July 24th, 2008
03:07 PM ET
13 years ago

New state polls show good news for McCain

[cnn-photo-caption image= http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2008/images/07/24/art.mccainpolls.ap.jpg caption="New state polls show good news for McCain."](CNN) - During a week he's struggling to wrestle media attention away from Barack Obama's trip abroad, new polls out Thursday show John McCain has narrowed the gap in four crucial battleground states.

New surveys conducted by Quinnipiac, the Washington Post, and the Wall Street Journal suggest the Arizona senator is in a more favorable position in Colorado, Minnesota, Michigan, and Wisconsin than he was one month ago.

In Colorado, McCain now holds a 2 point lead over Obama, 46 to 44 percent - a significant reversal from a similar poll conducted last month that put the Illinois senator on top there by 5 points.

In equally good news for McCain, Obama now only holds a two point lead in Minnesota - the state that's playing host the Republican National Convention in early September. A similar poll one month ago had Obama on top by 17 points. The new poll result has prompted CNN to switch Minnesota from a state that is "leaning" Obama to a "toss-up" in its electoral map.

Earlier: CNN's Electoral Map: Both lose ground – but McCain gains edge

The race also remains tight in Michigan, with Obama holding a 4 point lead there, 46 percent to 42 percent. That's down from the 6 point lead Obama held there last month.

The Democratic presidential candidate still holds a significant lead in Wisconsin, though there too the gap has narrowed over the last month. In June, Obama led the Illinois senator by 13 points, 52 to 39 percent. Now that lead is down to 11 points, 50-39 percent.

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain
soundoff (322 Responses)
  1. Really

    We are bombarded with how bad everything is from the media. The war, the economy, healthcare, big profits by corporations and gas prices. Supposedly we are to blame the Republicans, even they are to blame for the extremely low approval rating for the Democratic controlled Congress. This should be the year that the Democrates have an easy sweep. But they nominated a poor, inexperience, left wing radical and close to half the Country doesn't even want him. Great jobs Dems, keep up the good work.

    July 24, 2008 03:24 pm at 3:24 pm |
  2. Dennis

    Polls, schmolls... just wait until we see Obama obliterate McCain in the debates. It's going to be reality television at its best.

    July 24, 2008 03:24 pm at 3:24 pm |
  3. Jozee

    I don't believe any of the polls at this stage in the game, whether for or against Obama.

    All I know is George McCain will never, never, never be elected President. Surely the American people will not be fooled again into voting for a 3rd Bush term.


    July 24, 2008 03:24 pm at 3:24 pm |
  4. Adrian Veidt

    Is it just me, or does McCain look very confused in this picture? He may have lost his bearings while trying to find Czechoslovakia on a modern map.

    July 24, 2008 03:24 pm at 3:24 pm |
  5. Samuel

    No McCain, no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no
    No McCain, no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no
    No McCain, no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no
    No McCain, no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no
    No McCain, no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no
    No McCain, no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no
    No McCain, no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no
    No McCain, no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no
    No McCain, no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no
    No McCain, no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no
    No McCain, no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no

    July 24, 2008 03:24 pm at 3:24 pm |
  6. jean from orlando

    The sad part about the people who are backing McCain especially those that voted hor HRC is that they are woman. Woman who's loyalty to HRC is clouding their common sense judgement. either these woman don't realize that McBush does not care about their needs – does not believe in equal rights, equal pay – equal opportunity for woman (regardless of their skin color). Either these woman are just blinded by loyalty to HRC or just ignorant to the facts. If McCain wins the election, our mental recession (as stated by Bush) will surely become a reality for the next 4-8 years.

    July 24, 2008 03:24 pm at 3:24 pm |
  7. HA

    Marie in California I hope you lose your house in a Mccain administration.

    July 24, 2008 03:25 pm at 3:25 pm |
  8. Mike

    This is just the start......watch his numbers go up as we get closer to the election.

    McCain '08

    July 24, 2008 03:25 pm at 3:25 pm |
  9. Austin

    CNN is reporting the wrong poll information. Below is the real politics poll

    Minnesota: McCain vs. Obama
    (D) McCain (R) Spread
    RCP Average 06/13 – 07/22 - 48.3 43.0 Obama +5.3
    Quinnipiac/WSJ/WP 07/14 – 07/22 1261 LV 46 44 Obama +2.0
    Rasmussen 07/22 – 07/22 500 LV 52 39 Obama +13.0
    SurveyUSA 06/13 – 06/16 543 LV 47 46 Obama +1.0

    July 24, 2008 03:26 pm at 3:26 pm |
  10. First time voter from MN

    McCain Will not win Minnesota, after the republican convention the good ole MN democrats will get riled up. Dooont cha knooow, yeaaa suuure you betcha

    July 24, 2008 03:26 pm at 3:26 pm |
  11. Listen Up...

