May 6th, 2008
11:42 AM ET
12 years ago

Polls: Clinton and Obama each in store for a win?

 Clinton is ahead in Indiana while Obama is up in North Carolina.

Clinton is ahead in Indiana while Obama is up in North Carolina.

(CNN) - As voters go to the polls in Indiana and North Carolina, an average of the latest surveys in both states suggests there will be a split decision between Senators Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama in their battle for the Democratic presidential nomination.

A CNN Poll of Polls in North Carolina out Tuesday morning indicates Obama is ten points ahead of Clinton, 51 percent to 41 percent, with eight percent undecided. That’s up by two points from our poll of polls Monday. Obama had been up by double digits until this weekend, when the race in North Carolina tightened up a bit.

The CNN Poll of Polls in Indiana suggests that Clinton up by four points, 48 percent to 44 percent, with eight percent unsure. The race in Indiana had been a dead heat until Clinton opened up a small lead in Monday’s poll of polls.

The CNN poll of polls is an average of the latest surveys in each state. Since it is a compilation of multiple surveys, there is no sampling error.

187 delegates are at stake as voters in Indiana and North Carolina cast ballots. It is the largest catch of delegates left this primary season, which ends with the Montana and South Dakota primaries on June 3. Going into Tuesday’s contests, Obama holds a lead over Clinton in delegates won, states won, and the popular vote (excluding Florida and Michigan, which broke party rules by moving their contests up to January) and in primary and caucus victories so far this year.

soundoff (383 Responses)
  1. Johnny Boy

    Ok everyone. I think this is going to be the end for HRC run at the WH!!!!!! I can only pray that IN gets this Wright(pun intended) and end this thing baby!!!!!

    Also, please think of your fellow americans when you decide to vote for Mcbush because you candiate did not make it. I don't care if you shoot yourself in the foot. It aint mine, but you could affect the outcome this year by doing stupid things like this. Look, I dislike the queen very mush, but compared to mccbush, she looks pretty good. Either one is fine in my book and they should be in yours too. SAY NO TO THE GOP THIS YEAR!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    May 6, 2008 10:33 am at 10:33 am |
  2. shelly in IL

    McCain stated "The troops are in Iraq because of Bush's Oil"...enough said!

    May 6, 2008 10:33 am at 10:33 am |
  3. SF

    I am 99% for Obama. I too was impressed with Rev. Wright and did not like it that Obama came out totally rejected him.

    I think he had to do it though – mainly because the media (CNN) just can't seem to let go of it.

    I had to laugh at Blitzer the other day. He had a panel of four different people who all said the media needs to let go of this and Blitzer kept right on pushing Wright. Who is nuttier – Hillary or the media?

    May 6, 2008 10:34 am at 10:34 am |
  4. Anson From New York

    Poll Of Polls means nothing.

    CNN did not get it right for PA. How come 10,000 people who have voted before and will vote for OBama say they have not been contacted regarding any poll. Who do the polling go after then? You can't poll a few people here and there and make it official.

    Obama will win both and game will be over 😀

    May 6, 2008 10:34 am at 10:34 am |
  5. mary, colorado springs

    Hillary's gas tax plan is a joke. It's like throwing the voters a few crumbs, but not the whole cake. Just enough to give us a taste of lower gas prices. Just enough to make us feel she is trying to help. It's all a hoax, a joke and a ploy to get more votes, but it sure won't fly with me. What they give us with one hand they will take away with the other; ie, the oil companies will just raise gas prices to cover the loss . So where's the savings?

    Obama 08 for sure. He's too smart to fall for such obvious ploys and transparent ravings.

    May 6, 2008 10:34 am at 10:34 am |
  6. Spirit of America

    What about Michigan and Florida? Why disenfranchise voters there?

    May 6, 2008 10:34 am at 10:34 am |
  7. Richard, St. Paul, MN

    I wish we had a real hero, like Tony Stark, aka "Iron Man," to lead us, instead of idiots like McCain and hate-mongers like Hillary.

