report the news and stop acting like prissy teen gossip girls and actually do their jobs. i would rather like to hear about the pressing issues that both candidates are running for, or at least what the international community has to say about this campaign, because our next leader will dictate our global relations for the next year, and we truly need to rearrange our foreign policies, especially in the middle east

    April 30, 2008 10:33 pm at 10:33 pm |
  13. Richard

    Polls Smolls,... they do more to influence than reveal ..

    April 30, 2008 10:34 pm at 10:34 pm |
  14. Eugene

    Americans -who originally supported Obama- are finally waking up to the fact that an Obama win spells disaster and division for the country. He would sell his mother to sit in the White House and that is becoming more and more obvious. He's a liar and that is becoming more and more obvious.

    April 30, 2008 10:34 pm at 10:34 pm |
  15. RMJ

    Angus wrote "Obama needs to get in the dirt with Hillary."

    Are you freaking kidding me? This is typical of the Obama camp and all his supporters. If you read the comments all over this web site, none are more hateful and disrespectful than those spewed by the Obama supporters. If you actually pay attention to the content of the 2 campaigns (which I doubt many Obama fanatics do) you'll see that Hillary focuses on issues, while Obama speaks out of both sides of his mouth: saying he wants to change politics, but then delivering the most blatant character attacks against Senator Clinton, calling her "secretive", without "sense", without "moral authority" and so on. This is not a respectful campaign. If Hillary's campaign is "negative" it's because the status quo is negative! That's what she's trying to change.

    If there were a method for people in earlier primaries to rescind their votes, Mr. Obama would not have the popular vote today.

    God help us all.

    Hillary in 08.

    April 30, 2008 10:35 pm at 10:35 pm |
  16. Deborah

    Obama for President!!!

    Wright's words are Wright's words

    Barack is the right choice for President at this time.

    Afterall, we don't want Hillary to have to dodge sniper fire again.


    April 30, 2008 10:35 pm at 10:35 pm |
  17. Sam

    Wasn't it Fox news that procalimed GW Bush winner in 2000 election? People be careful of the sources involved in "Poll of Polls". You don't want your rival showing you the path to success. Hillary supporters should not get too excited if Fox news plays down on Obama's lead nor should Obama's followers jubillate over Hillary's blast by Fox n its partners. Fox as Democrats know are not the friendliest people in politics.

    April 30, 2008 10:35 pm at 10:35 pm |
  18. Johnny

    Obama is an excellent speaker – afterall he has learned it from his minister of 20 years. But when it comes to leadership, he is second to Clinton.

    April 30, 2008 10:35 pm at 10:35 pm |
  19. gerald strother

    Poll of polls: Obama losing ground.Obama trails Clinton by just 21 superdelegates, 243-264, cutting her lead in half in less than two months. This week, he picked up seven delegates to her four.

    April 30, 2008 10:35 pm at 10:35 pm |
  20. JodyBS

    As I see it this is just the way the country feels. They know they don't like what we have now or for that matter the past 8 years, but they seem less sure in which direction and how fast they want change. Americans want change and progress the voters now are beginning to sort out their hearts.

    April 30, 2008 10:36 pm at 10:36 pm |
  21. Indiana

    Superdelagates need to come where we the people stand because we the people have the last say in the polls. We the people we do not supprise because if you superdelagates supprise us with Hillary, we will supprise you back with John McCain in the white house. We the people have the last say in November and we will put anyone we want in the white house;superdelagate cannot do that. I know you can choose any nominee you want behind close door but it that nominee is not where we stand 1984 like we did when Walter Mandale ran will make the news again.

    April 30, 2008 10:36 pm at 10:36 pm |
  22. Perplexed

    It's not hard to understand why either.

    Why did Obama stay friends with someone with those beliefs if he doesn't share them as well?

    Why did Obama continue to go to a church where such incredible ideas were perpetrated?

    The only logical conclusion is that he agrees with the reverend. I had a lot of respect for him until all this came out and now I question everything. I feel like he is just another politician spinning things to get what he wants. In this case it is the presidency of the United States and I really don't like it. Now I don't know who to support.

    April 30, 2008 10:36 pm at 10:36 pm |
  23. California

    The man is still ahead in delgates, popular vote, and has won the most states. He still has my vote.

    April 30, 2008 10:36 pm at 10:36 pm |
  24. Liberty Queen

    Lessee now: Since the primary began cnn has been the official website of Nobama who attends a church for 20 years led by a racist anti-american preecha, disrespects women, discounts seniors, disparages unemployed working people and he's afraid to debate Hillary with the gloves off...what's wrong with this pictuah? Everthing! Hillary Rodham Clinton is the most qualified to be President and Commander-In-Chief....Hillary is strong, smart and savvy. HILLARY! HILLARY! HILLARY!!!!!

    April 30, 2008 10:36 pm at 10:36 pm |
  25. Mary

    The media, Hillary Clinton or the Rev. Wright are not at fault. Senator Obama choose to sit in this church for 20 years and supported the Black Liberation Church with thousands of dolllar in contributions. He KNEW the teachings of this church.

    Everything Senator Obama and Michelle has said in the last day or so is just more political pandering.

    Hope voters wake up and stop believing the big liar.

    April 30, 2008 10:37 pm at 10:37 pm |
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