May 6th, 2008
11:42 AM ET
12 years ago

Polls: Clinton and Obama each in store for a win?

 Clinton is ahead in Indiana while Obama is up in North Carolina.

Clinton is ahead in Indiana while Obama is up in North Carolina.

(CNN) - As voters go to the polls in Indiana and North Carolina, an average of the latest surveys in both states suggests there will be a split decision between Senators Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama in their battle for the Democratic presidential nomination.

A CNN Poll of Polls in North Carolina out Tuesday morning indicates Obama is ten points ahead of Clinton, 51 percent to 41 percent, with eight percent undecided. That’s up by two points from our poll of polls Monday. Obama had been up by double digits until this weekend, when the race in North Carolina tightened up a bit.

The CNN Poll of Polls in Indiana suggests that Clinton up by four points, 48 percent to 44 percent, with eight percent unsure. The race in Indiana had been a dead heat until Clinton opened up a small lead in Monday’s poll of polls.

The CNN poll of polls is an average of the latest surveys in each state. Since it is a compilation of multiple surveys, there is no sampling error.

187 delegates are at stake as voters in Indiana and North Carolina cast ballots. It is the largest catch of delegates left this primary season, which ends with the Montana and South Dakota primaries on June 3. Going into Tuesday’s contests, Obama holds a lead over Clinton in delegates won, states won, and the popular vote (excluding Florida and Michigan, which broke party rules by moving their contests up to January) and in primary and caucus victories so far this year.

soundoff (383 Responses)
  1. kayg

    I hope Obama wins both so we can get on with focusing on the general election. I'm counting on the intelligence of the Indiana and NC voters to not fall for HRC's attempt to buy their vote for a promise of $30 that she cannot guarantee.

    Is she really who we'd be proud of to lead our country with all of the Clinton baggage in tow?

    May 6, 2008 09:42 am at 9:42 am |
  2. hillary= war, hate, racism, intolerance,

    NO CNN , that is not what the polls say, nor the experts, superdelegates or anyone who can add and read..........
    that is what you want us to believe because that is what you have been campaigning....... like limbaugh you want to keep billary so that you can have headlines news like the enquirer

    NC Obama 52.2 and clinton 42.00 (that is really a 10 round number)

    IN Zogby 5/4-5 5/6 Obama 43 clinton 45
    so you see he trails by 2 in a very white state and not only that, where she claims she will win..................

    so you see CNN we can also google polls, and read numbers, the end we will have our nominee against all odds, (billary, cnn, limbaugh the gop, mccain inc.)

    get your numbers squared, no matter what you say right now the voters will decide
    by the way nothing on peter paul vs. clinton
    wonder why such a neutral news place (wink wink, biased adn clinton oriente) being the best biased political news has not reported..

    May 6, 2008 09:42 am at 9:42 am |
  3. Obama wins both states

    Now obama has a double digit lead...why not in the last few days???To influence people saying he is losing ? Those polls are bogus and bias!
    Obama will win in NC by way more than 10 digits!!! He will win in INDIANA too..HRC will lose both.
    Go obama

    May 6, 2008 09:42 am at 9:42 am |
  4. so ironic

    According to USA Election Polls, Zogby has been right on with their polling in the last few primaries and shows an Obama lead in Indiana. We all know he is going to win NC already. However, when Clinton ends up losing more delegates and popular votes again by the end of the day, how is she still going to spin it?

    May 6, 2008 09:42 am at 9:42 am |
  5. FEDUP

    I wonder, do they keep asking the same people? I have never seen a election where we have been so divided. Age, Gender, Race, Education, Income and Religion....I'm surprised we aren't getting into; Blues Eyes, Brown Eyes, Green Eyes, Gray Eyes, and of course Violet Eyes, but Violets are rare Liz Taylor is one...

    May 6, 2008 09:43 am at 9:43 am |
  6. M. Jan, Exton, Pa.

