August 26th, 2008
11:20 AM ET
15 years ago

Presidential race tight in battleground states

DENVER (CNN) - The race for the White House is as close in some of the key battleground states as it is nationally.

Quinnipiac University polls out today in Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania are an indicator of just how tight the battle stands right now between John McCain and Barack Obama.

The survey suggests that the Arizona senator has a four point lead, 47 to 43 percent, over Obama in Florida. Last month Obama had a two point lead in the state that decided it all back in the 2000 election.

In Ohio, the Quinnipiac University poll puts Obama up by one point, 44 to 43 percent, over McCain, down from a two point lead in their last survey. That’s a statistical dead heat.

The Illinois senator has a 49 to 42 percent advantage in Pennsylvania. That seven point lead is unchanged from last month.

The surveys in the three states, which have a combined 68 electoral votes, were conducted from August 17 to 24, which was partially before and after Obama’s naming of Delaware Senator Joe Biden as his running mate.

The state surveys show what we are also seeing nationally, that the race between McCain and Obama and is basically all tied up. Our latest CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll out earlier this week had the race deadlocked at 47 percent. The CNN survey was taken entirely after the naming of Biden as Obama’s running mate.

“Given all of the obstacles facing the Republican Party this year, John McCain has to be pleased. The race for the White House up for grabs,” says CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib.

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain • Polls
soundoff (205 Responses)
  1. Repbulicans Hate America

    McCain sided with Bush 95% of the time so this is what you get for another 4 years you rednecks deserve it.

    ‘The vast majority of our imports come from outside the country.’
    – George W. Bush

    ‘If we don’t succeed, we run the risk of failure.’
    – George W. Bush

    ‘One word sums up probably the responsibility of any Governor, and that one word is ‘to be prepared’.’

    -George W. Bush

    ‘I have made good judgments in the past. I have made good judgments in the future.’
    – George W. Bush

    ‘The future will be better tomorrow.’
    – George W. Bush

    ‘We’re going to have the best educated American people in the world.’
    – George W. Bush

    ‘I stand by all the misstatements that I’ve made.’
    – George W Bush

    ‘We have a firm commitment to NATO, we are a part of NATO. We have a firm commitment to Europe . We are a part of Europe ‘
    – George W. Bush

    ‘Public speaking is very easy.’
    – George W. Bush

    ‘A low voter turnout is an indication of fewer people going to the polls.’
    – George W. Bush

    “I have opinions of my own — strong opinions — but I don’t always agree with them.”
    -George Bush

    ‘We are ready for any unforeseen event that may or may not occur.’
    – George W. Bush

    ‘For NASA, space is still a high priority.’
    -George W. Bush

    ‘Quite frankly, teachers are the only profession that teach our children.’
    -George W. Bush

    ‘It isn’t pollution that’s harming the environment. It’s the impurities in our air and water that are doing it.’
    – George W. Bush

    August 26, 2008 01:35 pm at 1:35 pm |
  2. WeBoDave

    If Obama wins Florida or Ohio say hello to President Obama. Obama will win Pennsylvania and Michigan which requires McCain to win FL, OH, and VA. This poll may please McCain but it does not upset Obama much.

    August 26, 2008 01:36 pm at 1:36 pm |
  3. ch

    Looks like a clear trend is developing.

    And the just released Gallup daily tracking poll shows McCain 46% to Obama 44%. This is the first time the Gallup daily tracking poll has had McCain leading Obama in three months.

    I guess Obama doesn't want to win the election – if he did, he would have chosed Hillary as VP.

    And if democrats wated to win – they would not have chosen Obama.

    Looking forward to Hillary running and winning in 2012!

    August 26, 2008 01:36 pm at 1:36 pm |
  4. Time to move on

    Hillary's supporters must be living in dream land that she is coming in 2012.You better wake up before it is too late.

    August 26, 2008 01:39 pm at 1:39 pm |
  5. Peter (CA)

    If the blogs keep going like this for two more months, it may be time to turn it all off.

    Of course, the race is tight. Why is anyone surprised? 40% vote Democratic, 40% vote Republican and the independents split almost evenly with some variance depending on the candidates. This is the way it has been since the Clinton years. We have become more and more polarized as a nation. Think about it...30% still think Bush is doing a good job. They tell us McCain is different although he said he supports 95% of Bush's policies.

    The electoral votes (the ones that really count) have stayed pretty stable. Like in 2000 and 2004, a handful of states will make the difference. Probably Ohio, Virigina, North Carolina, Indiana, Colorado, and maybe Wisconsin. That is where the real battle will be.

    NoMoreTaxes--I can't figure out if you are being sarcastic or are just anti-social. This country is a society we all contribute to. If that does not suit you, there are other places you can go to.

