May 19th, 2008
11:35 AM ET
12 years ago

Clinton has big lead in Kentucky, Obama on top in Oregon

Clinton and Obama each hold leads in Tuesday's voting states.

Clinton and Obama each hold leads in Tuesday's voting states.

(CNN) - A new CNN "poll of polls" shows Hillary Clinton holds a big lead in Kentucky while Barack Obama is on top in Oregon - the next two states to weigh in on the Democratic presidential race.

According to CNN's analysis of several recent polls from both states, Clinton holds a 30-point lead in Kentucky while Obama is up by 10 in Oregon.

In Kentucky, Clinton is winning 58 percent of the vote while Obama is at 28 percent. Kentucky has a broad swath of working class white voters - the demographic that has long supported Clinton and propelled her to a 41-point victory in West Virginia one week ago. Her large margin in Kentucky appears to indicate those voters are sticking with Clinton, even as Obama appears to be the presumptive Democratic nominee.

In Oregon, Obama is winning 50 percent of likely Democratic voters there while Clinton is at 40 percent. With a large population of young voters and those who are college-educated, that state has demographics that have long favored Obama's candidacy.

Oregon is conducting a vote-by-mail primary, which means that a large number of voters in that state have already cast their ballots.

In Kentucky, 51 delegates are at stake while 52 are up for grabs in Oregon. It remains impossible for Clinton to catch Obama in pledged delegates, but the New York senator is looking to catch Obama in the popular vote total.

For more on the latests polls, check out the CNN Election Center

soundoff (271 Responses)
  1. Bill (Louisiana)

    You can't judge a book by its cover. You can't judge a person by what they say they will do just to get your votes. Actions speak louder than words. Remember the comments and actions made by Obama's wife and pastor that were videoed. Why is it that McCain would rather go up against Obama than Clinton? Sure win for McCain in November.

    May 19, 2008 10:07 am at 10:07 am |
  2. Tony - DC

    All 6 of them. Ah, truth in journalism is alive and well.!

    May 19, 2008 10:08 am at 10:08 am |
  3. Marine

    Why is that the BO supporters always claim it is race when Billary supporters say they are not going to vote for BO if he getrs the dems nomination. Have you people ever stopped to think that maybe they do not want a SOCIALIST as president because that is what he is. Just because you are too afraid to admit it do no blame others for their willingness to accept that fact.

    May 19, 2008 10:08 am at 10:08 am |
  4. Margaret

    Paul, how blind are you? Why can't we as easily say that the North Carolina Obama win was because of a completely racist black vote? Why the double standard?

    May 19, 2008 10:09 am at 10:09 am |
  5. Scott

    CNN: Why doesn't your headline that directs viewers to this page say Clinton and Obama both headed for big wins? Bias?

    May 19, 2008 10:09 am at 10:09 am |
  6. HillarySkank on myspace

    I read an interesting article yesterday that said 2004 was tailor made for Hillary but she didn't run because she didn't want to take on Bush. The article went on to say that had she ran then, she would have won and been gearing up for her second term instead of losing at her first run.

    Guess you read the tea leaves wrong Hillary. You should have had the courage to run against George Bush. You are about 4 years too late.

    May 19, 2008 10:10 am at 10:10 am |
  7. Bushwhacked in Eugene, OR

    So? No surprise, in either case. She's been expected to win KY, he's been expected to win OR. The news would be a poll that showed the opposite.

    And Hillary supporters, Obama certainly WON'T win against McCain if all of you pout off in protest and vote either for McCain or write in Hillary or, worse yet, don't vote at all. Get a grip. Look at what's important in the long run, not just your personal preferences.

    May 19, 2008 10:10 am at 10:10 am |
  8. kathy in ohio

    what happen to his 15pt average in oregon

    GO HILLARY

    May 19, 2008 10:11 am at 10:11 am |
  9. Modern Monkey!!!!

    CNN is the only place I can still get info on HRC, as most of the other, better national news channels are dropping her stories! Did everybody see the rally in Oregon, that was really cool looking!!!

    One more thing, why is KY going to vote for HRC when she has no chance, NO Money, no supporters???? Why??? To show the courty what we already know??? Have fun red-necks.

    May 19, 2008 10:11 am at 10:11 am |
  10. Charlotte

    The big rally in Oregon was because of Bruce Springstien? How many stayed after his performance? I will write in Hillary Clinton in November....

