May 1st, 2008
06:52 AM ET
14 years ago

Poll of polls: Obama losing ground

[cnn-photo-caption image= caption=" Obama now leads Clinton by 1 point nationally."]

(CNN) - The Democratic presidential race is tightening nationally, according to a new CNN average of several recent polls.

Obama's lead is now down to 1 point over Clinton nationwide, 45 percent to 44 percent, in CNN's "poll of polls." That margin is down 3 points from another CNN poll of polls conducted two days ago. In that analysis, Obama led Clinton 47 percent to 43 percent. The margin is also considerably lower than an April 18 poll of polls that showed Obama with an 11 point lead.

The poll of polls consists of three newly released national polls from Fox News/Opinion Dynamics, Gallup, and Newsweek. There is no margin of error on the poll of polls.

Both the Fox News poll and the Gallup poll were conducted partially after Obama's former pastor, the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, made a fresh round of controversial comments earlier this week.

The Fox News poll also appears to show Obama no longer has an edge over Clinton among independent voters. In head-to-head match ups, presumptive Republican nominee John McCain wins independents by a 4 point margin over Clinton (42-38 percent) and by a 10 points over Obama (47 percent to 37 percent).

Filed under: Poll of polls
soundoff (1,279 Responses)
  1. Halley

    "he is hoping that they would rather go squirrel hunting than vpte."
    Dear Sally,
    I'd rather squirrel hunt than "vpte" any day, but myself, and all of my backward, redneck, pickup-truck-driving, hillbilly friends will be voting May 6.
    Halley in NC

    April 30, 2008 10:59 pm at 10:59 pm |
  2. Greg

    Obama is over, the media has finally cut him off at the knees. Time for people to unite behind McCain and move forward. The African-American voters need to switch parties and vote McCain. McCain will make a fine president. Let's turn the page on the Clinton and Bush eras and vote for McCain.

    April 30, 2008 10:59 pm at 10:59 pm |
  3. georgia

    we love Obama...................Barack Obama 08

    April 30, 2008 11:00 pm at 11:00 pm |

    The media would love to give this impression, but we ALL know better!





    April 30, 2008 11:00 pm at 11:00 pm |
  5. Tor Lars

    It's so fun to see the contortions Obama supporters will go through to save him from ignominy.

    Give it up already... his lefty-hippy-trippy-dippy campaign of hot air and platitudes is over.

    Or, on second thought... keep him in there so rev wright - or someone even more repugnant, if that's possible - can pop out of the toilet on November 3rd with another killer rant.

    You couldn't make this stuff up... what an RNC wet dream.

    April 30, 2008 11:01 pm at 11:01 pm |
  6. Geraldine Ciesielski

    Obama and his wife are so dishonest. They scare me and a lot of people I know.

    April 30, 2008 11:01 pm at 11:01 pm |


    April 30, 2008 11:01 pm at 11:01 pm |
  8. Katz

    Senator Obama is brilliant, attractive, articulate (and some say charismatic ) but offers no practical solutions. Senator Clinton is brilliant, attractive and a proven (dynamic) problem solver. USA is in crisis – we need action, not feel-good rhetoric. This is not Senator Obama's "time" – I believe he is destined for greatness, but he is not yet prepared to lead....

    April 30, 2008 11:02 pm at 11:02 pm |
  9. Dustin

    I think Obama's real problem is Rev. Wright. The Rev. is keeping his comments fresh in the minds of voters and adding more garbage with additional remarks. Forget Obama vs. Clinton. Right now, this is about Obama vs.Wright.

    April 30, 2008 11:02 pm at 11:02 pm |
  10. shelly

    get real people. Can't you see that all media has to do is make a big deal out of nothing to ruin people's character. At that point, America is so stupid we fall for it and let people get to the white house that want to buy their way into it. Funny how the Clintons can lie and cheat to get what they want. Obama can do the job.

    OBAMA 08

    April 30, 2008 11:03 pm at 11:03 pm |
  11. J.S.


    Even if Obama was winning by 10points, the media and government would find a way to "correct" that. Only a portion of this country is rdy for a "Black" president, the other portions, I can not speak for, but I can say I hope that if Clinton / Mccain become president and we continue our current war or start a new one, I hope their have a nice trip...

    Because we all know what will happen then, they'll be moaning and whining about how bad clinton / mccain are, yada yada yada... Same typical ish, different year.

    I wish our country would just split, I think there is more hatred in this country for ourselves then towards external countries. So why don't we just give the states west of the rockies to Obama, give the south and mid-west to mccain, and the east to Clinton?

    Works for me.

    April 30, 2008 11:03 pm at 11:03 pm |
  12. gem

    it's not surprise.

    Most uneducated people go for the quick fixes that Hillary and McCain offer and that in the long run, will ruin this country.

    As proof see how our current commander in chief was chosen, not once but twice.

    April 30, 2008 11:04 pm at 11:04 pm |
  13. Anonymous

    Move on People!

    April 30, 2008 11:04 pm at 11:04 pm |
  14. berksdan

    I can't think about this right now. I'll think about it tomorrow.

    After all, tomorrow will bring another poll....

