July 24th, 2008
10:02 AM ET
14 years ago

Poll of polls update: Obama ahead by four

(CNN) — Barack Obama holds a 4-point lead over John McCain in the latest CNN poll of polls.

The new average of the three most recent national surveys of registered voters shows the Illinois senator at 47 percent with McCain standing at 43 percent. About 10 percent say they are undecided.

The margin between the two presidential candidates has narrowed slightly over the past week: in a CNN poll of polls taken July 16, Obama and McCain were separated by 6 points.

Election Center: Check out the poll of polls trend

The latest poll of polls includes recent surveys from Gallup, NBC/Wall Street Journal, and ABC/Washington Post.

soundoff (201 Responses)
  1. Montana is Obama Country


    .........BarackTOBER FEST.....


    .......... Yes WE Can.....

    July 24, 2008 11:49 am at 11:49 am |
  2. mike s.

    And, note, this narrow gap is DESPITE the constant barrage of "Hollywood-like" media coverage that Obama has been getting now for several months.

    McCain '08

    July 24, 2008 11:50 am at 11:50 am |
  3. Obummer

    Despite all his money, despite all the media attention, despite all the advantages a democrat should have in 2008, Obama's single digit lead gets smaller.
    Democrats, will you ever make a rational decision for your presidential candidate?

    July 24, 2008 11:50 am at 11:50 am |
  4. Bob Indianapolis, IN

    These polls are laughable! Everyone who believes this slim lead, raise your hands....

    July 24, 2008 11:53 am at 11:53 am |
  5. FRANK, CA


    July 24, 2008 11:53 am at 11:53 am |
  6. R

    Actually, if you add the other 2 candidates into the mix, which was done also, Obama is up by 16pts. Guess lots of people are eager to vote for Barr, and Nader. Jeez, the media really does bad reporting these days, can't wait for Obama to be elected to re-regulate this so called "news"

    July 24, 2008 11:54 am at 11:54 am |
  7. Mike, Syracuse, NY

    On July 11th the difference was 8 points, now only 4. Maybe if Obama stays in Europe a few more weeks it will be zero. The more we see, the worse he does. Maybe America is shaking off the koolade.

    July 24, 2008 11:55 am at 11:55 am |
  8. Voter

    Goodness me! ONLY FOUR POINTS??? Anyone would think that the "presumptive Emperor nominee" was 40 points ahead if they followed most of the media displays of blind worship.

    I see Obama has released the statement that he plans to make a "substantive" speech in Germany.

    As opposed to most of his other speeches?? I'm on the edge of my seat.

    Reminds me of bulk mail from advertisers: "This is not junk mail." Or "Open this now!" Read: not like all the other crap we send out.

    July 24, 2008 11:55 am at 11:55 am |
  9. Honest Black Man


    Hmmm.... and I thought everybody hated those bitter Republicans.

    July 24, 2008 11:56 am at 11:56 am |
  10. Mike

    All this obama mania but the lead is only 4. WOW.. I am having a hard time believing this. I thought he would be up by atleast 20 points with all the coverage he has been getting.

    July 24, 2008 11:57 am at 11:57 am |
  11. SKadams

    I'm shocked! CNN has their Messiah up in their polls? I'm feeling a tingling up my leg that MSNBC also has him up in their polls. The general population isn't buying any of these so called polls. They are probably done in predominately democratic counties. The media is obviously biased.

    July 24, 2008 11:57 am at 11:57 am |
  12. WML

    curious.... to listen to his supporters and follow the news coverage, you'd think he was 20+ points ahead.

    for someone who raised so much cash and enjoys rock-star status, to be only 4 points ahead (probably within the margin of error) and down 2 points from the last poll, doesn't seem like he's doing as well as people think.

    i'm not a mccain backer, but i'm leery of. mr. obama.

    July 24, 2008 11:57 am at 11:57 am |
  13. Henry n New York

    If the polls are correct what they are saying should really bother Americans as a whole. What it depicts is that you have one candidate that has made confusing statements regarding several areas of foreign policy. McCain has confused Shia and Sunni; he has moved Iraq's border next to Pakistan; he argues a tactical right (the surge) judgment against an overall mid-east plan (Iraq is the wrong war, wrong country, wrong enemy) and wrong on our future position regarding Iraq. The Iraq government wants U.S. troop withdrawal, Senator Obama has called for that withdrawal for years, Afghanistan is becoming an increasingly dangerous project and Bin Laden has not been captured or killed. Obama's plans would save our soldiers and bring most of them home, it would go after a leader responsible for the death of thousands. McCain wants to stay in Iraq even against their wishes, he now wants to send the same number of troops to Afghanistan almost a year after Obama first called for more troops there. He voted against the current GI bill and yet the polls say over 40 percent of Americans still would vote for him. Hillary supporters say they are voting for McCain even though he doesn't believe a women has a right to control her own body and he wants to make abortions illegal. If the polls aren't altered, slanted or bias then it appears their is only one obvious reason. Many Americans must be polling on skin color and not the content of the candidates campaigns. Another sad realization of American immaturity, lack of unity and inheritant prejudice just maybe the result of our next election and if that happens – God help us all. This just could be worst than the last 8 if McCain gains the White House.

