August 24th, 2008
06:25 PM ET
13 years ago

CNN poll: Post-Biden poll shows dead heat

DENVER, Colorado (CNN) - It’s a dead heat in the race for the White House. The first national poll conducted entirely after Barack Obama publicly named Joe Biden as his running mate suggests that battle for the presidency between the Illinois senator and Republican rival John McCain is all tied up.

In a new CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll out Sunday night, 47 percent of those questioned are backing Obama with an equal amount supporting the Arizona senator.

“This looks like a step backward for Obama, who had a 51 to 44 percent advantage last month,” says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland.

“Even last week, just before his choice of Joe Biden as his running mate became known, most polls tended to show Obama with a single-digit advantage over McCain,” adds Holland.

So what’s the difference now?

It may be supporters of Hillary Clinton, who still would prefer the Senator from New York as the Democratic Party’s presidential nominee.

Sixty-six percent of Clinton supporters, registered Democrats who want Clinton as the nominee, are now backing Obama. That’s down from 75 percent in the end of June. Twenty-seven percent of them now say they’ll support McCain, up from 16 percent in late June.

“The number of Clinton Democrats who say they would vote for McCain has gone up 11 points since June, enough to account for most although not all of the support McCain has gained in that time,” says Holland.

Clinton and Obama battled throughout the primary season, with Clinton winning more than 40 percent of the delegates. She suspended her bid for the White House and backed Obama in early June, after the end of the primary season.

A majority of registered voters, 54 percent, think Obama’s choice of Delaware Senator Joe Biden as his running mate is an excellent or good decision. That number jumps to 73 percent when just asked of registered Democrats. But it drops to 59 percent when narrowed to Clinton supporters.

“It's not that there's anything wrong with the choice of Joe Biden. A majority of those polled rate the Biden selection as excellent or pretty good. Voters think he is qualified to be president, and with the exception of Al Gore in 1992, the public ranks Biden as the most qualified running mate in recent times," says Holland.

"A lot of Americans don't know who he is, but his favorable rating is 13 points higher than his unfavorables But Biden is not Hillary Clinton, and it's possible that is enough to have moved some of her supporters away from the Democratic ticket, at least temporarily."

Among all Democrats, only 38 percent say Obama should have selected Clinton as his running mate.

Will Biden’s naming as Obama’s running mate make a difference? Maybe not. Seventy-four percent of all voters questioned in the survey say it won’t have any effect on their vote for president.

The CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll was conducted on Saturday and Sunday, with 1,023 adult Americans questioned by telephone. The survey’s sampling error is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points for all voters. For registered Democrats, it is plus or minus 4.5 percentage points, and for Democrats who still support Clinton for the party's nomination, it is plus or minus 7.5 percentage points.

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain • Polls
soundoff (209 Responses)
  1. Donj, NJ

    Why can't the dems unite and defeat McSame? Enough already! If you let this old man play the divide and conquer trick on you and not vote for Obama, whatever you get for the next 4 years, it's on you. McSame is insulting your intelligence by fueling the fire more and putting ads about Clinton. Do you think he's really for Clinton to win. Had the table turned, he would put something about Clinton trying to defeat her.

    For all it's worth, all 3 people are millionaires. We are the ones to suffer. Wake UP!

    August 24, 2008 08:20 pm at 8:20 pm |
  2. danno


    August 24, 2008 08:21 pm at 8:21 pm |
  3. ar

    hey CNN is big OBama supporter.........along with their man Roland Martin who is quite obviously for O

    August 24, 2008 08:21 pm at 8:21 pm |
  4. Ria Atlanta

    Where exactly are you getting your numbers? How do you know how many HRC supporters are voting for Obama? Are you reading the same boards or making this up as you go along? From what I hear and read, HRC supporters are ticked at the DNC, biased media, and jumping ship to vote for matter how you paint it. Doesn't matter who Obama picked for VP.. they lost. No way will Obama win without Hillary.

    August 24, 2008 08:21 pm at 8:21 pm |
  5. cpcdt

    Enjoy paying over 5 dollars a gallon for gas? You do realize it was the DEMOCRATS in Congress who "didn't have enough time for the issue" and left for a one month vacation. Good job. And you must not be very knolwedgeable on abortion, either. From the moment of conception – that fetus is a living thing – despite it being in the mother. It may be IN her body, but the embryo/fetus itself ain't. That's murder.

