May 19th, 2008
11:35 AM ET
12 years ago

Clinton has big lead in Kentucky, Obama on top in Oregon

Clinton and Obama each hold leads in Tuesday's voting states.

Clinton and Obama each hold leads in Tuesday's voting states.

(CNN) - A new CNN "poll of polls" shows Hillary Clinton holds a big lead in Kentucky while Barack Obama is on top in Oregon - the next two states to weigh in on the Democratic presidential race.

According to CNN's analysis of several recent polls from both states, Clinton holds a 30-point lead in Kentucky while Obama is up by 10 in Oregon.

In Kentucky, Clinton is winning 58 percent of the vote while Obama is at 28 percent. Kentucky has a broad swath of working class white voters - the demographic that has long supported Clinton and propelled her to a 41-point victory in West Virginia one week ago. Her large margin in Kentucky appears to indicate those voters are sticking with Clinton, even as Obama appears to be the presumptive Democratic nominee.

In Oregon, Obama is winning 50 percent of likely Democratic voters there while Clinton is at 40 percent. With a large population of young voters and those who are college-educated, that state has demographics that have long favored Obama's candidacy.

Oregon is conducting a vote-by-mail primary, which means that a large number of voters in that state have already cast their ballots.

In Kentucky, 51 delegates are at stake while 52 are up for grabs in Oregon. It remains impossible for Clinton to catch Obama in pledged delegates, but the New York senator is looking to catch Obama in the popular vote total.

For more on the latests polls, check out the CNN Election Center

soundoff (271 Responses)
  1. kt

    does anyone else realize that Hillary is winning due to racism in these states? Pa, W Va, Ky polls all show that 20% of the people have race as an issue... and those are just the ones who will admit it!!

    May 19, 2008 10:26 am at 10:26 am |
  2. from CT

    I wonder why in the world Hillary supporters hate Obama supporters, why do they say he's cheated when he followed the rule's, why do they say he attacks Hillary when in that ABC interview, he did NOT attack her when he had the chance to about snyper fire, instead he sided with her, saying he believe's it was simply a slip up, and to focus on the issues and not these gotcha game's.

    I just don't get it...

    May 19, 2008 10:27 am at 10:27 am |
  3. Brian from Fort Mill, S.C.

    Obama is lost without his teleprompter:

    I agree with you about Hillary. I believe that most people who support her are neither racist or sexist. I used to support her myself.

    Until she started to become nasty, desperate, and just plain mean. Her Kitchen Sink strategy is what caused her campaign to go down the toilet. I don't think it's her, I blame her campaign manager and advisors.

    I believe she would make a good president, but she made too many fatal mistakes in this campaign. I hope she and Bill have learned their lessons.

    May 19, 2008 10:27 am at 10:27 am |
  4. marianna

    Listen to the young generation...they are the future...!

    May 19, 2008 10:27 am at 10:27 am |
  5. DGH

    Every vote counts. Aren't we all taught that? The hate spewing Obama supporters need to remember that and just let the process play itself out.

    May 19, 2008 10:27 am at 10:27 am |
  6. Pistoff

    Go away Hillary. You can't beat McCain or unite this country.

    May 19, 2008 10:27 am at 10:27 am |
  7. Josh

    Julie, you are a Republican operative. I bet you name is Karl. pathetic.

    May 19, 2008 10:27 am at 10:27 am |
  8. Vets forgotten by mcc

    mcc supporters, please google: mccain rhinestone hero

    May 19, 2008 10:27 am at 10:27 am |
  9. David

    She could win all of KY delegates and she is still far from what she needs. If the roles were reversed people would be all over Barak pleading with him to quit. No one is saying Hillary should quit, their just saying ITS OVER.... because it is over.

    Oh, and you can even give her florida, a state that Barak didnt campaign in, and you can give her MI, a state that his name wasnt even on the ballot, yet she wants these to count... geez Hillary, have some pride. Stop trying to change the rules. Quit tearing the party apart and wake up. Jump on the Obama train, theres room for you and Bill.

    P.S. we dont need you on the ticket, we have plenty of conservative Dems that can fill in...

    May 19, 2008 10:27 am at 10:27 am |
  10. fred

    It would tickle the heck out of me if she would pull Oregon out. But, we know that Oregon is way to liberal!! Although 50 to 40 Obama not doing as well as I thought he would!! 🙂 🙂 🙂

    GO HILLARY!!

    May 19, 2008 10:27 am at 10:27 am |
  11. Annamica, OH

    Yea you are Paul, learn to read. Obama is at 28%, meaning 30 point lead. Duh.

    May 19, 2008 10:28 am at 10:28 am |
  12. Crush Rush

    I just wish we could start over.Hillary,Obama and McCain stink to high heaven.

    May 19, 2008 10:28 am at 10:28 am |
  13. Democrats for Obama

    Kentucky is where you will find the kind of people that vote for Hillary, her "base" if you will. For the most part Kentucky is a GOP state and although the Republicans are not the best name in town right now, they will still be a GOP state in November. The democrats that will support her this week are typical of other areas like Tennessee and West Virgina, where you will find uninformed gullible people who do not take the time to read newspapers or research the Internet for truth. They are set in their ways and have never believed in change. They will always be 50 years behind the rest of the country and will live in isolation and ignorance.

