June 27th, 2008
04:22 PM ET
13 years ago

Polls: Obama up by 5

[cnn-photo-caption image= http://i.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2008/images/06/27/art.obamapoll.ap.jpg caption="Obama is up 5 points in the latest CNN poll of polls."](CNN) - Barack Obama holds a 5-point lead over John McCain in the latest CNN "Poll of Polls" - a slight decrease for the Illinois senator from previous CNN polls of polls released earlier this week.

In an average of three recently released national surveys, Obama stands at 45 percent among registered voters while McCain is at 40 percent. Fifteen percent remain unsure about who they will support in November.

In a CNN poll of polls released Thursday, Obama held a 7-point lead over McCain, and the presumptive Democratic presidential was 8 points over McCain in a poll of polls released Tuesday.

But CNN's Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib notes McCain's support has consistently hovered around 40 percent.

“While Obama’s lead in our average has fluctuated by a point or two over the last week, McCain has been stuck at 40 percent,” he said. “Heading into the July 4 holiday, McCain is clearly trailing. He has his work cut out for him in terms of changing voters’ perceptions of his candidacy.”

The latest CNN poll of polls included national surveys from Time Magazine, LA Times/Bloomberg, and Gallup.


Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain
soundoff (282 Responses)
  1. wiser

    Without Hillary he won't win. Wake up Obamabots!

    June 27, 2008 07:30 pm at 7:30 pm |
  2. JustADude

    You guys don´t get it do you...Hillary will be VP just wait and see. Obama can´t pick her outright because of his supporters and hers. As time goes by people will forget the primaries and see her as the perfect VP.

    June 27, 2008 07:30 pm at 7:30 pm |
  3. Brooklyn

    Are you guys serious? Another "poll"?
    This is really getting boring.

    No Obama 2008...

    June 27, 2008 07:31 pm at 7:31 pm |
  4. MikeH

    The polls won't matter until October when the Republicans release their rabid-dog attack ads, and the person(s) responsible for the 2001 Anthrax attack (that only targeted Democrats and media includingTom Brokaw no less) strike again.

    June 27, 2008 07:32 pm at 7:32 pm |
  5. T.T.

    Well, all I know is that there are about 50 million dumb republicans, I think they are the once who should be paying the American price tag, among other costs they have allowed America to indure... not the smart Democrats...

    June 27, 2008 07:32 pm at 7:32 pm |
  6. Jim

    McCain's criticism of President Carter was absolutely childish and totally inaccurate. The dishonest right-wingers who bash Carter all the time have conveniently forgotten history. Jimmy Carter had many accomplishments despite those that deviously conspired to bring him down. Remember the truth: Not one of the Iran hostages died. Carter worked for peace and accomplished a middle east treaty that left us with hope, and Egypt and Israel diplomatic normalization that has lasted to this day! Jimmy Carter is a great statesman. Perhaps the last one in the USA alive today. God Bless Jimmy Carter!

    June 27, 2008 07:34 pm at 7:34 pm |
  7. jimmy velman

    THE REAL SWING VOTERS ARE THE HILLARY CLINTON
    SUPPORTERS. WE WOULD URGE THEM TO GET TOGETHER
    IN SOLID GROUPS AND BLOCS AND WAIT UNTIL THE DEMOCRATIC CONVENTION TO MAKE THEIR FINAL DECISIONS
    AS TO WHOM TO VOTE FOR IN THE GENERAL ELECTION.
    UNITED , HILLARY SUPPORTERS WILL VERY MUCH MAKE A HUGE DIFFERENCE IN THE ELECTION OF THE PRESIDENT.
    MANY OF US ARE STILL UNDECIDED.

    June 27, 2008 07:35 pm at 7:35 pm |
  8. Molly

    Well – the polls I see – from Gallop have BOTH TIED!!!!
    Maybe now that the media is slowly showing the American people the REAL obama – we will all learn about him and realize that this guy is NOT qualified to lead our country. McCain is a good 2nd Choice.
    Hillary Clinton is the Best Qualified – but – the DNC picked the Weak, Arrogant, Radical guy who will never win the white house.

    June 27, 2008 07:36 pm at 7:36 pm |
  9. Tony

    Swing Vote:

    I don't disagree with you. People are going to vote based on how things are going for them, just like they always have...the "are you better off now than x years ago" has been around a long time. The thing is, if Obama does indeed win and we get a Democrat-controlled Congress, watch out for what'll happen if things don't get better (none of them have magic wands). There'll be an unprecedented amount of finger-pointing, bashing the past, etc. (including Obama, who will reach new heights of skill in blaming others), until finally people are sick of THEIR administration and will do anything for a change. It's just the way things work.

    June 27, 2008 07:39 pm at 7:39 pm |
  10. Ron Pab,San Francisco

    this poll has no bearing in the real outcome of election in november.
    coz at the end of the day americans will realize that an experience in
    domestic and foreign policy is important thats why mccaine will win
    the election late this year.the unity propaganda by democrats will
    not persuade the 8 million Hilliary voters to vote for obama,it will just
    be handed to Mccaine plus the liberal and other independent voters.
    John Mccaine is not the third bush term its just a smear and black propaganda by obama's faction.

    June 27, 2008 07:42 pm at 7:42 pm |
  11. Bob, DC

    McCain is a lousy senator.

    June 27, 2008 07:42 pm at 7:42 pm |
  12. JD

    Still voting for McCain, NoBama

    McCain -08

    Clinton-12

    June 27, 2008 07:43 pm at 7:43 pm |
  13. Independent Voter

    CNN must be out of things to report. These polls are meaningless. Even BO and the Dems don't take them seriously at this point. That's why they're doing the "unity" dance. They want to get the Dems together before the REAL race starts in September.

