May 1st, 2008
06:52 AM ET
14 years ago

Poll of polls: Obama losing ground

[cnn-photo-caption image= caption=" Obama now leads Clinton by 1 point nationally."]

(CNN) - The Democratic presidential race is tightening nationally, according to a new CNN average of several recent polls.

Obama's lead is now down to 1 point over Clinton nationwide, 45 percent to 44 percent, in CNN's "poll of polls." That margin is down 3 points from another CNN poll of polls conducted two days ago. In that analysis, Obama led Clinton 47 percent to 43 percent. The margin is also considerably lower than an April 18 poll of polls that showed Obama with an 11 point lead.

The poll of polls consists of three newly released national polls from Fox News/Opinion Dynamics, Gallup, and Newsweek. There is no margin of error on the poll of polls.

Both the Fox News poll and the Gallup poll were conducted partially after Obama's former pastor, the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, made a fresh round of controversial comments earlier this week.

The Fox News poll also appears to show Obama no longer has an edge over Clinton among independent voters. In head-to-head match ups, presumptive Republican nominee John McCain wins independents by a 4 point margin over Clinton (42-38 percent) and by a 10 points over Obama (47 percent to 37 percent).

Filed under: Poll of polls
soundoff (1,279 Responses)
  1. Barb

    The President of The United States of America puts his country and it's people before himself.
    When Obama spoke out against the Rev. Wright it was all about the effect it had on him, his campaign, his family ,and his church something is really wrong with the way he handled the issue.
    When his wife spoke about the issue again it was about how it affected her husband and her,and their campaign.
    If they respected the United States of America they should show it without caring so much about themselves.

    April 30, 2008 10:48 pm at 10:48 pm |
  2. L. Tran, TX

    Obama did not throw Pastor Wright under the bus because Pastor Wright offended America, it is because Pastor Wright offended Obama personally and his presidency dream.

    Obama did not throw Samantha Power under the bus because she called Clinton a "Monster". It was because she admitted it will take longer to withdraw troops from Iraq.

    April 30, 2008 10:48 pm at 10:48 pm |
  3. MikeH

    Of course he is,

    Why wouldn' you do this earlier like before running for president? Obama is also buying superdelegates mostly with empty promises of databases filled with possible donors.
    WAKE UP SUPERS, those databases are fillaed with people that can't vote or are still in college and will change their phone number and address 2-3 times in the next few years.


    April 30, 2008 10:48 pm at 10:48 pm |
  4. Steve

    Operation Chaos is working to perfection 😉

    April 30, 2008 10:49 pm at 10:49 pm |
  5. hillary 08:

    i never got the sense that Obama was telling the truth with anything. I am black, a woman, young and making a decent living. NOW he backs away from someone who has been in his life for 20 years, just for the vote.

    shame on you my brother.

    you do not give us hope. you're just another politician puppet.

    Hillary as a woman, a leader for children is my vote now.
    At least I can imagine her dreams coming true for my little girl.
    at least there is truth with that.

    April 30, 2008 10:49 pm at 10:49 pm |
  6. MikeH

    It's becoming abundantly clear that Hillary will win the popular vote and Obama will win in pledged delegates.(This mostly means that the delegate allocation is not balanced)

    They can choose to vote by the pledged delegates or popular vote, which would you choose?

    HILLARY 08

    April 30, 2008 10:51 pm at 10:51 pm |
  7. tony from chicago

    with obama having friends like rev. wright luis farakan and the pentagon bomber from a decade ago i cant belive there are american people who can vote for this guy and want him to be our president. how can he attend a church for 20 years and not ever hear some of the numerous outrageous remarks from his pastor.
    reverend wright spoke the truth about the young senator when he said that obama's distancing himself from his pastor is purely political posturing .watch out america, watch who you want to be in the white house

    April 30, 2008 10:52 pm at 10:52 pm |
  8. Halley

    What's wrong with you silly people?
    Obama can't beat McCain.
    We are trying to win the general election still, right?

    Durh durh durh.

    April 30, 2008 10:52 pm at 10:52 pm |
  9. GT in CA

    Who cares about the inaccurate polls? The super delagates are what matters and they are lining up behind our next president – Barack Obama!

    April 30, 2008 10:52 pm at 10:52 pm |
  10. Dave Cheverly, MD

    “Please Please Please Don’t give up”
    the sign said held by a black women out side of a Florida 2000 Recount location. It was directed to Al Gore. I will never forget that sign and the powerful image it portrayed in the news article.

    Black people voted for Al Gore 90% and Kerry 90%. Blacks are now voting for Obama 90%. Blacks did not vote for other black 90%, Al Sharpton, Carol Mosley, Jessie Jackson or Allen Keys and he was a candidate in this election. Could it be that black were and are getting it correct. Why not just this once go with their choice. We tried the other way and we are now IN a hand basket headed to Hell. We NEED a President that will GET US OUT of the Basket.
    If anyone wanted to throw RACE into the equation, why not use this equation.

    Our thoughts and Prayers go out to you Michelle and Barack Obama

    “Please Please Please Don’t give up”

    April 30, 2008 10:52 pm at 10:52 pm |
  11. Tim

    Lisa commented: "Sen. Obama, please go back and raise your girls and honor your wife and be the best senator for Illinois you can be.

    We don't deserve you."

    Well said Lisa...Obama should go back and learn to be a senator first...after all he hasn't demonstrated much experience.

