June 13th, 2008
02:15 PM ET
12 years ago

Polls: Obama ahead by 4 over McCain

Obama's ahead in CNN's latest poll of polls.

Obama's ahead in CNN's latest poll of polls.

WASHINGTON (CNN) - Barack Obama holds a 4 point lead over John McCain, according to a compilation of the latest national surveys.

Forty seven percent of registered voters are backing the senator from Illinois in a new CNN Poll of Polls, released Friday, with 43 percent supporting the senator from Arizona. Ten percent of voters are unsure when it comes to their choice for president.

Obama’s lead is down one point from the last CNN Poll of Polls, which was released on Wednesday.

“It’s increasingly clear from our ‘poll of polls’ average that Sen. Obama holds a small advantage over Sen. McCain as we head into the general election,” says CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib. “Time will tell whether Obama’s lead is a temporary bounce resulting from the end of the Democratic nomination fight, or whether it is a more permanent reflection of voters’ desire for change this year.”

This latest edition of the CNN Poll of Polls is an average of four new national surveys, a Gallup poll taken from June 9-12, an NBC/Wall Street Journal survey conducted from June 6-9, a Diageo/Hotline poll taken from June 5-8, and our own CNN/Opinion Research Corporation survey conducted from June 4-5. The CNN Poll of Polls does not have a sampling error.

soundoff (114 Responses)
  1. laura, CA

    Yeah, well, Kerry was ahead of Bush in 2004.
    wait until September to count your chickens

    June 13, 2008 02:48 pm at 2:48 pm |
  2. Cynthia

    The numbers for Senator Obama would be much higher if there were not so many walking around with hurt feelings, etc. Hopefully those feeling left out will come aboard and vote in their own best interest.

    June 13, 2008 02:48 pm at 2:48 pm |

    There Is No Good News For The Republicans Today!

    June 13, 2008 02:49 pm at 2:49 pm |
  4. Savvy

    That's it! I'm OFFICIALLY boycotting all articles and blogs dealing with polls. I'm so sick of polls and "polls of polls" and "polls of the polls of polls! Had I known polling was this lucrative, although rarely accurate, I would have skipped the law school debt and became a pollster/statistician! Hell, they don't even have to maintain malpractice insurance....

    June 13, 2008 02:49 pm at 2:49 pm |
  5. Texas Trail Dog

    Boy what a lead. By November Obama won't even be in the picture when all the truth comes out about him. I don't understand what the people see in him now. He has already confessed he lied on the Air. His wife denounced America on the Air. It's so obvious he HATES ALL WHITE PEOPLE. WHATS WRONG WITH YOU PEOPLE CAN YOU NOT SEE THE PICTURE.

    June 13, 2008 02:49 pm at 2:49 pm |
  6. Samantha

    Obama needs to stop deflecting criticism from himself by raising the spectre of race and family and friends and similar issues. It makes him look weak, rather than strong, and I think he needs to look strong if he wants to win. If Obama wants to be President, he doesn't need sympathy, he needs confidence.

    June 13, 2008 02:50 pm at 2:50 pm |
  7. Tim

    We're now have 95 years to go till we leave Iraq per Senator McCain’s 100 year prediction.

    June 13, 2008 02:50 pm at 2:50 pm |
  8. Joe

    Obama is very intellegent and make very inspiring speeches. But he needs to prove himself by deeds.

    Generally, I do not trust a politican's speeches until I see his actions. His actions are bothering me.

    June 13, 2008 02:50 pm at 2:50 pm |
  9. sacto joe

    A lot of NEOCONS posing as Clinton or Obama supporters are posting hate mail. They're trying to drive a wedge between us!

    June 13, 2008 02:51 pm at 2:51 pm |
  10. Christopher NM

    Well I am one of the 10% undecided and only so because I am waiting on the VP to be named by Obama. If not Clinton I will become a McCain Democrat..

    June 13, 2008 02:51 pm at 2:51 pm |
  11. Bob Stephens

    Wait until all the Clinton women find out that McSame wants to overturn Roe V Wade as soon as he gets in the White House. Then take another poll.....

    June 13, 2008 02:51 pm at 2:51 pm |
  12. Jake

    Support doesn't mean stepping into the voting booth. It'll be interesting to see how many people like McCain enough to leave the house for him.

    June 13, 2008 02:52 pm at 2:52 pm |
  13. Brendan H., San Antonio, TX

    McCAIN – 2008 = DOLE – 1996


    OBAMA '08! ! ! ! ! ! !