    July 24, 2008 11:58 am at 11:58 am |
  14. Dan, TX

    Come on, if we keep ignoring McCain, he'll continue to go up in the polls. It's when people actually hear what McCain stands for that he goes down. So, McCain is on his only real strategy, try to tear down Obama and hide so that no one sees what his policy positions are.

    What are they? Can anyone say where McCain stands on anything other than some vague notion that we need to stay in Iraq until we win – and we won't know when we win until Halliburton tells us?

    July 24, 2008 11:58 am at 11:58 am |
  15. marianna

    Ahead by 4 – down from 8 a few days ago!

    July 24, 2008 11:59 am at 11:59 am |
  16. Steve, Madison WI

    These polls fail to include people with only cell phones, many of whom are young people who back Obama.

    If over 60% of the Latino vote and 90% of the Black vote and over 50% of the woman vote, etc......are for Obama – there is no way that the polls are this close.

    Granted, there are about 33% of Americans that are "hardcore" Repubs who would vote for Satan (or Bush) as long as he was a Repub, and likewise goes for about 33% of the people who are Dems. The other 33% are basically Independents who actually look at the issues and candidates. But after 8 years of Bush, and McCain looking much the same, there is no way true Independents such as myself could ever vote for McCain.

    July 24, 2008 11:59 am at 11:59 am |
  17. Anonymous

    it probaly is the 6 attack ads the Mcshame said he would not particpate in but after every commercial it say Mcshame approves this message more fearmongering from the republicans when Barack comes back he needs to hit Mcbush with everything

    July 24, 2008 12:02 pm at 12:02 pm |
  18. James Hussein, SC

    Vote for McSurge
    Vote for McSurge
    Vote for McSurge
    Vote for McSurge
    Vote for McSurge
    Vote for McSurge
    Vote for McSurge
    Vote for McSurge

    July 24, 2008 12:04 pm at 12:04 pm |
  19. rak

    If the narrowing becomes significant, I interpret it as a truly sad sign that as petty, scurrilous (Joe Klein's word), negative and fact-twisting as the repubs attacks have been - the tactics continue to work.

    Some will say that the difference is that the public is learning the candidate's views on key issues, but, I (personally, obviously) just don't have that feel.

    Mostly, I have that feel because Obama has necessarily been on a trip working on relationships and images and not focusing on communicating his views, and McCain has been on a tirade, attacking and insulting Obama.

    I truly hope that in the coming months this campaign is brought out of the gutter. Alternatively or as a last resort, regrettably, I can only hope that the gutter battle is joined if that is what Americans insist with their votes.

    That would be very, very sad, but the only thing sadder would be one candidate allowing himself to be attacked mercilessly, with the half-witted section of the American media and population playing along.

    July 24, 2008 12:04 pm at 12:04 pm |
  20. Nate

    Of course, not a word that McCain is pulling ahead in several important battleground states.

    July 24, 2008 12:05 pm at 12:05 pm |
  21. fella from Chicago

    Maybe people are beginning to read commentaries like the one of Glenn Beck's and are realizing the media has for the most part clearly endorsed Obama and consider him the next President of the United States without the benefit of an election. The so-called unbiased media has swooned under the hypnotic influence of this guy. Thank God not all of the American people are brain dead and the gap between the two hopefully will narrow even more over the next couple of months as people realize this Obama is a fraud and a danger to our country.

    July 24, 2008 12:05 pm at 12:05 pm |
  22. Dylan

    I can't believe McBush is even in the vicinity of Obama with the utter ineptitude of his campaign and the incompetence he has show time and again during his run.

    Sorry McSame... it ain't gonna be this close come November.

    July 24, 2008 12:06 pm at 12:06 pm |
  23. lorentz

    At least democrats will not use and abuse latinos like the GOP
    ......i.e Alberto Gonzales, illegal workers etc....to their sneaky purposes.

    July 24, 2008 12:07 pm at 12:07 pm |
  24. Kevin

    Hillarious!!! Obama is trying to campaign overseas and disrespect our troops by saying their hard work is not why Iraq is doing better. That Iraq would have gotten better if we pulled everyone out instead of proving we have the resolve to win the long wars. Now his lead is down to 4 percentage points which is a dead heat if you count the error percentage. He was about a month ago ahead by close to 10. Guess America is starting to wise up to this flip-flopping phony. I hope this "awakening" continues all the way to November!

    Anyone but Obama!!!

    July 24, 2008 12:07 pm at 12:07 pm |
  25. Ted's People

    I think Barack will maintain his lead until he becomes president. The democrats will also pick up a couple of senate seats to top it off and break the small majority lead. The republicans will probably go down hill this year. Too bad.

    July 24, 2008 12:09 pm at 12:09 pm |
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