May 19th, 2008
11:35 AM ET
12 years ago

Clinton has big lead in Kentucky, Obama on top in Oregon

Clinton and Obama each hold leads in Tuesday's voting states.

Clinton and Obama each hold leads in Tuesday's voting states.

(CNN) - A new CNN "poll of polls" shows Hillary Clinton holds a big lead in Kentucky while Barack Obama is on top in Oregon - the next two states to weigh in on the Democratic presidential race.

According to CNN's analysis of several recent polls from both states, Clinton holds a 30-point lead in Kentucky while Obama is up by 10 in Oregon.

In Kentucky, Clinton is winning 58 percent of the vote while Obama is at 28 percent. Kentucky has a broad swath of working class white voters - the demographic that has long supported Clinton and propelled her to a 41-point victory in West Virginia one week ago. Her large margin in Kentucky appears to indicate those voters are sticking with Clinton, even as Obama appears to be the presumptive Democratic nominee.

In Oregon, Obama is winning 50 percent of likely Democratic voters there while Clinton is at 40 percent. With a large population of young voters and those who are college-educated, that state has demographics that have long favored Obama's candidacy.

Oregon is conducting a vote-by-mail primary, which means that a large number of voters in that state have already cast their ballots.

In Kentucky, 51 delegates are at stake while 52 are up for grabs in Oregon. It remains impossible for Clinton to catch Obama in pledged delegates, but the New York senator is looking to catch Obama in the popular vote total.

For more on the latests polls, check out the CNN Election Center

soundoff (271 Responses)
  1. Ed

    She doesn't get enough delegates to win the nominatin and neither does he. Either way the party bosses and not the people decide the candidate. Why have primaries at all? If she wins the overall popular vote and we don't disenfranchise Michigan and Florida voters she wins the nomination. The party bosses are just ready to move on from the Clintons and anxious to have an African-American nominee. The news media love it too. Who cares what the people want.

    May 19, 2008 10:13 am at 10:13 am |
  2. Albuquerque

    Go Hillary! Keep up the fight!

    NOBAMA NOWAY

    Its Hillary or I am voting for McCain

    May 19, 2008 10:13 am at 10:13 am |
  3. Jkakunda

    08 shows direclty the biggest american vice !! So you are not, to this point of time, free !! It is as if America is another Arabian Continent in leadership style. The Clintons and the Bushes as Potent Royal families. Why dont you declare the Sultanate of the USA? Sorry for Obama or McCain! Even if you win! You will constantly be tounted by the Clinton Royal Family, especially eyeing with a bully fight! 2012!

    May 19, 2008 10:14 am at 10:14 am |
  4. Truth Be Told

    to terry in fl – i am a taxpayer and i support obama, not because the color of his skin, nor his so-called "inexperience", nor because of his name, but because of his honesty and trustworthiness, his "smartness" and lack of baggage (or garbage) he's carrying into the people's house.

    can you say the same thing for your candidate?

    May 19, 2008 10:14 am at 10:14 am |
  5. Brian from Fort Mill, S.C.

    Eric:

    Correction: SECOND biggest mistake. We already made the biggest mistake for voting for Bush (or have you forgotten so quickly?)

    May 19, 2008 10:14 am at 10:14 am |
  6. Only the Truth

    Just another primary election day getting in the way of what we already know. Obama will face and defeat McCain in the general election.

    May 19, 2008 10:14 am at 10:14 am |
  7. Debbie

    Hillary again has the blue collar vote and Obama has the college educated voted. Blue collar workers are stuck in hard times and Clinton is good at pandering to thier needs. I agree with many that Clinton supporters that are going to vote for McCain is down right dumb. Perhaps that os why many on this board state the uneducated are voting for Hillary. Do you know McCain will keep us in Iraq for who knows how many years, he has the opportunity to appoint a conservative judge which wil over turn Roe vs. Wade, etc. There are not that many major policy differences between Hillary and Obama. I understand many woman wanting a woman President but you will jeopardize so much with your silly pride.

    May 19, 2008 10:14 am at 10:14 am |
  8. Zoey

    It's funny to see parents and teachers to tell their kids to vote and take active in the democratic process. Now that the young voters are doing just that and picking a qualified guy who happens to be black. Then there is a problem. All of a sudden these kids are yuppies and don't know what their talking about.

    I think we as adults should support youth voting, maybe trying something new is better for this country. We have already seen what Clinton has done for this country and I'm thankful for that.
    But Clinton represents the same old politics and all over the country people are tired of it.

    May 19, 2008 10:15 am at 10:15 am |
  9. Margaret

    The mainia spin in Portland is amazing. Obama parked himself on the Willamette River city waterfront park on a weekend!! At least half those locals are there because it's their weekend entertainment spot, not because they made a trip to see him. 75,000 my foot!

    May 19, 2008 10:15 am at 10:15 am |
  10. Brian from Fort Mill, S.C.

    Gloria Boca Raton, Florida:

    Well, then you can sleep late on Election Day.

    May 19, 2008 10:15 am at 10:15 am |
  11. HillarySkank on myspace

    I have never liked Hillary or Bill for that matter. They are both snake oil salesmen. I'm not a huge fan of McCain either, but he is better than Hillary so I totally understand why a Clinton fan would vote for McCain over their candidate because if this thing reverses and Hillary steals it, I too will vote for McCain.

