May 19th, 2008
11:35 AM ET
12 years ago

Clinton has big lead in Kentucky, Obama on top in Oregon

Clinton and Obama each hold leads in Tuesday's voting states.

Clinton and Obama each hold leads in Tuesday's voting states.

(CNN) - A new CNN "poll of polls" shows Hillary Clinton holds a big lead in Kentucky while Barack Obama is on top in Oregon - the next two states to weigh in on the Democratic presidential race.

According to CNN's analysis of several recent polls from both states, Clinton holds a 30-point lead in Kentucky while Obama is up by 10 in Oregon.

In Kentucky, Clinton is winning 58 percent of the vote while Obama is at 28 percent. Kentucky has a broad swath of working class white voters - the demographic that has long supported Clinton and propelled her to a 41-point victory in West Virginia one week ago. Her large margin in Kentucky appears to indicate those voters are sticking with Clinton, even as Obama appears to be the presumptive Democratic nominee.

In Oregon, Obama is winning 50 percent of likely Democratic voters there while Clinton is at 40 percent. With a large population of young voters and those who are college-educated, that state has demographics that have long favored Obama's candidacy.

Oregon is conducting a vote-by-mail primary, which means that a large number of voters in that state have already cast their ballots.

In Kentucky, 51 delegates are at stake while 52 are up for grabs in Oregon. It remains impossible for Clinton to catch Obama in pledged delegates, but the New York senator is looking to catch Obama in the popular vote total.

For more on the latests polls, check out the CNN Election Center

soundoff (271 Responses)
  1. Maggie

    The "Rock Star" vs "the wicked witch". Well I have supported the "wicked witch" since day one. I can relate to her ideals. As for the "Rock Star", I still have no idea what he stands for, other than "change", which has not yet been defined.

    Clinton is human and I can relate to her, as for Obama, he is not in touch with the average American. As an average American, I must encourage you to vote for Clinton over Obama.

    Clinton / Edwards "09"

    May 19, 2008 09:53 am at 9:53 am |
  2. Brooke

    I would just caution those Obama supporters that their man (who does look like he will win the nomination) is not the unanimous choice of Democratic voters. Often we hear their arrogance such as "get out of the race" or "Obama or no one." If/when he wins the nomination it will be one of the closest margins in years.

    May 19, 2008 09:53 am at 9:53 am |
  3. Ras-putin

    And the point is ???
    Obama 08-12

    May 19, 2008 09:54 am at 9:54 am |
  4. FLORIDA Voter for Barack Obama

    I never trusted the so called "vote by mail" procedure. Too many negative possibilities exist. I guess the racism spreads over from WV to KY as well. A shame, here we are in 2008 and some white folks still harbor those awful values.

    May 19, 2008 09:54 am at 9:54 am |
  5. Tony - DC

    Should Obama ask Hillary to be V.P., IF he is in fact the nominee, I hope she declines. She sould sit back, let the Democratic Party fall on its face, along with Obama, run against McBush in '12 and if not elected then, so be it. The Democratic Party just never seems to learn!

    The Republican Party is imploding, this is the best chance we have had to take control of Congress and the White House in decades and they wioll blow it. So weak and so ignorant. (not as ignorant as the republicans as has been proven over the last 8 years, but close!)

    May 19, 2008 09:54 am at 9:54 am |
  6. Proud1of 26% in WV

    Looks like another split decision.Looks like a little racial tension carrying over into Kentucky also.

    May 19, 2008 09:54 am at 9:54 am |
  7. Tim in NC

    She can't drop out without appearing weak, so she's going to run this into the ground using the same, tired old slogans until June 3rd comes. Then she can say that she went all the way, and whatever self-serving, pandering crap she wishes to throw out there to save her poliical career.

    Seriously, look at the prtimary map and how her states divide the country in two... there's a bit of irony for you to chew on CNN.

    May 19, 2008 09:54 am at 9:54 am |
  8. bonna

    That's fine but, but what they are not telling is that both states she's won big, is because the republicans are vote=ing for her.. THATS DIRTY politics.

    May 19, 2008 09:54 am at 9:54 am |
  9. leslie

    As bias as usaual, your ticker left off the part about Obama and the lead in the polls in Oregon. Whatever, CNN. She has lost and its been on the merits and no homemade math matrix can discount the facts. Your coverage over the past 24 hours has been shameful at best. Also, I see you failed to mention about Obama standing up for his wife and calling the GOP attacks on her low. I guess that doesn't fit into the Clinton "victim card" slant today.

    May 19, 2008 09:55 am at 9:55 am |
  10. shelly OR

    cnn, please report the real breaking news as of yesterday. 75,000 people came to see Obama in our state which shows the overwhelmingly support. why don't you show that amazing picture. also, according to your fact check Clinton is counting two states that lost their qualifications.

    obama 08

    May 19, 2008 09:55 am at 9:55 am |
  11. Ken W

    Think about this as a hiring decision, the interview has all but ended and we all can see that you won't get the job. It's time to go home Hillary.

    Go Barack!!!!!

