July 24th, 2008
01:59 PM ET
14 years ago

CNN's Electoral Map: Both lose ground – but McCain gains edge

[cnn-photo-caption image= http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2008/images/07/24/art.electoralmap.cnn.jpg caption="CNN's new electoral map."](CNN) — Two more states have shifted to the toss-up column in the new CNN Electoral Map that charts the candidates’ strength leading up to the November election.

Minnesota – which had turned from toss-up to “leans Obama” in the last analysis – is back up for grabs, along with New Mexico, which had been classified “leans McCain.” The shift of both states gives the Arizona senator a net gain of five votes over his standing in the previous CNN Electoral Map – but his opponent still has 221 electoral votes — 32 more than McCain’s total of 189, and 49 shy of winning the presidency.

CNN made the change in New Mexico after new polling conducted by the Pew Hispanic Center showed that demographic, a major voting bloc in the state, backs Obama’s candidacy by a margin of greater than 2 to 1, 66 percent to 23 percent. Minnesota’s move comes after a new Quinnipac survey finds Obama’s lead in that state has shrunk to a statistically insignificant 2-point margin, 46 percent to 44 percent.

Election: Check out CNN's new electoral map

This is only a CNN estimate, and is likely to change many more times before Election Day.

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain
soundoff (213 Responses)
  1. Pink Elephant

    Marcus – If the majority of U.S. citizens don't vote for Obama, it is not because of the color of his skin. Does it bother you that people are voting FOR Obama because of the color of his skin? Or that people are voting against McCain because of his age? With the exception of a few out there (and there are haters in every category), the majority of Americans either favor him because of his skin color or don't care about his skin color. Obama is not qualified to lead this country...and his race has nothing to do with it.

    July 24, 2008 02:13 pm at 2:13 pm |
  2. Debby

    So New Mexico with alot of Hispanics shifted back to McCain. So I guess turncoat Richardson won't be able to carry the state for Obama in the long run. What about the big hispanic and latino shift over to Obama in the polls?????

    July 24, 2008 02:13 pm at 2:13 pm |
  3. hillbilly

    no comment on polls.

    July 24, 2008 02:13 pm at 2:13 pm |
  4. Matt--NE

    I guess there is still some common sense alive out there.

    Good to see people are still searching for substance beyond the hype.

    McCain will handily win this one.

    McCain '08

    July 24, 2008 02:14 pm at 2:14 pm |
  5. rumpusgoopus

    I cannot fathom how the Minnesota poll came out the way it did. It really has to be an outlier.

    July 24, 2008 02:14 pm at 2:14 pm |
  6. Linda31

    So even though Obama is beating McCain in current states, Arizona for example, it is still in the McCain column? Okkkkkay

    July 24, 2008 02:14 pm at 2:14 pm |
  7. hillbilly

    mccain is speaking ,now,on cnn...i love my mute button!

    July 24, 2008 02:14 pm at 2:14 pm |
  8. LIZ

    You know, Obama is over seas. Speaking to world leaders and their people about unity as a whole. About coming together to make a better world. And when i went on to this website....all i see is seperation...no unity....nothing but seperating the races.
    We have Obama and both presidential candidates trying and repeatedly speaking about coming together to make a difference and all Americans want to do is focus on who has it harder.........

    Alittle strange and funny how we all act........it's shameful.

    July 24, 2008 02:15 pm at 2:15 pm |
  9. Allen in Hartwell, Ga.

    Like many others across this nation, I know many people who either won't vote this election or who will vote (out of spite) for McCain. Why? Because of skin color. My state of Georgia will probably ignore the best candidate simply because they are biased. It's truely a shame.

    July 24, 2008 02:15 pm at 2:15 pm |
  10. aware

    Go McCain! 🙂

    The Obama drama is a nauseating spectacle of arrogance, egomania and political expediency. Obama thinks with a two-faced stutter but reads someone else's words with charisma. He is a joke!

    Maybe he will choose Richarson as VP and double his negatives!

