May 14th, 2008
01:00 PM ET
12 years ago

Obama holds big lead in Oregon

Barack Obama is ahead in Oregon polls.

Barack Obama is ahead in Oregon polls.

(CNN) - A day after suffering his second-worst defeat of the primary season, a new poll shows Barack Obama is headed for a big win in Oregon next Tuesday.

According to a new poll from the Portland Tribune and KPTV, the Illinois Democrat holds a 20 point lead over Clinton there, 55 percent to 35 percent. Ten percent of voters remain unsure.

The poll was conducted May 8-10, entirely before Clinton's blowout win in West Virginia Tuesday night. There, Clinton beat Obama by 40 points, her second widest margin of victory all year. But Oregon promises to be more favorable for Obama, given its broader swath of liberal and college educated Democrats.

Kentucky, a state with similar demographics to West Virginia, also votes next Tuesday and is expected to hand Clinton another big win.

Both Oregon and Kentucky are bigger prizes in terms of delegates than West Virginia. Fifty-two delegates are up for grabs in Oregon and 51 are on the line in Kentucky. Only 28 delegates were awarded in West Virginia.

Related Video: CNN's Dan Lothian reports on key voter concerns in Kentucky.

soundoff (304 Responses)
  1. demwit

    The most liberal Senator in Congress leading by 20 points in a rich elitist liberal state like Oregon??? No.....

    May 14, 2008 11:44 am at 11:44 am |
  2. Mike, Toronto

    I find it funny how well-known Clinton supporters are now suggesting Obama should pick her as VP, while Obama obviously needs someone with international experience, not surrounded by controvercies and who would fight for him...

    May 14, 2008 11:44 am at 11:44 am |
  3. Adam Smith TX, USA

    Hillary beats McCain pants down. Period. End of discussion!!!

    May 14, 2008 11:44 am at 11:44 am |
  4. Rus

    WV means little at this stage – this was Clinton's second win of 65% or more, but Obama has won by that margin 7 times (including both caucuses and primaries). Oregon is significant only in that it will likely take Obama to the overall majority of pledged delegates. Time to get behind the nominee and move on.

    May 14, 2008 11:44 am at 11:44 am |
  5. Ruth

    But will all those college students who were to come out in 2000 and 2004 to help us keep Bush from selecting pro-choice Supreme Court judges etc just fail to appear in 2008 just as they did in '00 and '04????? I think the youth vote was something like 16% in those past two elections.

    There's a long way to go between the excitement of spring and voting day in November, and the attention span of our young people has been notoriously short. I've been disappointed in the youth vote before, after having worked hard to bring it out, and, sadly, I don't expect to be any less disappointed this year.

    The Dems would be better off counting on the seniors and other reliable voting groups all of whom seem to be supporting and voting for Clinton in 2008.

    May 14, 2008 11:44 am at 11:44 am |
  6. applecrispbetty

    Hillary wishes the whole country was like West Virginia. What kind of a country would we have then? Think about it. Turn back the clock or move forward?

    May 14, 2008 11:44 am at 11:44 am |
  7. Renee Ryan

    We never hear about abortion issues, with over 1 million babies murdered every year under the guise of womens right to choose, I feel that someone should at least speak up for them in national elections.

    May 14, 2008 11:45 am at 11:45 am |
  8. Jeanne, San Diego

    I do wish the news media & Clinton surrogates would stop pushing Clinton as the VP choice. She'll blow the election for him. In that scenario I would have to vote for McCain or independent and Obama is the first presidential candidate that I'd actually like to vote for.

    Oregon... I sincerely hope you smash any remaining doubts that Obama is the right choice.

    May 14, 2008 11:45 am at 11:45 am |
  9. Jewish Women for Obama

    Of course!
    Regardless of what happens in the next couple of primaries, Obama is our nominee and our next president!
    Every politician has lovers and haters – just the reality... And any HRC supporters who would rather support McBush would not have voted for Obama anyway... It doesn't matter... We'll still win.
    Watch us re-color the electoral map purple !!! With Hagel on our ticket, we should sweep the entire west and north western states... Adding NC and VA to the mix, we should be golden...
    WV – we still love you, and we hope you'll give Barack a chance over McBush!

    Obama/Hagel 2008

    May 14, 2008 11:45 am at 11:45 am |
  10. Generation X

    I am not sure if Obama supporters know this...Oregon is another "home state" for Hillary Clinton. In fact her Uncle used to be a lumberjack and Hillary has cut down a few trees herself. Yep you guessed it she not only knows how to use a chainsaw but she chews tobacco too!

    May 14, 2008 11:45 am at 11:45 am |
  11. Ron

    Alas, it's delegates that matters.

    All clinton gained from her blow-out win last night was 11 delegates, too little, too late!

    Obama will be the nominee, barring a cataclysmic turn of events!

    May 14, 2008 11:45 am at 11:45 am |
  12. Rudy NYC

    Clinton still claims she can "win" the nomination based upon popular vote. Yet, she must ignore Obama's lead in popular vote to convince the super delegates to "award" her the nomination.