    August 24, 2008 08:22 pm at 8:22 pm |
  6. E.C.Coleman

    Grand ole Democrats are just awakiening to the FACT that Obama is NOT QUALIFIED and NOT EXPERIENCED ENOUGH, plus.....he did NOT chose Hillary Clinton as his Dream Ticket. Obama's numbers will Drop like a Rock.....what did the man expect???? In addition, Senator Biden , when seen with Obama looks like the Presidential Nominee, especially after comparing resumes!!! If Obama changed places with Biden.....everyone could go home happy!!

    August 24, 2008 08:22 pm at 8:22 pm |
  7. Elaine Johnson

    Myself and many I know are now voting for John McCain.
    We know Obama does not qualify to be President....his pick of Biden is an afirmation of what we "knew already".
    Men don't listen, and this is another case of a "fool biased Media" and a "candidate that does not have common sense".....
    Media Bias will backfire.
    Elaine Johnson
    New York

    August 24, 2008 08:22 pm at 8:22 pm |
  8. Cole

    This is dumb, who do they poll, about 2,000 people who have land line telephones, in no fashion what so ever are any of these polls accurate. Remember how terribly wrong every news network and expert were about the primaries? I know you are cable news. I know you need ratings and who doesn't like the story of a fierce competition, but seriously try solid journalism. Of course the fact that I write this as a comment makes me just another person on their website and bottom line that's all that matters. All I'm saying is you are have been gradually becoming yellow journalism for some time and I'm concerned other people take what you say seriously.

    August 24, 2008 08:22 pm at 8:22 pm |
  9. DOUG


    "Obama sees slight rise in poll of polls"


    August 24, 2008 08:23 pm at 8:23 pm |
  10. Joel

    If there is a dead heat, and half of americans are actually considering the 72 year old Bush clone, then Americans are dumber than I thought.

    August 24, 2008 08:23 pm at 8:23 pm |
  11. The Shepherd

    Oh boo hoo. Obama isn't Mr. Popular anymore. Stardom fades away.

    August 24, 2008 08:23 pm at 8:23 pm |
  12. Betty

    If Blitzer says Hillary Clinton ONE MORE TIME, I'll never vote for her even for dog catcher in 2012

    Put a sock in it !!!!!!!

    August 24, 2008 08:23 pm at 8:23 pm |
  13. I drank the Kool-Aid.

    I did. I loved Obama.

    Now he's too arrogant for me. And sort of stupid. He could've walked away with this and now it seems his ego is getting in the way of what could've been an interesting presidency.

    You'd think his first priority would be to win the White House back. Guess not. You can't alienate that many people in your own party and not pay.

    It's not even that he didn't pick her. He didn't reach out to any of her supporters. At all.

    So stupid. But that's what a Kennedy will advise I suppose. Think about your ego first.

    August 24, 2008 08:23 pm at 8:23 pm |
  14. Rick in Az

    I wonder if the polls show a "DEAD HEAT" between CNN and FOX news for right wing viewers.

    August 24, 2008 08:23 pm at 8:23 pm |
  15. me

    mb and Greg: no, you don't get it. McCain won't overturn Roe v Wade, and as for economic policy, obama would be the end of the United States as the world leader in anything except welfare programs. We cannot afford obama economically, and in any other area who knows what he'd like to do. Hillary was the democrat's chance in 08. never obama. no bama, no biden. Sorry but just because you think obama is the second coming and so does he doesn't mean we have to buy into your delusion.

    August 24, 2008 08:24 pm at 8:24 pm |
  16. Carol - Litchfield CT

    of course we want Hillary over ob. Who wouldn't ? Experience is always considered first when seeking a candidate for any job ? ALL EMPLOYERS KNOW THAT. THE INTELLIGENT AMERICAN VOTING PUBLIC KNOWS THAT ! Let the voting begin.................

