August 20th, 2008
09:23 AM ET
12 years ago

CNN poll of polls: Obama lead cut in half

A new CNN poll of polls shows Obama's lead is dwindling.

A new CNN poll of polls shows Obama's lead is dwindling.

(CNN) - In what could be an ominous sign for Barack Obama just days before he is formally named the Democratic presidential nominee, a new CNN poll of polls out Tuesday shows the Illinois senator's lead over John McCain has been cut in half in recent days.

According to CNN's average of several recent national surveys, Obama's lead is now a slim 3 points over the Arizona senator, 46-43 percent - half of his advantage in a CNN poll of polls one week ago, and down from a high of 8 points in mid-July.

Election Center: Check out CNN's electoral map

The latest poll results come amid increased attacks from McCain on Obama's readiness to be commander-in-chief and the re-emergence of national security worries among voters in the wake of the Georgia crisis.

“Over the last week, we’ve seen Sen. Obama’s lead in the poll of polls cut in half,” noted CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib. “This change was likely driven by a renewed focus on foreign policy after Russia’s invasion of Georgia, as well as by Sen. McCain’s willingness to launch more aggressive attacks against Obama on issues such as off-shore drilling."

A Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg poll out Tuesday evening was the latest national survey to indicate Obama's lead is dwindling, putting the Illinois senator ahead of McCain by only 2 points, well within the poll's margin of error. The CNN Poll of polls also includes new surveys from Quinnipiac and Gallup.

But the recent downturn in the polls for Obama may not last - the Democratic White House hopeful is headed for a week of what is likely to be overwhelmingly postive coverage as he names his running mate and officially accepts his party's presidential nomination.

"The big question now is whether Obama can successfully regain control of the campaign agenda as we head into the Democratic convention," Silverleib also said.

soundoff (612 Responses)
  1. Lorraine

    Does anyone not listen to Chuck Todd or Cafferty? They are the only ones that will speak the truth about these stupid polls and about anything else. The polls mean nothing especially when the polls are being done in an area is that strictly for one than the other. When you ask 1000 people their opinions and they are asked in republican states, of course, the results will be for a republican. People are not dumb. Who cares about these made up meaningless polls. The one that will count is the exit poll and that will freak out the republicans.

    Go Obama.

    August 20, 2008 11:15 am at 11:15 am |
  2. Wendy

    Everything will be OK for Obama, I trust the obama camp. They have great guys working on the campaign. Just wait and see.

    August 20, 2008 11:17 am at 11:17 am |
  3. Joe- Michigan

    I don't care about any polls, period! The people in this country are smarter than that. They realize that John McCain is not even remotely qualified to be President, and he will not win. I am 1000% positive Obama will win easily! Get used to the idea!

    August 20, 2008 11:21 am at 11:21 am |
  4. Marge

    Obama is still AHEAD!!!!! It only takes ONE vote more than Mcbush to win doesn't it? There were times when Hillary was close in the polls,and we all know how that turned out.
    (((Donna from Missouri))))) Hillary was NOT pushed out,she LOST!!!
    If you're NOT ok with her losing,I feel sorry for you. It was a contest, with a winner and loser. Did you expect Hillary to be 'given' the nomination,even though she didn't get the votes?
    BTW,I've asked this question of other Hillary supporters,without getting a answer....Are you making contributions to help her retire her debt???? That's the only support that's going to help her now.
    If you're 'hurt' because obam won the nomination,how bad are you going to feel when he becomes President????
    It's going to happen you know!
    Obama 08

    August 20, 2008 11:21 am at 11:21 am |
  5. Danny in Chicago

    Nothing like fooling a country into war to gain politcal points, right repubs??? (and now we have TWO of them!) YEAH! Let's kill people so OUR guy can get elected! YAY!

    It's wrong to kill an unborn baby, but GREAT to kill innocent people! YAY! (especially if it gets OUR GUY elected) YAY!!!

    PLEASE keep lying and cheating on us – we like it.

    PLEASE keep stealng from the poor and giving to the rich – that's good strong CONSERVATIVE values.

    Oh yea, and please keep having gay sex in bathrooms........because that's cool and respectful.

    YAY the Republican Party – a model for the entire world to follow!!!

    August 20, 2008 11:21 am at 11:21 am |
  6. Sofia

    Polls are so unreliable in this day and age. With many people using cell phones as their personal lines and with most on the do not call registry how is this reliable? I know if I get a phone call that I do not recognize the number or suspect it is a telemarketer I do not give them the time of day. Let's also factor in a time which this could be occuring... dinner? No one picks up the phone then, later? You get angry people trying to go to bed or put their children to sleep. Earlier? People are working. I'm sorry but I don't trust these polls. How about people just judge for themselves. Polls always have a bias, think of the people who don't own landlines, either for cell phone use or just for the fact that they can't afford them. Nope, don't trust polls.

    August 20, 2008 11:23 am at 11:23 am |
  7. Georgette

    I took a poll from my cellphone took about 10-15 minutes and I was not for McCain. I think I blew off a call like this before b/c it sounds like a telemarketing call at first.

    August 20, 2008 11:24 am at 11:24 am |
  8. tony

    Mr. Obama-
    When does life Begin ?
    That's above my pay grade-–so is the Presidency!
    Enough said

    August 20, 2008 11:25 am at 11:25 am |
  9. Mary

    No doubt Cafferty will find some way to make this fall in the polls HRC's fault. I'm from Illinois and I knew eventually every one would see that the Emperor has no clothes. Maybe he should spend less time giving interviews to People Mag. and other fluff mags. that feed his ego but does little to address the problems of the nation and spend more time trying to prepare himself to be President. Oh! wait a minute when ask upon election to the senate he said he wouldn't run because he didn't have enough experience and would have to spend the next few years preparing for the job. He didn't spend that time preparing but it doesn't stop him from running.

    August 20, 2008 11:25 am at 11:25 am |
  10. The Times They Are A Changin'

    Remember, popular "polls" are quite different from electoral projections.

    August 20, 2008 11:25 am at 11:25 am |
  11. Raj

    If the country gets swayed by negative advertisements then I guess we deserve another Bush which is what McCain is. McCain is a complete failure in Senate whether it is Campaign Finance or Immigration. He has flip-flopped on Bush taxes, oil drilling and immigration. He was a big supporter of Iraq war, the biggest foreign policy blunder and now is covering up with his support for surge. If people can not see through; I guess we deserve four more years of Bush (at least).

    August 20, 2008 11:25 am at 11:25 am |
  12. Crush Rush

    Follow the money,POLLING IS A MONEY MAKING BUSINESS,without customers they have nothing.Believe them at your own peril.

    August 20, 2008 11:26 am at 11:26 am |
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