May 1st, 2008
06:52 AM ET
14 years ago

Poll of polls: Obama losing ground

[cnn-photo-caption image= caption=" Obama now leads Clinton by 1 point nationally."]

(CNN) - The Democratic presidential race is tightening nationally, according to a new CNN average of several recent polls.

Obama's lead is now down to 1 point over Clinton nationwide, 45 percent to 44 percent, in CNN's "poll of polls." That margin is down 3 points from another CNN poll of polls conducted two days ago. In that analysis, Obama led Clinton 47 percent to 43 percent. The margin is also considerably lower than an April 18 poll of polls that showed Obama with an 11 point lead.

The poll of polls consists of three newly released national polls from Fox News/Opinion Dynamics, Gallup, and Newsweek. There is no margin of error on the poll of polls.

Both the Fox News poll and the Gallup poll were conducted partially after Obama's former pastor, the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, made a fresh round of controversial comments earlier this week.

The Fox News poll also appears to show Obama no longer has an edge over Clinton among independent voters. In head-to-head match ups, presumptive Republican nominee John McCain wins independents by a 4 point margin over Clinton (42-38 percent) and by a 10 points over Obama (47 percent to 37 percent).

Filed under: Poll of polls
soundoff (1,279 Responses)
  1. Somewhere in Texas

    If the superdelegates steal this nomination from Barack and give it to Clinton, she will not be elected. I repeat, she will not be elected!

    April 30, 2008 05:59 pm at 5:59 pm |
  2. gloria pitman

    barack oboma helped dig his his own grave he knew what his pastor was for years. otherwise he would not have attented his church. but when rev wright said something to insult him then oboma spoke up, oboma better watch what he says about the rev wright maybe wrigt can revial more about oboma .look what obomas wife wife said on larry king she didnt think the same way rev wright thinks you can bet she did. look how oboma did not wear the flag on his lapelle until a veteren put it on his lapelle one day. i would not trust him to be president right now. liston to me or not. thank you gloria

    April 30, 2008 05:59 pm at 5:59 pm |
  3. Diana, Anacortes, WA

    If Clinton is the nominee I can see the ad now. Footage of her srolling across the tarmac with her daughter and the overlay will be the story of how she had to duck and run, ect, ect. She will no doubt lose. Most people don"t like a liar.

    April 30, 2008 05:59 pm at 5:59 pm |
  4. Poorker, NY

    Useless poll.

    April 30, 2008 05:59 pm at 5:59 pm |
  5. Kevin

    And he's STILL beating Sen. Clinton.

    Wow, she must be a really terrible candidate.

    April 30, 2008 05:59 pm at 5:59 pm |
  6. Summer

    I'm not surprised. Hillary has proven she has the mettle it takes to be a leader in the past few weeks. Obama is looking more and more effete. I never thought I would say this, but Clinton is now coming across, dare I say it, as likeable.

    April 30, 2008 05:59 pm at 5:59 pm |
  7. cevans. dallas, tx

    Why is Hillary so strong? Because she act as thought she wear the PANTS!! in the family. Hillary's the one who has been crying and whining. Senator Barack Obama will prevail. It's time for a change. And, those of you who are against him because of race are probably the poorest of the poorest and stupid.

    April 30, 2008 05:59 pm at 5:59 pm |
  8. Mary

    Please explain what experience Hillary has ?????

    She stopped talking about her 35 years of experience because it was all a lie.

    What experience??

    April 30, 2008 05:59 pm at 5:59 pm |
  9. Michele in AZ

    Why are people forgetting that Hillary didn't have the judgement to vote against the war? Why are people forgetting that she lied sniper fire in Bosnia? She's even told a lie about an ordinary american woman not being able to obtain healthcare and that story ended in death. When she was called on that lie, she removed it from her standard speach.

    Well, the reason hillary backers forget might have something to do with the fact that the majority have a lower education level than those who vote for Obama (as reported on CNN ). Or It might be that they feel "she has more experience". In reality, the only "experience" she has is that she shared a bed with a president.

    Washington has all of the experience in the world, but look at our economy, and this war that will seemingly never end. Look at the housing crisis, and the price of gas.

    Is that what experience gets ya?

    OBAMA '08

    April 30, 2008 05:59 pm at 5:59 pm |
  10. Neutral

    Obama and Wright SHARE the SAME IDEOLOGY, but Obama has to throw Wright under the bus which both of them AGREE according to Wright's interview last year with NYT for political expediency. You've been HOODWINKED, BAMBOOZLED by Obama, and YOU koolaid drinkers are smiling, dancing, giggling while he's doing it to you. For supposedly "educated" people, you make MAGGOTS sound like a GENIUS!

    April 30, 2008 05:59 pm at 5:59 pm |
  11. froggy_grow

    how many people will vote for Nader if Hillary is the candidate?

    April 30, 2008 05:59 pm at 5:59 pm |
  12. Eugene

    Typical of these polls there is a lag time. Give them a few days, and he will pop up as he has every time he weathers with a wise comment another media or Clinton-inspired idiocy.

    April 30, 2008 05:59 pm at 5:59 pm |
  13. Darth Vadik, CA

    Brendose, Oceanside CA

    That is very very funny. Never thought of it that way, but its so true.

    April 30, 2008 05:59 pm at 5:59 pm |
  14. jim dale

    Obama sat in that church for 20 years and even if he slept through every service he heard heard about Wright's incendiary remarks through the church grapvine or in the church bulletins. He has lied incessantly about this as he did months ago about his limited role with Rezko. This candidate gives a good speech but, and I never thoght this possible, he scares me as much or more as Bush. I will vote for a democrat but not for him.