    June 13, 2008 02:52 pm at 2:52 pm |
  14. Ginger Lynn

    No pending contest .... 5 months left to go ... we don't need or want daily polls .... WEEKLY AT THE MOST

    June 13, 2008 02:52 pm at 2:52 pm |
  15. wallmond


    June 13, 2008 02:53 pm at 2:53 pm |
  16. Patricia

    Let's get this right.
    We can't discuss Obama's
    1) white family,
    2) early nurturing,
    3) his mother's adherence to the Frankfort School (Marxists dialectic materialism),
    4) religion,
    5) his white grandparents preference for the "little red [communist] church in Seattle,
    6) his 20-year attendance at a "black-only" church,
    7) his adherence to "Liberation Theology," merely another form of Marxism and a corruption of Christianity,
    8) his legal practice (did he ever actually practice law?),
    9) although he plays the race card at every opportunity, and uses it as
    a shield against legitimate inquiries about his own world view, for all others
    any reference to his race is forbidden,
    10) etc., etc., etc,
    Suffice it to say, there are a lot of open questions about
    Obama's fitness, yes, fitness, for office.
    But, oh no, we must discuss only the failed policies of the 60s which Obama now
    espouses, i.e., those favored by the gimme, gimme, gimme crowd.
    Hey, Obama, you may wish you could set the agenda,
    but not on my watch.
    When you run for office, everything is fair game.
    If you can't stand the heat, get out of the kitchen.

    June 13, 2008 02:53 pm at 2:53 pm |
  17. NoMcSame

    He is ahead by 4,000,000,000,000,000,000>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

    June 13, 2008 02:53 pm at 2:53 pm |
  18. Raymond Duke

    The polls are dropping daily for Obama. The more they know about him and his radical views and racist and terriost friends the worse it is going to get. People may not be crazy about John McCain I know that I am not but I will vote for him anyway. Better to have another republican for four more years than a socialist. So its got really nothing to do with John McCains stance on issues to me . I just don't want to bet the country on Obama and his friends. It is no telling who he might appoint to his administration.

    June 13, 2008 02:53 pm at 2:53 pm |
  19. Capt. Smash, Salt Lake City, Utah

    McCain and Big Oil now thats some great CHANGE!

    With high gasoline prices creating woe across the nation, presumptive Republican presidential nominee John McCain will present his energy policy proposals in a campaign speech to energy industry leaders in Houston on Tuesday, according to sources in his campaign and the oil business.

    McCain staffers sent speech invitations to energy companies today for next week's showcase event at the downtown Hilton Americas hotel.

    Energy is not among the categories listed as campaign issues on McCain's campaign Web site. McCain has spoken at length on the related issue of climate change, however.

    Obama 08/12

    June 13, 2008 02:54 pm at 2:54 pm |
  20. Juan

    Does ANYONE put any stock in the polls at this point in the contest? I know CNN needs filler material but they might as well print yesterday's horoscope.

    June 13, 2008 02:54 pm at 2:54 pm |
  21. Vig

    You can expect CNN to write every headline with a positive spin about Obama and a negative one about McCain. This is what they did to Clinton to make her "disappear" and this is what they will do to McCain. It's a page out of a political strategy dictators employ to make those they want out of the way, disappear, right before your very eyes. Obama was the beneficiary of these distortions. How can anyone endorse someone who benefited from the degradation of somone else?

    June 13, 2008 02:54 pm at 2:54 pm |
  22. Ryan

    Polls don't really matter much at this point, but they have gotten the winner right in 2000 and 2004 for the week heading into election day.

    One thing that is interesting to point out in the polls though.. Obama is doing much better this year than Kerry was in 04. Kerry rarely held a lead, and his only real one was right around the convention.

    June 13, 2008 02:55 pm at 2:55 pm |
  23. UP UP AND AWAY!!!!!!!

    CNN.................Barack Obama holds a 4 point lead over John McCain

    Bryan NY............ ............Now that the fight is almost over we will see if McCain can maintain his precentage once Obama locks horns with him..........................OBAMA HOLDS 4 point percentage and will continue to CLIMB .........NEXT!

    June 13, 2008 02:56 pm at 2:56 pm |
  24. timothy

    these polls mean nothing for two reasons

    1) it is inaccurate, and we still have 5 months
    2) popular vote means nothing

    i think Obama will win, but its still wide open

    June 13, 2008 02:56 pm at 2:56 pm |
  25. Ellie in Aurora, CO

    There is a whole element of cell phone users out there that are never touched in these polls. These are mostly young people. Hmmm... wonder who they will vote for...?

    June 13, 2008 02:56 pm at 2:56 pm |
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