    April 30, 2008 10:52 pm at 10:52 pm |
  12. Steve

    Sincerely CNN, thanks for being fair in your reporting. The Obama supporters are turning on you very quickly, but that's because they are mostly angry people anyways. From a happy go lucky conservative, I appreciate your balance and fairness in reporting. Nice Work.

    It all hinges on Indiana...

    April 30, 2008 10:52 pm at 10:52 pm |
  13. NANK

    Hillary cannot generate the kind of supporter money to run her
    broke campaign let alone bring money to help support seating for the Dems in Senate ,congress.,legisl. She wants that money Obama supporters bring in.Her only strategy is to smear because she is the same old same old scandal administration. Enough.We don't need another
    pretend Pres. If she does win she can that Obama for bringing in More money for the Dems ever! But she will not get a penny of my money for support.

    April 30, 2008 10:53 pm at 10:53 pm |
  14. American Hero

    Barack Obama is the best hope for America. I'm impressed by his composure in the face of adversity and how he maintains his principles. He's also the greatest intellect of the 3 remaining candidates and after nearly 8 years of stupidity from the White House, it is time for someone who has the mental capacity to move this nation forward - Barack Obama.

    April 30, 2008 10:53 pm at 10:53 pm |
  15. Ed

    BORING!!!...would you start covering real news. Do some investigative work instead of polling?

    April 30, 2008 10:55 pm at 10:55 pm |
  16. Linda, Torrance, California

    I dont' understand how these national polls have any bearing on the Democratic race. Most states have held their primaries, and both candidates have exactly the same number of delegates today that they did yesterday. The only possible use for these polls is for the media to mess with superdelegates' minds.

    I'm a non-paritisan voter in Calfiornia who could only vote in the Democratic primary. I voted for Clinton, but if Obama has more delegates, he has more delegates. I admire Clinton's perserverance and respect her right to continue in this tight race, but there will come a time (hopefully by the first vote at the convention) where the person with the most delegates needs to get on with preparing for the November election.

    April 30, 2008 10:56 pm at 10:56 pm |
  17. Tony

    With all the negativity with Obama and he is still in the running shows that Hillary in not electable.
    This is good for the general, to have everything out in the open now so for the general election Obama will have already been exposed.
    Thanks Hillary, you actually are doing Mr Obama a big favor. You know the super delegates are not going to put you in .

    April 30, 2008 10:56 pm at 10:56 pm |
  18. norm

    Me and 4000 other Obama supporters are voting for McCain if this thing goes to Hillary. Bank on it. See you at McCain`s inauguration.

    April 30, 2008 10:56 pm at 10:56 pm |
  19. Brian from SC

    I really think we as Americans are making a serious blunder by buying into the political tactics of the McCain and Clinton campaigns in conjunction with half-baked truths from the news media. Yes, I do realize some may disagree, but everyone is entitled to their opinion.

    It is beginning to look more and more like these polls are being set up to give a certain outlook. I believe Obama held his ground well in response to the Rev. J. Wright circus.

    Obama's campaign from day one has been about placing power with the people and giving us the opportunity to change the country for the better. It's not even really about Obama, but us as the American people reclaiming our role in the legislative processes of the land.

    Obama 08! we need him and so does the world. Read the latest Newsweek's article on his foreign policy experience. You might be surprised at his depth of knowledge and life experiences.

    April 30, 2008 10:57 pm at 10:57 pm |
  20. Janel, St. Paul, MN

    Obama is losing ground because he hasn't had a chance to really challenge McCain. This is thanks to Senator Clinton and her husband being completely unwilling to admit that she doesn't have some sort of right to the presidency.

    Once Obama is the nominee, he will "cream" McCain. The people want a change, and that change is not McCain, nor Clinton.

    Please give the Wright moment a rest! There are so many more important issues to discuss. The attention being given to Rev. Wright could be laughable, if not so tragic given our nation's state right now.

    April 30, 2008 10:57 pm at 10:57 pm |
  21. Paul,Jet

    All of the Clinton supporters, how can you all trust what she has to say? If she will knowingly lie about small insignificant things, what makes you all think that she is telling the truth about what she will do on the major issues, the changes she will make. A Lier is a Lier, LET'S CHANGE THE FACE OF POLITICS AND HOW WASHINGTON IS RAN!!!!!!!!!!!

    OBAMA '08

    April 30, 2008 10:57 pm at 10:57 pm |
  22. Trenton Sims, Los Angeles


    Thats super silly...

    April 30, 2008 10:58 pm at 10:58 pm |
  23. Umpire

    So, the Rev. Mr. Wright has a self-fulfilling prophecy–that no black man can be elected President of the United States. He's making it happen. Then, he will use the result to justify further claims of racism!

    April 30, 2008 10:58 pm at 10:58 pm |
  24. Junebug

    Hillary all the way............................08.......................................

    April 30, 2008 10:59 pm at 10:59 pm |
  25. Don Abramson

    Don't ever say that Clinton should drop out and is splitting the democratic party You are trying to bully an exception candidate and person to leave the race and incase you haven't noticed- she won't. You communist. In a democracy everyone gets a vote and I believe that there are several primaries left so sure she should drop out because all of the last primaries have really proved she has no chance- Texas, Ohio, Rhode Island, Pennsylvania. Yeah just huge states that she healthily won but oh she really should get out now because her momentum is over (sarcasm is hard to read on the internet but I hope you got it) BYE!

    April 30, 2008 10:59 pm at 10:59 pm |
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