August 26th, 2008
11:20 AM ET
15 years ago

Presidential race tight in battleground states

DENVER (CNN) - The race for the White House is as close in some of the key battleground states as it is nationally.

Quinnipiac University polls out today in Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania are an indicator of just how tight the battle stands right now between John McCain and Barack Obama.

The survey suggests that the Arizona senator has a four point lead, 47 to 43 percent, over Obama in Florida. Last month Obama had a two point lead in the state that decided it all back in the 2000 election.

In Ohio, the Quinnipiac University poll puts Obama up by one point, 44 to 43 percent, over McCain, down from a two point lead in their last survey. That’s a statistical dead heat.

The Illinois senator has a 49 to 42 percent advantage in Pennsylvania. That seven point lead is unchanged from last month.

The surveys in the three states, which have a combined 68 electoral votes, were conducted from August 17 to 24, which was partially before and after Obama’s naming of Delaware Senator Joe Biden as his running mate.

The state surveys show what we are also seeing nationally, that the race between McCain and Obama and is basically all tied up. Our latest CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll out earlier this week had the race deadlocked at 47 percent. The CNN survey was taken entirely after the naming of Biden as Obama’s running mate.

“Given all of the obstacles facing the Republican Party this year, John McCain has to be pleased. The race for the White House up for grabs,” says CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib.

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain • Polls
soundoff (205 Responses)
  1. cathy

    3 more days of Dem convention, Rep convention, 4 debates and more than 2 months of campaigning, this election is just getting started. I still believe the campaign with the most "boots on the ground", best organization behind the scenes, and money, all which translates into more voters at the polls in 50 states, not a head to head National popular vote, will come out on top. After you give consideration to all of that, I would have to give it to Obama. As for ones message; The POW message will get old before the "need for change" and "same as Bush" message does. The same stories about spending time in Hanoi Hilton forty years ago can only be told so many times and voters will begin to become desensitized to it, even Republican's are beginning to say that behind the scenes. Once again, as in a past election ,"It is the economy stupid".

    August 26, 2008 12:48 pm at 12:48 pm |
  2. whotoo

    Let the vets go for McCain. McCain is going to approve the GI Bill though he denied that it was too generous for them. McCain wants the vets now to win. And later to send sodiers to die for no cause., Continue vets, your supports for McCain. The man who says he rather you do not have to stay the Army than have to leave and live a better life after your service to the country. Go vets for McCain your choice to send other soldiers to die for a senseless cause.

    August 26, 2008 12:49 pm at 12:49 pm |
  3. Dave, Illinois

    Boo Hoo Ha Ha – Obamites, your star's shine is fading as the adults are paying closer attention. Get used to it.

    August 26, 2008 12:49 pm at 12:49 pm |
  4. Carmon Minneapolis MN

    Obviously these people who are keeping McCain close havent loss their house or job yet. But not to worry if he gets in there I will see you at the homeless shelter by this time next year. Not to rub it in your faces but i will probably lose my job and home too. Maybe we all can sit around a garbage can fire and sing Kumbya and count the pony's we will see jumping over the rainbows because we are delusional due to starvation. Hey you will have plenty of shoulders to cry on and tell them how stupid you feel for getting McCain elected.

    August 26, 2008 12:50 pm at 12:50 pm |
  5. beth - tampa

    good going florida... lets burst this Obama fantasy one and for all

    August 26, 2008 12:50 pm at 12:50 pm |
  6. Mike, Syracuse NY

    How can everything be against electing a Republican, yet the polls are tied/ Easy, the Dems nominated the most unqualified candidate in 100 years and America is catching on. Hillary knew it. Biden knew it. Bill Clinton knew it. The real question is why it's taking so long for the rank and file Democrats to figure it out.

    August 26, 2008 12:50 pm at 12:50 pm |
  7. jason from woodbridge nj

    it's a sad day in america when disgruntled clinton supporters vote for john mccain out of spite. Why in the world would you vote for someone who does not share the same policies and values that clinton and obama pretty much have equal footing on? it's this attitude that will keep america heading towards a downward spiral. way to go!!!

    August 26, 2008 12:51 pm at 12:51 pm |
  8. Jake

    The poll of likely voters is more accurate. Over the last months while these polls of "ALL" possible voters have shown it tightening, Obama has gone from behind (McCain had led the likely voters polls from the start) to a 3-6 point lead. In other words, McCains been winning the idiots who won't even show up. Obama's been winning over the reasonable voters who actually vote. Add in the fact that new voters, the huge base of Obama support, are likely not even counter, and I'd say in reality Obama probably has a 5-7 point lead.

    August 26, 2008 12:52 pm at 12:52 pm |
  9. rada in Florida

    After all the shenanigans and manipulation with the primaries there are a lot of democrats here that have switched. I do not think Obama has a chance. First they fully disenfranchised the voters because the Republican Governor and the Republican state house and senate moved the dates. Then out of pity they gave half the vote and after realizing the damage and vulnerable Obama they are giving full votes. I am ashamed of the party that I have belonged for so long. Now, lets sing kumbaya for Howard Dean!!!! Yippee!!!! Unity!!@!

    August 26, 2008 12:52 pm at 12:52 pm |
  10. Lifetime Democratic Women

    As a Lifetime Democrat it was very easy for me to find out what McCain's answer to Hillary's "Solutions for America" was, once Democracy was ignored and the candidate with the most popular votes wasn't selected.

    I was impressed with McCain's ideas and basic believe that the Commander in Chief should be humbled by the American people and working hard for us everyday. He wants "Clean" up what is wrong in Wasghnigton today.

