June 27th, 2008
04:22 PM ET
13 years ago

Polls: Obama up by 5

[cnn-photo-caption image= http://i.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2008/images/06/27/art.obamapoll.ap.jpg caption="Obama is up 5 points in the latest CNN poll of polls."](CNN) - Barack Obama holds a 5-point lead over John McCain in the latest CNN "Poll of Polls" - a slight decrease for the Illinois senator from previous CNN polls of polls released earlier this week.

In an average of three recently released national surveys, Obama stands at 45 percent among registered voters while McCain is at 40 percent. Fifteen percent remain unsure about who they will support in November.

In a CNN poll of polls released Thursday, Obama held a 7-point lead over McCain, and the presumptive Democratic presidential was 8 points over McCain in a poll of polls released Tuesday.

But CNN's Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib notes McCain's support has consistently hovered around 40 percent.

“While Obama’s lead in our average has fluctuated by a point or two over the last week, McCain has been stuck at 40 percent,” he said. “Heading into the July 4 holiday, McCain is clearly trailing. He has his work cut out for him in terms of changing voters’ perceptions of his candidacy.”

The latest CNN poll of polls included national surveys from Time Magazine, LA Times/Bloomberg, and Gallup.


Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain
soundoff (282 Responses)
  1. INDEPENDENT WHITE WOMAN for Obama!!

    Obama Holds 5 point lead ........GO Obama And HILLARY ! McCain go take your EXLAX !!!..........you need to apologize to Mr Carter.....Shame on you, OLD FART!!!!

    June 27, 2008 04:56 pm at 4:56 pm |
  2. Rusty, Portland

    Obama has reached the zenith of his lead in the polls-it's all down hill from here--mark it on your calendar 6/27–Obama led by 5 points–

    June 27, 2008 04:56 pm at 4:56 pm |
  3. Not fooled by distractions.

    Keep talkin' McCain – Obama's numbers will keep rising.

    June 27, 2008 04:56 pm at 4:56 pm |
  4. Neutral

    This is why following polls is a waste of time!

    June 27, 2008 04:57 pm at 4:57 pm |
  5. Debby

    Oh gee Anderson Cooper, Cafferty and Brown had Obama up by double digits. I didn't know 8 points was now known as double digits. hahaha

    June 27, 2008 04:57 pm at 4:57 pm |
  6. Rob indetroit

    why are so many woman claiming they wii vote for mccain instead of obama. because you feel slited. get over it if you care about hrc like you said vote obama.

    June 27, 2008 04:58 pm at 4:58 pm |
  7. JR, Boston

    I don't believe the polls are accurately reflecting the expected turnout.
    People are leaving the republican party in droves. Conservatives are not excited about McCain. Obama's turnout, especially amongst young people and blacks, is going to be historic.

    Obama has so many paths to 270. He was up in today's SurveyUSA poll in Ohio by 2%, but that poll had McCain winning 90% of the latin vote and 15% of the black vote. Obama is going to win 95% of the black vote (the Newsweek poll having him get 129 of 130 was the most accurate on that score) and 65% of the latin vote.

    As more evangelicals and women learn about McCain's treatment of his first wife, and begin to process what that means about his character, their commitment will turn to Obama. Ross Perot, George Will, et al, will remind conservatives that Sen McCain, who used campaign finance reform to whitewash his Keating Five past, is not one of them.

    Looking at dem-ind-republican and race demographic and age demographic models, I've got Obama winning by 8 points right now. After the debates, when people are comfortable with the notion of Obama as executive, that number should rise to 12. And when the conservatives see that it is a done deal they'll make a last-minute show of solidly backing McCain. That may keep the final result under 10, but probably not. Failing a huge skeleton, a huge gaffe, or an October surprise (sorry Sen McCain, Carter with his energy policy was a better President than Reagan with his Iran/Contra/Crack scandal) Obama is going to win this election in a landslide. There is a huge desire and demand for change.

    June 27, 2008 04:59 pm at 4:59 pm |
  8. JL

    You could vote for the guy that thinks high gasoline prices are okay.

    You could vote for the guy that will add fuel taxes just to make them higher.

    You could vote for the guy that thinks corn should be turned into fuel instead of food and is also from the second-largest corn producing state.

    You could vote for the guy that wants "economic parity", which means taking from those who have earned it and giving it to those who haven't until everyone is nice and "equal".

    But I, for one, will not be voting for Mr. Obama.

    June 27, 2008 04:59 pm at 4:59 pm |
  9. Sneed Hearn

    Watch when they try to pin down the "real" Obama.

    June 27, 2008 04:59 pm at 4:59 pm |
  10. Mike H.

    McCain will come on strong as voters realize that Obama is all talk and has no record of tangible accomplishments. That has been the hallmark of his entire political career.

    June 27, 2008 04:59 pm at 4:59 pm |
  11. California Voter

    Really now, your polls have always shown Obama ahead of McCain by margins I have not seen elsewhere . . . . let's give the pollsters a holiday for a while.

