May 6th, 2008
11:42 AM ET
12 years ago

Polls: Clinton and Obama each in store for a win?

 Clinton is ahead in Indiana while Obama is up in North Carolina.

Clinton is ahead in Indiana while Obama is up in North Carolina.

(CNN) - As voters go to the polls in Indiana and North Carolina, an average of the latest surveys in both states suggests there will be a split decision between Senators Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama in their battle for the Democratic presidential nomination.

A CNN Poll of Polls in North Carolina out Tuesday morning indicates Obama is ten points ahead of Clinton, 51 percent to 41 percent, with eight percent undecided. That’s up by two points from our poll of polls Monday. Obama had been up by double digits until this weekend, when the race in North Carolina tightened up a bit.

The CNN Poll of Polls in Indiana suggests that Clinton up by four points, 48 percent to 44 percent, with eight percent unsure. The race in Indiana had been a dead heat until Clinton opened up a small lead in Monday’s poll of polls.

The CNN poll of polls is an average of the latest surveys in each state. Since it is a compilation of multiple surveys, there is no sampling error.

187 delegates are at stake as voters in Indiana and North Carolina cast ballots. It is the largest catch of delegates left this primary season, which ends with the Montana and South Dakota primaries on June 3. Going into Tuesday’s contests, Obama holds a lead over Clinton in delegates won, states won, and the popular vote (excluding Florida and Michigan, which broke party rules by moving their contests up to January) and in primary and caucus victories so far this year.

soundoff (383 Responses)
  1. A Mama 4 Obama

    Obama will win both!

    Hillary that is the “Game Plan not Game Changer”!

    Did you pack your bags?

    Don’t forget the “Midnight Train to Bosnia Leaves Tonight”

    Clinton up by four points doesn’t mean a hill of beans.

    CNN nobody believe your polls, other polls say different.

    Today is a great day in thy neighborhood.

    Obama 08 and 12

    May 6, 2008 09:53 am at 9:53 am |
  2. Lynda

    Polls only reflect the people that are interviewed.
    Are they always accurate????????
    Let's see what the voters decide.

    May 6, 2008 09:53 am at 9:53 am |
  3. less media more issues

    it's going to be closer than that. Hillary has found her stride. She's a fighter – He's too serene to fight - I find it hard to imagine. And I find it hard to imagine this new-style government he speaks about... Try it out at state level. Not on country level.

    May 6, 2008 09:53 am at 9:53 am |
  4. davange, NC

    It is amazing how HR Clinton is still using the uneducated card with this gas holiday that experts in the economic field say that it will not work! It is funny how Clinton used the fear card with the 3am call to vote on going into battle in Iraq (or obliterating Iran) when the experts in the field said it wouldn’t work! It is even funnier to know that most educated people in America are voting for Obama and the majority of the uneducated are voting for Clinton!! It is really funny to know that mostly educated White people have voted for Obama then uneducated White people who voted for Clinton!! Then there is Wright. You can LOL with this one, most educated people know how to move on while the uneducated are still lost and can’t move. Now, that’s funny!!

    May 6, 2008 09:53 am at 9:53 am |
  5. karl jo

    voted for Clinton both times before, never again!

    May 6, 2008 09:54 am at 9:54 am |
  6. Anon

    There is no "sampling error" because the CNN "Poll of Polls" is a competely ridculous statistical concept. There's no "sampling error" because they have no idea how wrong they are, and there's no way to determine it.

    May 6, 2008 09:54 am at 9:54 am |
  7. Obama Girl Indiana

    I hope Indiana is not swayed by a $30 bribe.

    May 6, 2008 09:54 am at 9:54 am |
  8. Steven

    Regardless of the outcome of tonights primaries I hope Senater Obama take it all the way to the convention. Hillary is going to do the same. Even if by some miracle she pulls off two wins tonight there will be a nasty fight for superdelegates. It will be fun to watch, but John McCain will be laughing all the way to the White House. GO OBAMA FIGHT HILLARY ALL THE WAY SHOW YOUR BACKBONE.



    May 6, 2008 09:56 am at 9:56 am |
  9. FranA

    Senator Hillary Clinton should not give up the fight for the White House. She has proven to be an advocate for the people and by the people. North Carolina's population has grown significantly due to the influx of NY voters. NY is Hillary's base, therefore, the votes in NC for Hillary will surprise the poll takers. Hillary will win NC!

    May 6, 2008 09:59 am at 9:59 am |
  10. Bryan

    I have a feeling in my bones, the good people of both Indiana and North Carolina will come out in droves for Hillary. In the polls she has always polled about 5-8% lower than she ends up getting because people want to be politically correct when polled and not look as a racist so they tend to say Obama. When they get in an actually voting booth its private and they vote for the best canidate, which Clinton has shown to be time and time again. This is why Obama has done well at Cacuses because of peer presure. They really need to change all states to primaries.

    Go Hillary, all the way to the White House!!!

    May 6, 2008 10:00 am at 10:00 am |
  11. Mike, Iowa

    They both have a chance of building momentum and possibly sway the super delegates. Which as we all know will be the deciding factor in this race. I just hope people are wanting real change in these two states rather then be manipulated by dirty politics and choose a dirty candidate. Obama may make mistakes but at least he admits to them instead of blowing them off and acting as if they never happend like Hillary does. Im not trying to trash her but I just dont trust her.

    May 6, 2008 10:00 am at 10:00 am |
  12. Karma S.-From INDIANA

    Anon I agree! I live in Indianapolis Indiana and we have been saturated with Obama. I can't honestly see Hilary winning. Eeither way relying on the polls is a terrible idea. As many times as they have polled people, I have never been polled and no one in my family or circle of friends have. That tells you they are leaving a lot of people out.

