May 1st, 2008
06:52 AM ET
14 years ago

Poll of polls: Obama losing ground

[cnn-photo-caption image= caption=" Obama now leads Clinton by 1 point nationally."]

(CNN) - The Democratic presidential race is tightening nationally, according to a new CNN average of several recent polls.

Obama's lead is now down to 1 point over Clinton nationwide, 45 percent to 44 percent, in CNN's "poll of polls." That margin is down 3 points from another CNN poll of polls conducted two days ago. In that analysis, Obama led Clinton 47 percent to 43 percent. The margin is also considerably lower than an April 18 poll of polls that showed Obama with an 11 point lead.

The poll of polls consists of three newly released national polls from Fox News/Opinion Dynamics, Gallup, and Newsweek. There is no margin of error on the poll of polls.

Both the Fox News poll and the Gallup poll were conducted partially after Obama's former pastor, the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, made a fresh round of controversial comments earlier this week.

The Fox News poll also appears to show Obama no longer has an edge over Clinton among independent voters. In head-to-head match ups, presumptive Republican nominee John McCain wins independents by a 4 point margin over Clinton (42-38 percent) and by a 10 points over Obama (47 percent to 37 percent).

Filed under: Poll of polls
soundoff (1,279 Responses)
  1. AS

    Go Hillary!!!

    April 30, 2008 05:44 pm at 5:44 pm |
  2. James

    Now is the time to let us know Barack, are you the next Franklin Roosevelt or Gary Hart. Your ideas about a better nation are inspiring, we get it that Hillary's gas tax holiday is nothing more than a shell game that at the end of the day only benefits big oil, but what do you stand for? You told us you can change our nation, so now we ask, "into what?"

    The war rages, the uninsured are dying and the economy we rely on for our prosperity is faultering.

    We need to know how President Obama tackles this. Its your ball and there is 2 minutes left. You know the play you have to run.

    April 30, 2008 05:44 pm at 5:44 pm |
  3. Trent, Miami FL

    These polls of polls mean nothing when half of the population is not surveyed. Everyone is chanting change, but change has to start from the individual. Unfortunately people will never change, therefore they deserve everything they get thrown at them. Hillary runs on negativty the same old politics she will bring to the Whitehouse. Well I don't see her in the Whitehouse. She ask Bill to stop talking about Bosnia and she can't stop tlaking about Wright. What about her earmarks they were never release.

    Obama 08'

    April 30, 2008 05:44 pm at 5:44 pm |
  4. AIB

    Once again. Complete fabrication to maintain the hype in the primary election. CNN is trying, one more time, to confuse the American people and provide the false impression that Hillary is closed enough to win the nomination. The American people and the superdelegates are smarter than CNN., a bunch of spinners and opportunists.

    April 30, 2008 05:44 pm at 5:44 pm |
  5. Hattie / Chicago

    Any way you look at this it looks bad !!! It seems that the working Poor, the Rural, she used to have the black vote until recently, the uneducated, all are for Clinton. These folks are the lesser of our society..and Obama's people are the educated, urban, more up-scale voter. This is why it is so important to go to school and get educated. If Obama is gonna win he needs his wonderful base to vote for him, he's also gonna need the black vote .who in any other time would be on Clinton's side.. But she believes because she has the Mexican vote she's gonna be ok... This whole race has been so calculated. We are overdue we need CHANGE.


    April 30, 2008 05:45 pm at 5:45 pm |
  6. Susie

    Yes! It only took us how many months to begin to cross examine this guy? It was easy once the media chose to do their jobs. I wonder what more is to come?? Yikes!

    Hillary '08 (The Vetted Candidate of Substance)

    April 30, 2008 05:45 pm at 5:45 pm |
  7. Sharon Minnesota

    In listening to Wolf's guests just now as I am typing this, you would think that some people who support Obama are in a delusional state as they are saying that he has this nomination wrapped up.

    It's all propaganda in my book. Don't believe anything the Obama Machine says or you will get fooled.

    I'm going to be voting for Hillary Clinton in November and beyond.

    April 30, 2008 05:45 pm at 5:45 pm |
  8. Shawna

    in a few weeks this will be old news, Obama will win NC, squeak out Indiana and then the superdelegates will have to decide who will be the nominee. Nothing has changed!

    April 30, 2008 05:45 pm at 5:45 pm |
  9. Frazier, Palm Beach Florida

    These polls mean nothing!!!Just a gauge for public posturing. In the end she can't win. As a I recall President Clinton, was running behind Bush, Ross, in 92 and he still won. Only the Supers matters now and Obama is on auto control.

    Yes We Can!

    April 30, 2008 05:45 pm at 5:45 pm |
  10. Ben

    Personally I think these polls of polls are the biggest cash grab since Y2K....Are they every accurate? I mean they were right on the mark with the Penn Primaries right???

