May 19th, 2008
11:35 AM ET
15 years ago

Clinton has big lead in Kentucky, Obama on top in Oregon

[cnn-photo-caption image= caption="Clinton and Obama each hold leads in Tuesday's voting states."](CNN) - A new CNN "poll of polls" shows Hillary Clinton holds a big lead in Kentucky while Barack Obama is on top in Oregon - the next two states to weigh in on the Democratic presidential race.

According to CNN's analysis of several recent polls from both states, Clinton holds a 30-point lead in Kentucky while Obama is up by 10 in Oregon.

In Kentucky, Clinton is winning 58 percent of the vote while Obama is at 28 percent. Kentucky has a broad swath of working class white voters - the demographic that has long supported Clinton and propelled her to a 41-point victory in West Virginia one week ago. Her large margin in Kentucky appears to indicate those voters are sticking with Clinton, even as Obama appears to be the presumptive Democratic nominee.

In Oregon, Obama is winning 50 percent of likely Democratic voters there while Clinton is at 40 percent. With a large population of young voters and those who are college-educated, that state has demographics that have long favored Obama's candidacy.

Oregon is conducting a vote-by-mail primary, which means that a large number of voters in that state have already cast their ballots.

In Kentucky, 51 delegates are at stake while 52 are up for grabs in Oregon. It remains impossible for Clinton to catch Obama in pledged delegates, but the New York senator is looking to catch Obama in the popular vote total.

For more on the latests polls, check out the CNN Election Center

soundoff (271 Responses)
  1. Dinah, AL

    CNN this is not news. We know she's going to win in Kentucky. It will help her "resume" for 2012. She is a spoiled, selfish, self-centered brat who refuses to realize she lost.

    I can't wait for the circus to be over, so we can start the real race.


    May 19, 2008 10:31 am at 10:31 am |
  2. Emma

    I'm a Hillary fan, but any thinking person will vote for the Democratic candidate in November, and it it's Obama he'll get my vote. McCain/McBush would end any light that has shone on the American Republic since its inception.

    May 19, 2008 10:32 am at 10:32 am |
  3. Mike

    Julie, you are what is wrong with America!! GOD Dawn America!!

    You are who Rev. Wright is talking about!!

    May 19, 2008 10:32 am at 10:32 am |
  4. BV

    It's amazing but true, Hillary really does carry the less educated. They truly do stand out when you read what they write or try to write. Please, someone talk to them. They are who I fear the most. Let's get some help out to them so that they can began to realize what's at stake here. You don't go changing parties just because the person who you wanted isn't getting the nomination. Hillary will still go back as a Democratic Senator and fight for Obama once this is all over. That's because they both represent a Democratic view. Hillary is NOT going to vote for George W. McCain. Would someone please talk to these people? We still have time to educate them before they further help to bring this country to it's knees. Couldn't we hold rallies for something for them?

    May 19, 2008 10:32 am at 10:32 am |
  5. Karen from Charlottesville

    As a woman, business owner and feminist, I recognize that Hillary's loss is hard for a lot of women. But, try to remember, we actually have a candidate in Obama who has shared the same type of exclusion that many women have experienced. Like us, he has had to stand in the hall and bang hard on the door to be admitted. He did it by himself, with no help. I admire his grit and tenacity.

    It would have been great to have a woman president, and I was a fan of Hillary for years. But, let's face it, she was blindsided and not prepared to compete in the various ways that lead to victory. She wasn't ready for the caucuses and she clearly didn't make a strong enough case to the superdelegates. Obama was her 3 am phone call, and she wasn't prepared to answer it.

    The media didn't destroy her. The truth is, she just didn't have a strong enough campaign and wasn't prepared for a powerful challenger. At this point, the only way she can continue to compete is by changing the rules that she accepted early on. That isn't Presidential material.

    Obama has run a brilliantly strategic campaign and that tells me he's ready for the job.

    Better luck next time Hillary.

    May 19, 2008 10:32 am at 10:32 am |
  6. Kennedy Ghetubba

    Never in my life I have felt strongly that Senator Hilary Clinton is using the white bait to kill the democratic party. This disaster will be due to the undeniable fact that the majority of the majority party members do not see their natural colour as a perquisite to vote for a candidate, but many republican do. Therefore if she continues to argue the way she is doing to the convention centre the democratic party will loose three things in November 2008 ‘ the presidency, the Senate house and the House of representative. If in good and wise counsel she endorses Barack Obama quickly and give him all her time by campaigning with him till November the democratic party has a chance to retain both houses of power and the presidency, but this is half half because it will depend on how people will perceive that move of supporting the presumptive nominee. If many people see it as fake or a betrayer the damage down is very big to help much. If Hilary makes that wise decision now and immediately without any precondition she will be a president before she dies if she so desires.