    I know I voted and voted for the next President, B. Obama!!

    May 6, 2008 10:00 am at 10:00 am |
  13. Adam - TX

    I smell upset tonight – Go Hillary! A true, strong leader ready to take on the issues that plague all Americans, rich & poor!

    May 6, 2008 10:03 am at 10:03 am |
  14. Carl

    A Caucasian running for political office in America has a definite, reliable, biased based advantage, because of the thousand if not millions of racist and bigots in this country. For Obama to make it this far is truly remarkable. It is not that she and her husband are such good or great politicians, they are just white! Without trouble, good or bad they are going to get 10-15 percent of any vote (just for being white). The press never talks about this issue and they know it to be true.

    May 6, 2008 10:04 am at 10:04 am |
  15. Wayne TX

    First off I'm one of the so called crossover voters (Voted republican x 20years) white male blahh blahh blahh. Voted for Obama just in case you cant tell 🙂

    I only pray that Mr's Clinton will have the grace to bow out when even her base supporters (the uneducated) finaly figure out the math that she has no chance by ANYones count to gain the nomination, and is only running on the hope of getting support from the UN-elected superdelegates.

    Does anyone honestly think the african american voters that have finaly woke up to the fact that Senator Obama can actualy WIN this race will give an ounce of support to this viper of a woman come november? She will have support only from the morons who think the 18cent gas tax holiday is actualy a real idea , and those 15-20% of hillbillies, and old farts who wont vote for a man of mixed race no mater what. (

    Thats a sad lot to have decide the next leader of our country. The most ignorant and the most racist among us. Would you have these kinds of people decide your own fate? I dont think so. Any if you do, your probably one of the aforementioned groups.

    There is a third rock solid group that supports Mrs Clinton that I cannot falt. They are the millions of women who admire Mrs Clinton for her determination, aspirations and potential to be the leader of our country. I totally understand the appeal of supporting a woman for president. Women have been locked out of leadership roles at the highest levels throughout humankinds history and I believe myself that this is not only unjust but unwarrented. Woman bring with them another view of situations that is sorely needed and missed in today's society.

    That being said, She is still a viper. If you can't see past her VERY thin veneer, you are in my opinion just in love with the idea of a woman president and are blind to her incredible faults. She is hot tempered, autocratic, and cares little for the truth, the democratic party , or opinions of people who know economics far better than she.

    Last but not least, I look at several news sources. CNN is like most in that they are eating this race up. Theier ratings on political coverage have soared once they realized that they can make us all stick to watching newcasts and reading headlines that are so carefuly edited out of context so as to make us think this really still is a contest.

    Good Game TW. The monopoly you have on news coverage allowed by the FCC under GWB's prewsidency has given you incredible power. I just hope you don't destroy the free press all together.


    May 6, 2008 10:04 am at 10:04 am |
  16. clara

    hillary will go all the way oboma wants us to believe any thing he says he lies about his rev. wright and others

    May 6, 2008 10:05 am at 10:05 am |
  17. citizenwells

    Robert Blackwell.
    William Ayers.

    May 6, 2008 10:05 am at 10:05 am |
  18. Anonymous

    Anon, the probability of you understanding why there is no sampling error is not very high!!

    May 6, 2008 10:05 am at 10:05 am |
  19. Jon

    So essentially what you are saying is that Clinton will lose convincingly. SHE MUST GET 80% OF THE REST OF THE VOTE. WHAT EVER HAPPENED TO JOURNALISM!!!!! CNN, and the rest of these garbage infotainment cartels are dragging this "horserace" out bt their absurd distortions of reality. Just Keep moving that goal post.

    Obama has an insurmountable lead, which he will grow substantially according to your own data, yet the content in your post blatantly attempts to spin this beyond belief. A 10 % LEAD IN THE BIGGEST STATE LEFT VERSUS A 4% LEAD IN A STATE WITH HALF THE DELEGATES IS MEANINGLESS IN TERMS OF THE OUTCOME OF THIS RACE AND YOU KNOW IT.

    May 6, 2008 10:07 am at 10:07 am |
  20. Nikita

    The process of electing a democratic candidate should include all American voters. Party rules have disenfranchised Michigan and Florida voters and in the process, all of America has been disenfranchised. Voters, rather than expediency and dollar amount, should have been our primary consideration if America truly values the democratic process. There is an enormous gulf between what we say and what we do in America.

    May 6, 2008 10:07 am at 10:07 am |
  21. Utah Woman for Obama

    Please, voters in Indiana and North Carolina, get out and vote and encourage your loved ones, friends and neighbors to do so as well. I urge you to open your eyes to Hillary's smoke screens and negativity. We need someone who can unite us and bring about some real changes, which I believe Barack to be capable of. Hillary, on the other hand, has been dividing us in an attempt to keep things status quo and serve her own interests. Nevertheless, regardless of who you support, please participate – it is the backbone of our democracy.

    May 6, 2008 10:07 am at 10:07 am |
  22. Sarah

    What's important to note is that Obama has maintained a lead in NC – it's an extreme long shot for Hillary to win here.

    Indiana should be neck-and-neck.

    Obama '08

    May 6, 2008 10:08 am at 10:08 am |
  23. Jon

    Well said Dave.

    May 6, 2008 10:08 am at 10:08 am |
  24. Roots of Bitterness in Chicago

    polls, polls, polls, polls, polls............................
    what would we do without polls?

    May 6, 2008 10:09 am at 10:09 am |
  25. Janet Colson

    Clinton will win in the end because Obama can't carry the USA in Nov. Sad but true.

    May 6, 2008 10:09 am at 10:09 am |
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