    Meanwhile, I wonder what CNN will get when this is over. They clearly think the race will go to Obama, and they've been working toward that goal for months. Somebody should look into that while the summer drags on and this slanted non-news pablum continues to be fed to the public.

    June 27, 2008 07:43 pm at 7:43 pm |
  14. Mike

    The more McBush opens his mouth the more people turn to support Obama. Today McBush said Carter was a lousy Commander in Cheif as if to compare Carter to Obama. Sorry McBush but Carter was a decorated Navy Officer just like you. He has nothing to do with Obama.

    June 27, 2008 07:44 pm at 7:44 pm |
  15. Mike

    Obama wave is growing! Get ready for the blood bath of 08!!!

    June 27, 2008 07:44 pm at 7:44 pm |
  16. beverly

    polls will be polls, it's who gathering the info on the polls? as we know there are many of polls none of them agree. lets wait for the polls in november when they announce the new president of the ( UNITED STATES BARACK OBAMA ) hows that for your polls.

    June 27, 2008 07:45 pm at 7:45 pm |
  17. rachel

    More on unity... Clintons write checks for 2300 each for obama. I am starting to come around on Obama.... I just hope he doesnt pull an okey doke and not give hillary a position in his cabinet.

    June 27, 2008 07:45 pm at 7:45 pm |
  18. David in Illinois

    The polls will be up, the polls will be down. But if America truly wants another 4 years of a BEAR stock market, $5 plus gasoline, rising inflation, rising joblessness, rising food prices, STAGNANT incomes... just to name a few of the horrific things happening akk around us, then America certainly deserves John McCain.
    Heckuva job, Republicans! The economy is looking worse than Katrina!

    June 27, 2008 07:47 pm at 7:47 pm |
  19. tx independent

    the problem is McCain is having a difficult time moving beyond 40%, this can spell trouble especially if he drops to 39 %, this is only 1% point but the psychological effect that would put him in the 30s can have a lasting affect

    June 27, 2008 07:52 pm at 7:52 pm |
  20. Frank

    McSame should enjoy his 40%, that'll be high point in the race because he's backward looking in plans and so called new ideas, which are neither his or new. His stale approach to issues and his flip-flopping will get him nowhere.

    Can you spell L A N D S L I D E ?

    June 27, 2008 07:53 pm at 7:53 pm |
  21. AJ

    It would be helpful if CNN showed its methodology for its poll of polls, such as fivethirtyeight.com does. In presenting research, we're supposed to cite our sources, right? Otherwise, there's no credibility.

    Polls may give a general idea of the outcome, but remember we're still four months away from the election. A change in a few points this week, a few points the next–it doesn't mean much in the long run.

    June 27, 2008 07:53 pm at 7:53 pm |
  22. Not surprising

    Paul, that's ridiculous, Obama was bloodied and beaten to a pulp for the last 3 months of the primary while McCain was able to relax, take a trip to Iraq and basically avoid any negative coverage at all. McCain has always been a media favorite, which is why he is unliked by most conservatives. If you look at the Obama (over) coverage archives you will find that the overwhelming majority is negative. The fact is these polls mean nothing and they are NOT a predicter of what will happen in November. I wish the media would stop their obsession with them.

    June 27, 2008 07:54 pm at 7:54 pm |
  23. jimmy velman

    THE POLLS DO NOT REFLECT THE SENTIMENT OF THE ELECTORATE ACCURATELY BECAUSE THEY CAN BE MANIPULATED AND SLANTED TOWARDS ONE CANDIDATE OR ANOTHER. HAVE WE FORGOTTEN THE DELEGATES OF MICHIGAN AND FLORIDA ? OF COURSE NOT.. SO SIT TIGHT AND KEEP YOUR VALUABLE VOICE===YOUR VOTE UNCOMMITED EVEN WHEN YOU ANSWER THE POLLSTERS. MONEY IS NOT EVERYTHING, BUT IN POLITICS, IT BUYS AN AWFUL LOT OF ADVERTISING...EVEN IF A LOT OF IT IS EXAGERATED (UNTRUE).LET US ALL WAIT FOR THE CONVENTION. MOST IMPORTANT: OBAMA'S CHOICE OF HIS VP.
    THAT MY FELLOW HILLARY PILLARS, IS WHAT WE WANT TO SEE FIRST.

    June 27, 2008 07:55 pm at 7:55 pm |
  24. sarah

    oooh, maybe its because mccain is actually getting some time in the media and people are starting to see the truth.....
    mccain = hero obama= zero
    mccain=country first obama=obama 1st, DNC 2nd, country3rd
    mccain=plan obama=rhetoric
    mccain=integrity obama=empty suit

    June 27, 2008 08:00 pm at 8:00 pm |
  25. Terry McKinley

    In order to do credible polling in this election, don't you need to use as your sample a population that resembles likely voters, age-wise, racially, etc? Makes sense to me. The question is, how does any pollster know what that population of voters is really going to look like, when we've got a Democratic nominee who will attract a unprecedent mix of voters to begin with.....age.....race....etc, many of whom don't even have land lines? I also think that, when the person answers that pollster's question about whether they intend to vote, their credibility is far more questionable and subject to change this year. All in all, I don't see much for us to trust in these polls, especially this year.

    June 27, 2008 08:00 pm at 8:00 pm |
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