August 21st, 2008
12:15 PM ET
14 years ago

Poll: Obama leads in Minnesota, Pawlenty could help McCain

[cnn-photo-caption image= caption="Sen. Obama is leading in Minnesota according to a new poll."]
(CNN) – Sen. Barack Obama has the lead in Minnesota according to a new poll released Thursday.

The Illinois Democrat leads rival John McCain by 10 points – 48 percent to 38 percent. In the survey, 10 percent said they were unsure about their choice for president, 3 percent preferred Ralph Nader, and 1 percent chose Bob Barr, the Libertarian Party’s nominee.

As McCain enters the final stage of his vice presidential selection process, the poll also suggests that picking Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty as his running mate might help McCain in the battleground state. Roughly 1 in 5 likely Minnesota voters indicated that they would be more like to vote for McCain with Pawlenty on the GOP ticket, according to an analysis released by the polling director at the University of Minnesota which conducted the survey. The analysis also stated that choosing Pawlenty appears to lift McCain’s support by 13 points.

“If Gov. Pawlenty can shift Minnesota into the Republican column for the first time in 36 years, that will be a significant boost for McCain,” said CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib. “Adding a blue state like Minnesota basically compensates for the loss of a medium-sized red state from 2004, such as Colorado, Indiana, or Missouri. The numbers in this poll hint at a rare chance for McCain to go on the offensive in terms of the electoral map.”

The Minnesota Public Radio News/ Hamphrey Institute survey of 763 likely Minnesota voters was conducted August 7-17 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.6 percentage points.

CNN considers Minnesota a toss-up state.  Click here to view CNN's Electoral Map.

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain • Minnesota • Tim Pawlenty
soundoff (153 Responses)
  1. Belle2

    The comments from the Obama fans amaze me. You all need to check your facts, not to mention your spelling and grammar.

    Alex in MA–the question in the forum was human rights, not human life. Perhaps the bigger question is when does life begin but that is not what was asked at the forum.

    The underlying question was "are you pro-life or pro-choice." Obama couldn't answer. If he is absolutely pro-choice, he could have stated that as Kerry did in his debates. Kerry said he was pro-choice politically even though he, personally, did not believe in abortion.

    As for the Supreme Court: Republicans do not necessarily appoint conservative judges. McCain voted against Alito. Actions speak louder than words. Problem is-Obama has no history of action.

    August 21, 2008 02:10 pm at 2:10 pm |
  2. JIM...TX

    Raymond Duke..are you for real? "at least McCain speaks straight up while being old an not a great orator" does my 75 year old grandfather and he has alzheimers!

    August 21, 2008 02:10 pm at 2:10 pm |
  3. J

    If Gov. Pawlenty can help McCain, and you jokers at CNN consider Minnesota to be a toss up state, then why isn't McCain leading in the polls there? Let me answer that for you: You don't have a clue.

    August 21, 2008 02:11 pm at 2:11 pm |
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