    The biggest problem I have with McCain is his support for the war in Iraq. I figure if he is elected, he will keep the war going but overturn Roe v Wade so the net loss of lives lost would equal out.

    May 19, 2008 10:15 am at 10:15 am |
  12. Enlightened Voter

    Is it really going to matter if she wins Kentucky by a landslide? But hey, here is my prediction, I don't think KY will be a big win for her and I think Barack is going to blow her out in Oregon. We'll see.

    May 19, 2008 10:15 am at 10:15 am |
  13. Hilda

    TERRY IN FL- Don't try to help Hillary by saying it is a hiring process. Who wants to hire someone who can't run her own campaign and is working in the red. A business would not stay afloat in a situation like that.

    For all those that are still screaming about FL and Michigan, I am sure at the end they will be seated. But, why did Hillary not start screaming about this and caring about it till she fell behind, how does that look to you, I know what it looks like to me.

    May 19, 2008 10:15 am at 10:15 am |
  14. Tony - DC

    TIM: THAT'S ODD. THAT'S WHAT PEOPLE ARE SAYING ABOUT THE BLACK COMMUNITY. VOTE FOR OBAMA JUST BECAUSE HE IS BLACK AND DON'T BOTHER WITH ANYTHING ELSE.

    VOTE FOR THE BROTHA!...AND BECAUSE MAMA OPRAH TOLD YOU TOO! ALL YOU NEED TO KNOW!

    May 19, 2008 10:15 am at 10:15 am |
  15. Keith in San Diego

    Another "big" win? I'm sorry, while Sen Clinton may win by a wide margin, Kentucky, like West Virginia, hardly constitutes "big".

    May 19, 2008 10:15 am at 10:15 am |
  16. Kurt

    Senator Clinton will win the popular vote WHEN Florida and Michigan are counted. See you all Obama trolls in the white house with our first female president!!!!!
    She will make the government work again.
    Obama is same old politics of money power arrogance and greed!!!!!!!

    May 19, 2008 10:15 am at 10:15 am |
  17. aj rasaki

    This may be new or old,Obama said is a party uniter,i will like him to unite the party first . Put HER in the ticket with him to get my VOTE.

    May 19, 2008 10:16 am at 10:16 am |
  18. Avram (Yes I´m Jewish)

    It seems that some whites (and blacks but in less number) just can’t cope with the fact that Obama will be the next president of America. These folks peddle hate and try to find any excuse not to vote a African American into our highest office. Most prefer to ignore that as an American with a white mother and white family which took care of him most of his life, Obama effectively understands the two sides of the racial issue. Just think of it, if his term as president is successful, both whites and blacks will have no more excuses, especially those on both sides who live and thrive professing hate and bigotry. Will people like Rev. Wright and Rush Limbaugh be able to say all the stupid things they now say ? Think of it !!

    May 19, 2008 10:16 am at 10:16 am |
  19. Uncle Sam

    We have on one hand a naive presidential hopeful who promises change, while on the other an experienced heroic statesman with a proven record of change? Am I missing something?

    Americans for McCain '08

    May 19, 2008 10:16 am at 10:16 am |
  20. Eddie

    If Florida and Michigan are not seated then Obama cannot claim to be democratically elected.

    How can the voters of Florida and Michigan allow Obama to win the presidency when he was elected by a much smaller state like Oregon?

    Either Hillary will stand as an Independent or Florida and Michigan will vote for McCain.

    HILLARY 08

    May 19, 2008 10:16 am at 10:16 am |
  21. VoteforAmerica

    Tim May 19th, 2008 10:02 am ET

    this group that supports her is the beer drinking, bar hopping, race fan group that votes for a name rather than to use their brains and research.
    ====================================================
    This is a typical Obama supporter. My friend, do you want to offend your brothers and still expect them to vote for Obama? Think about it!!! The margins are not small that you can ignore them.

    May 19, 2008 10:16 am at 10:16 am |
  22. Pete, TS FL

    Two things are certain:

    Hillary is not a quitter.
    Obama can't win in November.

    May 19, 2008 10:16 am at 10:16 am |
  23. Lars Larson

    What I find amazing is people who would write in Hillary Clinton, as if that will make a difference except to the people who will have to count the write in votes. If you don't like Obama and would rather have McCain, then vote that way. Don't waste your time and the time of those counting the ballots by writing in a name.

    Let's put away our childish pride and unite behind whoever becomes the Democratic nominee and tell the Republicans that we don't want high gas prices, tax breaks for the wealthy or privatized social security. Those are all things you can count on if John McCain makes it to the White House.

    May 19, 2008 10:16 am at 10:16 am |
  24. skyjuice

    The longer she stays in, the more hurtful it's gonna be for her when she's finally beaten. She's probably wondering how the heck did she fall behind so far and she's a former 1st lady..lol

    Obama 08'/12'

    May 19, 2008 10:16 am at 10:16 am |
  25. Tracy

    Why is it that the pro-Obama blogs are always laced with sexist commentary? As a woman wondering if I should vote for Obama in November...............the answer is hell no.

    May 19, 2008 10:16 am at 10:16 am |
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