July 30th, 2008
08:34 AM ET
13 years ago

Analysis: A referendum on Obama

[cnn-photo-caption image= http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2008/POLITICS/07/29/obama.referendum/art.obamavp.ap.jpg caption="Recent polls show a tight race between Sens. Barack Obama and John McCain."]WASHINGTON (CNN) - With an unpopular president and a troubled national economy, large numbers of Democratic and independent voters are increasingly calling for "change" - and looking to Sen. Barack Obama as the solution.

But a surprising trend is emerging: Polls show a tight race between Obama and Sen. John McCain.

Asked whether they would rather see a Democrat or a Republican elected president, voters in a Wall Street Journal-NBC News Poll released July 23 said they prefer a Democrat, by 12 points: 48 percent to Republicans' 36 percent. The margin of error is plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.

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Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama
soundoff (261 Responses)
  1. afrahx2

    There's nothing like a confused and desperate bunch. That's exactly what McCain and his bunch are. Having confidence in one's abilities is certainly not arrogance. GO BARAK.

    July 30, 2008 11:38 am at 11:38 am |
  2. Linda31

    I guess that's why the media is harder on Obama. And this is according to a conservative research company.

    Yes that why he was misquoted yesterday?????? If you are going to be a referendum on Obama, let it be fair.

    July 30, 2008 11:38 am at 11:38 am |
  3. McCain is too old


    If you want Clinton back so badly, get your checkbook open...she needs your help! Otherwise just admit the reason Obama will not be getting your vote is because you are a closet republican!!

    July 30, 2008 11:39 am at 11:39 am |
  4. red33,cedar rapids, ia

    I have come to the conclusion that the people who vote in these polls do not know (or care) about the issues involved, if they are voting for Obama. They should realize they are voting in regard to a future president, not a rock star or Hollywood icon. Socialism is not a good thing, people; do you know what Socialism entails? Read up.

    July 30, 2008 11:39 am at 11:39 am |
  5. Joseph L

    Obama the best used car salesman ever.You libs are going to get 1 world body govt.I hope after Obama is elected prez. One of you obama lovers gets your on company and then watch your social security you have to match per employee be uncapped.Then you have a good year after struggling for many years only to realize after all write offs you still made 250,001 and here comes Obama 40% tax baby.All because he wants you to share with some loser and we all know a few.Who doesnt want to work hard for anything and expects everything for free.So enjoy you are being sold a front row ticket to a hollywood blockbuster.I WOULD RATHER HAVE MORE OF BUSH THAN ANY SOCIALIST MARXISM I RULE THE WORLD OBAMA.

    July 30, 2008 11:39 am at 11:39 am |
  6. Joe the Troll

    "People want stability not a rock star as a leader."

    How much stability can you get from a candidate who has changed his mind on no less than 50 issues in the past few years? McCain stands for nothing but what the RNC tells him he stands for. If CNN had half the journalistic integrity that they claim, we'd see more of McCain's ineptitude and "memory loss," but Obama would raise Ted Turner's taxes so THAT won't happen.

    July 30, 2008 11:39 am at 11:39 am |
  7. MattH

    "Emerging trend"?
    Ah, no. This pattern has been quite evident for many months now.

    July 30, 2008 11:40 am at 11:40 am |
  8. Bulldog


    July 30, 2008 11:40 am at 11:40 am |
  9. JDC // Ohio

    Many of you are too young to remember Jimmy Carter and what a mess he made in four years; Obama reminds me of "Peanut Jimmy." We kicked his butt after one miserable term and I predict Obama is another Carter.

    July 30, 2008 11:40 am at 11:40 am |
  10. Richard

    What is this stuff about Obama being arrogant? Isn't that old time southern Jim Crow thought about a Black Male supposed to know his place in society? What is this stuff about not ready from day 1? Isn't that playing on a racist MYTH that unqualified African Americans are taking jobs away from qualified whites? The Clintons, having no shame, played the race card for the GOP. That is why it is close. Shame on the media for not exposing it.

    July 30, 2008 11:40 am at 11:40 am |
  11. GARY

    start drinking the kool aid obama robots he should be 40 points ahead not four the only way he wins if hilliary is on the ticket we stupid people who stick to our guns and religion will vote mccain we do not likebeing looked down on by the messiah. god bless john mccain at least i know he is patriotic

    July 30, 2008 11:41 am at 11:41 am |
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