    Who are these people who support McCain? It will be a sad day in America if the obviously deficient McCain is elected POTUS. A day for weeping and wailing! I already feel so much resentment against those who committed us to 8 yrs of GWB for no good reason. Remember all that moral/religious hocus pocus of the last 2 terms? Just look at teen pregnancy rates now and tell that was a good idea.

    July 24, 2008 03:26 pm at 3:26 pm |
  12. Brandon Hillary PUMA 4 Mc

    Shouldnt obama be up on mc cain in all these battlegrounds?? After such a "rock star" tour of europe. Give me a break despite the fact that the media's in bed with him he still is not way out in front of Mc Cain ??Just wait until october and ofcourse november the media will be talking once again about how the polls showing obama ahead were off. These polls, doesnt everyone remember how kerry was ahead going into election night in 04' The media will be talking about the bradley effect in november and the obama campaign will once again be crying racism because voters will want substance over talk.

    Hillary 2012

    July 24, 2008 03:26 pm at 3:26 pm |
  13. Deli

    i think it's because Obama has been out of the country and hasn't really responded directly the McCain attacks. Once he's back, he can deal with this annoyance.

    I can't wait for the debates. A well-spoken candidate versus a gaffe-prone 72year old retiree. The debates will be the major tipping point of the race.

    July 24, 2008 03:26 pm at 3:26 pm |
  14. indlw

    JS ragman: wow, for you to indicate that all people who support a candidate other than obama are racist shows how incredibly ignorant you are. You wonder why a vast group of people refuse to vote for a freshman senator who has spent more time campaigning for another office than hosting significant committee meetings, who has held and changed every position on every issue, and who dodges legitimate questions by attacking the interviewer.....? He's a vapid prom king. He offers no more substance than your local weatherman. Race has nothing to do with this election - unless obama chooses to accuse everyone of racism. How he plans to win over voters with that attitude is beyond me.

    July 24, 2008 03:26 pm at 3:26 pm |
  15. ANGIE

    I live in pa in the philadelphia suburbs i never get poll calls maybe the media is just saying this to make mccain feel better he did have a very bad week!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! dont belive polls there useless at this point

    July 24, 2008 03:26 pm at 3:26 pm |
  16. Joseph

    July 24th, 2008 3:16 pm ET

    I have been saying with all the hype of OBAMA look at the polls McCain now is winning or ahead in the battleground states. OBAMA is going down, and about the polls that hispanic is for OBAMA don't think so they were in CA. What about the Hispanic people in States like NM, AZ, NV, and the rest of the Nation were Hispanic were not conducted polls. Just wait and see in Oct-Nov went Latinos will open their eyes and ears and go with McCain!!!! All that hype in Berlin, Iraq, Israel and Obama has no Bounce!!! Obama is going down!!!!!!!!!!

    Latinos for McCain!!!

    be careful what you wish for. When all the racial profiling starts and all us latinos get asked to show our papers because McCain will try and purge all latinos back to our native lands. In fact he has imposed stricter laws for a latino to even get a visa in Arizona.... go McCain my azz

    July 24, 2008 03:26 pm at 3:26 pm |
  17. McArsenic

    any one notice how bored people look at McCain's town meeting? i did some extra work on sets too, i can imagine how much that takes out of those poor people, guess Mccain does not pay well...hmmmm

    July 24, 2008 03:26 pm at 3:26 pm |
  18. Carol in Timbuk2

    It is so early in the game...McSame will make some blundering error that the media will ACTUALLY report or his hot temper will get the better of him – these #s will go down really fast..................Obama all the way – I wonder how Michelle will decorate the White House – can't you just imagine the fabulous party they will throw on Jan. 20, 2009. I am waiting with baited breath!!!

    July 24, 2008 03:27 pm at 3:27 pm |
  19. Love My USA

    This article is very disturbing, and why isn't the media jumping on this?