    August 26, 2008 01:39 pm at 1:39 pm |
  6. Connie

    Americans are really stupid,twelve years of Bush?????OBAMA/BIDEN 08
    Close in battleground states, isn't that why they are called BATTLEGROUND STATES????????OBAMA/BIDEN 08

    Connie from Indiana

    August 26, 2008 01:39 pm at 1:39 pm |
  7. Farrell, Houston, Tx

    As a native of Ohio, we will never support another Republican that caused our jobs, pension, homes and put us in the soup lines.

    August 26, 2008 01:40 pm at 1:40 pm |
  8. Rob

    well here goes another try but it seems any post critical of McCain or the media gets moderated out!

    This shouldn't be close. McCain is war, hate, attack and attack again.If the downward spiral is something you want to see continue McCain is the way to go. If the media were to scrutinize McCain even 1/2 as much as they do Obama, McCain would be laughed out of the contest. He says one thing one day and the opposite the next when asked about it he denies he says it. And by the way he wants the draft. Why doesn't the media play this up?

    August 26, 2008 01:41 pm at 1:41 pm |
  9. Pepou

    Elect Obama not the professional POW !

    August 26, 2008 01:41 pm at 1:41 pm |
  10. Deb, Allentown, PA

    Don't forget the 6 MILLION Americans living abroad. They don't count in these polls, and unless the Repubs figure out a way to steal their votes, they're overwhelmingly for Obama.

    August 26, 2008 01:44 pm at 1:44 pm |
  11. TSAH from Virginia

    Better yet – go to any college and take a poll or
    Go to Walmart and take a poll or
    Go to ANY MALL USA and take a poll !!

    The RESULTS will be astoundingly in favor of OBAMA!!! And I cannot believe that people really fall for these polls and believe them...

    Oh Well – A RUDE AWAKENING is about to happen come November and the MSM and Pollesters are going to try and figure out how a LANDSLIDE could have occurred!!!!

    OBA-DEN 2008-2016!!! CHANGE you can BELIEVE in!!!

    August 26, 2008 01:45 pm at 1:45 pm |
  12. Repbulicans Hate America

    I see a lot of people in this country care more about britney and paris hilton commercials then having their sons drafted to a war while they watch their homes being foreclosed on. Losers you will get the leaders you deserve and no doubt feel entitled to stand first in the kitchen soup lines.

    August 26, 2008 01:47 pm at 1:47 pm |
  13. Deb

    Ohio just needs to look around at all of the foreclosed homes, the manufacturing plants that have moved overseas. They need to think of the housing situation (maybe they can rent one of McSames) and of the fondness McSame has for NAFTA. Will they still vote Republican?

    August 26, 2008 01:47 pm at 1:47 pm |
  14. Annette

    For all of you folks that are so happy with McCain being president and because of his long standing in the senate, GO AND REVIEW HIS LONG RECORD IN THE SENATE??? If your choice for him, is because he can produce the most negative ads, I feel sorry for all of ya. This a man who taunts his POW days, but has not done absolutely nothing for our soldiers. Go find the truth about McCain and his voting. With all the negative ads he is putting out there on Obama, not one ad expresses McCain commitment to our soldiers who are dying for this countryy, the need for reform economics, admitting that he as a long time senator has done nothing for our energy policy and so on and so on. Please get real America!

    August 26, 2008 01:48 pm at 1:48 pm |
  15. Crush Rush

    Why hasnt Rush Limbaugh been jailed for calling for riots at the convention?He retracted the statement when he was told he could be jailed,but his followers had the message by then.Last night there were acts of violence,now lets find out who really caused it.

    August 26, 2008 01:51 pm at 1:51 pm |
  16. vic nashville,Tn

    Democratic party changed their views Many times about FL and MI delegates to steal the nomination from Hillary
    Obama changing his policy frequently
    Only Clintons can fight back
    Hillary 2012 / Mc Cain 2008

    August 26, 2008 01:51 pm at 1:51 pm |
  17. mel from Ohio

    The polls mean ABSOLUTELY nothing!!! The only thing that counts is the vote on election day and after the dirt has settled (Republican dirt, as usual) if Obama wins by a 10 vote margin we will rejoice and be thrilled that we don't have to hear another bumbling idiot. The only difference between Bush and McSame is that this one can't seem to get out of Vietnam even though that war ended decades ago–scary, isn't it?

    August 26, 2008 01:51 pm at 1:51 pm |
  18. John in NYC

    McCain has thirty years in the Senate and he still has not learned any diplomacy skills. He attacks first and asks questions later.
    He is not good with the economy since his wife makes over 100 million a year. With all of that money I know I couldn't care less about grocery or fuel prices.
    Lastly and for the record WHAT WILL WE WIN IN THE WAR IN IRAQ! What on earth is the Prize????? I have two friends overseas who have not claimed their prizes yet but their families are waiting.

