July 24th, 2008
10:02 AM ET
14 years ago

Poll of polls update: Obama ahead by four

(CNN) — Barack Obama holds a 4-point lead over John McCain in the latest CNN poll of polls.

The new average of the three most recent national surveys of registered voters shows the Illinois senator at 47 percent with McCain standing at 43 percent. About 10 percent say they are undecided.

The margin between the two presidential candidates has narrowed slightly over the past week: in a CNN poll of polls taken July 16, Obama and McCain were separated by 6 points.

Election Center: Check out the poll of polls trend

The latest poll of polls includes recent surveys from Gallup, NBC/Wall Street Journal, and ABC/Washington Post.

soundoff (201 Responses)
  1. Bryan

    I don't get it...

    McCain just keeps screwing up and proving just how out of touch he is with not only the American people...but the world.

    He admittedly doesn't agree with the majority of Americans about Iraq. And now we know that Iraq's own (U.S.-sponsored) government doesn't agree with him either.

    On Iran, even Bush disagrees with him.

    He admits that he is clueless when it comes to the economy, the consensus top issue in this election.

    Yet somehow he keeps narrowing Obama's lead. Apparently a lot of people are buying into his tired, substance-less arguments..that Obama is less qualified because he hasn't been in Washington as long and hasn't visited Iraq as many times.

    Funny, though, that all McCain's overseas visits haven't prevented him from being wrong, time and again, on almost every foreign-policy related issue.

    So what is his strong point again?

    July 24, 2008 12:10 pm at 12:10 pm |
  2. RyanD.

    Only the Electoral map matters...and Obama is up in FLA for the first time.

    Report that, CNN.

    July 24, 2008 12:10 pm at 12:10 pm |
  3. sherry




    July 24, 2008 12:11 pm at 12:11 pm |
  4. C from Texas

    Seems McCain gains ground every week. If everyone was out to support Obama like the press would like us to believe he would be ahead by 30 or 40 percent. Funny how some polls have McCain ahead by 20 to 30 percent. Wonder why they don't poll the people in Texas, McCain would be ahead by 70 percent.

    CNN is the only news site that support Obama to no end, wait till the first debate and McCain will jump in the polls, that is if Obama has enough guts to debate McCain. Ask your self why he's so afraid to debate him?

    McCain '08

    July 24, 2008 12:11 pm at 12:11 pm |
  5. Ted People

    I think Barack will hold a small lead until he becomes president. The democrats will also get a couple more senate seats to improve their majority lead. The republicans will go down hill as usual. Thanks.

    July 24, 2008 12:11 pm at 12:11 pm |
  6. Doug, New Jersey

    Most Americans are not liberals so they do thier own thinking and are seeing that Obama is an empty suit that the lib media is trying to force into the White House.

    Funny, the "Tank" from the P.R.O.M had a bigger lead in '88 than Obamanation has at this point. The media can only decieve for so long, eventually the America people see through their deception, lies and pathetic liberal Democrat pandering.

    July 24, 2008 12:11 pm at 12:11 pm |
  7. Griff

    That is 50% down, from what you stated a week ago... Maybe John "The Man" McCain is 2% higher in the real Poll of Poll,s, than Borack Obama..

    July 24, 2008 12:13 pm at 12:13 pm |

    Hey, here's a thought. A good majority of Obama supporters don't own a land line. Are cell phones polled? I don't think so. Do you really believe the pollsters are showing a good representation of the will of the people? I'm thinking landslide. Kudos, CNN, on your "Black in America" program last night. I was very moved.

    July 24, 2008 12:13 pm at 12:13 pm |
  9. John Smith

    The US is crazy, but not insane enough to elect Barack Hussein Obama. When it comes down to it, complete landslide victory for John. It will be looked on in the future as "what were the dems thinking" Gore, Kerry and now this. Way to be in touch with America. Maybe Gorby, Mandella or Al Frankin can be next on your list.

    July 24, 2008 12:14 pm at 12:14 pm |
  10. Bulldog

    WASHINGTON (Reuters) – The Commodities Futures Trading Commission charged global trading fund Optiver Holding BV with NYMEX oil market manipulation that allegedly took place in March 2007.

    The Republicans are currently debating over a speculation bill and saying speculation and manipulation have nothing to do with high prices. Oh really? Breaking news, these speculators are beginning to get caught and charged for market manipulation. But the Republicans in the Senate continue to say it's not happening. Now if that's not ignorance or blatant lies I don't know what is.

    July 24, 2008 12:15 pm at 12:15 pm |
  11. marian


    July 24, 2008 12:16 pm at 12:16 pm |
  12. Jason L

    I am gonna heckle CNN.. hows that grab ya??

