August 5th, 2008
01:02 PM ET
12 years ago

Poll of polls: Obama's edge over McCain grows slightly

The latest CNN poll of polls show Obama having a slight lead.

The latest CNN poll of polls show Obama having a slight lead.

(CNN) - Barack Obama is holding onto a slim edge over John McCain, the latest CNN Poll of Polls suggests.

CNN Election Center: View the latest state polls

After several days of tough new ads from McCain’s campaign, the presumptive Democratic nominee holds a 4-point advantage over the presumptive Republican nominee in CNN's average of national polls, up slightly from the 3-point margin he held on Friday.

A week ago, he led McCain by a six-point margin, a reflection of traditionally volatile summer polling.

The poll of polls includes the latest Gallup daily tracking poll, conducted August 2-4, that gave Obama a 4-point advantage. Late last week, the same poll showed the two candidates tied at 44 percent.

“The Democrats appear to have blunted any momentum Sen. McCain gained from last week’s ad associating Sen. Obama with Britney Spears and Paris Hilton,” noted CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib. “Once again, we are seeing that Obama has a small but durable edge over McCain. It is up to McCain to find a way to change the fundamental dynamics of this campaign.”

Earlier: McCain ad calls Obama 'biggest celebrity in the world'

In addition to the Gallup daily tracking poll, the CNN poll of polls also included a USA Today/Gallup survey conducted July 25-27 and a CNN/Opinion Research Corporation conducted July 27-29. The CNN poll of polls does not have a margin of error.

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • CNN Polls • John McCain
soundoff (300 Responses)
  1. Michael

    Obama should be 20 points ahead in the polls. A four point lead can evaporate in 15 minutes. The bottom line is the Democrats chose the wrong candidate, again, and will serious regret what it did to the Clintons. Anybody who is truly honest and realistic aboout politics in America knows this.

    August 5, 2008 04:26 pm at 4:26 pm |
  2. bakersfield

    please approve
    ‘I will stand with the (Muslims) should the political winds shift in an ugly direction.’ Quote by Obama

    August 5, 2008 04:26 pm at 4:26 pm |
  3. AC from Maine

    It is truly sad that among 300 million Americans, Senators Obama and McCain are the best presidential candidates that we can find.

    August 5, 2008 04:27 pm at 4:27 pm |
  4. HF from PA

    Rasmussen, McSame up by 1% for 2 whole days....whoooooooo. LOL you guys really are grasping for some hope aren't u

    August 5, 2008 04:27 pm at 4:27 pm |
  5. DCM IL

    This country can not afford to have Obama as president!! Look at the State Of IL and the trouble we are in!! Can we have him incharge of the whole country!! He and the DEMS and a DEm Gov have this state in a real mess!!
    NOBAMA 08

    August 5, 2008 04:27 pm at 4:27 pm |
  6. Tim

    Actually the polling isn't violatile at all. If you average out the 10 day trends you will see that Obama has held a steady lead over McCain. Looking at each day in a row ad naseum allows the random noise of statistical chance to show itself.

    Of course saying that the numbers are violatile does make more interesting reporting doesn't it?

    August 5, 2008 04:27 pm at 4:27 pm |
  7. Robin Country Club Hills

    All those Republican and MSM pundits pose the question why can't Obama pull away.
    McCain allegedly has all the experience, is the most patriotic, is the maverick who can save this great nation, but he seldom has the lead in any polls and can't put this rookie senator down for the count.
    Ask yourself why is that?

    August 5, 2008 04:28 pm at 4:28 pm |
  8. Debby

    I think the race will be close with McCain edging Obama out if Hillary isn't on the ticket.

    August 5, 2008 04:28 pm at 4:28 pm |
  9. Lesley

    It's time for Obama to leave off responding to every silly McCain ad or gimmick and focus on his programs. The more he refers to each attack in his speeches, the more he promotes them. A little push back is needed, but get back to basics and leave McCain to his childish antics. He can refer to McCain's strategy as flawed the way he did before, with a few words, but mostly concentrate on his own policies.

    August 5, 2008 04:30 pm at 4:30 pm |
  10. ran



    August 5, 2008 04:30 pm at 4:30 pm |
  11. The Other Jon

    Michael : you neglect to consider the huge amount of incompetent rich people in this country who inherited their wealth from their parents or grandparents.

    Success is in great part a question of luck: luck to not be in that unforeseen car accident, luck to have the opportunity to have a good education at a quality school (we all know not all schools are equal), etc.

    Your own views demonstrate your selfishness and self-centered outlook on the world. It never ceases to amaze me how Christians affiliate with the Right when there are so many hedonists such as yourself who directly conflict with Christian values.

    Reading a bit futher into your post, I like how you indicate 80% of Americans are "mediocre." Too bad we live in a democracy, isn't it? I mean, you're relying on your ability, and the ability of others like you, to mislead and deceive 30% of people so your views can be dictated in our politics.

    And you have the nerve to call people like Obama an elitist?

    August 5, 2008 04:31 pm at 4:31 pm |
  12. Tony Z- MD

    Folks lets stop falling for the unbelievable. Tax holiday- means job lost due to lost tax revenue. Who really knew we had reserves??

    The troop comment was funny unless you understand the military. They would not be saying that. Trying reading SNOPES.