    May 19, 2008 10:32 am at 10:32 am |
  7. Common Sense

    Every High (over 50k Annaully) paying job requires a college degree but when someone is running for office less educated people become the focus as they vote from emotion instead of education. Kentucky and West Vigirnia very uneducated people....No surprise how they vote. Hillary supporters in general are stating how they WILL NOT vote for Obama.....Very uneducated statements...Hillary supporters like to state how this primary is like American Idol and how Obama is a "Rock Star"....These I might add are the most educated statements that I hear from these people.....Which isn't saying much!

    May 19, 2008 10:32 am at 10:32 am |
  8. Ed, Santa Fe NM

    amazing that fools are still cheering for Hillary when she has no chance to win.... talk about a waste of time and effort!



    May 19, 2008 10:32 am at 10:32 am |
  9. Anonymous

    Young, college and educated? Not now but fixing to be in November.

    May 19, 2008 10:32 am at 10:32 am |
  10. Venus

    Shame on Hillary!

    How many ways can her campaign create ways for her to win!

    Yes – the primary is not over – but come on – stop lying to your supporters!

    Oregon – you are all beautiful to Obama and his family!

    Thanks for giving his campaign one of the biggest turn-out!

    75,000 people to see and hear Obama! Way to go!

    Please give him a big one on 5/20/08!

    May 19, 2008 10:32 am at 10:32 am |
  11. bigben

    Only way Obama could win is the democrats primary is so messed up.
    Hillary won the top 5 biggest states and will not win. If they did like the reps she would be the democratic nominee already.

    May 19, 2008 10:33 am at 10:33 am |
  12. Kentucky

    You are the stupid one. Kentucky is not racist . It is all about values . Of course you wouldn't understand that.
    J.S. You are so ignorant that I will try to ignore you.
    Hillary or Mcain. Obama hasn't won yet and neither has his arrogant supporters. Hillary has the popular vote so don't count her out. They may steal it from her but if they do then we will go MCain.

    May 19, 2008 10:33 am at 10:33 am |
  13. Mikey

    Hillary is NOT ahead in the popular vote.

    Just another CLINTON LIE!

    Get on the Obama Express or support (directly or indirectly) the continuation of many Bush/Cheney/Rove policies for the next four years. It's your choice.

    Obama IS ready – find another excuse not to vote for him.

    Add Julie (I'm sure not his real name) to the list of Limbaugh trolls.

    May 19, 2008 10:33 am at 10:33 am |
  14. NickNas

    More people came out to see Obama in Portland that have come out to see Hillary AND Bill in the last 3 MONTHS LOL!

    Hillary supports do NOT send her cash that is why she is Broke.

    They do NOT turn out to see her either.

    Makes me wonder if there really ARE so many of them.

    May 19, 2008 10:33 am at 10:33 am |
  15. Mario Bratfisch, Berlin

    @ dawson from Markham, Canada
    Oh yes, you are right. Many people in the world do know about the competitive race Obama against Clinton and its results. Well, look at me. I'm German. From its capital Berlin. And I'm very much interested in your primary-season and in that presidential race. I do love about it and I hope, you're going to vote Obama as your new president, it could be a great opportunity for you fellow Americans and for the rest of the world, too.
    So, do the right thing – Obama '08. đŸ™‚

    May 19, 2008 10:33 am at 10:33 am |
  16. Nateru

    Consider this the "wake up call" for unity...

    it's time...

    it's way past time...

    ...the buzzer on the alarm clock has been ringing for weeks.

    May 19, 2008 10:33 am at 10:33 am |
  17. Mike, Raleigh

    Sorry to Say Sen. Obama – If Dems does not make wise chioce then

    John McCain 2008 and Hillary 2012.

    May 19, 2008 10:33 am at 10:33 am |
  18. elvispresleyObamo

    »Hillary "Fake" Clinton :- GOODBYE!BYE! BYE!...STOP DAMAGING the Democratic Campaign!...The great Obama already WON the nomination!...Everybody KNOWS that by now!! Go Obama!!

    May 19, 2008 10:34 am at 10:34 am |
  19. C Laing

    Obama has always treated Clinton as if he has already won. That is his strategy. So far, it has worked pretty well. But, it will not work in the general election. What is really hard is that he will not stand for any criticizism. He plays the race card every time. The Republicans will find a way to chip away at him. Hillary Clinton has had her hands tied.

    May 19, 2008 10:34 am at 10:34 am |
  20. David in Chicago

    Where there is "southern hospitality" (AKA ignorance, lack of education, racism, and old politics as usual) there is a "big" win for Hitlery Cliton. Obama has actually swept more states (25 points or more) than Hitlery.

    May 19, 2008 10:34 am at 10:34 am |
  21. Jeanne

    Clintons wins won't get her the nomination. Obama will need to find a running mate that has a good chance of appealing to the hardworking, uneducated, white voters that vote for Clinton. Obama has to focus on the general election. Clinton is now a sideline.

    May 19, 2008 10:34 am at 10:34 am |
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