    I was also impressed with McCain's extensive knowledge of the World Stage-it is a VERY DANGEROUS Place these days and I want to sleep well at night knowing we have a person in charge who is vetted and able to do the right thing in a crisis.

    I’m convinced from his record that McCain will always to what is right for America and its people.

    I and many others I know have become Proud McCain Democrats!

    McCain 08

    August 26, 2008 12:53 pm at 12:53 pm |
  11. L

    this is not a surprise. One man is just running for presidency, the other is running to be commander in chief.

    August 26, 2008 12:54 pm at 12:54 pm |
  12. prairieguy

    Likely voters is based on if they voted in the 2 previous does not take into account the millions of new young voters this year (most who only have cell phones) nor those who have come back into the system after years away.

    These polls are absolutely meaningless!!

    August 26, 2008 12:54 pm at 12:54 pm |
  13. Sacto Joe

    Er – that's why they're called "battleground states", CNN!

    August 26, 2008 12:54 pm at 12:54 pm |
  14. go away mongers- Ventura ca

    The point is, in States such as Ohio and Pennsylvania people are losing their homes, their jobs have gone, their healthcare is gone, and the time has come to CHANGE things- The great Midwest is suffering so badly that they must look out for their families and forget parties.
    Senator McCain offers more of the same- admits his lack on the subject of Economics, and owns so many homes- HE isn't sure how many. Talk about not relating to the American Dilema!
    I won't say anything regarding Florida- Since 2000, anything I say can and will be held against me!

    August 26, 2008 12:56 pm at 12:56 pm |
  15. Scott Independent - NYC

    Considering that the race is tight in battleground states and that is an occurrence that happen as a result of negative attack ads. It would be safe to say that those that live in those states are people that enjoy, find pleasure and general want negative politics.

    Is it then fair to conclude that these people for whatever reason of predisposed to negative dispositions? Or could this be slanting by the media and poll organizations which in fact is not indicative of the nature and beliefs of these area's?

    Either way it suggest that something is fundamentally wrong with either the people or the polls in these area's of the country.

    August 26, 2008 12:56 pm at 12:56 pm |
  16. where r your convictions?

    How can you be "former repub for Obama" or "hillary dem for McCain" or PUMA for who?

    To me, this says that you really don't like either candidate. and you want to teach the other a lesson...well if you vote that way, your voice won't be heard.

    Vote for Barr to make a statement that we don't want the big government behemoth. we want lower taxes. we want a better economy. we want out of wars.

    August 26, 2008 12:57 pm at 12:57 pm |
  17. ET from OMAHA


    August 26, 2008 12:58 pm at 12:58 pm |
  18. Michelle, PA

    This week and next will tell a lot of the tale. So will what the media chooses to cover and how they cover it. American voters' thought processes are like everything else in life: Garbage in, garbage out.

    August 26, 2008 12:59 pm at 12:59 pm |
  19. Debra

    The only reason that Obama has the support of any of Clintons supporters is because she has encouraged us to do so. You take the Clintons out of the picture as you seem to want to do and Obama will fall flat on his face in places like Ohio, Florida, Pennsylvania. and possibly Michigan. Keep in mind- it is possible Clinton supporters will vote for Obama in this election, but we still don't trust him or you. Give us any little reason and we will vote for McCain with no remorse at all. We are voting for Obama but we don't support him. So go ahead, let Clinton off the hook. Let Obama do his own campaigning in those places to try and get votes. I don't care. It is his election to lose and he is doing an exceptional job of throwing it all away. Obama and his supporters have done little to help retire Clintons debt. He didn't choose her as his VP. We don't owe him a thing, and that includes not owing him our votes. So push us to McCain. That is just fine by me. I don't really feel like I want to vote for either of them right now anyway. But I will vote.

    August 26, 2008 12:59 pm at 12:59 pm |

    When all is said and done, we the American people must choose our leaders who we think are competent to guide us today and protect the resources and lives of the next generation. That protection has to be something greater than just military strength, but economical and educational strength. What good is having a powerful army while your people starve and fall behind the rest of the world? All the other countries are striving to improve themselves. America is the only country striving to preserve itself. The main problem with this is that while everyone else moves forward, we stay behind. I will vote for what makes us stronger.

    August 26, 2008 01:01 pm at 1:01 pm |
  21. college student

    why have you let the country get to this point? I was born in 1990. The year of first Iraq war...still whole life.

    what will I have when I get out of school...debt and 35% income taxes!! no social security but forced to pay. Democrats and Republicans are liars. they just want to win over the other, not do what is best for country.

    Students for liberty!!!

    August 26, 2008 01:01 pm at 1:01 pm |
  22. Jim

    If Mccain were to win, the PUMA'S will be blamed for America's next great depression, thank you PUMA'S you selfish scumbags!

    August 26, 2008 01:02 pm at 1:02 pm |
  23. Adrian

    Come on DNC! You better start responding to these republican attack ads with some fiery or this race may be over. You are allowing the republicans to swift boat Obama, they release 3 to 4 attack adds a day and they are rarely contested.

    I cant believe this its like 2004 all over again!

    I know Obama doesnt like to go negative but he better start fighting fire with fire or i fear its over.

    Obama/Biden 08

    August 26, 2008 01:02 pm at 1:02 pm |
  24. ANGIE

    Dont let the media spoil your minds we all know their in the tank for mccain polls are useless!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    August 26, 2008 01:02 pm at 1:02 pm |
  25. galactic def klingon

    Disgruntled conservatives within the Democratic party–have already left or deciding whether to vote for McCain or Bob Barr.

    August 26, 2008 01:03 pm at 1:03 pm |
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9