    How long can McCain continue to pook fun without having to explain his plan? At that point things will change.

    August 5, 2008 04:32 pm at 4:32 pm |
  13. REA


    August 5, 2008 04:33 pm at 4:33 pm |
  14. David Drissel

    Why is my earlier comment still "awaiting moderation"? Several other posts have been made since that time.

    August 5, 2008 04:33 pm at 4:33 pm |
  15. Nolonger Republican Obamacan all the way 08

    I will tell you why because the people are not as stupid as McCain thinks we are. And the Poll will show that all McCain’s attack ad’ were a moot point on one hand he is saying Obama will make life bad for us, on the other hand Don’t look at the bad job we the republican have done!

    August 5, 2008 04:36 pm at 4:36 pm |
  16. Praetorian, Ft. Myers

    I guess the polls do show that another fool is born every minute.

    August 5, 2008 04:37 pm at 4:37 pm |
  17. john J

    Obama will lose. Many Obama backers started to worry his guy wont make it. It is too late. I am so happy now because after Obama's defeat, I can go back to become a democrat. But, for now, Mccain 2008. hillary 2012. Dem needs to learn their lesson for choosing a slime ball. I am so happy he is slipping. Actually, Obama might be good for my wallet because I have saved a lot of my donation to the dem party since he got the nomination. (this is esp good when oil prices are so high.) Not a dime from me to the democratic party until Obama is defeated!!!.

    August 5, 2008 04:37 pm at 4:37 pm |
  18. norml

    polls are dumb.obama is going to win this one.he's going up against a guy who wants to drill for oil in a stage.almost as good as eliminating iran and afghanistan by 'moving the border' to pakistan.

    August 5, 2008 04:38 pm at 4:38 pm |
  19. Travis

    McWar hasn't learned a thing.....ASK CLINTON'S CAMPAiGN

    The last time he did his stump speech...he said the name OBAMA

    52 times.....52.....where is his plan?.....besides talking about the


    August 5, 2008 04:38 pm at 4:38 pm |
  20. Mike - Texas

    The 4 point lead is within the normal margin of error.

    I depends which poll you look at, one major poll that I looked at yesterday had them even, and another had McCain up by 1.

    Either way Obama has lost ground from being up by 9 points the other week.

    August 5, 2008 04:39 pm at 4:39 pm |
  21. party unity - not happening

    The DNC broke this Humpty Dumpty and can’t put it back together…

    This is so simple. Obama will not win without the support of all the democrats. It looks that BO is having a hard time selling this one.
    In my view Hillary is the only chance he’s got. There are too many of us that are so unhappy on the shenanigans that went on by the DNC on picking BO that we will NOT support him under any circumstances that do not include HRC. I will NOT vote for someone that was in my view picked by the party leaders and not by the voters. Howard Dean and the DNC mess this one royally and they envisioned that we will all be all singing KUMBAYA by now.

    NOT A CHANCE… UNITY; DO NOT COUNT ON IT. Sitting and giving all the votes back to Florida and Michigan will not fix the problem now. It’s too late in the game for Obama calling to seat the delegations now. You want to talk party unity we need a solemn unbreakable rule from the DNC “ WE WILL NEVER AGAIN DISENFRANCHISE VOTERS.”


    Now go ahead and call me an idiot, call me any name in the book but I will for the first time in my life vote republican. I am not alone!!!

    August 5, 2008 04:42 pm at 4:42 pm |
  22. Diedra, NJ

    The same Americans, who voted for George Bush twice, are still out there. They have got to be the dumbest people on the planet. This guy (George Bush, Worst President in Modern History) is an idiot, and he says vote for McCain and these fools will vote for McCain.

    To George Bush Supporters Who Will Vote For McCain: This November pretend you're smarter and make another choice.


    August 5, 2008 04:45 pm at 4:45 pm |
  23. Oregon here

    Please stop with the Hillary this and Hillary that, she is not all of that, She flat out LIED to us (sniper fire); she couldn't run a decent campaign and might I ad, she is making money from her "loan" I wonder what the interest rate is?!?!

    Meanwhile, Obama's campaign was never in financial trouble. He has been on the same message since day one. I didn't start out being a fan of his, I wanted Edwards. I will choose Obama in Nov.

    He needs to pick someone that is NOT in the Senate! We need all of those seats people to move America forward.

    Obama 08 🙂 (way to go on the Pledge of Allegence)

    August 5, 2008 04:45 pm at 4:45 pm |
  24. Alice in Florida

    LOL!!!!! Where were the tickers when they were neck-and-neck? CNN, I see your love affair with Obama is not yet over 🙂

    August 5, 2008 04:45 pm at 4:45 pm |
  25. Mike - Texas

    to - jason, tx

    "It's pitiful that anyone would even bother voting for McCain. Obama should be winning by a landslide, but many Americans are apparently not smart enough to get it."


    You are right, democrats are usually up over their repubilcan counter parts by anywhere from 15% – 30% at the polls at this time of year. And with everyone disgruntled with Bush, Obama should be 25 to 30 points, but he isn't.

    Obama is just too dangerous to vote for.

    I guess that the rest of us Americans get it and you don't.

    August 5, 2008 04:45 pm at 4:45 pm |
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