May 19th, 2008
11:35 AM ET
12 years ago

Clinton has big lead in Kentucky, Obama on top in Oregon

Clinton and Obama each hold leads in Tuesday's voting states.

Clinton and Obama each hold leads in Tuesday's voting states.

(CNN) - A new CNN "poll of polls" shows Hillary Clinton holds a big lead in Kentucky while Barack Obama is on top in Oregon - the next two states to weigh in on the Democratic presidential race.

According to CNN's analysis of several recent polls from both states, Clinton holds a 30-point lead in Kentucky while Obama is up by 10 in Oregon.

In Kentucky, Clinton is winning 58 percent of the vote while Obama is at 28 percent. Kentucky has a broad swath of working class white voters - the demographic that has long supported Clinton and propelled her to a 41-point victory in West Virginia one week ago. Her large margin in Kentucky appears to indicate those voters are sticking with Clinton, even as Obama appears to be the presumptive Democratic nominee.

In Oregon, Obama is winning 50 percent of likely Democratic voters there while Clinton is at 40 percent. With a large population of young voters and those who are college-educated, that state has demographics that have long favored Obama's candidacy.

Oregon is conducting a vote-by-mail primary, which means that a large number of voters in that state have already cast their ballots.

In Kentucky, 51 delegates are at stake while 52 are up for grabs in Oregon. It remains impossible for Clinton to catch Obama in pledged delegates, but the New York senator is looking to catch Obama in the popular vote total.

For more on the latests polls, check out the CNN Election Center

soundoff (271 Responses)
  1. Illinois

    How long is it going to take for Obama supporters to claim that Hillary's voters in Ky are racists???? It couldn't possibly be that they won't vote for him because he's not the best candidate.

    Hillary has decreased his lead in Oregon by 10 points, so she's cut his lead in half. She's got the momentum now, and has had it since PA. The media just choose to ignore it so they can continue to inflat Obama's popularity. I guess that's what's expected when you're getting paid to promote one particular candidate. Obama has lost ground ever since March. If the DNC crowns him as the nominee, they will loose the GE and look like a bunch of idiots in the process.

    Hillary is going to win the nomination and the GE. You can count on it.

    May 19, 2008 10:16 am at 10:16 am |
  2. Debby

    Obama did get a huge turnout at his rally but I wonder if the band beforhand had anything to do with that since it seems to be his pattern before rallies.

    Hillary has a huge lead in Kentucky and she is only behind 10 points in Oregon that isn't that bad. Maybe half the people that went to the rally are going to vote for Clinton hahaha.

    May 19, 2008 10:16 am at 10:16 am |
  3. Rayshaun, New York

    I can't understand why so many of these racist as uneducated people are still voting against Obama by these margins in some of these states. Its proof that their are still plenty or racist bigots in this country who simply don't want to see a black man succeed. It makes me sick! But no amount of bigotry in the world is going to prevent this man from getting this nomination that he has won fair and square.

    May 19, 2008 10:17 am at 10:17 am |
  4. Peter Damoah-Afari

    Hillary is to KY and Obama is to OR. Issues to be addressed are the turn out ratio in these 2 states (that will dictate the leader in popular votes) and the winning margin (that will dictate the leader in delegates).

    May 19, 2008 10:17 am at 10:17 am |
  5. Dee

    It is still unbelievable that the Dems are still split and still complaining. It doesn't matter how you slice it, black, over-educated, hardworking, old whites, young whites, latinos....blah, blah, blah...
    Facts are facts. Rules are rules. Clinton is behind. She is not going to win.

    If you are dedicated to Clinton, so be it. It only means that you are dedicated to a candidate and not We the People. The MAJORITY want change.

    Bush..Clinton..Bush..Clinton??? STOP THE BROKEN RECORD!! O '08

    May 19, 2008 10:17 am at 10:17 am |
  6. brian from Boston

    message to dems: put up someone electable, hillary, or emrance president john mccain. let's not be foolish. purists who won't settle end up with nothing. time be pragmatic and get behind hillary. obama for vp and the he stays in after she's senile.

    it's about winning the electoral college, that's the math we need to focus on. if it was so over the superdels would have jumped behind obama. it's a tie and will be decided by the superdels who understand who and where we need to win to take the white house

    May 19, 2008 10:17 am at 10:17 am |
  7. mmartin arkansaw

    oregon will put obama over the top ,in delegates.clinton will win ky.,big,so, she can go out on a high note.super ds will flock to obama,after tuesday.

    May 19, 2008 10:17 am at 10:17 am |
  8. Dr. Truth, Boston

    Someone needs to remind Ms. Clinton of how primaries work. Yes everyone still gets to vote and because you vote at the end, your delegates still count just as much as thoose from Ohio and New Hampshire. But her leaving in no way makes those votes not count. She is using this rhetoric about making every vote count as an excuse to keep herself from being completely washed out. I think she should stay in as long as she likes but she has to STOP INVENTING ISSUES like make-every-vote-count. Of course they do! Its so minipulative and ugly. I suppose I should be used to that from her.

