June 18th, 2008
04:25 PM ET
14 years ago

CNN Electoral College Map: Obama picks up a major swing state

CNN

Click here for CNN's lay of the land.

(CNN) - Pennsylvania has swung into Obama's column in the new CNN Electoral College Map.

"The Quinnipiac poll in Pennsylvania indicates that Obama may not have a problem carrying states that he lost to Hillary Clinton during the primary season, regardless of the chatter on that topic back in April," said CNN Polling Director Keating Holland.

Holland added that the addition of the traditional fall battleground to the Obama column moves the Illinois Senator from seven electoral votes behind McCain to 17 votes ahead, but that the more important number is 59 - the number of electoral votes Obama still needs to win the White House, assuming every state that is now in his column goes for him in November.

"It will take at least three 'toss-up' states for Obama to reach the 270 needed to become the next president," said Holland.

Be sure to check here to get the full CNN interactive Electoral College map.

The map is based on analysis of several factors, including polling, voting trends, ad spending, candidate visits, and guidance from the campaigns and political strategists.


Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain
soundoff (99 Responses)
  1. Capt. Smash, Salt Lake City, Utah

    Boy O Boy all of those CNN pundits: Obama has a problem with the bitter hard working white people. CNN you did your best to spin this for Clinton six weeks ago. Now I wonder how you all feel.

    June 18, 2008 04:39 pm at 4:39 pm |
  2. Linda31

    Hehehe, I am so excited! Change is a coming. GO Obama!!! We need you now more then ever.

    June 18, 2008 04:39 pm at 4:39 pm |
  3. Enlightened Voter

    By the time November gets here, they will all be for Obama – between john mcwar's flip flopping on a daily basis, the economy, the war and his continuously voting against bills that would help average Americans. mcwar is a joke, but not him alone, the entire republican ideology is too uncaring and uncompassionate and people are finally seeing the light. Why do you think they are having a problem with their typically strong evangelical base?

    June 18, 2008 04:40 pm at 4:40 pm |
  4. gc

    How on earth do you have New Mexico leaning McCain? On every basis I can find it is a tossup.

    June 18, 2008 04:40 pm at 4:40 pm |
  5. William, from Cali!

    You don't say!.........PA. in Obama's corner now..................All those, "bitter, gun clinging folks"...........all's forgiven now............anything is possible.......................Now, that's "change"; you can beleine in....................................................Right!

    June 18, 2008 04:41 pm at 4:41 pm |
  6. Michael - ABQ, NM

    New Mexico, Minnesota, and Ohio should be in the Obama column too!

    June 18, 2008 04:42 pm at 4:42 pm |
  7. DB

    I live in PA and I would never vote for that snake in a suit. Just proves how stupid the people of this country have become.

    June 18, 2008 04:43 pm at 4:43 pm |
  8. Cynthia - Arkansas

    When this country sees their choices, Obama should win EVERY state. John McCain is such a bad candidate, that you have to feel sorry for him sometimes. He can't give a speach, can't get a crowd, don't know who we're fighting in Iraq and the list goes on. He changes his position everyday. Ten flip-flops in two weeks! Obama is smart, articulate and seems like a genuinely nice guy.

    June 18, 2008 04:43 pm at 4:43 pm |
  9. WE LOVE YOU HILL!!!!!

    If CNN actually looked beyond their polls, they would see quite a different picture.

    Obama is leading in Pennsylvania, OHIO and most recently, FLORIDA. Every poll has him ahead in Colorado and Wisconsin and Minnesota have both been for obama by double digits in atleast 2/3 of the last polls. Michigan, as well, is for obama by a few percentage points.

    Although Hillary would be doing better, Obama is still doing fairly well. Stop the pro-McCain, pro-war BS and actually do this objectively, CNN. you have already persecuted hillary, please don;t do it to Obama.

    June 18, 2008 04:43 pm at 4:43 pm |
  10. NMisNOTforMcCain

    So it was nice to see CNN change PA from 'Toss-up' to 'Leaning Obama'. But I think pretty much everyone would disagree with your assessment of New Mexico as 'Leaning McCain'. New Mexico should arguably be yellow at best, but a more accurate analysis would have it light blue!

    June 18, 2008 04:44 pm at 4:44 pm |
  11. Dirk, Brunswick, Georgia

    The Quinnipiac University poll is too hyped. It's just one poll, and Quinnipiac is not the most reputable polling service. Other polls show Penn., and the whole race much closer. Rasmussen, for ex., which is more reputable than Quinnipiac, has Obama-McCain at 48%-to-45%, hardly any post-nominee bounce for Obama.

    MSNBC and other pro-Obama outlets will hype the Quinnipiac poll over and over. Count-on Countdown w/Keith Olbermann to feature it this evening, and Chris Matthews, too.

    MSNBC "cherrypicks" the most pro-Obama polling results, and then they highlight them. MSNBC uses polls to shape public opinion in Obama's favor, rather than simply reporting public opinion.

    June 18, 2008 04:45 pm at 4:45 pm |
  12. Mark, B'ham., Al.

