May 19th, 2008
11:35 AM ET
12 years ago

Clinton has big lead in Kentucky, Obama on top in Oregon

Clinton and Obama each hold leads in Tuesday's voting states.

Clinton and Obama each hold leads in Tuesday's voting states.

(CNN) - A new CNN "poll of polls" shows Hillary Clinton holds a big lead in Kentucky while Barack Obama is on top in Oregon - the next two states to weigh in on the Democratic presidential race.

According to CNN's analysis of several recent polls from both states, Clinton holds a 30-point lead in Kentucky while Obama is up by 10 in Oregon.

In Kentucky, Clinton is winning 58 percent of the vote while Obama is at 28 percent. Kentucky has a broad swath of working class white voters - the demographic that has long supported Clinton and propelled her to a 41-point victory in West Virginia one week ago. Her large margin in Kentucky appears to indicate those voters are sticking with Clinton, even as Obama appears to be the presumptive Democratic nominee.

In Oregon, Obama is winning 50 percent of likely Democratic voters there while Clinton is at 40 percent. With a large population of young voters and those who are college-educated, that state has demographics that have long favored Obama's candidacy.

Oregon is conducting a vote-by-mail primary, which means that a large number of voters in that state have already cast their ballots.

In Kentucky, 51 delegates are at stake while 52 are up for grabs in Oregon. It remains impossible for Clinton to catch Obama in pledged delegates, but the New York senator is looking to catch Obama in the popular vote total.

For more on the latests polls, check out the CNN Election Center

soundoff (271 Responses)
  1. Victor in NC

    Something about putting those two faces together on the picture that scares me to no end. Please don't do that again..
    I really don't want them two to team up.

    Obama/Edwards 08/12

    May 19, 2008 09:59 am at 9:59 am |
  2. one black panther

    Obama/Powell or Obama/Rice

    May 19, 2008 09:59 am at 9:59 am |
  3. The Clear Thinking Indepedent

    What are the policy differences between the two candidates that that lead to this dicotomy?

    If it is a guns-versus-butter argument around the price of gasoline consider this ...

    It would seem that our government's ability to stop buying oil for the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, which is reportedly 97% full, is a much bigger lever that could favorably impact the price of oil by removing demand.

    Have any of these erudite candidates (Republican or Democrate) evaluated that? Few see a Gas Tax Holiday as a REAL solution.

    It would take too long to get enacted
    Has no restriction that would stop Oil Companies from simply raising their prices to the prior market level and pocketing the difference
    Does not take into account the impact on highway construction jobs, which the federal gasoline tax funds.

    Leadership has authority around the Strategic Petroleum Reserve though. Your thoughts thinking Americans?

    May 19, 2008 10:00 am at 10:00 am |
  4. Momma for Obama

    polls polls polls, and to believe CNN polls, it is best to read the enquirer. I am sure, Wolf, already claimed victory for clinton in KY he always does, .............. no matter what the numbers says, he will always say BIG win for Hillary and never never once say that for obama even if he has taken a state for 70% of the vote..

    that is clinton network news..

    May 19, 2008 10:00 am at 10:00 am |
  5. Jim

    It s over for Hillary BIG LEAD or not! Obama will win the nomination and the White House. Maybe in 2016 Hillary??
    The sooner Hillary quietly exits and supports Obama the better it will look for her in the public's eye.
    Now she is simply seen as a spoiler, complainer, and attention grabber..!!!
    HIllary, it is OVER for you!!!

    May 19, 2008 10:00 am at 10:00 am |
  6. Montana is Obama Country

    Polls are decieving.... Obama had more white faces in a crowd of 75,000 in Oregon...

    Clinton had 300 in Kentucky...

    Big Difference... and if the media doesn't do something to offset reality then they won't have anything to report on..
    Try reporting on the economy and the war ... the number 1 and 2 issues of people..OR McCain your olden boy with lobbyist issues.

    Yes...We..Can... in Montana

    May 19, 2008 10:01 am at 10:01 am |
  7. Herman in LA

    Who cares who has what lead is it over yet?

    It's getting freaken old

    Obama 08!!!

    May 19, 2008 10:01 am at 10:01 am |
  8. Karen

    Go HIllary. If you don't get the nomination, I'm writing your name on the ballot in November.

    May 19, 2008 10:01 am at 10:01 am |
  9. Denise Calhoun

    CNN you are the most biased disgrace of a news station. Second to Faux news. Why would you run all these lies about Clinton and fail to mention Obama rallying 80,000 ppl in Oregon.
    Your Clinton News Network is a loser, just like YOUR chosen candidate. Thank God average ppl are looking for the truth and 80,000 ppl in Oregon have proven it.

