July 24th, 2008
01:59 PM ET
14 years ago

CNN's Electoral Map: Both lose ground – but McCain gains edge

[cnn-photo-caption image= http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2008/images/07/24/art.electoralmap.cnn.jpg caption="CNN's new electoral map."](CNN) — Two more states have shifted to the toss-up column in the new CNN Electoral Map that charts the candidates’ strength leading up to the November election.

Minnesota – which had turned from toss-up to “leans Obama” in the last analysis – is back up for grabs, along with New Mexico, which had been classified “leans McCain.” The shift of both states gives the Arizona senator a net gain of five votes over his standing in the previous CNN Electoral Map – but his opponent still has 221 electoral votes — 32 more than McCain’s total of 189, and 49 shy of winning the presidency.

CNN made the change in New Mexico after new polling conducted by the Pew Hispanic Center showed that demographic, a major voting bloc in the state, backs Obama’s candidacy by a margin of greater than 2 to 1, 66 percent to 23 percent. Minnesota’s move comes after a new Quinnipac survey finds Obama’s lead in that state has shrunk to a statistically insignificant 2-point margin, 46 percent to 44 percent.

Election: Check out CNN's new electoral map

This is only a CNN estimate, and is likely to change many more times before Election Day.

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain
soundoff (213 Responses)
  1. Krissy

    McCain's good luck is that the mainstream media hasn't connected the dots that Phil Gramm wrote his economic policy AND Phil Gramm also is responsible for legislation that has caused increases in energy prices (enron loophole author) and the mortgage crisis (bank deregulation).

    The economy is the number one issue, and McCain's policy maker is a huge part of the problems we face today.

    July 24, 2008 04:14 pm at 4:14 pm |
  2. Pick Me! Pick Me!!

    Love My USA July 24th, 2008 3:29 pm ET

    This is a very disturbing article, why isn't the media talking about this???


    Ammmm... It is because this article has been proven to be false

    July 24, 2008 04:15 pm at 4:15 pm |
  3. Texas Liberal

    The biggest problem with democracy as a form of government is that half of the voters have a below average IQ. The less gifted among us is impatient with lengthy discussions of issues.

    To them, elections are a contest between two teams, like football. Citizens are like football fans. Their job is to boo or cheer at the right time. Also, like football fans, they hope that the team who beat THEIR team in the final four loses in the Super Bowl – like the voters who are angry with Obama for defeating Clinton for the nomination.

    Less gifted voters gravitate toward Conservatism, and the Conservative leadership has developed a special rhetoric filled with smart-mouth quips and demeaning stereotypes (tree hugger, baby killer, liberal loonie, cut-and-run coward, flip-flopper, etc.) that speaks to these people at their level

    July 24, 2008 04:18 pm at 4:18 pm |
  4. Anonymous

    Don't worry McSurge and crew will steal the election like they did in 2004 with the "recount" in Florida. They have the MSM eating out of the palm of their hands. McSurge and crew are McSad.

    July 24, 2008 04:20 pm at 4:20 pm |
  5. bmg from CA

    It's good to see McCain gaining some ground. People need to realize how dangerously unprepared Obama is to lead this country. We all want change, but Obama IS NOT THE ONE TO BRING IT.

    McCain for President!!!

    PS: I am not a Republican; originally, I supported Hillary Clinton.
    McCain is nothing like the current failure we have had as president for the last eight years.

    July 24, 2008 04:20 pm at 4:20 pm |
  6. Glenn

    I wonder why CNN is not using the newest polls by NBC, CBS and Reuters? We know don't we. CNN...bought by the GOP and McBush!

    July 24, 2008 04:20 pm at 4:20 pm |
  7. Jesse

    Hispanics will not vote for obama in the #'s he needs sorry I'm one of the one's that won't. Just another talking politician changes his message when it's convenient.

    July 24, 2008 04:21 pm at 4:21 pm |
  8. TerryDo

    Love My USA July 24th, 2008 3:29 pm ET

    This is a very disturbing article, why isn't the media talking about this???


    Published: June 29, 2008




    July 24, 2008 04:21 pm at 4:21 pm |
  9. Brian

    Thank God my home state of Colorado is finally coming around. The people of Colorado are quite smart.

    July 24, 2008 04:23 pm at 4:23 pm |
  10. henriettap

    I would like for someone out there to tell me how having been in the senate thirty years and gives you the experience to be president .It is not hard for anyone to see that this country is in terrible shape because we had a president that was a governor and felt like he was running just the state of Texas over again after he was elected.We are not a country that is looked upon as being a leader anymore.Because of GWB we are hated throughout the world and it is sickening to read just how much people are hating and it can be said many times that this is not about race that one will not vote for Obama because of race but that is still what some in this country care about.Which is a shame is that Obama is just as gualified as McCain.

    July 24, 2008 04:24 pm at 4:24 pm |
  11. Brian

    Oh and why do people keep bringing up the point that we should vote for Obama because ooh look how everyone hates Bush. Well guess what we don't have to change our values just because we don't like Bush. McCain is no Bush.

    July 24, 2008 04:26 pm at 4:26 pm |
  12. Cracka lova

    Latinos for Mc Cain.......don't let the fence hit you on thw way out........adios amigo

    July 24, 2008 04:27 pm at 4:27 pm |
  13. John, Brooklyn, New York

    Why would CNN change a state's designation with the release of a single poll? For those readers who are truly interested in accurate trend analysis, please visit realclearpolitics.com. Its a much better (and accurate) source of analysis.

    July 24, 2008 04:29 pm at 4:29 pm |
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