    Until the election No One knows who will win. When people start getting really interested in the November Election and find out what the candidates really stand for they will say they vote for Obama or McCain but America does not have an answer to what "Change" Obama really means. Changing DC is something GW tried and failed to do, Obama will have the same problem as he has been part of the divisivness the last 2 years being the most liberal voting Senator. What I have heard in his speeches he wants to recycle the 60's social programs and the 30's protectionism. I see him wanting a European Socialism/Welfare State where government and their special interest friends control everything. The Unions have already lowered the eduction standards in America and lost a great many manufacturing jobs due to raising rediculous demands making Americans not competetive with overseas workers . People we need to know what Obama stands for first, McCain is well known. Obama??????

    June 18, 2008 04:47 pm at 4:47 pm |
  13. Bishop

    Don't worry CNN. I know that your polls are legit. Unlike some of the attacks that the "Say anything, just say it, and they'll believe it." committee, a.k.a Republican committee do.

    June 18, 2008 04:47 pm at 4:47 pm |
  14. WeBoDave

    This was the change you were touting? While I agree that PA should be changed, what about Minnesota and New Mexico. You are just wrong to have NM leaning McCain and Minnesota not leaning Obama. This map is even more worthless than most at this date far from the election.

    June 18, 2008 04:48 pm at 4:48 pm |
  15. Filipina

    Yes we can,,,,,OBAMA all the way.

    June 18, 2008 04:48 pm at 4:48 pm |
  16. Ron333wood

    I think that this election is not going to be nearly as close as most of the pundits like to believe. The economy is in the toilet, Iraq has become a quagmire that we just keep pumping billions of dollars into while they bank their "oil revenue" and use our very presence as a justification for shooting at us. We have no energy policy, but the oil companies have their $4/gallon gasoline and they know that no matter how much they are permitted to drill in protected area's (that McCain and Bush are working to open up) the price of gasoline will never go any lower. The Japanese lobby has paid dividends in they alone possess those "hybrid" cars and we desperately need right now and they are the only ones developing the technology for efficient batteries for the electric cars that are just over the horizen. Most Americans of the middle and lower classes need health care and I went to college, but I still sweat trying to do my taxes because I can't afford to pay someone else a half a tank of gas to do them for me.

    June 18, 2008 04:48 pm at 4:48 pm |
  17. R.I.F.

    Your map still need a little work:

    Obama +9 on average in MN = 10 votes
    Obama +8 on average in WI = 10 votes
    Obama +8 on average in IA = 7 votes

    Those should be moved from toss-up to Obama leaning which is another 27 electoral votes that are fairly safe to assume right now for Obama. He's up in a number of other states but are still definitly still in toss up status.

    June 18, 2008 04:49 pm at 4:49 pm |
  18. Marty

    I can not fathom what people see in Obama? Someone please tell me.

    June 18, 2008 04:53 pm at 4:53 pm |
  19. CTP

    YES WE WILL!!!

    OBAMA '08!!

    June 18, 2008 04:53 pm at 4:53 pm |
  20. Chad, Wisco

    Anyone else think that we should just split the counrty into four parts? We could have liberal West Coast, conservative Rockys/South, up in the air Midwest/Rust Belt, and liberal Northeast. Im getting so sick of this, when all is said and done the only people that will be happy will be CEO's of companies that backed the winner. The rest of us will get short changed no matter who wins.

    June 18, 2008 04:55 pm at 4:55 pm |
  21. obamabot

    i have a feeling the wall will get bluer and bluer ,as time goes by.

    June 18, 2008 04:56 pm at 4:56 pm |
  22. Herman in LA

    DB June 18th, 2008 4:43 pm ET

    I live in PA and I would never vote for that snake in a suit. Just proves how stupid the people of this country have become.

    They can't be any more stupid than any one else that's been running this country down the tubs for the last 8 years.

    I know I have family in PA and PA needs all the help it can get...

    June 18, 2008 04:58 pm at 4:58 pm |
  23. Bishop

    I wonder what the Reps. and fake HRC Dems are going to say when it seems that the dark ages are over, and Sen. Obama becomes President Obama? But of course polls are only good for for the Reps. and fake HRC Dems when it suits them.

    Take note: 1. Internationally Sen. Obama is admired, and loved...
    2. He has triumphed without Sen. Clinton thus far (BTW...she STILL IS an inspiration...)
    3. Knowing how to use the Internet helps win votes.
    4. braking fund raising records as a newbie is a sign that the economy might be in the right hand with Sen Obama

    June 18, 2008 04:59 pm at 4:59 pm |
  24. Ron K of Illinois

    John McCain is sure indiferent to the plight of the families of our National Guard units that have been deployed oversees for extended tours for the last 4+ years. I'm sure that their families would appreciate their safe return. His assertion that they should remain "like Korea, Germany and Japan" belies his naivete. Our very presence is a justification for radicals to attack the "infidels" in their midst. AND he admits that he knows less about the economy...AND his environmental program is highlighted with his alignment with Bush on opening up protected areas to permit drilling by the oil companies. The Oil Lobbys' dollar at work.

    June 18, 2008 05:02 pm at 5:02 pm |
  25. Marshall

    This is a bunch of junk. Polls don't mean a thing. I never give the correct answer in a poll.

    June 18, 2008 05:03 pm at 5:03 pm |
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