July 28th, 2008
10:50 AM ET
13 years ago

Poll of polls update: Obama up by six

[cnn-photo-caption image= http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2008/images/07/28/art.obamapolls.gi.jpg caption="Obama speaks outside 10 Downing Street in London Saturday."]

(CNN) - Buoyed by a new Gallup daily tracking poll showing Barack Obama ahead by a 9-point margin, the latest CNN poll of polls suggests the Illinois senator has doubled his lead over John McCain.

Election Center: Check out the latest state and national polls

Obama now holds a 6-point lead in CNN's average of national polls, 45 percent to 39 percent, up from the 3-point margin over McCain the Democratic presidential candidate held at the end of last week. The increase is due to the wider spread Gallup is reporting - a poll that was conducted toward the end of Obama's highly covered trip abroad. The results suggest Obama's trip - which was extensively covered by the national and international media - may have given the Illinois senator a sizeable bump in the polls. By comparison, the Gallup daily tracking poll showed Obama only up by 3 points at the end of last week.

“There are early indications that Obama has received a boost from his trip to Europe and the Middle East,” said CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib. “The key question, however, is whether or not Obama has eroded McCain’s advantage on the issues of national security and foreign policy. If McCain loses that edge, his road to victory in November will become much tougher.”

The latest Gallup poll also differs markedly from a Fox News poll released at the end of last week that showed the two presidential hopefuls only separated by 1 point - a sign of just how volatile national surveys are in the summer months with the majority of the American public yet to be focused on the race for the White House.

In addition to the Gallup poll and the Fox News poll, the CNN poll of polls also included a recent NBC/Wall Street Journal poll showing Obama with a 6-point advantage.

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain
soundoff (445 Responses)
  1. Freida, NYC


    You say Fox news is in bed with the GOP, well the rest of the media including CNN is in bed with Obama. So, if you do the math McCain still comes out short with it comes to unbalanced and unfair media coverage.

    July 28, 2008 12:18 pm at 12:18 pm |
  2. kelly WI

    I wonder why when interviewed the press asks McCain tough questions and asks Obama fluff, like are you going to visit a mosque?
    We all know the answer to that one. Obama doesn't know how to answer a tough question directly because he doesn't know anything. He just talks in circles and changes the subject after umming and ahhing awile.
    We'll see what old Larry asks tonight.

    July 28, 2008 12:19 pm at 12:19 pm |
  3. GerryM

    Senator Obama’s increase in standing with the American public is a refreshing affirmation that the new politics of hope and personal responsibility is taking hold in the minds and hearts of the voters. My prediction is that Senator Obama will continue to open the spread between with Senator McCain. Good job, Senator Obama!

    July 28, 2008 12:19 pm at 12:19 pm |
  4. Pick Me! Pick Me!

    Proud army and navy mom:

    "Typical Liberal take from the rich and give to the poor…What is the point of trying to earn more money with liberals around. How about we get rid of wellfare that would save the country money instead of wellfare individuals would be forced to show up and work for city and get paid."

    When you spout about government programs, you conveniently left out of the mix, Veterans benefits, unemployment benefits, social security benefits for widows and children.

    I don't think that you would turn down the above referenced programs that I stated. In fact, I don't think anyone here would turn any of them down.


    July 28, 2008 12:19 pm at 12:19 pm |
  5. Ace

    The reason for Obama's bump may have been the overseas trip, but when the media only talks about Obama and never about McCain, that also tends to give him a bump. McCain needs to step it up if he expects to win.

    July 28, 2008 12:19 pm at 12:19 pm |
  6. AAH85

    Just what I expect from the Communist News Network

    July 28, 2008 12:20 pm at 12:20 pm |
  7. David

    Fox "News"... lol

    I'm not sure how it is even THIS close!!

    Grampy McBush is a joke. Bush lovers, rascists and "anyone but a democrat" pin heads are his base. Nice crew. Good luck with that.

    July 28, 2008 12:20 pm at 12:20 pm |
  8. Steve

    To all the folks here who keeps pushing EXPERIENCE over Judgment, Integrity, Honesty and Leadership abilities of Obama, you can all keep BUSH. He's got 8 years of EXPERIENCE being the President of the United States and with McBush you'll get more of the same. McCain=Bush. After all McBush voted over 85% of the time with BUSH.

    Were are all so BUSH and TIRED of the Idiots.

    July 28, 2008 12:20 pm at 12:20 pm |

    hwere did you take those polls? its the usal decption an bias! WHY? WE THE PEOPLE ABOUT 100 MILLION OR MORE OF US ARE TIRED OF YOUR LYING AN OTHER ILLEGAL METHODS IN OUR HOMES! you schould by know no we are going to react and stop an remove you1 you are the biggest threat to our welfare an well being! obam is a very serious problem wn we believe a very high national secuity risk! dstortion is going to stopp!