    June 27, 2008 04:59 pm at 4:59 pm |
  12. Derek

    If only the American people wern't so ignorant they would realize the huge mistake in electing Obama. The American people are fed up with high gas prices and the war, which I am to but they have to realize the Democrates are the reason why the gas prices are so high. The Democrates will not allow President Bush to drill offshore for oil and for oil in Texas, Alaska, Montana, and Louisiana because they don't want Bush to look good because they know that if they allow in the offshore drilling of oil the American people will praise Bush for that and they will all want to vote Republican in November. Democrates WILL NOT allow the price of oil to come down because they want to take all the money they can from the American people that they can. Many people don't see it that way...but folks that is the way it is and thats the way it is always going to be with Democrates. Now on the War...War i know is bad but with McCain's expierence we are all better off with him then Obama when it comes to the War. Everyone needs to get behind the troops and support them and not get mad at the Republicans and President Bush for being over there. President Bush did the right thing in attacking Iraq and invading them, if you were in his shoes what would you have done after 9/11, just sat there and taken it, that my friends would make America look WEAK and thats not what we want because that would bring about more and more attacks against the United States. SInce we have been in the War how many attacks has America seen....NONE because we are WINNING in the war against terrorism...but most Americans are ignorant and don't see it that way. The troops are fighting for our freedom stand behind them and support them and let them do their job...the war will be over soon enough...America will always have troops in the Middle East, but look at this we still have troops in Germany (since WW2). North Korea (since the Korean War), Vietnam ( since the Vietnam War) fighting for freedom takes a lot but America is still free and will always be free, but Americans have to support the troops in what they do. So looking at all this people have to start realizing how bad a choice Obama will be as our President. He has no expeirence whats so ever, no foreign policy and can u trust the guy seriously. McCain will push for lower gas prices, finish the fight in the Middle East, has A TON of expierence, a very good foreign policy...so when voting make a WISE choice when going to the polls in November. Im informing the American people of the choice they need to make when choosing our next President...so when going to the polls please vote Republican...the Democrates will raise ur taxes, keep the gas prices up and piss the rest of the world off. Im a 19 yr old College student from Missouri that knows all about this and learned all of this information from College.

    June 27, 2008 05:00 pm at 5:00 pm |
  13. Greg, Brattleboro, VT

    Don't worry! McCain is nothing. Only blind people and those who have never crossed the boundaries of their counties or states can vote for him.

    June 27, 2008 05:00 pm at 5:00 pm |
  14. HSNP

    That's not a very comfortable lead. Given the overall state of the Nation, which stinks, he should be sitting on a 15 to 20 point lead.

    June 27, 2008 05:00 pm at 5:00 pm |
  15. Obama Plays Race Card Again

    Question for our next President:

    Where are all of the Hollywood celebrities holding telethons asking for help in restoring Iowa and helping the folks affected by the floods?

    Where is all the media asking the tough questions about why the federal government hasn't solved the problem? Asking where the FEMA trucks (and trailers) are?

    Why isn't the Federal Government relocating Iowa people to free hotels in Chicago?

    When will Spike Lee say that the Federal Government blew up the levees that failed in Des Moines?

    Where are Sean Penn and the Dixie Chicks?

    Where are all the looters stealing high-end tennis shoes and big screen television sets?

    When will we hear Governor Chet Culver say that he wants to rebuild a "vanilla" Iowa, because that's the way God wants it?

    Where is the hysterical 24/7 media coverage complete with reports of cannibalism?

    Where are the people declaring that George Bush hates white, rural people?

    How come in 2 weeks, you will never hear about the Iowa flooding ever again?

    June 27, 2008 05:01 pm at 5:01 pm |
  16. Luke Brown, Charleston SC

    Looks like McCain is really scoring with his "lousy" attacks on Jimmy Carter.

    Next week he's going after Grover Cleveland!

    June 27, 2008 05:04 pm at 5:04 pm |
  17. Tejano

    The only poll that matters is the one in November. McCain by 10 or more where it matters, the electoral college. No Socialist/Marxist has ever been elected to the Presidency and Obama will not be the first

    This imposter (Obama) will be further exposed between now and the general election.

    June 27, 2008 05:04 pm at 5:04 pm |
  18. Richard

    This man doesn't have a prayer.
    He was unfair to voters in Florida and Michigan and they don't forget it.
    I'm one of them.

    June 27, 2008 05:04 pm at 5:04 pm |
  19. Joe

    obama will win no matter what. Obama 08

    June 27, 2008 05:04 pm at 5:04 pm |
  20. Mike

    At the rally in Unity, Obama sat on his stool like a VP, Senator Clinton took to the stage and spoke like a real President!

    Senator Clinton commanded that venue.

    Sorry, though Obama just doesn't have what it takes; vague speeches with no direction.

    Does he EVER give specifics??

    June 27, 2008 05:04 pm at 5:04 pm |
  21. seth

    yeah, can we just get one weekly poll or something. this is a little annoying.

    June 27, 2008 05:05 pm at 5:05 pm |
  22. Uh Oh

    Five measly points? That's it? Uh, oh. Sounds like the ruse of Obama's change is finally getting exposed!

    June 27, 2008 05:05 pm at 5:05 pm |
  23. William, from Cali!

    Polls are just that, Polls; perceptions of a small section of a whole........the Democrats, will win in Nov.08..........riding the tide of "anti-Bush sentiment", they should not "blow" this Election............It's their's to Lose! But, be warned; 1/20/2009 is coming for you all.......then its your turn ,"on the clock" Can you, handle that! No more G.W. Bush to blame..................

    June 27, 2008 05:05 pm at 5:05 pm |
  24. Eduardo, Phoenix

    who cares about those web-sites that want to provoke a break-up among democrats. "nobama", "puma" whatever. Everyone knows those web-sites are made by REPUBLICANS, to divide and confuse democrats. Fighting dirty and inflicting false fears are the only way republicans know how to campaign. What a shame of political party.

    June 27, 2008 05:06 pm at 5:06 pm |
  25. Me

    No one has voted yet!

    June 27, 2008 05:06 pm at 5:06 pm |
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