    May 19, 2008 10:17 am at 10:17 am |
  9. Tracy

    Why is it that the pro-Obama blogs are always laced with sexist commentary? As a woman wondering if I should vote for Obama in November...............the answer is hell no.

    May 19, 2008 10:17 am at 10:17 am |
  10. John

    She's ahead because West VA and Kentucky are racists.

    May 19, 2008 10:18 am at 10:18 am |
  11. Julie

    TO HILLARY SUPPORTERS, NO WRITE IN,,,WE HAVE TO VOTE McCAIN, PLEASE REMEBER THIS, 2 FOR 1

    OBAMA HAS CHEATED TO GET WHERE HE IS ,,HE DESERVES NOTHING!!!!!!!

    May 19, 2008 10:18 am at 10:18 am |
  12. al in memphis

    Hillary suggested I look at this as a hiring process.

    Well, I asked you about your level of experience and you lied to me. When I point out your "mis-statement", you laughed it off. When I asked you about how well you work with others and take advice from experienced people - you said you don't pay attention to experts.

    I think we have covered enough information in this interview- Thank you, but we will not be in touch with you.

    May 19, 2008 10:18 am at 10:18 am |
  13. Chris

    Why do Obama fans have to put down KY and WV?? They call them racist, but dare us say the same thing about the wins Obama got in Southern States where all the black people voted for him (85-91% range)

    May 19, 2008 10:18 am at 10:18 am |
  14. Matt

    I love it when the Dems bicker! Vote McCain in '08 and end the looney, liberal legislation like Roe v. Wade.

    May 19, 2008 10:18 am at 10:18 am |
  15. Ron in Philly

    I think its officially time for the " No State Left Behind legislation" can KY and WV really be stuck in the 50's ?

    May 19, 2008 10:18 am at 10:18 am |
  16. Dave- Las Vegas

    I wonder why so many people still vote for the "presumptive loser"? Is it because they don't feel the "presumptive winner" is ready to lead this country?

    May 19, 2008 10:18 am at 10:18 am |
  17. Jen B.

    At this stage in the game, where Obama is ahead on all counts and the math shows she cannot overtake him, her lust for power is ugly.

    May 19, 2008 10:18 am at 10:18 am |
  18. Zoey

    How does anyone know if Obama will be a mistake for America? It seems that no one has any answers.

    Also beware of the Republicans on here pretending to be Hiliary supporters.

    May 19, 2008 10:19 am at 10:19 am |
  19. Christopher Smith

    If Mrs. Clinton gets into office the end of the world will come sooner then is supposed to.

    May 19, 2008 10:19 am at 10:19 am |
  20. Trustee

    This is why many believe a woman cannot be President. If they don't get their way then they'll throw a fit. If they can win the game then they'll throw all the pieces off the board.

    This is not the right woman, and that's why she isn't winning the nomination. She though she was a shoe-in and now she has to use fuzzy math just to justify staying in and causing divisiveness. And you want her and Bill back in the white house? Or running Amok under a Presdient Obama?

    All we can do is hope that when this is over the women voting for Hillary come to their senses. It's 50/50, you know what they say about a woman scorned? All reason goes out the door.

    May 19, 2008 10:19 am at 10:19 am |
  21. Newly Independent Oregon Lilarose

    Yep, 75,000 seems like alot of people, but considering that this location on the Willamette River in Portland was designed to accommodate large crowds, that Portland has several large Universities, that students from OSU and U of O have less than a two-hour drive to get to Portland, that the entire state of Washington is across the river–these things mean it is not surprising that Obama drew such a large crowd.

    Lots of big rallies take place along the Willamette in Portland, so don't get too ga-ga over this.

    May 19, 2008 10:19 am at 10:19 am |
  22. Helena

    CNN why do you not report that 75,000 people came out to support the next President of the United States in Portland, Oregon on Sunday. It was a historic event. Clinton & McCain do not even come close to drawing this amount of support at their events.

    OBAMA/WEBB 08

    May 19, 2008 10:19 am at 10:19 am |
  23. Creative Woody

    In other news, Kentuckians are voting for someone that has no chance of winning. Might as well vote for Huckabee.

    May 19, 2008 10:19 am at 10:19 am |
  24. Brian from Fort Mill, S.C.

    "Gloria Boca Raton, Florida:
    It is either Hillary or no vote for me. Not voting for Obama. Will walk away from the party on that for sure. "

    It's a free country. Feel free to vote for McCain. He won't win anyway, because there are not enough Republicans anymore.

    They're so sick of Bush that they have become either Independent or Democrat.

    May 19, 2008 10:19 am at 10:19 am |
  25. Steve the Soothsayer

    If only they knew what they were voting for! Unlike Chris Mathews, I have yet to feel the tingle in my leg when Obama speaks. I'm still waiting to hear Obama explain why it is a "matter of fairness" to raise the income tax rate on capital gains to 28% when experience has shown that lower rates have consistently resulted in greater revenues.
    One would think that Brian Williams might have asked him this question during his exclusive interview rather than inquiring of his reasons for wearing or not wearing a tie.

    May 19, 2008 10:19 am at 10:19 am |
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