May 1st, 2008
06:52 AM ET
14 years ago

Poll of polls: Obama losing ground

[cnn-photo-caption image= caption=" Obama now leads Clinton by 1 point nationally."]

(CNN) - The Democratic presidential race is tightening nationally, according to a new CNN average of several recent polls.

Obama's lead is now down to 1 point over Clinton nationwide, 45 percent to 44 percent, in CNN's "poll of polls." That margin is down 3 points from another CNN poll of polls conducted two days ago. In that analysis, Obama led Clinton 47 percent to 43 percent. The margin is also considerably lower than an April 18 poll of polls that showed Obama with an 11 point lead.

The poll of polls consists of three newly released national polls from Fox News/Opinion Dynamics, Gallup, and Newsweek. There is no margin of error on the poll of polls.

Both the Fox News poll and the Gallup poll were conducted partially after Obama's former pastor, the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, made a fresh round of controversial comments earlier this week.

The Fox News poll also appears to show Obama no longer has an edge over Clinton among independent voters. In head-to-head match ups, presumptive Republican nominee John McCain wins independents by a 4 point margin over Clinton (42-38 percent) and by a 10 points over Obama (47 percent to 37 percent).

Filed under: Poll of polls
soundoff (1,279 Responses)
  1. Greg

    McCain is the only choice for Americans because people know where he stands. No one can question his patriotism or his ethics. He is also a Maverick who is willing to go against the grain. He has more experience than Barack and Hillary combined. Voting democrat this year brings too much uncertainty and that is why voting for McCain is the only choice. Barack is done, the media no longer likes him and Hillary, no matter how hard she tries will never be more of a man than McCain. Plus, do you really want Bill in the White House again. Enough with the Bush, Clinton, Bush, Clinton thing. Vote McCain 2008

    April 30, 2008 05:52 pm at 5:52 pm |
  2. phe

    People, not poll averages decide.
    It appears to me that some voters have been lulled into a false sense of security in reference to one of the candidate’s baggage.......but for the fact, the other candidate has chosen to take the high road, and not bring up dirty facts that are out in cyberspace for the picking.

    Don't bee fooled, the Republicans will not be so kind.

    April 30, 2008 05:52 pm at 5:52 pm |
  3. steveg

    Ah yes, let's encourage the harpie to sharpen her personal attacks, since that's all that seems to get reported, and sadly works.

    Hell, at this point Obama could cure cancer and eradicate poverty, and the CNN lead headline would be to ask if Rev. Right influenced him to do it, and what that meant for his chances in the election.

    April 30, 2008 05:52 pm at 5:52 pm |
  4. kmk

    I can see it now, when Obama looses, their will be a big uprising, riots and looting. All because the man of color did not win. Some will claim it was planned by the White man.

    April 30, 2008 05:53 pm at 5:53 pm |
  5. Katina From Connecticut

    I think it is SOOOO funny how Hilary was trying to make herself look like "one of us" and show her concerns about high gas prices....

    She doesn't even know who to pump her own gas!!! now who is elitist!

    Obama, the country is in your hands now. You need to start playing this dirty game with Hilary and knock her out of this race. We already know you are honorable, you proved this thus far......

    Start dropping ads on the scandals, the bosnia lies, blowing up Iran and causing WWIII

    Get rid of this poor excuse for a strong woman.....
    a strong woman is honorable and has integrity

    April 30, 2008 05:53 pm at 5:53 pm |
  6. Theresa in Minneapolis

    It's so sad. I mean really. This has nothing to do about what he stands for or what he himself has done.

    It's all been on media spin and the way the vultures have swooped in. This is all the Hillary backers have been waiting for. THe degradation of a man based on outside forces.

    I will say to you Clintonites – enjoy your day in the sun. Your candidate is going on trial whether she wins the nominations. She will bring shame on this country JUST LIKE BILL.. Is it the White House or the "big house" for the Clinton's?

    April 30, 2008 05:53 pm at 5:53 pm |
  7. Cameron

    Clinton is way ahead in the National heads-up polls over McCain compared to Obama, as reported by CNN earlier this week. It is nice and I appreciate the fact that Senator Clinton is finally getting some credit for her exceptional efforts to make this primary a competitive race. If Obama's Elitist, Rev. Wright, William Ayres, and Resko issues would of came up in the general election, Obama's campaign would have been sunk a long time ago. So, Obama should be thanking Senator Clinton, by being her V.P. Go Democrats.

    April 30, 2008 05:53 pm at 5:53 pm |


    April 30, 2008 05:53 pm at 5:53 pm |
  9. david

    I Guess the PR stunt obama camp just pulled trying to show as if he and wright is fighting so he can distance himself from wright is not working.
    obama camp insider told a freind of mine that the PR firm that david axelrod hired last week from obama camp on behalf of wright came up with this idea to start fighting and create this scripted fight between wright and obama so obama can denounce wright and move on is not working. why isn't the media doing the proper investigative reporting on this instead they go along with the footnotes given by obama camp like blind sheep.

    April 30, 2008 05:53 pm at 5:53 pm |
  10. Californian


    April 30, 2008 05:53 pm at 5:53 pm |
  11. Nimesh Patel, Antioch, Ca

    So why is it then, that Mrs. Clinton, who has so much experience, has lived in the White House, and has been in politics for many many more years that Mr. Obama and claims that she is the better candidate, finds herself trailing today across the board – delegates, votes, states – one with her so called vast experience should have had this nomination sealed along time ago...So I ask, why is she behind? She has no reason to be as she know all about campaigning will Mr. Clinton for the Presidency and as a wife of a governor. She has been a First Lady, a Governors Wife, a why is she behind or having to play catch up with a Junior Senator?