    Hillary Clinton should not be my president , your President and our President because she is endorsing false not true ad. I am from Pa. and in the month of February , I got an email from my Manager saying Obama is a Muslim and this email was circulated all over from Hillary Clinton. They wanted to stop Obama by Hook or by Crook and lier Bill Clinton started this with the endorsement of Hillary Clinton.

    May 6, 2008 09:43 am at 9:43 am |
  7. Anon

    This article claims, "Since it is a compilation of multiple surveys, there is no sampling error." This is technically true, since the process of compiling these surveys does not involve any error. Even so, this quote suggests that CNN's compilation is somehow more accurate, even though the polls it represents have error margins of as great as four percent.

    Statistically, taking a "poll of polls" is a completely meaningless representation of which candidate is ahead, and suggesting that this technique increases the accuracy of underlying data is a misrepresentation. Just tell us the results of the polls you are "polling", and let the reader make a decision.

    May 6, 2008 09:44 am at 9:44 am |
  8. Mom in PA

    I would like to add a comment to the gas tax holiday debate. For me, I can control some of my driving and control my gas cost. I have oil heat though and this winter I could not pay for the oil to heat my house above 56 degrees. My husband and I took turns getting up at three o'clock in the morning to put wood on the fire to keep our downstairs warm and we brought electric blankets for our three children. We still spent over $2500 this winter on just oil (not including our electric). If we give people a tax break this summer so that people can take vacations and the oil companies raise the price of gas to meet the higher demand, how can I afford to pay for even higher oil next year???????????

    Hillary is saying she will give people a gas tax break to get votes. I understand as well as anyone that $30 will buy a lot of milk or paid for my kid to play a sport this summer, but I would like people to consider the long term problems it may cause. The higher the demand for oil, the higher the prices will go and they will rise this winter when many families HAVE TO pay for oil.

    As a nation, we need to make some tough choices and not go for the easy short term fixes because we are not helping ourshelves in the long run.

    May 6, 2008 09:44 am at 9:44 am |
  9. Continues to Question the "news" integrity

    I think it is irresponsible of "news" outlets to say a statement like, "Since it is a compilation of multiple surveys, there is no sampling error." This is precisely the reason why outlets like yours may be perceived, as quite literally, unbelievable. There will ALWAYS be a margin of error.

    May 6, 2008 09:45 am at 9:45 am |
  10. MI Voter

    After being behind the scenes it's apparent the only reason Hillary is staying in this race is to let Obama win.

    GO OBAMA!!!!!!

    May 6, 2008 09:45 am at 9:45 am |
  11. Teresa

    I am so ready for this to be over.

    May 6, 2008 09:46 am at 9:46 am |
  12. Gap Would Widen By 9

    If the "poll of polls" were to turn out to be accurate, then Hillary would gain 3 more pledged delegates than Obama from Indiana, but Obama would gain 12 more pledged delegates than Hillary from North Carolina, resulting in a net gain over Hillary of 9 pledged delegates.

    May 6, 2008 09:46 am at 9:46 am |
  13. Janel, St. Paul, MN

    One can only hope that Indiana voters think twice before voting for Hillary Clinton. If they decide to support Obama, they will save everyone tons of money and effort and allow our candidate–Obama–to concentrate on beating McCain.

    May 6, 2008 09:46 am at 9:46 am |
  14. Political Junkie

    I wonder how they measure they early voters? Thousands of votes have already been cast. Also how do they measure the crossover vote?

    May 6, 2008 09:47 am at 9:47 am |
  15. Kevin in DC

    I can only hope the media's asinine spin-for-viewership won't prevent this thing from being concluded today.

    May 6, 2008 09:47 am at 9:47 am |
  16. Bobby tray

    Again, this is what the media wants, no clear winner, thus their coverage can continue. I hoped that things can end with these primaries, but I do not see that happening. . The longer it goes, the better chance that John McCain will be the next president. I do not know who the conservatives should thank; Hilary Clinton or the media that refuses to focus on the issues. Many polls can be helpful but the so called "polll of polls" is a joke. . .

    May 6, 2008 09:48 am at 9:48 am |
  17. JC

    Why do blue-collar workers support Hillary?