    May 19, 2008 10:28 am at 10:28 am |
  14. Gwen NC

    These are not threats from Hillary supporters, these are facts and you need to understand why we won't vote for Obama. In my state of NC I'll be writing her in if she's not the democratic nominee, I won't have to vote for McCain because the rest of the state will do that, Obama cannot win these red states and swing states. Hillary's supporters are loyal to her because frankly we're more in tune and smarter than Obama supporters, we're not blind idealocrats who follow the "pretty picture", we live in a realistic world and we want a realistic leader that works as hard as we do, not one who has no record of major accomplishments.
    Sincerely yours, an "educated, multi-degree", early 40 something greater than 50K/yr professional. I supposedly fit the Obama profile, wonder why I'm not voting for him and his angry wife.

    May 19, 2008 10:28 am at 10:28 am |
  15. chuck

    At the end of the night on Tuesday, Clinton will be ahead in delegates elected in PRIMARY ELECTIONS (she is currently behind 1271-1268). She will have won 7 of the 11 PRIMARIES since March 4, and have won them by more than 350,000 votes. She will have had more voters check her name than any candidate EVER in an primary election season (total popular vote – they voted in Florida and Michigan even though they weren't awarded any delegates).

    If this was anyone other than Hillary Clinton the talking heads would be screaming for the party insiders to support the will of the people and endorse Hillary Clinton for president. But, right now the party insiders who went to caucuses and are super delegates are throwing the endorsement to the candidate that trails McCain in state by state polls see: http://www.electoral-vote.com

    May 19, 2008 10:28 am at 10:28 am |
  16. Oracle99

    IT'S ABOUT DELEGATES PEOPLE ! GET Over it1

    May 19, 2008 10:28 am at 10:28 am |
  17. Anonymous

    14 MORE DAYS TO GO GO OBAMA MT =WIN SD=WIN OR=WIN !!!!!!!!!!!!!

    May 19, 2008 10:28 am at 10:28 am |
  18. Manuel TX

    I'm with Gloria in Boca Raton.

    It's really time to consider what the Democratic party is about.

    Is it about the centrist or the leftist.

    I'm a centrist, and likely former Democrat. I'm perfectly comfortable writing in Hillary as my choice for president. This is a democracy after all.

    The Obama supporters can vote for whomever they want too. Good luck.

    Hillary 2012 🙂 🙂

    May 19, 2008 10:28 am at 10:28 am |
  19. Dispatch Obama Abroad NOW!

    Hurry, hurry - let's ask "golden boy" Obama to rush on over to the terrorists in Iran, Lybia, Hamas, Burma, etc. to TALK to them about it. I'm sure that will IMMEDIATELY turn the situation around for the entire world, forever and ever - after all, he is THe GREAT OBAMA - hee, hee. But wait - first Obama has to get his telepromter in place, then he has to position six U.S. flag behind him, then he has to explain that his campaign must first talk about the logistics - and then it will be too late!

    May 19, 2008 10:29 am at 10:29 am |
  20. The O

    I just looked at hillary's web site. she only talks about the popular vote.
    which does not count in the end. At all but if she wants to play this game fine visit this web site. http://www.realpolitics.com and find out what the real count is. she is not counting cacuas states in her calculations.
    she wants to count FL and MI but not the cacuas states. typical.
    lie cheat steal, anything to try to win. to bad it won't wrok!!!

    BARACK THE VOTE!!!!!!

    May 19, 2008 10:29 am at 10:29 am |
  21. Creative Woody

    RE: Gloria Boca Raton, Florida May 19th, 2008 10:03 am "Women for Hillary!!! It is our turn"

    Voting for someone because they have great hair, or because you'd like to have a beer with them, or just because they are a woman and it's "your turn" is what is wrong with this country.

    I have no problem voting for a woman. I have a HUGE problem voting for a lying, deceptive, non-transparent, egomanic, entitled woman, however. It's sad you can't see a difference.

    May 19, 2008 10:29 am at 10:29 am |
  22. West Virginia

    If you would rather vote for McCain than Obama when Hilary does not get this nomination – how can you call yourself a Dem? All you are is fanatical, and ridiculous. You personally disgust me.

    May 19, 2008 10:29 am at 10:29 am |
  23. David

    My favorite clinton supporters quotes: "I WILL vote for McCain, so No THANKS OBAMA" – Youre not a Democrat.

    "I AM writing Hillarys name in!!" – You ARE Hillary Clinton

    Face facts, her steam was vested in superdels, who came out in great numbers and switched to Obama. FACE IT, the JUNIOR Senator took the nomination and probably will take the White House. THANK GOD another whitewashed politician from the old era isnt getting the house again! I praise his lack of Washington experience and life FULL of REAL WORLD experience dealing with REAL PEOPLE. The real truth is besides this being over, all you Clinton supporters, When hillary does what she said she will and support the winner, will all jump on the Obama bandwagon and pretend you never liked Clinton... its a WRAP. OBAMA 08-12

    May 19, 2008 10:29 am at 10:29 am |
  24. enoch needles

    Once again the Shrill Hill Shills threaten to vote for McCain. Enjoy your 9-0 Supreme Court as it dials women's rights back to the Flintstones.

    Yabba-Dabba-Doo!

    May 19, 2008 10:29 am at 10:29 am |
  25. Uncle Sam

    While Sen. Obama receives rock star tratment at nearly every campaign stop, Sen. McCain rides about in his Straight Talk Express without much fanfare, often accused of following in the footsteps of an unpopular predecessor. The truth is that John McCain follows his heart and sticks to his convictions, even when receiving litle support.

    Americans for McCain '08

    May 19, 2008 10:29 am at 10:29 am |
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