    What exactly are our strategic interests in Israel again?? They have no oil, nothing really to "sell" to the U.S.

    When was the last time anyone was at Wal-Mart or Target and said, Whoa, where did all these Jewish made products come from, i'm seeing less Chinese goods these day! LMAO Hmmm must be the influx of lawyers that Israel supplies us..

    I am sick of America being in bed with Israel and the taxpayers dollars, Billions of them ending up supporting Israel's terrorist attacks on the Palestinian people.. We supply them with Nuclear technology. Fighter planes, weapons.. If the U.S. were to be less friendly with Israel and stop our influence, then maybe peace in the middle east would be achieved.

    Obamafest.. what a joke. This isn't Woodstock or Ozzfest. FREAKS!!

    July 24, 2008 12:17 pm at 12:17 pm |
  13. Unify On Issues

    4% – You've got to question that – compare to individual polls.

    July 24, 2008 12:19 pm at 12:19 pm |
  14. Vigla

    HBM, we do... This is within the margin of error. McCain can't get past 43% nationally. That's his ceiling. The remaining 10 percent, if they split between the two, will make it 52% to 48%. If Obama gets 52%, it's over... A 52% total means he will pull all the swings states and perhaps pick off a red state or two.

    Forget it, McCain has to convince 10% of America that Obama is a "bad" man. He's called him everything including a traitor. I'm sorry, McCain's temperament is going to be an issue. Who wants an angry old man as president?

    July 24, 2008 12:19 pm at 12:19 pm |

    We saw it in the Dem Primaries that these POLLS are JOKES and it is amazing how people get so worked up. Trust me when I tell you, not all Republicans who are claiming openly they will vote for McCain will vote when they are in that booth making their decision. That is the same as with Obama so these polls are WORTHLESS!!!!

    July 24, 2008 12:19 pm at 12:19 pm |
  16. Michele Hussein, Oregon

    Has anyone seen one McCain sign where they live????? NOT ONE that I've seen. Not even a bumper sticker.......Who and where, exactly, are they polling?

    The good side of this is that it alerts us that we must not be complacent.

    Obama '08!

    July 24, 2008 12:20 pm at 12:20 pm |
  17. Wisconsin


    One of the three polls used

    Wall Street Journal owned by Rupert Murdoch

    July 24, 2008 12:20 pm at 12:20 pm |
  18. Don

    This is some really bad statistical manipulation. Each time it comes out, it contains a different set of polls. The only difference from one week to the next is which polls were selected to contribute. That's not a "trend".

    Next week, they'll have the Quinnipiac survey in there and Obama will "surge" ahead by 4 points.

    The only thing that would make this worthwhile is to look at the trend of changes to each poll. Unfortunately, that probably wouldn't be controversial so why bother printing it, right?

    July 24, 2008 12:21 pm at 12:21 pm |
  19. Linda. Boston, MA

    Barack Obama has been consistently ahead of McCain for the last 4 months. And after he returns from Europe and selects his VP, his lead will only increase.

    McCain can only win if Obama were to make some incredibly gigantic gaffe, which seems quite unlikely at this point.

    In other words, McCain's screwed.

    July 24, 2008 12:21 pm at 12:21 pm |
  20. Tony C.

    Take that Johnny Boy. You and the Republican Party are soon to be toast. SWEET!

    July 24, 2008 12:21 pm at 12:21 pm |
  21. Vigla

    Doug, I'm from NJ too. You don't speak for us. Dukakis had a larger lead AFTER his convention. He lost it because of #1, a lack of money to compete against Bush and #2, a popular incumbent president. Neither is the case now.

    Admit it, Repuiblicans suck this year. McCain was a bad choice. Once the conventions and debates are over, McCain will be down by more.

    July 24, 2008 12:22 pm at 12:22 pm |
  22. Jeff

    I have nothing but contempt for Obama and those who support him. This is not time for training wheels in the White House. Obama has accomplished nothing of importance in his entire political career and is running on nothing but arrogance and rhetoric. This is a prime example of the irresponsible American electorate.

    July 24, 2008 12:23 pm at 12:23 pm |
  23. Worst...Resume...Ever....

    So the Nobama rock star media world tour is wrapping up and his lead is actually slipping? Ironic. News anchors everywhere must be distraught.

    July 24, 2008 12:23 pm at 12:23 pm |
  24. Vigla

    Griff, you mean John "Old Man" McCain, right?

    July 24, 2008 12:25 pm at 12:25 pm |
  25. IAMWMD

    Obama easily leads by double digits. This latest durvey done by CNN was done in West Virginia and Kentucky

    July 24, 2008 12:25 pm at 12:25 pm |
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