August 24th, 2008
06:25 PM ET
13 years ago

CNN poll: Post-Biden poll shows dead heat

DENVER, Colorado (CNN) - It’s a dead heat in the race for the White House. The first national poll conducted entirely after Barack Obama publicly named Joe Biden as his running mate suggests that battle for the presidency between the Illinois senator and Republican rival John McCain is all tied up.

In a new CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll out Sunday night, 47 percent of those questioned are backing Obama with an equal amount supporting the Arizona senator.

“This looks like a step backward for Obama, who had a 51 to 44 percent advantage last month,” says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland.

“Even last week, just before his choice of Joe Biden as his running mate became known, most polls tended to show Obama with a single-digit advantage over McCain,” adds Holland.

So what’s the difference now?

It may be supporters of Hillary Clinton, who still would prefer the Senator from New York as the Democratic Party’s presidential nominee.

Sixty-six percent of Clinton supporters, registered Democrats who want Clinton as the nominee, are now backing Obama. That’s down from 75 percent in the end of June. Twenty-seven percent of them now say they’ll support McCain, up from 16 percent in late June.

“The number of Clinton Democrats who say they would vote for McCain has gone up 11 points since June, enough to account for most although not all of the support McCain has gained in that time,” says Holland.

Clinton and Obama battled throughout the primary season, with Clinton winning more than 40 percent of the delegates. She suspended her bid for the White House and backed Obama in early June, after the end of the primary season.

A majority of registered voters, 54 percent, think Obama’s choice of Delaware Senator Joe Biden as his running mate is an excellent or good decision. That number jumps to 73 percent when just asked of registered Democrats. But it drops to 59 percent when narrowed to Clinton supporters.

“It's not that there's anything wrong with the choice of Joe Biden. A majority of those polled rate the Biden selection as excellent or pretty good. Voters think he is qualified to be president, and with the exception of Al Gore in 1992, the public ranks Biden as the most qualified running mate in recent times," says Holland.

"A lot of Americans don't know who he is, but his favorable rating is 13 points higher than his unfavorables But Biden is not Hillary Clinton, and it's possible that is enough to have moved some of her supporters away from the Democratic ticket, at least temporarily."

Among all Democrats, only 38 percent say Obama should have selected Clinton as his running mate.

Will Biden’s naming as Obama’s running mate make a difference? Maybe not. Seventy-four percent of all voters questioned in the survey say it won’t have any effect on their vote for president.

The CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll was conducted on Saturday and Sunday, with 1,023 adult Americans questioned by telephone. The survey’s sampling error is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points for all voters. For registered Democrats, it is plus or minus 4.5 percentage points, and for Democrats who still support Clinton for the party's nomination, it is plus or minus 7.5 percentage points.

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain • Polls
soundoff (209 Responses)
  1. Moderator loves PUMA!

    This moderator really loves the PUMA People!!!!

    He lets all their comments go through!

    August 24, 2008 08:47 pm at 8:47 pm |
  2. Betty

    It's called obsession, Blitzer, GET PROFESSIONAL HELP

    August 24th, 2008 8:46 pm ET
    Your comment is awaiting moderation.
    HA !!!!!! Blitzer couldn't even make it 20 minutes

    August 24th, 2008 8:23 pm ET
    Your comment is awaiting moderation.
    If Blitzer says Hillary Clinton ONE MORE TIME, I'll never vote for her even for dog catcher in 2012

    Put a sock in it !!!!!!!

    August 24, 2008 08:47 pm at 8:47 pm |
  3. Nikole-Independent Thinker

    I am voting for Barack Obama, because of his plan to allow students to volunteer in order to earn money for school. What a thought!

    August 24, 2008 08:47 pm at 8:47 pm |
  4. Matter

    Did the Democrats REALLY believe that the Clinton machine would let this crime go unpunished?

    Eh, sour grapes taste the same no matte which political party is chewing. We're all screwed in the end.

    August 24, 2008 08:48 pm at 8:48 pm |
  5. Marc PDX

    Clunk: I coulda had a V-8!

    Clunk: I coulda had Hillary!

    So much for getting a bump in the polls outta his VP pick...

    Obama: Change you can... #!@%!# ... yeah, yeah, whatever...

    August 24, 2008 08:48 pm at 8:48 pm |
  6. Tim - Kansas

    I am a Clinton supporter, but I am not so stupid as to vote Republican just because my candidate didn't win. Those who are saying they will vote for McCain were supporting Hillary for all the wrong reasons.

    August 24, 2008 08:49 pm at 8:49 pm |
  7. Clyde_Delaware

    Joe Biden is the most qualified person to be vice president. I preferred Biden to Hillary and Hillary to Obama, but I'm very comfortable with a ticket of Obama and Biden. Obama's first big decision was a good one and that's a good sign. Hillary will have a chance to lead in the Senate and shape a lot of the legislation that will be needed. McCain is a good man, but he has the albatross of his party and the economy is not his strongest area. I'd like to see him pick Romney for VP, which would provide us with 2 decent choices for the first time since 1996.

    August 24, 2008 08:49 pm at 8:49 pm |
  8. Sean

    Former democrat because Hussein: His name is Obama. You make it clear why you dislike him.

    August 24, 2008 08:49 pm at 8:49 pm |
  9. Moderator loves PUMA!