    May 19, 2008 10:11 am at 10:11 am |
  11. Tony - DC

    Gloria in Boca!

    Go girl. The super delegates and the Dem. party think we are bluffing when we say we won't vote for Obama. What a surprise they have in store for them come November.

    No way in hell I'd ever vote for a republican, but wouldn't vote for Obama either.

    Let the chips fall where they may and for those who say not voting for the Dem. is a vote for McCain, well, maybe so, but maybe sooner or later the Dems. will FINLALLY GET IT!

    May 19, 2008 10:11 am at 10:11 am |
  12. Luna Atlanta, GA

    Go Obama!!!!

    OBAMA/08

    May 19, 2008 10:11 am at 10:11 am |
  13. Tom

    The voters know this primary is over – Why does CNN and the media continue to write about an issue that has a winner – Some of CNN reporters should try CNN "Do the Math" – It is a huge long shot for Hillary to come back – Please CNN move on to the General Election – Let Hillary bow out is style – She does not want this coverage.

    May 19, 2008 10:11 am at 10:11 am |
  14. Pepou

    Obama will be the nominee and WV and Kentucky will not change the race.

    May 19, 2008 10:12 am at 10:12 am |
  15. LT

    In my view, Hillary has an apparent drinking problem. She regularly takes shots of whiskey and drinks beer. A Lady should not indulge in strong drink if she is running for office.

    May 19, 2008 10:12 am at 10:12 am |
  16. Randy

    Haven't the people of this country had enough of these type in office.
    Another Clinton, come on people. Think before you vote this time.

    May 19, 2008 10:12 am at 10:12 am |
  17. Annie

    Obama draws a crowd of 75,000 people, and this is what CNN posts. CNN should rename itself to the Clinton News Network. This article is a joke.

    May 19, 2008 10:12 am at 10:12 am |
  18. J Williamson

    I've been voting in presidential elections since 1976, and I don't recall the apparent nominee still getting his clock cleaned (in a primary) after virtually everyone said he'd locked it up. What gives here? Hillary has a broader base of support – that's clear! The super-delegates lack the courage to be pragmatic and are only thinking about fall-out with Obama's black supporters should they recognize this and go with Hillary.

    May 19, 2008 10:12 am at 10:12 am |
  19. T L

    I have read the comments about making no sense to vote McCain if not Hillary. I totally disagree, I wouldn't want Obama to be the president and have a selective mandate. Penalize parents who can't afford kids' insurance is adding insult to injury. Growing up in a low income family myself, I know how difficult it is. Mandate to have insurance for everyone reduces the overall cost, so it has a significantly better chance both parents and kids will be insured. Then, no mandate is better than just penalizing to the parents. So, Hillary first, McCain second, never the one who claimed to grow up in a poor family but doesn't understand the pain!

    May 19, 2008 10:12 am at 10:12 am |
  20. Generation X

    Will all the Hillary supporters stop with the crying, complaining, and blaming Obama for Hillary's loss. She did this to herself, I didn't hear any Hillary supporters complaining when the Rev Wright episode was occuring. Just stop! Fred, Sharon MN, California Girl, and any woman in FL and MI...........GO AWAY and VOTE MCCAIN....please!

    May 19, 2008 10:12 am at 10:12 am |
  21. Katie

    Even if she wins the last primaries by 60% to 40% she still will not have gained on Obama. Hillary's time is over.

    May 19, 2008 10:12 am at 10:12 am |
  22. Brian from Fort Mill, S.C.

    Paul:

    He's also winning in Oregon, which is a lot like Iowa. And he's further ahead, even after Hillary has won WV. He can lose every other state, and still win the nomination.

    May 19, 2008 10:12 am at 10:12 am |
  23. brian from Boston

    message to dems: put up someone electable, hillary, or emrance president john mccain. let's not be foolish. purists who won't settle end up with nothing. time be pragmatic and get behind hillary. obama for vp and the he stays in after she's senile.

    May 19, 2008 10:13 am at 10:13 am |
  24. Tony - DC

    SEPARATED AT BIRTH! CNN/FOX NEWS!

    May 19, 2008 10:13 am at 10:13 am |
  25. Buddy

    The people of Oregon need Rev. Wrights prayers. GO HILLARY!!

    May 19, 2008 10:13 am at 10:13 am |
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