    April 30, 2008 05:59 pm at 5:59 pm |

    There is so much negativity towards Obama on CNN. The momentum that you spin doctors claim to be going Hillary's way, is imagined and orchestrated, to hopefully sway uninformed voters. i'm cancelling my cable package and deleting CNN.

    April 30, 2008 06:00 pm at 6:00 pm |
  16. Greg

    Obamacins you need to join McCain. The black vote is switching to the Republican party because the Republicans will treat you fairly unlike the Clintonites. We need true change this year, McCain will turn the page on the Clintons and provide true leadership. McCain extended an olive branch to the black vote in NO, now is the time for blacks to show their voting power and move to a different party. Obama has no chance of winning now because the white blue collar democrats will not vote for him.

    Vote McCain 2008!

    April 30, 2008 06:00 pm at 6:00 pm |
  17. Joan

    I find it very strange that the press thinks it very important that the Presidential candidates declare their relationship with their pastors. Is Barack Obama the only candidate in the race? Heck no! They have finally found something to stick! I will not let anything distract me from voting for Barack Obama. I believe that he is what this country needs at this time to get us back on track. We finally deserve an honest President backed by the people and not the special interests Lobbists in Washinton. Go Barack Obama!

    April 30, 2008 06:00 pm at 6:00 pm |
  18. Sean

    Obama may lead Clinton by 1 point nationally, buy lead her in honest by 1000 points.This is your last chance America to change Washington!

    Vote Obama!!!!!

    April 30, 2008 06:00 pm at 6:00 pm |
  19. NoMoreBamaDrama

    I don't think that the American people can fully trust someone who has sat in church for 20 yrs listening to a man preach about all of the injustices "whites" have caused "blacks" and still think that he has no form, thought, idea as Rev Wright. I honestly think that OB does think like Wright and that if we as Americans vote for him, we are truly in trouble. I personally don't want to see this man run or for better choice of word, ruin this country by subjecting us to 4 or more years of Rev. Wright. The ties OB has to other organizations is pretty pathetic. I'm not saying Hillary is the perfect candidate, however I believe she is the strongest of the 2 Democrats that can and will beat McCain. Bama had my vote.....not anymore. I know you haters will start with your bickering i just have 2 words for your ignorance...WAKE UP!!! Superdelegates don't be ignorant, your best bet is on Clinton.

    April 30, 2008 06:00 pm at 6:00 pm |
  20. Mary in LA

    HILLARY 2008!

    April 30, 2008 06:00 pm at 6:00 pm |
  21. Ken in Western NY

    Polls are meaningless. I have never been contacted by anyone asking who I want – democrat or republican. And I don't know of anyone else who has.

    Regardless, I think that everyone will see that Obama will come back strong. He is spot on with the federal gasoline tax breaks. Clinton is just trying to woo those voters who are feeling the pinch at the gas pumps. With the tax break that she would want to institute (and how she would do it since she isn't the president, I haven't a clue!) – the most you might save at the pumps is maybe $1.00 a fill up – if that. Barack knows what he is talking about. He is much smarter than Hillary Clinton.

    It's the small minded people that think that she is all for the poor people that will possibly bring her up in the polls. That's who they must be polling. How they know who all those small minded people are though – I have no idea!!

    Oh well.....Go Barack !!!

    April 30, 2008 06:00 pm at 6:00 pm |
  22. Tubby The Tuba

    CNN and other media stations have done a great job in spinning the political campaign material so that Obama is loosing ground. What with Lou Dobbs always putting down Obama and raising Clinton up, and then you have Wolf praising Clinton what do you expect. they are just trying to keep this contest going because it makes them lots of money. Only Jack Cafferty is open and honest when handling the Presidential candidates.

    April 30, 2008 06:00 pm at 6:00 pm |
  23. Eddie

    Bam! You're so over Obama! The tide is turning, alot of people are realizing that Obama is not electable. The Wright controversy afffected his messy campaign. Alot of people are disowning him based on his special relationship with these people (ie Wright, Bill Ayers, rezco, Hamas Group).

    If I were Obama: I will back out of the race now & settle for the VP, that is the highest position that he can hold if the voters will forget the Wright mess...

    The delegate count is no longer a valid basis for electability, it is the electability factor, who can best defeat McCain & polls show that HILLARY is ahead of 9 points against Mc. Cain. So people are flocking to HILLARY, the smart choice

    April 30, 2008 06:00 pm at 6:00 pm |
  24. phyllis

    I am a typical white person..need i say more?......go anybody but obama..gee my.. my.. my... why did john edwards have to leave the race? why are we faced with two wanna bees?
    rude awakening about to happen....hope everyones ready for four more years of republicans since the demoracrats havent done anything yet but argue..most people dont even know what the change obama is talking about especially when he says if elected he will change the the whole world...

    April 30, 2008 06:00 pm at 6:00 pm |
  25. Hillary McCain

    Hillary's supporters don't get it.

    If Hillary was in the lead, we would be hearing about:

    Monica, Norman Hsu/Johnny Chung, Bosnia, Dubai, Columbia, Bill's other extra-marital affairs, Peter vs. Paul, Hillary's "Screw'em!" (towards southern white folks), Hillary's dishonesty problem, every previous "right-wing" conspiracy allegatons, and who knows what other dirt we haven't heard about!

    So, don't kid yourselves!

    April 30, 2008 06:01 pm at 6:01 pm |
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