    May 19, 2008 10:02 am at 10:02 am |
  10. Rob

    even Fox noise is headlining the 75k+ crowd Obama drew in Portland yesterday. CNN your bias is showing!

    May 19, 2008 10:02 am at 10:02 am |
  11. Doug R.

    Obama had nearly 80,000 people at one of his campaign rallys yesterday. Hillary draws thousands at her rallies. Grandpa McCain draws a few hundred. Hmm. He is a tired old political hack with ties to big business and lobbyists and a supporter of Bush's policies and Bush's administration. Away with this.
    McCain was also involved in the Keating Five banking scandel and he walked away with millions of taxpayers dollars...
    Once a crook, always a crook.

    May 19, 2008 10:02 am at 10:02 am |
  12. Margaret

    I wish CNN would poll its readers thusly:

    If you already voted in a primary, do you:

    Have buyer's remorse for voting for Hillary Clinton?

    Have buyer's remorse for voting for Barack Obama?

    This is a question that will be impossible to ask in the general election exit polls. If we are ever going to have a sense of the existence and/or extent of buyer's remorse in the Dem primaries, it has to be asked soon.

    May 19, 2008 10:02 am at 10:02 am |
  13. proud army and navy mom

    clinton headed toward big win-–AND? what does this mean in the great scheme of things....nothing.

    May 19, 2008 10:02 am at 10:02 am |
  14. Tim

    this group that supports her is the beer drinking, bar hopping, race fan group that votes for a name rather than to use their brains and research.

    May 19, 2008 10:02 am at 10:02 am |
  15. Gloria Boca Raton, Florida

    Go Hillary!!!

    It is either Hillary or no vote for me. Not voting for Obama. Will walk away from the party on that for sure.

    Women for Hillary!!! It is our turn – no Obama's!!!! And he will not win against McCain.

    G

    May 19, 2008 10:03 am at 10:03 am |
  16. Debbie,NJ

    Unless KY, PA and Wv gets her most states won, popular vote, and most delegates, Obama is still in the lead!!!

    May 19, 2008 10:03 am at 10:03 am |
  17. D S

    OBAMA & CLINTON is the winning ticket. Otherwise McCain will win.

    May 19, 2008 10:05 am at 10:05 am |
  18. Tony - DC

    Barack whines and moans constantly about the press, republicans, etc., pickin on his wife. NEWSFLASH OBAMA! She is now a public figure and had better get used to living in a fish bowl. If she doesn't want every word that leaves her lips being scrutinized then tell her to SHUT UP!

    If she can't handle the criticism, stay home and zip it honey!

    May 19, 2008 10:05 am at 10:05 am |
  19. T L

    The people know that ALL politicians say things to get votes. There is no such thing as "new politics". Only some people believe that a guy who called criticism "distraction" is a good guy. Open your eyes, anything against Obama is "distraction". When Obama criticizes others and sends out negative mails, he still claims that he runs a positive campaign. You can argue that his aides did it instead of Obama himself. But if he can't control his aides, how can he be the president?

    May 19, 2008 10:05 am at 10:05 am |
  20. ki-jana carter

    What does this tell us? There are a lot of dumb people in West Virginia and Kentucky. That is Hillary's most loyal demographic. Dumb people.

    May 19, 2008 10:05 am at 10:05 am |
  21. Kelley

    Big deal....she still can't win....won't win.

    OBAMA '08

    May 19, 2008 10:06 am at 10:06 am |
  22. lol

    can't the dnc and superdelegates see that hillary is the stronger candidate. they have shoved obama on america since the start ot the primaries. hillary supporters will never vote for him, why should we care if the democats are unified, after the way they treated hillary. hillary should run as an independent and take her voters with her. if not vote mccain. nobama ever!

    May 19, 2008 10:06 am at 10:06 am |
  23. Phong Nguyen

    The DNC has a dilemma on their hand with two strongly supported candidates now. The Democratic Party is very divided now thanks to S. Ted Kennedy's endorsement of S. Obama. Yes, S. Ted Kenndy has shown the seed of division in this Democratic primary process in my opinion and the DNC contributed to that division by ignoring the voters of Florida and Michigan just because their state legislators ignored the technical rules of the DNC. It seems like the DNC has played right into the hand of the RNC!!! Bravo!!!

    May 19, 2008 10:06 am at 10:06 am |
  24. Christina

    Yea, Oregon say much about the entire Obama campaign... the well-educated (elitists) and the young (the spoiled generation). Wow – our country is headed for tremendous change while we sit and wonder... why do so many overseas hates us so much??

    I will NEVER vote for Obama. He has nothing in common with me and never has.

    May 19, 2008 10:06 am at 10:06 am |
  25. Tony - DC

    Funny, all of my comments are awaiting moderation. Way to go CNN. The usual biased reporting!

    May 19, 2008 10:07 am at 10:07 am |
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