May 14th, 2008
12:55 PM ET
14 years ago

Poll shows both Clinton and Obama beating McCain

[cnn-photo-caption image= caption="McCain trails both Democrats in a new poll."] (CNN) - While exit polls from the West Virginia primary seemed to suggest the party is deeply divided between Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton, a new poll out Wednesday suggests either candidate would easily beat Republican John McCain in the fall.

According to a new Quinnipiac University poll, both Democratic candidates beat McCain by a gap well outside the margin of error. Obama beats McCain by 7 points in the poll, 47 percent to 40 percent, while Hillary Clinton bests the Arizona senator by 5 points, 46 percent to 41 percent.

The poll carries a margin of error of plus or minus 2.4 points and was conducted from May 8-12.

Clinton and Obama's relatively strong standing against McCain in the poll appear to dispel notions that Democratic party may be unable to come together around one candidate in the fall, even as West Virginia exit polls reported majorities of both candidates' supporters would not support the other candidate in the general election.

soundoff (273 Responses)
  1. Sarah

    obama will never win the general regardless of what the polls say, polls have been skewed throughout and obama is a fraud. McCain is no bush and I certainly would vote for him over obama, and would vote for Hillary over McCain and if you think that isn't going to be the case in November if obama disenfranchises Mi & Fl to steal the election, look at the exit polls, he will lose.

    May 14, 2008 10:23 am at 10:23 am |
  2. RanDe from CA

    Polls polls polls. What wold happen to this poll if a national security event should happen? Good-by Obama, and if he is the nominee good-by white house for the dems.

    May 14, 2008 10:23 am at 10:23 am |
  3. Sam

    Obama will be president. Bill Schneider and Wolf will not believe it even after THAT happens!

    May 14, 2008 10:23 am at 10:23 am |
  4. Roberto

    Being a "friend from the north" (Canada), I feel that I can be objective about what I see is happening in the primaries. I am hoping that the super delegates are seeing the same thing and aren't saying anything to not fuel any rumours of rifts within the party.

    The way Clinton supporters are reacting (that only 38% would support Obama) is only because Clinton has decided to play dirty poilitics. She has pushed the envelope within the democratic party as it relates to how she has approached her fellow Democratic senator. She has had a great influence on how her supporters feel about Obama; Obama has been much more cordial to his peer.

    Normally I would not have a problem with this; if she would stick to the issues. Her past personal attacks and her present lofty interpretations of the primary results are an insult to intelligent voters. If she would just debate the differences of opinions between her and Obama, this process would be a much healthier one. The way she has carried herself gives us all the impression that Clinton & Obama aren't even in the same party. If Clinton does become a presidential candidate, it won't be as a democrat, it will be as an independant (because she is that determined). Then the joke will be on the Democrats who supported this process only to have her sabotage the whole thing.

    P.S.: Isn't this all to familiar to Americans. A politician who is determined to do things her way regardles of what the rest of the nation feels she should do. A politician who sees successes where others clearly see an insurmountable challenge. A politician willing to cause rifts within the party at all cost for personal agendas. Ring familiar? Try George W. Bush. I would worry about the determination she is showing right now.

    P.S.S.: Having said all that, I love American politics and its process. Let's just leave dirty politics out of it; especially in primaries.

    May 14, 2008 10:24 am at 10:24 am |
  5. Dave

    The black vote means nothing as far as who will win in November. Whoever the Dem's nominate will automatically get the black vote anyway.

    May 14, 2008 10:24 am at 10:24 am |
  6. fred

    Chris May 14th, 2008 9:57 am ET

    Has Obama actually won any states with large electoral votes, outside of Illinois and Missouri? I don't think DC, Hawaii, etc are going to put him over the top in a general election!

    NO he hasn't!!

    He only won Missouri because he took the black vote in St Louis and Kansas City....Hillary won the rest of the state!!

    May 14, 2008 10:24 am at 10:24 am |
  7. Bill

    There is strong blow back from the female voter. Granted women need an advocate in the White house. Someone who you can depend on for truthfulness and integrity. I fail to see that in Sen. Clinton. She keeps changing the rules. I Think that lends itself to changing the truth in the future. Any judge would probably discount testimony from someone caught lying in a serious matter. Being the Policy Director of this nation would make it necessary for them to be honest. I don't see "Truthfulness" in her. President Bush you see the same twisting of the truth. This is politics as usual. Can we as a nation afford to continue of this path? Racism is an ignorance and it can be informed. Let's educate those who are. For their sake as well as our country's welfare in this expanding global market.. Those less educated are pentiful, and they are the ones who have voted on emotional issues and continued to give this country bad government. When will we wake up?

