May 14th, 2008
05:35 PM ET
14 years ago

Clinton campaign: We're ahead in the popular vote

[cnn-photo-caption image= caption="Is Clinton ahead in the popular vote?"](CNN) - Clinton campaign chairman Terry McAuliffe said Wednesday Hillary Clinton has overcome Barack Obama in the total popular vote.

“Senator Clinton took the lead in the popular vote last night because voters believe she is the candidate best able to beat John McCain and lead our country," McAuliffe said.

Is he right? That depends on which measure of the popular vote is used.

Four different scenarios of the total popular vote have been kicked around: (1) only counting primary contests without factoring in Florida and Michigan, whose contests were not sanctioned by the national party, (2) counting primary and caucus contests without Florida and Michigan, (3) counting primaries and contests and Florida but not Michigan, and (4) counting all primaries and caucuses including Florida and Michigan.

Clinton trails in all four counts, but by significantly different margins. In the first scenario she trails by by about 397,000, in the second she's behind 699,000, in the third she has a 405,000 vote deficit, and in the fourth scenario she trails by 77,000 votes.

The fourth scenario does not give Obama any votes out of Michigan, where he did not appear on the ballot.

The only scenario in which Clinton would appear to have the lead is a fifth scenario that only counts primary states – including both Florida and Michigan – and excludes any votes cast in the party’s caucuses. In that count, Clinton currently holds a lead of about 225,000 votes.

soundoff (259 Responses)
  1. steve

    Sen. Clinton Please, how ridiculous, Laughable, delusional, dumb and stupid!

    obama 08

    May 14, 2008 07:06 pm at 7:06 pm |
  2. Mark

    Sorry, I left out 2 important words. That should have read:

    ... the "total popular vote" FOR OBAMA should include another 600,000 votes from caucus states that nobody is counting.

    May 14, 2008 07:06 pm at 7:06 pm |


    May 14, 2008 07:06 pm at 7:06 pm |
  4. Lydia

    Terry McAulife's ADHD rants and he and Hillary's belligerent march on a road that is running out of bricks is bordering on the pathological and is becoming quite scary. There is a thin line between sanity and insanity. They are both dangerously close to crossing it.

    May 14, 2008 07:06 pm at 7:06 pm |
  5. Rob

    The fact that Obama was scared enough to hold Edwards In his pocket until after Hillary crushed him In WV tells me she is more of a threat to him then his supporters want to admit. Just the same old political game. He just has Edwards wait to cushion the blow. "looking to the future" Obama? I think not.

    May 14, 2008 07:06 pm at 7:06 pm |
  6. fred

    she crazy, she needs to go back to school,she cant add

    May 14, 2008 07:06 pm at 7:06 pm |
  7. Linda

    Wait, so you will count the states that broke the DNC rules, but not count the caucus states that followed the rules? Unbelieveable!!!

    If you are going to stay in then be honest with the race.

    And Nick, what was the point of voting if you discount the math and process that puts Obama over the top???

    May 14, 2008 07:06 pm at 7:06 pm |
  8. Ryan

    Clinton really is delusional. If Hillary is all about counting every vote then why would she exclude hundreds of thousands of voters who voted in caucuses? How does that even make any sense? Let's count two states that didn't follow rules, don't give Obama any votes at all in MI (even though Clinton got only 54% with him not even on the ballot), and then exlude over a quarter of the states that voted and followed the rules for no reason.

    May 14, 2008 07:06 pm at 7:06 pm |
  9. Independent99999

    Hey Nick in Las Vegas –

    If Clinton stands – there will be so many HATERS of Clinton as she has revealed her real self in this election process

    – a cheater
    – a liar
    – game changer
    – rule changer
    – power monger
    – divisive (dividing the country along racial and gender lines)
    – no ethical / moral standards

    I lost all my respect for Clintons including Bill Clinton.

    May 14, 2008 07:06 pm at 7:06 pm |
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