    April 30, 2008 11:07 pm at 11:07 pm |
  15. Ewan NY

    It saddens me how swiftly we change sides. How can you stand up for anything when you are always on the fence. Do we honestly believe that if we as democrats continue on this path that we can win in November weather it be Hillary or Obama. Take a stand choose and stand by that choice. Why are we letting the actions of bitter, resentful people influence our good judgement. Yes Obama expressed his outrage, but Hillary has as well.

    Think for yourself, observe, listen, then make the right choice for you. YES I am a Obama supporter but that does not mean that like some I would vote Republican because he is not the candidate. Our mandate our mission is to retake the White House. Crossing over would be an act of betrayal to your party.

    April 30, 2008 11:07 pm at 11:07 pm |
  16. Jae

    Obama will be back as a strong candidate. EVERYONE WILL SEE~~~~~

    April 30, 2008 11:08 pm at 11:08 pm |
  17. bernice

    He will rebound, consider the alternative – Billary. Hillary will lose.

    April 30, 2008 11:08 pm at 11:08 pm |
  18. Dave in So. Colo

    "THE DREAM TEAM" Here is why....

    Most Democrats either want it, or would be satisfied with it.

    It would resolve the issue of Florida and Michigan Primary Delegates not being seated.

    It would be less risky to the 'Superdelegates' personal careers and reputations.

    It would be more difficult for McCain to come up with a running mate that would have the background and appeal to counter a Clinton/Obama ticket.

    It would mean the money now being donated and spent by the Democratic Primary race to be better spent on a general election run.

    Although Obama is currently ahead in Delegates, had the counting been been done on a 'Winner Take All' basis as it was done by the Republicans, Clinton would be way ahead in delegates because of states she won like California and New York. Why does the Republicans count their primary race in this fashion? I believe it is because of more closely following the 'Winner Take All' counting done by the Electoral College in the General Election.

    April 30, 2008 11:08 pm at 11:08 pm |
  19. jeff

    The racial issue is the most transformational issue of this campaign. Will it prove to be the down fall of Obama or the transformation of a nation's thinking about oppression, domestic and international.

    The history of domestic oppression is linked to international oppression in its nature, in its practice. Americans may choose to dissociate from Obama because they are repulsed by the content of racism, or they may embrace him inspite of it to forge under his leadership a new world view towards it, to transform our view and the world's view.

    This is certainly one of the great potentials of an Obama presidency. And what a radically different approach from the Bush administration it would be. The terrorists certainly will not stop there campaign. But to shift the focus to a deeper recognition of oppression and engage the world with a fuller recognition of it will alter the direction of the prevailing winds that motivate so much hatred.

    April 30, 2008 11:10 pm at 11:10 pm |
  20. Steve

    The Clintons have been asking why can't Sen.Obama put her away. I think the real question is why can't she put him away. She had the name recognition, and the early jump before the public started learning about Sen. Obama. She is now trailing, has become a person that can't be believed and would most definitely lose to Sen. McCain. The super delegates are finally declaring for Sen. Obama and that will finally end this mess.

    April 30, 2008 11:10 pm at 11:10 pm |
  21. betty

    Voters care very little about what the cable news care about.
    You want gossip like news. We want real questions, not about sniper fire or preachers in your life, people are losing their jobsand homes.
    They can't afford gas to go job hunting or searching for somewhere to live.
    Voters and viewers are so very much smarter than your producers think. Switing to CSpan for my news.

    April 30, 2008 11:10 pm at 11:10 pm |
  22. pancha

    Don't forget Rev. Wright's final words. "Barack, I'll be knocking on the back door of the White House when you become President." All you Obamanation fans, GET A GRIP!!!!!!

    April 30, 2008 11:11 pm at 11:11 pm |
  23. Hooray for Hillary!!!!


    You can throw your formerly beloved uncle under the bus all you like

    He's known you a WHOLE LOT LONGER than any of the rest of us

    He may be crazy, but I believe him on only one point:

    You ARE a "politician," and you will say whatever it is you think you need to say depending upon your current audience in order to get yourself elected

    For example, while at that private dinner in California for rich White folks, you dissed rural America

    Another example: your pandering to Canada over NAFTA, and I quote, "Well, you know, that's just politics"

    Another example – while thinking with one half of your brain (I confess I can't recall exactly WHAT half – left or right – according to Reverend Looney), you said Reverend Looney was like a member of your family

    And then you thought with the OTHER half of your brain, and decided that he sucks

    Maybe that's the answer to "I never heard him" and "Umm, uhh, yes, I guess I did hear him after all"

    Maybe your flappy ears are as confused as your brain is

    Listen, do us all a favor – flap your flappy ears and fly away to a vacation

    You've earned it, crybaby, and that way, you can avoid a debate

    April 30, 2008 11:11 pm at 11:11 pm |
  24. Peter D.

    Hello Madam President!

    April 30, 2008 11:13 pm at 11:13 pm |
  25. eva heffron

    I cannot see how the dems can run Obama in the general election. He has too many flaws. I really feel sorry for these superdelegates that have jumped on his bandwagon. If I were them I would be ashamed of not vetting Obama more thoroughly. Way too many problems with him. Wake up and give Hillary a second look and get over the fact that she is a woman.

    April 30, 2008 11:14 pm at 11:14 pm |
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