June 16th, 2008
03:00 PM ET
14 years ago

Cafferty: Historians say little chance for McCain in Nov.

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Don’t bet on John McCain being the next president… that’s the message coming from several presidential scholars.

The Politico reports these historians paint a bleak picture for the Republican candidate. They also say Barack Obama has the best chance of any Democrat perhaps since FDR beat Herbert Hoover in 1932.

The historians say it should be “an overwhelming Democratic victory,” noting McCain is facing one of the worst political environments for the party in power since World War II.

There’s also this: only twice in the 20th century did the candidate from the same party as a two-term president go on to win the White House. The last time was in 1988, when President Bush’s father replaced Ronald Reagan… but Reagan was twice as popular as the current president is now.

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