    Published: June 29, 2008

    Certainly the most interesting and potentially devastating phone call I have received during this election cycle came this week from one of the Obama's campaign internet geeks. These are the staffers who devised Obama's internet fund raising campaign which raised in the neighborhood of $200 million so far. That is more then twice the total funds raised by any candidate in history – and this was all from the internet campaign.

    What I learn ed from this insider was shocking but I guess we shouldn't be surprised that when it comes to fund raising there simply are no rules that can't be broken and no ethics that prevail.

    Obama's internet campaign started out innocently enough with basic e-mail networking , lists saved from previous party campaigns and from supporters who visited any of the Obama campaign web sites.
    Small contributions came in from these sources and the internet campaign staff were more than pleased by the results.

    Then, about two months into the campaign the daily contribution intake multiplied. Where was it coming from? One of the web site security monitors began to notice the bulk of the contributions were clearly coming in from overseas internet service providers and at the rate and frequency of transmission it was clear these donations were 'programmed' by a very sophisticated user.

    While the security people were not able to track most of the sources due to firewalls and other blocking devices put on these contributions they were able t o collate the number of contributions that were coming in seemingly from individuals but the funds were from only a few credit card accounts and bank electronic funds transfers.

    The internet service providers (ISP) they were able to trace were from Saudi Arabia, Iran, and other Middle Eastern countries. One of the banks used for fund transfers was also located in Saudi Arabia.

    Another concentrated group of donations was traced to a Chinese ISP with a similar pattern of limited credit card charges.

    It became clear that these donations were very likely coming from sources other than Americ an voter s. This was discussed at length within the campaign and the decision was made that none of these donations violated campaign financing laws.

    It was also decided that it was not the responsibility of the campaign to audit these millions of contributions as to the actual source (specific credit card number or bank transfer account numbers) to insure that none of these internet contributors exceeded the legal maximum donation on a cumulative basis of many small donations. They also found the record keeping was not complete enough to do it anyway.

    This is a shocking revelation.

    We have been concerned about the legality of 'bundling' contributions after the recent exposure of illegal bundlers but now it appears we may have an even greater problem.

    I guess we should have been somewhat suspicious when the numbers started to come out. We were told (no proof offered) that the Obama internet contributions were from $10.00 to $25.00 or so.
    If the $200,000,000 is right, and the average contribution was $15.00, that would mean over 13 million individuals made contributions? That would also be 13 million contributions would need to be processed. How did all that happen?

    I believe the Obama campaign's internet fund raising needs a se rious, in depth investigation and audit. It also appears the whole question of internet fund raising needs investigation by the legislature and perhaps new laws to insure it complies not only with the letter of these laws, but the spirit as well.

    July 24, 2008 03:27 pm at 3:27 pm |
  20. Obama Supporter 2


    It's pretty simple, he meant the reason the polling is not accurate is BECAUSE of the high percentage of those people owning cell phones and not having regular home phone lines. The polling people don't get a list of cell phone numbers!!!!! The only accurate poll will be the one in November and it will be a landslide for Obama. Until then CNN can keep spewing their garbage news and crap stories to make them think the public is stupid!!!


    July 24, 2008 03:27 pm at 3:27 pm |
  21. Austin


    CNN is reporting the wrong poll information for Colorado from real politics. Obama is up 1.7% for the average of the 3 polls taken.

    Poll Date Sample Obama (D) McCain (R) Spread
    RCP Average 07/09 – 07/22 - 47.0 45.3 Obama +1.7
    Quinnipiac/WSJ/WP 07/14 – 07/22 1425 LV 44 46 McCain +2.0
    Rasmussen 07/21 – 07/21 500 LV 50 47 Obama +3.0
    PPP (D) 07/09 – 07/10 1050 LV 47 43 Obama +4.0

    July 24, 2008 03:27 pm at 3:27 pm |
  22. Jim

    Go McCain! No Obama! Good enough for the DNC and superdelegates. Hillary 2012

    July 24, 2008 03:28 pm at 3:28 pm |
  23. jim

    If anyone believes that McCain picked up15 points in one month in Minnesota, and within that poll received 45% of voters between the ages of 18-34 I have a bridge for sale. The rasmussen polls which leans to the right had Obama up by 13 in Minnesota yesterday.

    July 24, 2008 03:28 pm at 3:28 pm |
  24. ANGIE

    do you understand how many of those foreigners have family here in the us or how many maybe from here visiting for the summer please use a little intellect in your post!!!!!!!!!!!!

    July 24, 2008 03:29 pm at 3:29 pm |




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