May 14th, 2008
05:35 PM ET
14 years ago

Clinton campaign: We're ahead in the popular vote

[cnn-photo-caption image= caption="Is Clinton ahead in the popular vote?"](CNN) - Clinton campaign chairman Terry McAuliffe said Wednesday Hillary Clinton has overcome Barack Obama in the total popular vote.

“Senator Clinton took the lead in the popular vote last night because voters believe she is the candidate best able to beat John McCain and lead our country," McAuliffe said.

Is he right? That depends on which measure of the popular vote is used.

Four different scenarios of the total popular vote have been kicked around: (1) only counting primary contests without factoring in Florida and Michigan, whose contests were not sanctioned by the national party, (2) counting primary and caucus contests without Florida and Michigan, (3) counting primaries and contests and Florida but not Michigan, and (4) counting all primaries and caucuses including Florida and Michigan.

Clinton trails in all four counts, but by significantly different margins. In the first scenario she trails by by about 397,000, in the second she's behind 699,000, in the third she has a 405,000 vote deficit, and in the fourth scenario she trails by 77,000 votes.

The fourth scenario does not give Obama any votes out of Michigan, where he did not appear on the ballot.

The only scenario in which Clinton would appear to have the lead is a fifth scenario that only counts primary states – including both Florida and Michigan – and excludes any votes cast in the party’s caucuses. In that count, Clinton currently holds a lead of about 225,000 votes.

soundoff (259 Responses)
  1. FU Hillary

    wat a fraud.

    May 14, 2008 06:57 pm at 6:57 pm |
  2. truth

    Keep going Hillary.

    Kentucky and Puerto Rico keep you ahead in the final popular vote count.

    May 14, 2008 06:57 pm at 6:57 pm |
  3. Boye

    Man, I have one word, LOL.

    May 14, 2008 06:57 pm at 6:57 pm |
  4. Jaki

    Get a life Billary. Why don't you retire and file for social security benefits.

    May 14, 2008 06:57 pm at 6:57 pm |
  5. susie

    The DNC rigged this election from the very beginning!! The democrats have lost all the respect I had for them.

    May 14, 2008 06:57 pm at 6:57 pm |
  6. Pope of America


    This section will now devolve into a shouting match between people with no control over the country or its election, leading to nothing of consequence.

    Have fun!

    May 14, 2008 06:57 pm at 6:57 pm |
  7. Dani

    It really doesn't matter now. Obama's bandwagon is full and with that kind of power on it, he'll probably be the nominee. Too bad he can't win the general election.

    May 14, 2008 06:57 pm at 6:57 pm |
  8. The Dude

    Stop confusing ignorant people.

    May 14, 2008 06:57 pm at 6:57 pm |
  9. Zack S

    So, Terry McAuliffe is using statistics from Bizarro World?

    May 14, 2008 06:58 pm at 6:58 pm |
  10. Matt from New York

    .... LOL SPIN CITY.

    people will laugh this off and go back to watching Edwards endorsing Obama.

    May 14, 2008 06:58 pm at 6:58 pm |
  11. wow

    Yeah in what world? Poor lady.

    May 14, 2008 06:58 pm at 6:58 pm |
  12. Carl III

    The only purpose of CNN reporting this has to be to show how absolutely absurd the Clinton campaign is. So the Clinton campaign sets the rules for everyone based upon what works for them?

    One word... Ridiculous...

    May 14, 2008 06:58 pm at 6:58 pm |
  13. tell the truth

    I will not comment on this article.

    Go Obama

    May 14, 2008 06:58 pm at 6:58 pm |
  14. Benjamin

    It's nice of them to exclude all those caucus states that voted against them. That's real nice. Or, actually, insulting.

    May 14, 2008 06:58 pm at 6:58 pm |
  15. stop the madness



    May 14, 2008 06:58 pm at 6:58 pm |
  16. Kiah

    One America! Please drop it, this is ridiculous at this point and everyone else knows it.

    And to Nick in Vegas...uh sweetie. Obama has been selected, I think 32 states have made their case loud and clear. This is about delegates and HRC was leading in them you wouldn't even be having this convo. Please get a life or better yet threaten to vote McCain like all the rest and be gone!

    May 14, 2008 06:59 pm at 6:59 pm |
  17. jsb

    I think that's only if she doesn't give Obama any of Michigan, right? It's been a little tough to watch the rules change so much as this election. I just hope that in the end we can all come together and vote for the Democratic cantidate!

    May 14, 2008 06:59 pm at 6:59 pm |
  18. clinton

    Nick in las vegas you are an idiot. The election process was not created for any other purpose than counting votes to declare delegates. The media has tried to inplant other factors so people will think its okay to take the election from the black guy

    May 14, 2008 06:59 pm at 6:59 pm |
  19. Rich

    How can the Clintons pretend to care so much about Florida and Michigan (two contests she had earlier said should not count) and then have the nerve to suggest that the voters in 14 caucus states don’t matter: Iowa, Nevada, Maine, Colorado, North Dakota, Kansas, Idaho, Alaska, Minnesota, Nebraska, Washington, Wyoming, Hawaii, Texas. She is pathetic, unAmerican, and would be a horrible choice for VP.

    May 14, 2008 06:59 pm at 6:59 pm |
  20. Venus The Super star

    I will not vote for Obama! Edwards has made a terrible choice that is going to bit him right in the rear . Obama is right he's not a negative campaigner because he's Dirty one . They have done Clinton Dirty and she's pouring her heart out, with all these people bad mouthing her and putting her down she's still fighting on.

    May 14, 2008 06:59 pm at 6:59 pm |
  21. Judy

    Desperate Hillary will do whatever it takes to win, including destroying the Democrat party. The supers or the next states to vote can solve this stupidity..or you can be accomplices. I'm losing faith in this party because of the way they operate, as well as their crazy rules. McCain looks better with every day.

    May 14, 2008 06:59 pm at 6:59 pm |
  22. gerb jones

    what has clinton done? absolutely nothing. why would anyone want to have another long time useless politician in the white house? are we magically going to see gas prices drop to $1.50 a gallon with her in office?

    What has she done? she is worthless and so is the rest of washington. it is amazing all you hillary supporters think we'll get back to basics with her, like hell.

    they are all elitists. multi millionaires with nothing but power hungry lips.

    May 14, 2008 06:59 pm at 6:59 pm |
  23. johnjo

    Where did clinton and her supporters learn math ? mind blowing mathematics by the clintons

    May 14, 2008 06:59 pm at 6:59 pm |
  24. ObamaSupporter

    shameful and pathetic. please respect the dignity of the people who have supported you Hillary and please represent them with the respect they deserve. leave in an honourable way and support the party you claim to support. don't try to break it in two. to use your own quote on you "shame on you!".

    Obama '08

    May 14, 2008 07:00 pm at 7:00 pm |
  25. Ian in Seattle, Washington

    Hillary, please don't forget about my vote in the caucus as you work your math. Our election was valid, unlike Michigan and Florida's.

    May 14, 2008 07:00 pm at 7:00 pm |
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