    May 14, 2008 10:24 am at 10:24 am |
  8. you poor hopeful dum dums

    yea and other polls show that clinton dems will cross over to MaCain in nov. and that obama /clinton ticket would be the only way the dem would win really this thing is pushing the races apart not to together.
    clinton or obama both do not the right amount of vote to win out right
    so the voting system has fail We the people again. BLACK OR WHITE, WAKE UP. YOU DO NOT COUNT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    May 14, 2008 10:24 am at 10:24 am |
  9. Kevin (NY)

    As a Republican who twice voted for Bush, I am a bit confused by Democrats right now. From an outsiders perspective, the Hillary supporters seem to be ignorant and racist. I guess this coincides with polls that suggest that she is winning over the old, white, blue collar uneducated citizens. However, it makes me laugh when they claim Obama is out of touch and elitist and support Hillary for her ability to relate to Joe America. They also support her courage to remain in the race long after most of the world realizes that this race is over.

    My comment is this: these are the same voters that HATE ( i repeat HATE) George W. Bush. However, George W. Bush was an elitist from an elitist family that was able to connect with Joe America like he is a normal guy you can drink a beer with. He also refuses to admit the war was a mistake and will stay in to the bitter end no matter what other people say. Sound familiar?

    Yet Barack Obama was raised by a single mother, earned his way into an elite school as a black man (which was tougher then than it is now), worked as a community organizer in the inner city of Chicago, and then became an elite lawyer.

    This is why dems will never win the White House, their voters are too easily swayed and refuse to question what they are spoon fed. Everything is calculated. You might as well vote for McCain because at least you know your after-tax pay wont be going up.

    May 14, 2008 10:24 am at 10:24 am |
  10. 4hill@thehill

    States & elections won with 60% or more of the vote:
    Barack Obama: 15 States + DC + VI
    * Virgin Islands (89.9%)
    * Idaho (79%)
    * Hawaii (76%)
    * Alaska (75%)
    * District of Columbia (75%)
    * Kansas (74%)
    * Washington (68%)
    * Nebraska (68%)
    * Minnesota (67%)
    * Colorado (67%)
    * Georgia (67%)
    * Illinois (65%)
    * Virginia (64%)
    * Maryland (62%)
    * North Dakota (61%)
    * Wyoming (61%)
    * Mississippi (61%)

    Hillary Clinton: 2 States
    * Arkansas (70%)
    * West Virginia (67)

    One other comment. Please try not to generalize about people from West Virginia. We have some wonderful supporters on this blog from WV who have worked hard on this campaign. There is a lot of poverty in WV; so many people are spending their time meeting the basic needs of their families, not paying attention to politics. As we reach out to more people and educate them about Barack they are impressed. Of course there are other reasons, but I hope we won't lump all people who don't vote for Barack into one stereotype.

    May 14, 2008 10:24 am at 10:24 am |
  11. Jack

    To Candace from Texas--What a crock!!!

    May 14, 2008 10:24 am at 10:24 am |
  12. Scott C

    Are you all kidding me?

    I am sick of reading Clinton supporters saying the Superdelegates are trying to overturn the will of the voters by endorsing Obama. Are you insane?

    They are putting their eggs in the basket of the person who got the most popular vote, pledged delegates and states won.

    Excluding Superdelegates Obama is in the lead and will remain in the lead in delegates. The ONLY way for Clinton to win is for the Superdelegates to ACTUALLY ignore the election results and appoint her the nominee.

    With Obama they are reinforcing the election results, with Clinton they would be voiding them.

    Obama WON people... He just plain WON.

    May 14, 2008 10:25 am at 10:25 am |
  13. DavidAllen

    I don't know where you are getting these numbers but I can tell you now it's not from the majoritiy of people on the ground. I'm a Hillary delegate. My numbers say 8 out of 10 Hillary supporters will NOT vote for Obama. It was 50-50 before the Pastor Wright info, but after that I see a huge number of Democrats saying they will swing to the Republican side. Dems are loading the dice, stacking the deck, and rigging the nomination it's very clear. The people will not stand for being cheated and the biggest surprise of all may see McCain winning by a landslide in November. Hillary supporters are angry over two things; Obama being 'forced' on them, and Certain Dems urging Clinton to 'drop out' before she gets a chance to run in certain states. Your math is wrong. Add in Michigan and Florida. All the Clinton events that I attend? I just walk up and ask people will they vote for Obama if he is nominated? I always get a strong angry "Hell No", you need to go to the street anonymously if you want REAL time numbers. The Dems are forcing Obama and ignoring voters. And there will be a giant whip lash. Guaranteed. Your numbers are wrong. McCain will win by a landslide, if Obama is nominated. Dave

    May 14, 2008 10:25 am at 10:25 am |
  14. Chris, Middletown, CT

    So....Clinton is "misspeaking" again??

    Keep in mind – Obama didn't bring up any of Clinton's baggage – he ran a clean campaign – (unlike Clinton) – the days of Clinton and her lying are over – if Clinton did run against McCain – the Republicans would bring up everything from Saul Alinsky to her support for drivers licenses for illegal her proposed healthcare plan that will cover the illegals too....and a million other things....

