July 11th, 2008
04:30 PM ET
11 years ago

Polls: Obama ahead by eight

[cnn-photo-caption image= http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2008/images/07/11/art.mccainobama.ap.jpg caption="Obama is up over McCain in the latest CNN poll of polls."](CNN) - As the dog days of summer set in and Americans take a break from the daily political band-and-forth, a new CNN analysis of several recent national opinion surveys show Barack Obama with a sizeable lead over John McCain.

In the latest CNN Poll of polls, the Illinois senator holds an 8-point lead among registered voters nationwide, 49 percent to 41 percent, with 10 percent still undecided.

The 8-point spread is up 2 points from a CNN poll of polls released one week ago. It is double the margin it was one month ago, days after the prolonged Democratic race ended.

Election Center: Check out CNN's electoral map

“Obama's lead has grown a bit over the course of the past month. It is still relatively slim, but it is certainly solid," CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib said. "The burden is on McCain to find a way to shake things up as we enter the traditional summer doldrums.”

The poll of polls consists of three recent surveys from Gallup, CNN/Opinion Research Corp. and LA Times/Bloomberg. It does not carry a margin of error.

soundoff (261 Responses)
  1. Dan , TX

    RR/FL --

    You idiot! Your income taxes will be less under Obama's plan than McCain's!

    July 11, 2008 05:17 pm at 5:17 pm |
  2. Tim

    First he Gramm calls us whiners and says that we are in a mental recession. Then he says he meant leaders were whiners, not Americans ( a lie), but stands by his recession comment. Then in an interview with The Washington Times, Gramm then says that "Technically, a "recession" is two straight quarters of negative growth; so technically, we may in fact not be in a recession. Or we might, but don't yet know it." He is a top Economic advisor for McCain, but doesn't speak for him. Now McCain admits he knows nothing about the economy. This is a sad state of affairs.

    July 11, 2008 05:17 pm at 5:17 pm |
  3. Jim Haynes, SC

    Why do so many of you still feel the need to bring Hillary into it? She's out of it, you should be happy now, though I'm not. But give it a rest, find another dog to kick. If Obamites want him to win so bad, how about campaining against McCain for a change? Good gawd, you guys are all still so rabid about Hillary you can't focus. This is one reason that even as a life long Democrat, and black man, I won't be voting Obama in the fall.

    July 11, 2008 05:17 pm at 5:17 pm |
  4. Change and Hope

    Wait everyone!!! Obama believes in CHANGE and HOPE!!! And he's so nice looking!!!! That's all we need in a president, right? oh, and he says funny things at just the right time....and he can read a teleprompt. Sure....that's qualification enough!!!

    Actually, for you slow liberals -I'm being sarcastic. Wise up, America. Snap out of it. This guy is a radical leftist that will destroy America. Don't believe it? Look how socialism has ruined Europe. No coincidence that UK,France Italy,Germany and Denmark are electing conservatives. Gee....I wonder why.

    Wise up, America.

    July 11, 2008 05:17 pm at 5:17 pm |


    McCant use a compuer






    July 11, 2008 05:18 pm at 5:18 pm |
  6. Victor Aluko

    Obama will be the next president of the united states of america. after 8 yrs of that idiot bush theres no way im ever trusting a republican.

    July 11, 2008 05:18 pm at 5:18 pm |
  7. Teddy California

    You do not need to look polls to know it is not good for McCain. If the economy is the issue in election, at the current moment, there is no hope for McCain. The stock market is tanking, housing price is sinking, and oil price keeps going up, there is no way for Republicans to win. Do you notice that Obama campain is limiting his exposure to public? The Obama campain would love to hide Obama from public if it was possible to avoid any major gaffes. If there are no major gaffes, he will win. People will vote against Republicans.

    However, the economic bad news cannot keep getting worse. When stock prices go down a lot, bargain hunters will get in and the stock market will recover somewhat. The same thing is applied to the housing prices. When people start to use less gas, the oil price will moderate. A lot of developing countries have got into the trouble because of high oil prices. They will use less oil too. Therefore, getting out all the bad economic bad news now might actually help McCain in the Fall. If the gas price goes down below $4 in the Fall, people might feel better even though it is still very high.

    Like a football game, the Obama campain is playing very conservatively. They have a lead. They are trying to play ball control offense, not fumbling the ball away. On the defense, they are trying to stop quick scores by the opponent.

    If the bad economic news keep popping up, Obama will win by default. It is a very good strategy. In fact, the Obama campain might find a way to avoid debates with McCain, or reduce three debates to one or two. Please mark my prediction. If the situation is like now, and if Obama is still leading conformtably in polls, his campain will try to reduce the number of debates or avoid the debates all together.

    However, if the economic news become better, or if there is another war, or a terrorist attack, mood can change very quickly. The strategy does leave an opportunity for McCain who can show he does have a plan for the country that is different from Bush.

    July 11, 2008 05:18 pm at 5:18 pm |
  8. Jeffrey G. Brown


    July 11, 2008 05:18 pm at 5:18 pm |
  9. POGO


    July 11, 2008 05:18 pm at 5:18 pm |
  10. jim

    Friday, July 11, 2008 Email to a FriendAdvertisement
    The race for the White House is getting a bit closer. The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows Barack Obama’s lead over John McCain down to a statistically insignificant single percentage point, 43% to 42%. Prior to today, Obama had enjoyed at least a four-point advantage every day since Hillary Clinton dropped out of the race over a month ago. This is the first time his support has fallen below the 45% level since May 31.

    July 11, 2008 05:19 pm at 5:19 pm |
  11. Jim

    Liberals never seem to move beyond the rhetoric of kindergarteners. Nor, can they read any better.

    July 11, 2008 05:19 pm at 5:19 pm |
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11