    But, Hispanics won't be manipulated! 🙂

    July 24, 2008 02:16 pm at 2:16 pm |
  11. TOM

    i still wonder who guys are polling. and poeple say one thing and do the another. i would think you guys would give these polls up with there current accuracy. i have to group you guy with the weathermen the days.

    July 24, 2008 02:18 pm at 2:18 pm |
  12. Carl from MI

    By November, it will be a landslide for Obama.

    July 24, 2008 02:19 pm at 2:19 pm |
  13. Irishspacemonk

    If anyone reads CNN in a few months I'd be surprised. In fact I'm making this my last view of this site. There is nothing informative or particularly engaging in their content. It's biased, corporate and overall it stinks. Who cares what CNN thinks? They employ right-wing Repugnants and then expect us the believe their crap.

    July 24, 2008 02:20 pm at 2:20 pm |
  14. Patrick

    Race has nothing to do with this election, McCain has better policies plain and simple. if McCain was black, hispanic, or a woman but still had his same positions on the issues I'd still vote for him.

    July 24, 2008 02:20 pm at 2:20 pm |
  15. Linda. Boston, MA

    Half of those toss ups are states in which Obama has a considerable lead. You guys are trying too hard to make this a horse race when its not.

    July 24, 2008 02:20 pm at 2:20 pm |
  16. What!!!

    Polls mean nothing. Why are we so trusting of them?

    July 24, 2008 02:20 pm at 2:20 pm |
  17. mark4wagon

    I wonder how the other candidates are doing in the polls? We would know but we never seem to get info on them. Interesting isn't it....
    You cannot keep the revolution down anymor with your lack of equality in media coverage. We will succeed in making this a better country for everyone with our without the media's help......

    sincerely yours

    The Independents

    July 24, 2008 02:20 pm at 2:20 pm |
  18. Mike - Texas


    CNN electorial map is a joke.

    Go look up more reliable maps, they are out there.

    July 24, 2008 02:22 pm at 2:22 pm |
  19. Sandy

    It is only a matter of time. The shift will be slow but sure. Obama can't be our next president. The stakes are too high to put him in office.

    A rookie as the leader of the free world? How stupid can we be? Oh, yeah–we put GW in the White House–TWICE. I guess we CAN be pretty stupid.

    July 24, 2008 02:22 pm at 2:22 pm |
  20. Hispanic over 50 female

    He needs Hillary to close the deal. Unfortunately, I thinks he too pompous and arrogant to admit it.

    July 24, 2008 02:23 pm at 2:23 pm |
  21. Worst...Resume...Ever....

    People are starting to take a look at Nobama's resume and whaddya know? Its only one page long, in 16 font, and with 2 inch margins.

    July 24, 2008 02:23 pm at 2:23 pm |
  22. erik

    Marcus, Great Lakes IL–
    do you think that there is any chance that people are going to vote for the wrong guy because the color of his skin is darker than the other guy's? what i mean by that is, do the dems really know who they are voting for? how many people are trying to prove they are not racist because the voted for a black man. that is the wrong reason to vote for a person.
    i do agree, though, that you should vote based on merit not on color, then more peole would vote the RIGHT way.

    July 24, 2008 02:24 pm at 2:24 pm |
  23. ANGIE

    polls mean nothing right now wait until sep oct then they have value

    July 24, 2008 02:24 pm at 2:24 pm |
  24. Biffington, Biff

    Thank you for your honesty, Marus of Great Lakes, IL.

    I am originally from Chicago, and this is sometihng I have already known. it is nice to see it out in the open.

    I saw it with Mayor Harold Washington's election back in 1982.

    your words were dead on with my experience.

    July 24, 2008 02:25 pm at 2:25 pm |
  25. Ian MacIsaac

    That Minnesota poll was pure noise. And I love how they still have Arizona as solid McCain even though they're pretty close there. Go ahead, make it the illusion of a horse race. That's fine. Obama's going to smoke McCain, we all know this.

    July 24, 2008 02:25 pm at 2:25 pm |
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