    April 30, 2008 05:46 pm at 5:46 pm |
  11. Rep for Hillary or McCain

    The slumbering giant aka the Ameican electorate has finally awaken to reality. Not a moment too soon. Or is it too late because Obama has the nomination in his grasps. The contest between Hillary and Obama is to close and it will go to the convention. Let us hope that better heads prevail and Obama is not the nominee.

    Republicans for Hillary or McCain

    April 30, 2008 05:46 pm at 5:46 pm |
  12. Very Concerned

    Quick question for everyone...if Hillary wins the election, will she actually testify at the Clinton V. Paul trial? The judge just said she does not have to testify until after the if she wins...will the President of the United States of America actually submit to a CA court and testify in a trial about campaign fraud concerning her and her husband?

    She might not have to legally because she's President? Not sure.

    She might hand out her first Presidential Pardon to Bill Clinton! I'm sure she will charge him though.....she charged $400,000 in a scheme with her brother 7 yrs with inflation...I'm guessing it could be in the $800,000 to a 1M range , just for the pure inconvenience of it all. Good to President!!

    April 30, 2008 05:46 pm at 5:46 pm |
  13. lorraine

    I am happy to see that the people are beginning to take a second look at Obama, he can reject the pastor now but for 20 years sat and listened to him, this pastor did not suddenly start saying these things and I would bet he has done it for years explaining why Michelle was NOT PROUD to be an American. A few weeks ago this pastor was like family to OBAMA – how can you say that and not know how someone speaks or acts. You can fool some of the people some of the time but not all the people all the time

    April 30, 2008 05:46 pm at 5:46 pm |
  14. Ex-Democrat in Iowa

    Patriot – you talk about Obama not having to deal with HRC and her supporters? Guess what, he will have to. He needs our support if he has a chance in hell of getting in the White House. I'd say as of right now his chances are quite thin for November.

    April 30, 2008 05:46 pm at 5:46 pm |
  15. Chief

    Has CNN hurt Babyobama. Bless his heart. When they were bashing only Clinton you guys had fun. The worm has turned. Obama has messed his own nest. Blame Clinton, everybody else does. They have for years.

    April 30, 2008 05:46 pm at 5:46 pm |
  16. mrtulip

    don't sell the fur before you shoot the bear!
    It's still a long long road to go and bet that next week there's news about the Clinton's and Obama is back in the race.

    April 30, 2008 05:46 pm at 5:46 pm |
  17. James

    The race would soon be over. Obama would move up again.

    April 30, 2008 05:47 pm at 5:47 pm |
  18. Lawrence

    It's a good thing that the this poll came from Fox News and Newsweek. The two places that really support the Republican cause. I suspect that those that responded to the poll aren't really voting Democrat anyway. What's funny to me is that John McCain is right there close in the polls with the Dems. Shouldn't he be leading more especially when the vote is split among the candidates? This lets me know that when Obama is the nominee that he'll beat him without a problem. CNN I beg you to be a better news outlet and not report polling from Fox and Newsweek. That's like me reporting news from George Bush about Iraq or news about sniper firer from Hillary Clinton as factual. We know better!!!

    April 30, 2008 05:47 pm at 5:47 pm |
  19. Brad in Missouri

    Dear RB, and others attempting to dig up dirt,
    The Peter Paul "issue" is a joke. Hillary cannot be charged with a felony no matter how hard Mr. Paul whines. The trial in question is in civil court not criminal... and he doesn't have a leg to stand on.
    Hillary has the popular vote, the majority vote (average american citizen), momentum and a very good chance of swinging Super delegates to her side. I would rather see her against McCain than anyone.

    April 30, 2008 05:47 pm at 5:47 pm |
  20. Dallas

    OBAMA TAKE THE V.P. At this point that is the high road for you and it will help the party unify. Get experiance, let people get to know you and then run in 2016. It is good for the party and the nation.

    April 30, 2008 05:47 pm at 5:47 pm |
  21. eddie

    Are we shocked? Nobody believes that obama spent 20 years in a church with this guy and heard nothing. We get 3 days of wright and we turn the tv off.
    It either shows obama has bad judgement or a sleeping disorder in church

    April 30, 2008 05:47 pm at 5:47 pm |
  22. Brendose, Oceanside CA

    Come on......1 point with a margin of error of 3? That is a wash.

    So, here's a better analogy.....

    What does Hillary and a monkey have in common?

    They both throw their feces at you!

    Wake up America!!! You can only hide the smell of BS for so long!

    April 30, 2008 05:47 pm at 5:47 pm |
  23. MD


    Polls do not mean a thing. All they do is sell adverising for CNN.

    April 30, 2008 05:47 pm at 5:47 pm |
  24. NP

    Hillary is now going to take over this election... she is the best candidate by far and everyone is beginning to realize that slowly but surely

    HILLARY 08!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    April 30, 2008 05:47 pm at 5:47 pm |
  25. K

    That's what happens when the basis of ur whole campaign is "judgement" and it comes out that you have none. Obama is going to lose to McCain in Nov. Great job Democrats.

    April 30, 2008 05:47 pm at 5:47 pm |
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