    Hillary Supporters need to get over it. She isnt entitled to anything!! THIS IS GETTING OLD CUT IT OUT!

    The moderator wont post this because he only posts PUMA comments

    August 24, 2008 08:49 pm at 8:49 pm |
  10. Nikole-Independent Thinker

    I am not voting AGAINST John McCain, but I am voting FOR Barack Obama because he want s to create an industry of green collar jobs.

    August 24, 2008 08:50 pm at 8:50 pm |
  11. Humboldt County

    I would rather stay in this war, keep a bad economy and be miserable than vote for Obama.

    August 24, 2008 08:51 pm at 8:51 pm |
  12. Karen

    I like it when the media reports the news and lets the public form their own opinions from the information. The poll was simply reporting the facts and I respect CNN for reporting all the news on both Obama and McCain and not just printing slanted information that puts a positive spin on one candidate or the other.

    August 24, 2008 08:51 pm at 8:51 pm |
  13. Moderator loves PUMA!

    Your comment is awaiting moderation unless you are PUMA, then you will automatically get it posted!

    August 24, 2008 08:51 pm at 8:51 pm |
  14. Andrew

    Anyone who actually thinks the media is being too hard on Obama is definitely mentally impaired. Seriously, get over yourself. It's not biased reporting when someone's reporting actual statistics. It's not, deal with it.

    Stop acting like children. The stupidity and immaturity of Obama's supporters are half the reason why I won't vote for him.

    August 24, 2008 08:51 pm at 8:51 pm |
  15. cecil

    Hey CNN Are You Reporting The News, Or Just Gossip?

    How Many News Worthy Polls Do Think You Can Report In 24 Hrs.?

    August 24, 2008 08:52 pm at 8:52 pm |
  16. Humboldt County

    It's always that 3% that causes an election to lose. Face it, McCain has got it now!!!!!!!! Ha Ha it was a DNC gift to Republicans.

    August 24, 2008 08:52 pm at 8:52 pm |
  17. Nikole-Independent Thinker

    Until you are age fifty, kids, what you have to say or think isn't of much importance to the rest of us.

    to the person that wrote this: Your vote is not anymore important than mine. As a matter of fact, I am the one who will be around long enough to be affected by the choices made by the President.

    August 24, 2008 08:52 pm at 8:52 pm |
  18. cecil

    Hey CNN Are You Reporting The News, Or Just Gossip?

    How Many News Worthy Polls Do You Think You Can Report In 24 Hrs.?

    August 24, 2008 08:53 pm at 8:53 pm |
  19. Ziggy

    McCain will be the next President of the U.S. – Obama has blown it.

    Congress will be Democrat for sure – but too much lack of experience will forfeit the presidency.

    We learned our lesson with Bush's poor Executive credentials.

    Biden couldn't get past the first primary contest – a choice; but adequate in nature only.

    August 24, 2008 08:53 pm at 8:53 pm |
  20. Humboldt County

    Obama picked a weak VP candidate. There will be no bump in the polls. It's solely his fault and michelle obama's. Take responsibility and face the facts.

    August 24, 2008 08:54 pm at 8:54 pm |
  21. fernando

    what cant be Obama is not walking on water anymore what happen. mit be the clinton fans he did not count on ooooo poor obama fans

    August 24, 2008 08:54 pm at 8:54 pm |
  22. scat398

    Who are these freaks that want to vote for McCain. You want more war, higher taxes, and dependency on oil? People do know that is the platform Mcain is running on...right???

    August 24, 2008 08:54 pm at 8:54 pm |
  23. Xango

    who cares about CNN polls

    first of all we know CCN is like the national enquirer, get stories, make up stories for money

    secondly we all know CNN is loyal to the clintons no matter what they say, so it is called: clinton national network

    third, if anyone here has been polled please say so, we k now CNN makes things up who do they poll? the republicans who do not WANT an African American as the next president of the US, and th eir own staff who will never accept an AA as president

    fourth, CNN this is the summer most people are relaxing not taking polls as you would want us,
    so pleas stop your lies and go report for the national enquirer
    we all know you want your queen and king

    no matter what the clintons and Cnn say we have our next president and vice president
    and the CNN made up poll are like those of Rush L, and Hennedy who have so much hate for Obama that they will do whatever it takes,
    yes just like the clintons

    oh boy, cnn get a grip

    August 24, 2008 09:01 pm at 9:01 pm |
  24. J. McKinney

    Let's pray that the super delegates get some sense of what's going on, and vote for Hillary at the convention. We may still be able to save the US, if we can get her in. Otherwise, this democratic voter since 1960 (Kennedy) is voting for McCain. And not out of spite–but because I think he is the better choice of the two.

    August 24, 2008 09:01 pm at 9:01 pm |
  25. D in Phoenix

    So, you have a 15 percent swing in your HRC polling? (plus or minus 7.5) Folks, this isn't polling, it's tea-leaf reading. No reputable polling organization would release numbers with that wide of a deviation from its final conclusion.

    CNN should either pay for some statisticians or quit fabricating news. Also, please explain the intrinsic bias as the result of not polling people that do not have a land line (cell phone only). Finally, could you conduct a survey that follows the ramifications of the electoral college model. Remember, if you only call 2,000 people from Phoenix, you could end up with a different result of calling 2,000 people in Chicago.

    August 24, 2008 09:02 pm at 9:02 pm |
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