    July 28, 2008 12:20 pm at 12:20 pm |
  10. Mister Anderson

    I agree that these polls are useless because you don't win by popular vote but by electoral votes. The other problem is that the state polling isn't update regularly and is done pretty bad. We won't know anything for sure until after the first debate or so.

    July 28, 2008 12:20 pm at 12:20 pm |
  11. Kevin

    President Obama.

    July 28, 2008 12:21 pm at 12:21 pm |
  12. William

    What I can't understand is why the poorest states in the union always vote republican. Especially when all the republicans do is lie to them about what they are going to do and guess what, they never do. Leaving those states in the worse shaped as any in the union, while the rich gets richer. Secondly, why would people rather cut off their nose just to spite their face. Most Americans know that electing McCain will be bad for the country because he will favor Bush policy and you see where that has gotten us, but they would rather do that than to elect a black man. These are the two dumbest things that make us uniquetly American!

    July 28, 2008 12:22 pm at 12:22 pm |
  13. Cathy in MD

    Actually, that 1-point lead according to Fox News is probably a gratuitous attempt to appear at least somewhat unbiased. Nothing that comes from Fox “News” can be considered legitimate, so their poll is meaningless. Obama is our next President.

    July 28, 2008 12:22 pm at 12:22 pm |
  14. John

    "Fox news has Obama up by only 1? It isnt suprising. Everybody knows that Fox news is in bed with the republican party. "

    And knows that CNN is in bed with the democrats.

    All these polls are skewed and don't really mean anything.

    July 28, 2008 12:23 pm at 12:23 pm |
  15. Will H.

    The bump in the polls probably came from McCain's criticism of Obama for not going to the middle east being promptly followed by criticism of his trip. I'm glad that Americans are actually paying attention this time around.

    July 28, 2008 12:23 pm at 12:23 pm |
  16. Kathleen G.

    I don't believe your polls anyway. And a trip to the middle east DOESN"T make him any more experienced on foreign policy. Maybe someday we can elect someone who is REALLY experienced and capable. I don't expect to live that long due to the fact that the people who will be running for office in the future are the same idiots that are voting for Obama.

    Someone needs to remind people that 8 years ago Bush ran on a change ticket and not a Washington insider...Look what that got us.

    July 28, 2008 12:24 pm at 12:24 pm |
  17. Sweetie

    I really find this hard to believe in....

    I haven't talked with a single person in a long time that plans on voting for The Left Wing Nut Job in Training Pants.

    His arrogance is incredible and all of us thought it was awful that he should give an important speech in Germany where his Anti-American thoughts where expressed! What a CREEP!

    Not going to be our Leader-EVER!

    McCain 08

    July 28, 2008 12:24 pm at 12:24 pm |
  18. Mike in MN

    With the mood of the country one would think that Obama would be the obvious poll leader. Given that, a poll of polls 6% lead is weak. Especially when you consider that the poll of polls number does not seem to factor in the +or – margin of error that is calculated with the individual pools.
    As I read through this and many other blogs with amusement, it is clear that many bloggers are not really listening to what the canditates are really saying. Many seem to reduce the candiate that represents the party they oppose, to a derogitory name and some sort of exageration of their stand on an issue(s). The truth is both presidential canditates are expressing clear ideas and plans on all the issues. There is actually a lot of commonnality on their stands along with some siginificant differences. Is is possible that the polls are as close as they are because the majorty of the population is really listening and finding real value in both canditates? Is it possible that blogs are just for idots who want to sound off? Thank God that Obmana is not really as bad and the Republicans claim and the McCain is no where near as bad as the Democarats claim. They both are a breath of fresh air and should be listened to with an open mind. We are all Americans and want what is best for the country and it's people, Republicans, Democrates and Independents alike. Wake up, there is no bad guy, except the idots that want only their way and hate anyone who they don't agree with.

    July 28, 2008 12:24 pm at 12:24 pm |
  19. Barack the Vote in RI

    .....let the games (desperate, kitchen-sink, below the belt, personal attacks) begin!!!! McSame and the Rethuglicans will stop at nothing.......and about "the surge"....Obama was agains the start of the war (which McSame supportedb/c the initial and only purpose was to find WMDs – ).....WHICH DID NOT EXIST. Now Obama – and Iraqi Gov't – are for withdrawal.......who has the better judgement and who looks and acts more presidential.....the choice is clear.

    Bring on the debates! Grandpa Munster will stumble over his words, forget his geography (again) and balame the media for the bad press he'll get for it.......wake up Independents and make the right choice.

    OBAMA 08/12

    July 28, 2008 12:25 pm at 12:25 pm |
  20. Kelby from Houston, TX

    Whenever some article comes up about polls, I always think the same thing "They never asked me." Where do they find these people. Oh by the way, personal opinion, Swing voters and people who are undecided at this point are just plane stupid

    July 28, 2008 12:27 pm at 12:27 pm |
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