    August 24, 2008 08:24 pm at 8:24 pm |
  17. shaun

    can't you all see what the media is doing? It's a proven fact that CNN, MSNBC, fox and others are working together to script the most important election of our lifetimes, and I can prove it. Just take yesterday when Joe Biden was selected Barack's VP choice. I remember John "blabber mouth" King saying that this news cycle on Biden would only last a day or , so and then he immediately start talking about how Hillary's supporters are mad because she wasn"t considered for the vp position. Next thing you know Fox news was talking about the same story. This shows that these phony news organization are working lock step with each other trying to get ratings when they know this contest isn't even a contest. They have to make it seem as if John Mcsame has a chance or they'll lose the interested of the people along with there ratings..I hate you cnn and fox etc because your the scum that put bush in office, and your the scum that will make sure america will never rebound from the destruction of the last 8 years. But hey..You jerks still live in your million dollar mansions so I guess everythings good with the world.

    August 24, 2008 08:24 pm at 8:24 pm |
  18. S Callahan

    Obama will win by a landslide. Too many people are tired of the same ole stuff such as being lied too, false statements made in relation to what is reality. The negative mentality of politics. Obama began with the theme of hope and change and most people want that. I don't think you are calling a fair number of people to have a successful poll because everyone I talk with is voting Obama. It's not that they dislike's that McCain can't offer the change the public wants.
    The public is on to the manipulation and they will not stand for it any longer.

    August 24, 2008 08:24 pm at 8:24 pm |
  19. Paul F

    Unless you idiots posting your vitriolic comments hadn't noticed, it's only August. The reason that some of us prefer voting independent, or god forbid conservatively is because of your childish rants every time anything doesn't go exactly the way you want it to.

    Grow the heck up and calm down. Geez – they are just starting to campaign for goodness sakes – unless you have no faith in your candidate, you have nothing to worry about. Oh..... nevermind.

    August 24, 2008 08:24 pm at 8:24 pm |
  20. RB - Texas

    Obamas whole argument against McCain went out the door when he added Biden on to his ticket. Obamas platform was based on "change" and "war in Iraq"..

    Biden has been in Washington longer than McCain has and Biden voted for the war in Iraq.

    Obama "Change we can NOT believe in."

    I think the press gives a little to much credit to Obamas intelligence.

    August 24, 2008 08:24 pm at 8:24 pm |
  21. Ronnie Smith, Cincinnatti, OH

    Obama supporters: Wake up, guys. The Democrats had the most wonderful opportunity to capture the WH, but you did your best by bashing/trashing everyone else, especially, Clinton supporters. You backed the self-absorbing, pompous, arrogrant, and empty-suit and you will see what you have done, come, November. Remember, I am not anti-Obama, but a pro-Democrat. Obama is eloquent, talented, and intelligent. But, he has done nothing to earn this nomination, and the Democrats, the media and the pundits just squandered an excellent opportunity. I am sorry for what you have done to this party.

    August 24, 2008 08:24 pm at 8:24 pm |
  22. terri ohio

    What a bunch of childish fools... Have you never voted before have you ever watched a campaign or been envolved in a election.. People lose its a PARTY nomination... Democratic party... when the one you want to win who doesnt win you dont switch parties.. Give me a break... Do you like our national security situation where our soildiers are bogged down so bad in Iraq that now almost every foreign country is flexing their muscles now because they now that there is nothing we can do about it, people are loosing their homes, kids are not getting a good education and if they do graduate they cant go to college or get a job... you silly people are so hung up on hillary making history that you are willing to give up the future of your children.... hillary will be ok my god... but will your kids and family... get over yourselves

    August 24, 2008 08:24 pm at 8:24 pm |
  23. michelle

    you both are so freaking narrow minded. cnn favors obama IDIOT! and greg are an even BIGGER idiot! if obama wins then he'll raise taxes too and also what do you mean mccain knows nothing about economics. he's waaaayy more experienced than obama. so you two are both IDIOTS!!!!!

    August 24, 2008 08:24 pm at 8:24 pm |
  24. Noah, from the all important swing state of Michigan

    NATIONAL POLLS DO NO MATTER!! CNN arre nothing more than paparatzzi journalists! STAKING OUT JOE BIDEN EVAN BAYH, AND TIM KAINE! They might as well make the whole network SHOWBIZ TONIGHT!

    August 24, 2008 08:24 pm at 8:24 pm |
  25. Kathy from Florida

    I can't imagine that, in the privacy of the voting booth, Clinton's supporters will vote for anyone other than Obama-Biden. Democrats are Democrats. We are giving this whole Clinton situation too much time and emotion.

    August 24, 2008 08:25 pm at 8:25 pm |
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9