    May 14, 2008 10:25 am at 10:25 am |
  15. Susie

    It is not the popular vote that will count in the end; it is the state-by-state delegate count. Use this poll and show us that delegate count. This poll does not show what will be in November; only what people think now. Obama cannot characterize McCain as untrustworthy as he did Clinton. Clearly, Obama is less trustworthy than McCain. Obama has no record of actions, on inaction; McCain, on the other hand, has a clear record of working across the aisle with Democrats and doing what he believes is right for this country. No matter what he says to get elected, we know he will do what he believes is right for this country once he is in office. We do not know that about Obama-he has no record of actions just a lot of pretty speeches; we should elect his speech writers!

    May 14, 2008 10:25 am at 10:25 am |
  16. Mike

    Time to face the inevitable folks! Obama is the better candidate.

    May 14, 2008 10:25 am at 10:25 am |
  17. Don from Canada

    No surprise Obama is beating McCain and that number will only increase as the race goes on. The big surprise is that Hillary doesn't know its over and is trying to pretend that west Virginia's vote matters in the primaries. One has to ask themselves why is it that 7% of that state voted for Edwards and he has not been in the running for the nomination for months. Hillary needs to really rethink how important that "big" victory of here was last night?

    May 14, 2008 10:25 am at 10:25 am |
  18. Amanuel

    It seems Sen Obama is winning on Democrats representation, but why is Clinton remain odd and arrogant though she don'have a chance to win. Does she think may be old enough for the next election. Or rude feminist behaviour. I wander for better of the party, she stop NOW. THAN EMPTY DREAMS

    May 14, 2008 10:26 am at 10:26 am |
  19. gene

    The West Virginia primary was a preview of the coming attraction. Where Obama does not have a significant number of AA voters, he can not win. Don't give me this junk that he will win some of the former red states that he won in the causes or primaries would somehow make up for the loses in Ohio, Michigan, West Virginia and West Virginia. The media's love affair for Obana goes on and where has the information on the internal polling for Ohio, Missouri and Pennsylvania gone? The polls in these state show Obama being beaten badly by McCain. These are states that must be won or the Democrats lose. THe large number of AA voters reside in the southern states and they make up a large number of the Democratic base. With the much larger number being the Republican base. Obama will lose all of the south, allof the border states, all of the normal red states, Michigan for sure since his lawyer's held up the revote, and one of both Ohio and Pennsylania. The seated congressional representatives are flocking to him, because they need that small amount of AA vote in their distrects to survive.

    May 14, 2008 10:26 am at 10:26 am |
  20. Dr. Norton

    I know that if Mr. Obama is given a chance to speak to the people in these states that Clinton won they will know and love this man. I know that he will beat Mccain in a head to head race.
    The Republicans need to leave Pastor Wright out of this election. He has nothing to do with Mr. Obama's campaigne. If people think that Mr. Obama is that small mineded to be under the thumb of this Minister they are not playing with a full deck. mr. Obama is his on man and I know that when he states that is was wrong for pastor Wright to say those things, he is correct. GROW UP AMERICA!!!

    May 14, 2008 10:27 am at 10:27 am |

    I thought she was supposed to win 80/20 per bill clinton. What if he had campaigned heavily? Hilary is trying to get her money back guys. She is not stupid to know this is over!!!

    If Pennsylvania did not crown her victory, and North Carolina did not change the game, then the remaining contest are meaningless.

    CNN: Is Oregon a black state??
    OBAMA 2008 AND 2012

    May 14, 2008 10:27 am at 10:27 am |
  22. Brad

    McCain, thanks for you service to our country. You would have been a million times better back in 2000. But, step aside, a let the younger generation in.

    Obama/Edwards '08

    May 14, 2008 10:27 am at 10:27 am |
  23. BAM

    How does a margin of 5 to 7 points considered "easily" beating Senator McCain? This is just barely above the margin of error of such polls. Besides, both Senators Obama and Clinton are benefitting from the publicity of their heated battle, which has overshadowed Senator McCain. Once the Democrats choose their candidate, the real campaign will begin. It is only then that polling will accurately reflect the choice of the informed electorate.

    May 14, 2008 10:28 am at 10:28 am |
  24. Henry Miller, Cary, NC

    McCain is enthusiastically backing a war three-quarters of the population rejects and has George Bush hanging, albatross-like, around his neck–Bozo the Clown could beat him under these circumstances. Without campaigning.

    May 14, 2008 10:28 am at 10:28 am |
  25. Swiss in Canada

    Of course!!!!!!!!
    Please: Oregon, South Dakota, Montana: it's in your hands now:
    Please make it clear: OBAMA! It's not only for Americans: the whole world is waiting for a leader in America.

    May 14, 2008 10:28 am at 10:28 am |
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