    May 19, 2008 09:55 am at 9:55 am |
  12. Oregon

    Instead of focusing on candidates, consider groups of voters – in particular, those in Oregon and Kentucky? Whose example might be worth following? Suppose your choice was between people who were (a) educated and idealistic or (b) uneducated and racist?

    May 19, 2008 09:55 am at 9:55 am |
  13. jr

    So after these two primaries are over tomorrow night and they have basically spit the available pledged delegates the arguement will be what?

    May 19, 2008 09:56 am at 9:56 am |
  14. Eric

    America is about to make the biggest mistake ever if Obama becomes President.

    May 19, 2008 09:56 am at 9:56 am |
  15. ao

    The truth is, if he doesn't take her on his ticket as VP, we will lose in Nov. Only united Dem. party can do it, and that means both his and her voters coming togather, unless either Obama or hillary supporters want McCrazy. Don't expect people from either candidate just flock to the pile, espcially Hillary's (since they are so-called Reagan Dems). So all of you STOP bickering at eachother and move on geez. Get the dream ticket online anbd let's win in Nov.

    May 19, 2008 09:56 am at 9:56 am |
  16. RB

    Forgot to add: OBAMA/WEBB 08/12 followed by 8 yrs of Webb/?

    May 19, 2008 09:56 am at 9:56 am |
  17. J.S.

    Educated Americans and people abroad see Hillary supporters as racist, xenophobic, ethnocentric, uneducated, laughable simpletons who embody everything that is deplorable and negative about the United States. And let us not forget about the other category of Hillary supporters. Great Women leaders like Indira Ghandi, Margaret Thatcher, Mother Theresa and many others never showed such a shameful lack of character, dignity, humility, and honor that has been displayed by Hillary every single day for the better part of this past year. Hillary is no great example for women. She is a disgrace to those women who have struggled and achieved not only equality, but respect and success; without resorting to self-entitlement tempered with self-pity as Hillary has done whenever her coronation as queen has been interrupted.

    May 19, 2008 09:56 am at 9:56 am |
  18. JRC

    Does it really matter if she's ahead in KY? KY, like WV, is hardly important. If they were, they wouldn't be at the bottom of the primary calendar.
    KY, like WV, is highly racist.
    KY, like WV, is 90% white and only a small percentage have a college education.
    KY, like WV, is certainly not a good indicator of middle America.
    Of course, Hillary will win here. Who cares?

    May 19, 2008 09:57 am at 9:57 am |
  19. kamenwati

    It doesn't matter how wide the margin is in Kentucky for Clinton, the primary race is over. Obama is gearing up for what will be a landslide victory over McCain in the fall. It's time for democrats to close ranks and go on about the business of ridding the country of the disaster that the republicans have wrought on the nation's military, economy and its standing in the world.

    May 19, 2008 09:57 am at 9:57 am |
  20. one black panther

    2 weeks left.

    May 19, 2008 09:57 am at 9:57 am |
  21. Marie

    CNN why have you prevented me from posting a comment for three days. Is it because I am a Hillary supporter?

    May 19, 2008 09:57 am at 9:57 am |
  22. shirley.roybal,surprise,az.

    GO HILLARY !!! YOU ARE THE PEOPLE CHOICE ,ITS ONLY THE MALE PUNDITS AND THE MEDIA ,WHO HAVE CHOSEN OUR PRESIDENT,THEY SAY IT ISN'T SEXISM WHAT A SHAM ,IT'S SO OBVIOUS,THEY FEAR A WOMAN INTELLECT. I DONT WATCH THE NEWS OR CNN ANYMORE ,EXCEPT FOR LOU DOBBS AND ANDERSON COOPER.

    May 19, 2008 09:58 am at 9:58 am |
  23. Kevin

    So basically, the intelligent people follow Obama and the un-educated people follow Clinton. Well what I want to know is why do these blue collar white folks think that the Clinton's are like them. I can give you a 109 million reasons to why they are not like you.

    Well anyway, Obama has done it, he is the winner, I just wish that the Clinton campaign just realizes that they have lost........the only person that can tell her that it is over is not even her husband but it's Howard Wolfson........the big mouth "A' hole of the campaign.

    Hillary, sine you like boxing, you remind me when Sugar Ray Leonard came out of retirement and fought Hector Camacho and after the fight of 5 rounds Sugar Ray Leonard had to be carried out of the ring as he was dazed and had ribs broken...............get out now.

    May 19, 2008 09:58 am at 9:58 am |
  24. Larry in Michigan

    Perhaps Kentucky and Puerto Rico will be the game-changers that Hillary has been talking so much about since Super Tuesday.

    *sigh*

    Please quit encouraging her and let this lady fade into obscurity with some dignity.

    May 19, 2008 09:59 am at 9:59 am |
  25. Paul

    You can attribute the latest big wins by Clinton in WV and Kentucky to a bunch of white racist voters, but remmber that Obama won by huge margins in other very "white" states (like Idaho) : the only difference is that those contests were held several months ago, before people started learning more about who Obama really is.

    It's almost 6 months until the election : Obama's popularity is already going down. Wait until the REAL dirt starts to fly.

    May 19, 2008 09:59 am at 9:59 am |
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