    May 6, 2008 10:34 am at 10:34 am |
  8. hhh


    May 6, 2008 10:34 am at 10:34 am |
  9. Pam

    There sure is a lot anger, bad attitudes and prejudice on these blogs. And you think this helps the candidate you support??

    I'm voting based on the issues and the candidates past accomplishments. I'm not voting based on out of control emotion and bitterness.

    May 6, 2008 10:34 am at 10:34 am |
  10. Nancy

    Hilliary go home. We don't want you and Bill back in the white house playing tag team.

    May 6, 2008 10:34 am at 10:34 am |
  11. hhh

    clitin win

    May 6, 2008 10:35 am at 10:35 am |
  12. lynette

    mike's comments are extremely offensive and they should never have gotten posted regarding the names of Obama supporters. CNN censors emails well you should remove those, I canny believe youlet something like that get posted, how insulting and ignorant can goofy Mike be? If Obama only had Black supporters he would loose sine the united states has a population of 8o percent White and 20 percent nonwhite. Idiot!

    May 6, 2008 10:35 am at 10:35 am |
  13. Derrick in Houston, TX

    As an Obama supporter I know North Carolina will be a blowout. Indiana is another story. It will be close and I hope Obama can pull it off. I think this whole Rev Wright story is effecting him negatively and the more he addresses it the worse it gets.

    We will not have clear cut nominee until the convention. Hillary can loose every contest after this and she still will not leave. She will argue that "if we count Michigan and Florida.." but thats a wasted thought process.

    Also Im really seeing the biasness in CNN. Obama picked up several delegates yesterday why is this not being reported???

    May 6, 2008 10:35 am at 10:35 am |
  14. Lee W

    Hey Kate, It's clear that Obama will win the black vote and the younger kids and Hillary will win everyone else?

    Gosh, I'm a 61-year-old white woman, and I and my white coworker, who is 28, just got back from voting for Obama here in Raleigh. And Tim, I believe you think this contest is settled along racial lines? If that were so, doesn't it seem logical that Obama would have only gotten 10 to 15% of the votes overall?

    Come on people, stop the categorizations. Some of us are actually voting based on who we think is the best candidate!

    OBAMA '08

    May 6, 2008 10:36 am at 10:36 am |
  15. Fed up in Texas


    A little Elitest maybe? Just like your cult leader Obama? I thought Obama said he wasn't an Elitest. Do you really think you are helping his campaign?

    Oh, and FYI, I'm a highly educated attorney in Dallas Texas and a huge Clinton supporter. It's not that I don't think Obama is a bad guy, I just think he is too new to be president. He's ahead of himself and will eventually crash. We are in the middle of a war! Do you really want a new guy making the decisions? If you do, I better start looking for a place in Canada cause I will no longer feel safe in the United States.

    May 6, 2008 10:36 am at 10:36 am |
  16. skylark

    If you can't vote for Obamas black side, vote for his White side.
    He was raised by his white mother. He is not one or the other.
    He represents all of us. We should all be as color blind as Obama and his mom. It is no wonder our country is disrespected by the world at large. Vote for America. Vote Obama.

    May 6, 2008 10:36 am at 10:36 am |
  17. bill Tomlinson

    Curious that CNN suggests that there is no sampling error because it is a poll of polls. This figure is calculable, if you know the population of each sample.

