June 18th, 2008
04:25 PM ET
14 years ago

CNN Electoral College Map: Obama picks up a major swing state

CNN

Click here for CNN's lay of the land.

(CNN) - Pennsylvania has swung into Obama's column in the new CNN Electoral College Map.

"The Quinnipiac poll in Pennsylvania indicates that Obama may not have a problem carrying states that he lost to Hillary Clinton during the primary season, regardless of the chatter on that topic back in April," said CNN Polling Director Keating Holland.

Holland added that the addition of the traditional fall battleground to the Obama column moves the Illinois Senator from seven electoral votes behind McCain to 17 votes ahead, but that the more important number is 59 - the number of electoral votes Obama still needs to win the White House, assuming every state that is now in his column goes for him in November.

"It will take at least three 'toss-up' states for Obama to reach the 270 needed to become the next president," said Holland.

Be sure to check here to get the full CNN interactive Electoral College map.

The map is based on analysis of several factors, including polling, voting trends, ad spending, candidate visits, and guidance from the campaigns and political strategists.


Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain
soundoff (99 Responses)
  1. william T

    What a surprise. Not.

    The public knew this all along.

    It 's the pundits who just never understand.

    June 18, 2008 05:03 pm at 5:03 pm |
  2. funny Nobama

    so CNN already crowned Obama the king , funny.

    June 18, 2008 05:04 pm at 5:04 pm |
  3. New Yorker

    CNN you are ridiculous. You and your polls. Polls ARE NOT news. Two hundred years from now, people will look back on your reporting of poll information and compare it with reading animal entrails to forsooth. Hire investigative reporters.

    June 18, 2008 05:04 pm at 5:04 pm |
  4. Hillocrat, Ohio

    Why would you put this up before people even vote???

    He hasnt swung it until he wins it.

    June 18, 2008 05:05 pm at 5:05 pm |
  5. Lynn

    Polls changes daily. It's not over until November. So you Obama supporters I would not get too excited yet. Remember what happen in 2000 and 2004.

    June 18, 2008 05:05 pm at 5:05 pm |
  6. becky

    News flash, AMERICA IS SICK OF BUSH AND MCCAIN, Obama will sweep the nation.

    June 18, 2008 05:05 pm at 5:05 pm |
  7. Capt. Smash, Salt Lake City, Utah

    Now what would be cool if Obama could win all the states except WV, KY! That would show the people in those two states they are out of step with the rest of us.

    June 18, 2008 05:05 pm at 5:05 pm |
  8. R.I.F.

    Your map needs some work:

    Obama +9 on average in MN = 10 electoral votes
    Obama +8 on average in WI = 10 electoral votes
    Obama +8 on average in IA = 7 electoral votes

    Those should be changed from toss-up to Obama leaning. He's been leading in those three states for quite some time.

    June 18, 2008 05:06 pm at 5:06 pm |
  9. Linden

    CNN is way behind on the latest polls from the states. This is old news.

    June 18, 2008 05:06 pm at 5:06 pm |
  10. steve

    He was always going to win Penn, Gore and Keryy did, and they didn't win. that's not where the election will be decided.

    June 18, 2008 05:07 pm at 5:07 pm |
  11. Bishop

    Can I answer anymore "STUPID" questions???? 😀

    June 18, 2008 05:08 pm at 5:08 pm |
  12. Peter E

    And this from the network who completely mispredicted the primaries... now making projections months before the conventions, the debates, and the general elections... But if you have a learning disability and continue to take these polls seriously, be my guest.

    June 18, 2008 05:10 pm at 5:10 pm |
  13. Devilyote

    This map makes the race look much tighter than it is. So many states are listed as 'swing states', although most, if not all, of the states surrounding Illinois are trending strongly towards Obama. Are Wisconsin, Iowa, and Minnesota REALLY toss-ups still? What about Ohio, which is polling extremely blue? Or out west in Colorado and New Mexico?

    The amount of orange on this map is disingenuous. CNN knows it ought to be shaded blue in many places, they just want it to seem close so they can milk it.

    June 18, 2008 05:10 pm at 5:10 pm |
  14. David Newport, OR

    We need to stop focusing on "predicting" the outcome and start focusing on the issues. THAT is how a candidate wins votes. We have a choice of more of the same or a chance for something new. But the new must be fiscally sound.

    June 18, 2008 05:12 pm at 5:12 pm |
  15. Jenna

    Sounds like a fixed poll to me, Obama could buy this election... Even though key democratic statesmen in the party will not endorse him becuase they feel that there is evidence that he has terrorist ties.

    Jenna in California

    June 18, 2008 05:12 pm at 5:12 pm |
  16. Peter E

    Only people with extremely short-term memory take these polls seriously. The pollsters, months in advance completely mispredicted the primaries. I wouldn't take them seriously, and neither should anyone.

    June 18, 2008 05:13 pm at 5:13 pm |
  17. ???

    Hillary's strong supporters are finally coming around to Obama and we welcome them! Only the most stubborn ones refuse to forgive the 'injustice' of Obama winning the primaries, but there aren't too many people that are that stubborn and begrudging.

    June 18, 2008 05:13 pm at 5:13 pm |
  18. Hillary or McCain '08

    Why would liberals want to vote for someone who refuses to take pictures with woman wearing Islamic attire? What is he hiding?

    June 18, 2008 05:14 pm at 5:14 pm |
  19. Tell the truth

    I'm a math major and all the data that I have seen has Obama ahead in most swing state. If you takes polls from June to now then he is ahead in VA,NC,PA,Ohio,Michgian,NV Look at the current data. Obama might even pick up GA with the high number of Africa American. Obama has really changed the map.

    June 18, 2008 05:15 pm at 5:15 pm |
  20. Ojel

    Obama is winning in Florida, well that is a joke .

    June 18, 2008 05:15 pm at 5:15 pm |
  21. Jenna

    Sounds like a fixed poll to me, Obama could buy this election... Even though key democratic statesmen in the party will not endorse him becuase they feel that there is evidence that he has terrorist ties.

    Jenna in California

    Obama Plans to Disarm our country, so that we are vulnerable to takeover.

    June 18, 2008 05:15 pm at 5:15 pm |
  22. Alice

    Well, I am glad to finally see that absurd "Obama cannot win in big states" argument put to bed.

    June 18, 2008 05:15 pm at 5:15 pm |
  23. mediabias

    I never get polled

    June 18, 2008 05:16 pm at 5:16 pm |
  24. I AM NOW AN INDEPENDENT!*********

    YES, ACCORDING TO CNN'S REPORTING!
    I WILL BELIEVE IT WHEN I SEE IT!

    June 18, 2008 05:17 pm at 5:17 pm |
  25. svp

    Plain and simple..Most people who voted for Clinton seem to have swung toward Obama to give him an edge after she dropped out and endorsed him. Pennsylvania always has been democratic (last 3 to 4 cycles) and will be democratic.

    It will be interesting to see how the middle part of Pennsylvania will break out between now and election time. Looks like Obama may have gotten his edge from the Eastern part in the recent polling, areas such as Pittsburgh which voted heavily for Clinton, and are democratic in general. He does well in the Phili area and Ed Rendell and Mike Nutter for sure will work to make him win.

    I do not believe Penn. was ever a swing state..Its just that the media put a swing on it.. McCain has his work cut out if he stands a chance of winning in Ohio and or Penn...He should work very hard as both these states have popular democratic govenors..He should make sure he does not lose Florida as well..

    All in all, when the whole country is struggling with the economy..McCain should address that more than national security, which he already has in his bag.

    June 18, 2008 05:17 pm at 5:17 pm |
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