    Come on America get smart and remember what happened to America the last time we elected a spoiled out of touch rich man who didn't have a clue.
    Vote Smart
    Obama/Biden in 08!

    August 26, 2008 01:54 pm at 1:54 pm |
  19. tmess

    If you want to blame someone for Michigan and Florida (which apparently some Clinton supporters want to do) look at Terrence McCauliffe and Howard Ickes. They are the ones that wrote the rules and originally imposed the sanctions on Michigan and Florida.

    It's not stealing an election if you win it by the rules that your opponent wrote.

    The majority of us who voted for Clinton got over bitter and disappointed a long time ago. This is not the first campaign we have been involved in. Sometimes you win a primary, sometimes you lose one. Regardless of which candidate wins the primary, the agenda survives. The Clinton agenda and the Obama agenda share the same basic principles. The McCain agenda is 180 degrees from the Clinton agenda.

    The only reason to vote for McCain over Obama is fear. That fear, however, overplays what any President can do in global politics. The U.S. is not omnipotent as five years stuck in Iraq has proven once again. We have limited resources and can't attack every body who does something that we don't like. McCain has apparently not learned that lesson yet which is why we will have more to fear if McCain is President.

    August 26, 2008 01:54 pm at 1:54 pm |
  20. themanwhosawtomorrow

    With all the Democratic party squables and infighting, one would have expected Mccain to be having a significant lead in the polls, but he is not. Why?

    August 26, 2008 01:55 pm at 1:55 pm |
  21. Worst...Ticket...Ever....

    Even the pagentry of the convention won't keep this titanic from sinking. Gurgle-gurgle.

    August 26, 2008 01:58 pm at 1:58 pm |
  22. would you?

    i dont know about 2000 i said if Bush gets into office, we WILL be going to war. i was wrong, we are now engaged in two wars. i said im 2000 that if Bush got into office our surplus would be gone and we would be billions in debt, i was wrong...its trillions.
    if McCain gets into better bet your bottom dollar that we WILL see, the DRAFT, war with Iran, RoevWade overturned and greater economic disaster. you will see record profits for all the lobbyist running McCain's campaign, you WILL see more of our kids dead in unjust wars, you will see more jobs lost and ore homes will see the rich getting richer and the poor God people, John McCain stands against everything that makes us great...a hero is NOT someone who gives up military info after only 4 days. country first means Voting for better lives for our vets, police, firefighters, kids and women...NOT against them. John McCain is talking about the 3am call...Obama is giving us an option to never have to have that call...GEEZ, i am so sad for so many of you who do not understand the importance of this election...
    i want to know what is McCain's "experience"? look at his record, he has the highest absent rate of ANY other Senator...HE HAS 59 LOBBYIST RUNNING HIS out of touch as he is 59 LOBBYIST...TOSE ARE THE PEOPLE HE WILL BE LOOKING OUT FOR, NOT YOU!!!

    August 26, 2008 02:00 pm at 2:00 pm |
  23. sine

    At times I feel like America doesn't deserve the Obama family. So as one of his biggest supporters, I wouldn't be upset if he lost.

    I think that you should get what you ask for.

    Vote for who you want to vote for ...not because the media told you or rush limbaugh told you etc...

    Think for yourselves and stop looking at the propaganda around you.

    God bless all of us!

    August 26, 2008 02:00 pm at 2:00 pm |
  24. alfie

    The polls are wrong, and I think the nobama folks are in for a big surprise.

    One of the shortcomings of the polls is that they can only poll people who have land lines, which means that almost half of the population is being excluded, and those excluded are mostly between 24-44 years old. Who are most of Obama's supporters? College students and people UNDER 45. Watch out for the landslide you nobama doomsayers!!! Here are the stats:

    Traditional land-line phones, once the bedrock of communications in the USA, are quickly going the way of eight-track tapes as consumers go wireless or choose Internet-based phone calling.

    According to a report due to be released Wednesday by the National Center for Health Statistics, nearly one out of every six homes in the USA — 15.8% — had only wireless telephones during the second half of 2007, up from 6.1% during the same period in 2004.

    In New York, land lines have plummeted 55% since 2000, according to a new report by Sanford C. Bernstein. New Jersey isn't far behind, with a 50% drop-off.

    The trend is strongest among young adults: 34.5% of people 25-29 years old lived in households with only wireless phones. For those 30-44, the rate drops to 15.5%. It's 2.2% for those 65 and over.

    August 26, 2008 02:01 pm at 2:01 pm |
  25. Democrat for McCain

    We need someone qualified. Obama is not. What are the democrats thinking ?

    August 26, 2008 02:02 pm at 2:02 pm |
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