    May 6, 2008 10:36 am at 10:36 am |
  18. AJ

    Obama is not electable. While the African Americans and children are falling all over themselves to support him, the backbone of the Democratic Party will not support him. While African Americans have as a rule been democratic voters, they have been unreliable voters. The children have never even been on the electoral map. They are all fired up now as they are excited up about being part of a "movement" rather than being concerned about the welfare of the nation. We middle-aged, seniors, middle income moderate voters are the backbone of the Democratic Party. We don’t waste our votes on candidates such as Ralph Nader as do those on the far left (you know, those that handed the election to G.W. Bush in 2000). We reliably show up to the polls and vote a straight ticket as we believe in the values of our party. But at the same time, we do not follow blindly and are not ignorant, as some in the Obama camp would have you believe. We come from many walks of life. Some are some are blue collar and some are highly educated professionals, but most of us have a pretty good grasp of current events and are able to make informed decisions concerning our political choices. The Obama camp would have you believe that we are a bunch of illiterate Neanderthals who are too ignorant to realize that he is the savior of the world. We are far from ignorant. We do however, recognize an arrogant, condescending windbag when we see one (the current resident of the White House would fit into this category.) Obama will have a hard sell to win our votes in November. We refuse to have our party taken over by arrogant children and we will not play racial politics. Obama can either show us something other than the baseless rhetoric that he has shown us thus far or we will be happy to show him the door.

    May 6, 2008 10:37 am at 10:37 am |
  19. Marilyn Bryan

    There is a lot of disrespect, inability to spell, and an inability to know the difference between allegation and truth or proof among bloggers.
    Sadly, such may be true of the general public. Candidates do not only need votes and workers during the primaries, but people who will put their shoulders to the wheel to make this country better once he or she is elected. Sacrifice and hard work are not the mantra of the
    "ME first" generation. All the harsh rhetoric in the world is not going to make this country one bit better, nor will inspiration unless followed by action.
    Whomever is elected, the same holds true.

    May 6, 2008 10:37 am at 10:37 am |
  20. gene

    Here we go again with the CNN "poll of polls", but do not tell us who the polls represent and for what time periods. As I scan the State Primary polls, i only find Zogby ffor about the last 4 to 5 days. Fox is reporting a poll that has Clinton within 2 to 3 points. I am not a FOX fan, but if you want to hear the truth go to their station. They do not like either candidate, so you get balanced reporting. Viewing CNN has been a real struggle for us Clinton supporters. There best Political team on TV consist of Cafferty, Gloria, Jeff, Campbell and Martin, all Obama cheer leaders. Wolf and Lou Dobbs appear to be neutral. When the situation room comes on, I go to FOX.

    May 6, 2008 10:37 am at 10:37 am |
  21. Chris

    Who cares, the republican Party will win no matter who wins the Democratic nomination. No, I'm not a Republican; I'm just a bitter Democrat who wishes the party would just rally behind one candidate. About these polls. I'm registered in NC as an Independent, so I can vote in either the Republican or Democratic primaries. Do these polls include those who are registered independent? If they don't then these polls are worthless.

    May 6, 2008 10:37 am at 10:37 am |
  22. JB

    Bottomline Voters and Media-

    At the end of the day, Obama will have gained more pledged delegates. PERIOD, end of story.

    The media is being manipulated by the Clinton machine. It isn't about primaries or big states, or states that begin with the letter C.

    Delegates are delagtes. Get some guts and stand up to this woman.

    May 6, 2008 10:37 am at 10:37 am |
  23. mother too

    people are afraid of Bush/Clinton saga, well, then you might have Obama saga, which will be worse – then what you will do?
    ...and how can you even compare Clinton to Bush? You must be totally ignorant...
    Clinton era was good.

    May 6, 2008 10:37 am at 10:37 am |
  24. Carl

    Clara; you talk about lies from Obama, he would have to spend the next, hint,. hint., (35 years) in political office to catch up to the Clintons. You cannot actually think the Clintons are honest people. Where in the world have you been? Both of them are a few steps away for prison.

    citizenwells: Whitewater, Vince Foster, Ron Brown, Monica, Ms. Flowers, Mr. Hubble, Sandy Burgular, Rose law firm....etc....35 years and counting....

    May 6, 2008 10:37 am at 10:37 am |
  25. Trish - PA

    4 points is nothing. Especially since the early voters and mail in ballets are favoring Obama in Indiana. He could win Indiana just as easily as she could. We will have to wait and see.

    May 6, 2008 10:37 am at 10:37 am |
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