    May 14, 2008 11:45 am at 11:45 am |
  13. Sam from Canada

    So Obama attracts mainly the educated professionals. Hillary attracts mainly the uneducated and old white people. From what I've heard and read, the demographics of racists are usually uneducated and old white people. Do I have to spell this out anymore or are we all content to just ignore the elephant in the room?

    May 14, 2008 11:45 am at 11:45 am |
  14. Brian from Fort Mill, S.C.

    matt n ohio:

    Be careful. Every time someone tells Obama that he can't do something, he goes out and does it.

    How do you think he got THIS far? Because someone told him he can't beat Hillary.

    In other words, it's people like you that drive him to succeed.

    May 14, 2008 11:45 am at 11:45 am |
  15. Angello

    Oregon is a good place for Obama to build his lead over the Clintons substantially. It has a much more liberal base of voters, white collar, educated non biased people. Clinton brags about her voters who are white, older, blue rural collar un-educated people. As far as I know, uneducated people don’t run America or its politics and they are also the most uniformed and easily manipulated voters.

    May 14, 2008 11:45 am at 11:45 am |
  16. tim from Ravenna, OH

    It is not about policy, it is about who can get things done in Washington. Obama's message has been change...but can he affect that change. The answer can be found by looking to the past and resoundingly it is no. He will go to Washington, fight the powers that be, and lose. This will mean that he will not only not affect change but accomplish very little in the 4 short yrs he will reside in the White House...if he wins. He will actually do more damage to America than John McCain by handing the White House back to Republicans come 2012. Hillary Clinton knows better how things work and I believe she can actually make change, enact policy, and retain the White House for 8 yrs while giving her VP a huge step up in 2016.

    May 14, 2008 11:45 am at 11:45 am |
  17. Yes we can!

    I found it offensive that as an african amercian 37 year old single parent that gets up everyday and work very hard to maintain that i'm not considered a hardworking american. i find it offensive when Hillary agrees and repeats the AP by stating "everyone knows that you cant win the white house without the hardworking blue collar white voters....what in the nonsense is vote doesn't doesn't matter?....that's division not unity....obama has never singled out his core supporters and if hillary can win without the black, the young or the well educated voters than if she gets the nominee i guess i can stay home right?....and by the way, i was a mike huckabee supporter for different reason, but Obama won me over.

    May 14, 2008 11:45 am at 11:45 am |
  18. Mike

    CB you are correct..I'm one of them. There are a lot of people like me...and I've talked with a lot of them on airplanes, in airports at starbucks, etc. They don't have that poll because either the media isn't interested in that stat because it would further deflate a race they want to continue or they haven't though of it. The media is full of dummies but they can't be that dumb.

    May 14, 2008 11:46 am at 11:46 am |
  19. Paul

    Oregon will vote for Hillary

    The poll was conducted before Hillary's win

    If she is not valued, then she should go independent . So far the election is being stolen from her if FLA and Michigan don't count.

    Obama can be her VP until he learns how to do the job. He might be eventually ready.

    America cannot be entrusted to him as a guinea pig for an experiement in the lab.

    Hillary 08 – Yes she will!!!

    May 14, 2008 11:46 am at 11:46 am |
  20. John

    Obama, Obama, Obama. 08,12 Yes we did.

    May 14, 2008 11:46 am at 11:46 am |
  21. sally, new york

    if clinton loses the nomination, all you clinton fans, don't be so quick (not that you would) to jump on obama's band wagon. who knows what other dirt will come out? i hear his new rev. moss is just as bad as his old rev. wright. i'm sorry – it's not the pastor it's the whole church! and what about this barr guy as an option? he wants the troops home too!
    go ahead all you obama crazed people – vote your heart out. i think you've all been brain-washed. like the old saying "be careful what you wish for!"

    May 14, 2008 11:46 am at 11:46 am |
  22. Beltway Insider

    "Operation Chaos" is still going full steam. Don't buy into the "division" in the democratic party.

    All these "Clinton" and "Obama" supporters attacking each other are primarly republicans posing as democrats. Don't let them play us.

    Vote Democrat '08

    May 14, 2008 11:46 am at 11:46 am |
  23. Joe Regis

    It's over a long time ago.

    Only those that are delusional don't think so.

    Don't be so stunned Clintonite, it's been a long time coming.

    May 14, 2008 11:46 am at 11:46 am |
  24. gerald strother

    Hours after being routed by Hillary Rodham Clinton in West Virginia, Barack Obama picked up two more superdelegates, offering fresh recognition from Democratic leaders of his inevitable nomination. it is over for her more will come today she may pick up one or two mabey this will open it up and obam will get to 2025 he needs just do the math again no way for her to win !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    May 14, 2008 11:46 am at 11:46 am |
  25. dave

    Obama has now been blown out in West Virginia, Pennsylvania, Ohio, (and trials Hillary and McCain badly in Florida) – All swing states, and all states that Clinton has now shown that Obama will lose in November.

    He can't win the general election without winning most of those states. He is a very weak general election candidate.

    Say hello to President McCain.

    May 14, 2008 11:46 am at 11:46 am |
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