    Ask the youth of today as they are the future and they will tell you what it means to be inspired by a brilliant candidate that has only recently entered mainstream for Mrs. Clinton – remember the candle burns brightest just before it goes out!

    April 30, 2008 05:53 pm at 5:53 pm |
  12. Stewart in Charlotte NC

    I laugh at the Hillary supporters. Do you really think the Republicans aren't dancing with glee at the possibility of running against her?? The stuff they have on Hillary will make Obama's issues seem minor. Since I support Obama, its hard for me to get in the head of a Clinton supporter to see exactly what sort of mind-altering gymnastics they have to do to justify voting for a known liar (see running from Bosnian sniper fire). Think that won't get a lot of air time this Fall?? Remember the picture of Dukakis riding around in a tank with a helmet on that made him look like an idiot?? Folks, if Obama is still running this strong with all this going on and Hillary still can't pull ahead, what does that tell you about her??

    April 30, 2008 05:53 pm at 5:53 pm |
  13. North Carolina

    If only it were just Rev. Wright: but it's Ayres & Dohrn, Auchi, Khalidi, Rezko, Odinga, and McClurkin, the list just goes on and on: Sen. Obama is unelectable. It is a great pity that he was not vetted more
    and that he was so shamelessly promoted by the very insiders he speaks against: Dean, Pelosi, Reid, Ted Kennedy, Daley, Kerry. Of equal disservice is the constant attacks on a much more viable candidate because she is a woman. From Obama's giving her the finger to his walking on stage to Jay z's 99 problems and b*, and Olbermann's suggestion that someone take her in a room and only he comes out: this is a disgrace.

    April 30, 2008 05:53 pm at 5:53 pm |
  14. max

    You are right polls dont vote people do and we have spoken try that unelectable mess, he has alreday won she cant beat him people...hillary has enough baggage of her own ....they disgraced the country.... we do not want them back to do the same thing again!!!!! the DNC know what they are doing and to maintain a democratic party the millions voters this man has sigle handed brought into this party will walk away for ever and that is a fact...Oh my God the Clintons are a mess.... what is wrong with you people...... and by the way we wont be voting Republican we have awinning candidate OBAMA President of the USA

    April 30, 2008 05:53 pm at 5:53 pm |
  15. lynette

    WOW, I am reading the responses and they are similar, now survey that!!! The media reports Gossip and Garbage instead of real issues that effect us, the media seems to care about ratings NOT the American people, the media loves side shows blah blah blah.

    April 30, 2008 05:54 pm at 5:54 pm |
  16. Laura

    Although I'm a republican, I have really (& still do) favored Obama. He is the one who can bring change that this country needs. Unfortunately, the more people who are extremists – such as Michael Moore – endorse Obama, the more people who are leaning towards Obama as the candidate for change will step back and wonder whether or not Obama is the real deal or just a pawn in the hands of extremists. The other factor is that Rev. Wright doesn't know when he is WRONG and keep his mouth shut for the greater good. I will NOT vote for Hillary Clinton if she wins the democratic primary. I'm not sure that I'll vote republican either, but the chance for the democratic party to win over a few republicans will go out the window if Hillary wins the primary season.

    April 30, 2008 05:54 pm at 5:54 pm |
  17. Ardnuas

    Voters..... be SMART ..... The Clintons lie with ease.... If you fall for them again..... shame on YOU

    April 30, 2008 05:54 pm at 5:54 pm |
  18. Mark

    How many of you have seen the interview.? Is Clinton suppose to not answer questions when asked?

    For those who don't consider this a political issue any longer, I suggest you go to Obama's church website. It still lists Wright as the pastor. I would think that his church would have updated their site after his retirement several months back. Be sure to click on both the pastor link and the pastorial staff link. He is at the top of both pages.

    Interesting to me at least?

    April 30, 2008 05:54 pm at 5:54 pm |
  19. California Girl

    This is an indication the American people are coming together and deciding who is better qualified for the toughest job in the United States and that is HILLARY.

    April 30, 2008 05:55 pm at 5:55 pm |
  20. ML Holmes in OKC

    Thank God, voters are finally looking at and listening to the Obama campaign. He conveys dishonesty, and lacks good judgement, intergity and needed experience.

    Vote for anyone except Obama.

    April 30, 2008 05:55 pm at 5:55 pm |
  21. Matt, Dallas, TX

    more and more of my friends are regretting voting for Obama. Too late for them, but not for the superdels and the upcoming states. Lets show this nation we have a nominee in Senator Clinton. No experience Obama is not what we need. He has run a great marketing game and rock star shows. Now the party is over lets get down to business and real solutions for America.

    HILLARY 2008. Bringing Intelligence back to the White House

    April 30, 2008 05:55 pm at 5:55 pm |
  22. dj

    After all that...Obama still ahead and will have the most delegates. National polls may include Republicans.

    April 30, 2008 05:55 pm at 5:55 pm |
  23. azmy

    I thing this week would be last chance for Hillary to laugh , I hope Americans have another chance to prove that we are smart enough to make a good judgement

    April 30, 2008 05:55 pm at 5:55 pm |
  24. Leo


    Listen, we know polls are not a representation of what is really out there anyways, so saying this is just the icing for what is irresponsible reporting.

    April 30, 2008 05:55 pm at 5:55 pm |
  25. Jessie

    We need a fighter in the white house, not a smooth talker!

    ** HILLARY '08 **

    April 30, 2008 05:55 pm at 5:55 pm |
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