    Hillary's distinguished foreign experience has helped her decide to Bomb Iran as fast as she can. Guess who will be sent to Iran? Not Chelsea. Most likely, they will be the sons and daughters of blue-collar workers. I won't trust Hillary to command my children in civil service, never mind military service.

    I am disappointed at Obama's denouncing Rev. Wright's comments. I was very impressed by McCain's respect for freedom of speech for everyone that includes Rev. Wright. McCain knows the true meaning of freedom of speech and almost died fighting for it.

    If you want to support an unqualified commander-in-chief who will not even listen to experts' advice, you vote for Hillary. The danger is that she thinks she knows everything. If you are not with her, you are against her. That really fits the definition of a dynasty, doesn't it?

    May 6, 2008 09:48 am at 9:48 am |
  18. Sam

    The media has been unfair to Obama lately in helping to keep alive the Wright issue. The blue color whites are very sensitive to the issue of race. I looks like there is a conspiracy going on that is aiming at distroying Obama. Hillary and Mc Cain have many problems that are not on the spotlight. Unfair.
    A white man for Obama08

    May 6, 2008 09:48 am at 9:48 am |
  19. let the rednecks prevail

    What these rednecks that claim her electability are ignoring is that merely because Barack is a fresh face, thus making his controversies fresh, there are a litany of scrupulous indictments on Hillary's character that have been around for at least the past decade. If you think the right would just let that go, well, you are showing why Hillary's base is considered to be the least educated of the two candidates. You think that hearing a mad preacher is bad? Wait until you get bombarded by 527's claiming Hillary defended Communists and Black Panthers. Not to mention Travelgate and Whitewater.

    I know I might have used too many big words for you "rural" voters who somehow get access to computers, and the historical references might actually require you to pick up a book to verify them, but look, you've let it sit idle for so long, why don't you use your brain just slightly and vote Barack?

    America, kick Hillary out. Her exploitation of American's fears and stupidity is a blatant Republican tactic, and not even close to representing Democratic values.

    May 6, 2008 09:49 am at 9:49 am |
  20. Robert

    when they say no sampling error, they mean no sampling error can be calculated

    May 6, 2008 09:49 am at 9:49 am |
  21. Julie mn

    Obama said Indiana is the tie breaker, does that mean if Hillary wins it, He will do the right thing and drop out before the dem party is destoyed forever? or will he say we took that out of context?

    May 6, 2008 09:49 am at 9:49 am |
  22. Jewish Women for Obama

    Regardless of the actual math, she'll not get closer to his delegate count.... Can anyone please tell me why she's still in this race? I bet she's campaigning for 2012, with the hopes that McBush will win this year...

    But she can't fool anyone!

    Obama 2008 & 2012

    May 6, 2008 09:50 am at 9:50 am |
  23. Suraj

    I do hope the people of Indiana and North Carolina will make take this opportunity to elect the democrat nominee and the president of the United States…They have waited for over 40 years for this moment …a moment that may not come again for a long time.

    The Democratic Party is oozing arterial blood. …Please stop it now…. Black and yellow, blue and white we are all precious American … we all worked and fight fort his country

    Please don’t vote race vote for America Vote for the Democratic Party.

    May 6, 2008 09:51 am at 9:51 am |
  24. repeatables

    can't believe some of the nonsense that people post on blogs.

    The fact is that as Americans wallow in their foolish racial prejudices and fears, the Chinese and Arabs own this country and will dominate our economy in just a short few years. We owe China 1.4 trillion dollars and counting (1 billion per day in interest), 80% of which is in treasury notes. Arab interests have invested 600 billion dollars in our economy. And by the way, we owe Mexico a truck load of money as well.
    Read!!! Do your research. There is a reason why educated people support Obama and dummies cling to Hillary.

    May 6, 2008 09:51 am at 9:51 am |
  25. Mike

    Such comments as "there is no sampling error" illustrate the press really don't understand the basic rules of statistics that would be necessary to report poll data critically.

    May 6, 2008 09:51 am at 9:51 am |
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