May 20th, 2008
07:21 PM ET
14 years ago

Schneider: How Clinton won Kentucky

(CNN) - CNN has just predicted a wide margin of victory for Hillary Clinton in Kentucky. How did she win so overwhelmingly there?

The exit polls point to three reasons: Her support among white voters, her support among rural voters, and Barack Obama's controversial formal pastor, the Rev. Jeremiah Wright.

Among whites in Kentucky, who made up 9 in 10 voters, Clinton won 71 percent of the vote while Obama only won 22 percent.

Rural voters also voted overwhelmingly for Clinton. Those voters made up 45 percent of the electorate and nearly 80 percent of them went for Clinton. Among suburban voters, who made up 30 percent of the vote, Clinton won by a narrower 18 point margin. Meanwhile Obama carried urban voters by 18 points, but those voters only made up a little more than 10 percent of the electorate.

There is also evidence Obama's former pastor continues to haunt him. Nearly 55 percent of Democratic voters said Obama shares the most controversial views of Wright and those voters went for Clinton 84 percent to 9 percent over Obama. Among the 44 percent of Kentucky voters who said Obama does not share Wright's views, 51 percent voted for the Illinois senator while 43 percent went for Clinton.

Filed under: Exit Polls • Hillary Clinton • Kentucky
soundoff (112 Responses)
  1. Darrel from Denver

    This argument about the electoral college is arrogant and elitist. Thinking that ONLY CLINTON can carry these states for the democrats is BS.

    Clinton cannot show she will win this campaing, so all she can do is say she will win the future. Which, of course, is also BS.

    May 20, 2008 07:42 pm at 7:42 pm |

    HERE IS WHAT COUNT Gallup Poll – Election News
    Key Clinton Constituencies Moving Toward Obama NEW May 20, 2008
    Barack Obama’s widening lead over Hillary Clinton among Democrats nationwide brings with it important gains among Clinton’s core constituencies, including women, whites, and the non-college educated. Obama is now the overwhelming favorite among 18- to 29-year-olds, men, and postgraduates AND HE WILL WIN OR ,MT AND SD, AND THAT WILL GIVE HIM THE 2026 SO DO THE MATH IT IS OVER FOR HER!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    May 20, 2008 07:42 pm at 7:42 pm |
  3. linda-Texas

    Interesting that this was a "closed" primary and Senator Clinton handily defeated Senator Obama again. So much for Senator Obama's "operation chaos" theory.

    May 20, 2008 07:42 pm at 7:42 pm |
  4. Rich

    The Wright polls show a correlation, not a cause for this voting. Yes it gives people who won't vote for Obama a more legitimate sounding reason than other ones, but these people would have found something else to justify there voting if this issue had never come up (flag pin, being muslim, Michelle wasn't proud of America, etc). Sad....

    May 20, 2008 07:42 pm at 7:42 pm |
  5. Barb

    I've heard other network analysts explain that the exit poll answers to the questions about race may be explained by the results were seeing in regions of the country that have a historical tradition of racial tension. Whereas, in the West where we have a small African American population, there is also not as significant historical racial tension.

    When 20% of White voters consider race when they vote for Hilary that is a significant indicator of how much work has yet to be done in certain regions of this country with respect to race. This speaks to the importance and leadership that Obama provided in his speech on race.

    May 20, 2008 07:42 pm at 7:42 pm |
  6. Alaska

    She is just trying to Nurse her wounds.
    The Sexism issue wont help either.
    Go Obama

    May 20, 2008 07:42 pm at 7:42 pm |
  7. ade

    Ever since we came to know more about BO, since the Wright and "bitter" episodes broke late March, HRC has won much more votes, pledged delegates and states than he has. A clear indication of his unelectability come November. The DNC will ignore this glaring fact at its peril.
    Surely, the over 200 superdelegates who have refused to be swayed by the media hype that this race is over, are thinking like the voters in KY, WV, PA and even IN where HRC came from behind to win. BO will only continue to win in states where there are large African American populations.

    May 20, 2008 07:43 pm at 7:43 pm |
  8. Murry - Arizona

    I'm so tired of hearing or reading all these analysts use figures like – 34% of working white, or 28% of educated white or 54% of suburban voters, etc, etc. Why don't they just say 75% of racists in Kentucky voted for Hillary, while 25% of the intelligent people voted for Barack....That's OK, he'll prevail in Oregon as well as in November! Go Obama!

    May 20, 2008 07:43 pm at 7:43 pm |
  9. Ed Hampton, Va.

    You know I have a big question for someone to answer. How many Republicans switched their party to vote for Clinton in Ohio, Penna, WVa, and other states so that she could have a landslide? It sure would be interesting if a news channel would let everyone know that. The reason these people are saying they will vote for McCain is because they are Republican.

    May 20, 2008 07:43 pm at 7:43 pm |
  10. Hillary

    Hillary has solutions.

    Obama has excuses.

    May 20, 2008 07:44 pm at 7:44 pm |
  11. nitro

    Shea Ohio your an idiot.

    May 20, 2008 07:44 pm at 7:44 pm |
  12. Steve

    Well, there's another state Obama doesn't have to worry about during the general election campaign. Gotta look for the silver lining.

    May 20, 2008 07:44 pm at 7:44 pm |
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